NBA Betting: Vol. 2

Joshua Garcia8 said:🤣

LBJ is playing tonight 🙂 and I mean, that absolute beauty Dirk is probably going to end up with fewer points than him 🙂

Off to a great start—honestly, if Dirk were shooting from the locker room, he’d probably still sink them.
So LeBron's out there leading things 8-6 right now. I guess this might actually work out for you since LeBron is definitely going to see way more floor time than Dirk.

Tomorrow we've got CHA vs DEN (play-in showdown!)

graniteotter6 said:Portland-NOP Under 185.5

The last three games this season:
161, 180, 160 🤷

Those late-game threes and rebounds really screwed you over.

Hmm... looking at the Detroit game, staying under 84.5 seems like a pretty tempting play.

The Bulls really shut them down last time they met, holding them to just 68 points, and even when the Pistons were playing at home in their own arena, they couldn't quite break past the 83-point mark in the game before that.

It’s looking like we probably won't see Stuckey, their leading scorer, or Ben Gordon out there tonight.

I caught that same thing on my screen, so everyone might as well just bet on the Detroit over 🙄
.
Honestly, I’ve been having a rough run with unders this season—my success rate is sitting at a pathetic 2% right now.

@James Taylor3/">@@James Taylor3
🤷I mean, was anyone actually expecting anything else?!

Alright, I’ll jump in here too. I think Utah should take care of business against Sacramento today at 1.4 odds. Utah is a powerhouse at home right now, and they're fighting hard for a playoff spot—they simply can't afford a loss tonight. I’m also eyeing Big Ali for the over; the line is 19.5, and I have to take that. He dropped 26 just a few days ago, and frankly, the Kings haven't shown they can defend elite big men or high-post players. I'm feeling good about the over there. For my third pick, I’m going with Gay for over 18.5 points. This looks like one of those even matchups where scoring will be high, and I don't see anyone on the roster capable of shutting him down. Plus, he’s hit the over in his last two games against this same team. Scoring 19 isn't a huge ask for him, and I expect him to get plenty of shots up and heavy minutes. I don't anticipate a blowout; this should be a tight contest, and I could easily see Gay hitting 20+.

goldenranger59 said:Look, jumping in here—I think Utah takes the win against Sacramento today at 1.4 odds. Utah is solid at home and they’re fighting for a playoff spot; they can't afford a slip-up tonight. I’m also leaning toward Big Ali going over his points line—it's set at 19.5, which feels like a lock given he dropped 26 just a few days ago. Generally speaking, the Kings struggle when defending physical players in the paint and at the high wing, so I expect him to hit that over.

I'd also say Cousins could go crazy tonight. 🤷
He’s a nightmare to guard—despite how he's built, he's wiry and explosive. Even centers better than Jefferson have trouble staying with him, and I doubt Big Ali, who isn't exactly a defensive specialist, will provide much resistance in the paint.

I also expect the Celtics to walk all over Minnesota. The Wolves are missing 3 or 4 key pieces—their top two playmakers are out—and while they have Ridnour, who's going to provide the shooting? Wes Johnson is a disaster, Miličić is gone, Peković is out, Garnett can make life miserable for Kevin Love, and it looks like Beasley is out tonight too. It could be a total blowout. I'm sticking with my old Boston favorites. 😁

Kevin Love vs. LeBron James 1 Love is looking way sharper lately. This should go our way. Thoughts?

Here’s a little three-leg parlay I put together, mostly just looking at how everyone's been playing lately and how these matchups shake out:
Atlanta under 94.5
Ellis over 17.5
Deng under 17.5
@ 6.33 SS

Nicholas Chase34 said:One parlay here (based on player form and matchups):
Atlanta. Under 94.5.
Ellis. More than 17.5.
Deng Under 17.5.
@ 6,33 SS

If I follow along, just be ready for a crash. ☕

Joshua Garcia8 said:if I follow this, you better be ready for a crash ☕

😁

🙂 A total collapse isn't even on the radar for this ticket. 😍

Nicholas Chase34 said:😁

🙂 Losing isn't even in the vocabulary for this parlay. 😍

If you aren't following me, you don't realize my NBA picks are basically destiny at this point. 😬
But fine, since you're making me... 😁 I'm placing this bet. ☕

Andrea Bargnani over 18.5

Sorry for getting this pick out to you guys so late in the day, but I’m hoping someone finds it useful!
I should probably mention that I think the only thing that could kill this bet is a massive blowout, but overall, I'm expecting the game to stay within the expected handicap range.

Here's the deal: after missing 26 games this season due to injury, Bargnani has been struggling a bit with his efficiency—though, honestly, that's not surprising. It was a long layoff, but his performance against the Denver Nuggets last game seemed to hint that he's finally finding his rhythm again. What really draws me to this pick, though, is the matchup. While players with a similar physical build to Bargnani will be guarding him, Chris Bosh is just a total smooth operator on defense. He tends to shy away from heavy contact, and he struggles significantly when defending the perimeter against shooters who can step back from deep—and we know Bargnani can hit that three. Last season, during those three matchups against the Miami Heat, Bargnani averaged 29.3 points. I expect him to command about 15 shots again, and if he hits around 50% from the field plus a few free throws, he should easily clear the over. His coach is clearly looking to him to lead the charge. >> Dwight Casey said. "He had the same pep that he had prior to the injury. I wanted to go to him as much as possible and make sure we took advantage of it." I really believe he'll keep up that momentum from the last game.

Carmelo Anthony over #21.5

I don't want to sound like a broken record from my previous posts. The donut was on fire and stepped up to reclaim that leadership role. Honestly, we haven't even felt the absence of Amar'e or Lina; the New York Knicks are playing out of their minds right now. The margin is tight, just a couple of points. But if he grabs 20 shots and hits his mark, I’ll be sitting pretty. In situations like this, I'd bet on the over for a player like Anthony every single time.

Christian Ruiz said:Carmelo Anthony over 21.5

I have no desire to repeat myself from my previous posts. The donut has stepped up and reclaimed his leadership role; honestly, you don't even miss Amar'e or Lina when they aren't there because the New York Knicks are playing such incredible basketball right now. The margin is tight, maybe just a few points. However, if he grabs 20 shots and hits the pick, I’ll be perfectly content. In these specific circumstances, I would bet on the over for a player like Anthony every single time.

👍

On top of that, he took Kevin Love in his matchup against LeBron James, Chris Bosh, and Deron Williams, going over 🙂

good luck tonight 👍

Chris Bosh 🙂

Looks like Ray Allen is sitting this one out tonight—that ankle is still giving him trouble, I guess.
Paul Pierce over 19.5, 1.85

Barnjani's barely even seen the floor for 5 minutes.

Yeah, real impressive.☕

Love 🙂

It’s honestly unreal. Every single time I listen to Playa’s picks at full volume, things go south... it's brutal. Out of three tickets, one pair ruins everything—and it’s always the exact one I copied straight from him. That's just wild. I don't blame the guy at all, but my luck is just that bad; he hits every single time except when I'm the one playing his picks. My only hope now is that the ticket I shared with you guys actually pulls through. In the end, Wade, Garnett, Boston 2, and Pierce all cover... it's insane.

Just a heads up, LaMarcus Aldridge is out for tonight’s game due to a sprain in his left ankle.
LA Clippers - Portland TrailBlazers -8.5 1 1.85