NBA Betting: Vol. 2

At first glance, there seem to be quite a few draws here. Boston, Dallas, Philly.

The odds look tempting today. 🙂

.Seriously though, hats off to everyone putting in the work here. I mean, I guess if we keep grinding like this, we're definitely going to stumble onto something pretty damn useful eventually.

Jamison needs to go over 18.5. If he can drop 17 on the Atlanta Hawks last night despite a terrible 6/22 FG, 1/4 3P, and 4/4 FT shooting performance, then he should have no problem clearing this line today.

Edward Gonzalez36 said:At first glance, I’m seeing quite a few mismatches here. Boston, Dallas, Philadelphia...

The slate looks pretty tempting today. 🙂

I’m definitely skipping Boston, and Dallas is an easy pass too.

Here’s what I’m testing out today

Pierce over 18.5 @ 1.85
-Look, I’m expecting a total grind out there, but he’s gonna be on the floor for basically the whole game, probably clocking 35-40 minutes, and looking at his recent road trips, he’s averaging about 18.8 buckets with maybe 20 shots per night, plus a few threes here and there... man, hitting
should be an easy ride. Jamison over 18.5 @ 1.85
-Even if he has a couple of off nights, I’m still riding the over, because honestly, even when he played like absolute trash last night with a shooting percentage barely touching 25%, he still almost cleared this line, so against a weak Nets defense, he really ought to drop at least 20, right? He’s already smashed the 20-23 point mark twice this season alone
Howard over 21.5 @ 1.85
-When he gets a matchup he actually likes—and the Bulls are definitely that team since they’ve been dropping 29.3 points on him in their last four matchups—he goes nuts, I mean, just look at yesterday, he absolutely dismantled them with 29 points
Love over 25.5 @ 1.85
-This one is purely a gut feeling, okay? Yesterday was rough and he only put up 21 despite playing poorly, but you gotta realize he doesn't have Jokic to lean on this time, so he’s gonna have to take over everything himself, and we all know when he gets going, he can easily blow past 30
Gallinari over 15.5 @ 1.85
-He had a shaky start coming back from injury, putting up a measly 25 points total over his first four games, but he's clearly finding his rhythm again because he's bagged 18 points over the last three games while shooting a solid 50%, and in the only head-to-head matchup we've had this year, he dropped 15 points easily🤷

Hopefully I get a bit more luck today than I did yesterday, because man, Jamison and Durant absolutely wrecked me by just two baskets😢

Deng is struggling, which makes Orlando a clear-cut pick here.

Deng is essentially playing through a torn ligament in his shooting hand, and you can see how much it’s hurting his efficiency lately. His shooting has been absolutely abysmal over the last five games. (He went 1-for-9 in the most recent matchup against Orlando)

I’m leaning towards an Orlando win because Chicago is playing without Rose. At 1.80 odds, taking the home team against a depleted Chicago roster is a move you have to make. I just hope Orlando doesn't let us down tonight.

Good luck to everyone tonight.

Howard should probably move on. Does anyone actually think the Bulls are looking out for him?

It’s clear that Noah is having a serious run-in with Howard. At this rate, he could easily slide right into overtime.

The matchups today actually look decent for once.

I’m totally on board with what Howard is saying about his over, mostly because the Bulls have one of the weakest interior defenses in the league right now 😠, which makes it super tough for them to keep him away from the rim where he can just feast on offensive rebounds and turn those into easy buckets. Noah and the rest of that crew honestly don't have any answer for how he plays ☕

Not much to work with today, so I’m sitting this one out. The only play worth looking at is Howard over 🤷
. Gonna hold onto my cash for tomorrow instead.

Corey Maggette is sitting out Monday’s matchup against the Sixers due to an illness.
Shawn Marion (dealing with knee issues) didn't even travel with the squad to Denver for Monday's showdown with the Nuggets.
Derrick Rose is still sidelined with that groin injury—hasn't been cleared to run yet.

If any of you experts could weigh in on the Golden State vs. Minnesota matchup—statistically, both teams are high-volume shooters, and their recent head-to-heads have been absolute scoring frenzies—would it be a smarter play to back Minnesota to go over 101.5 total points? 🤷

I’ve been stuck in this dilemma for a few hours now... 🤷

swiftcrane823 said:If anyone here with some real basketball insight could weigh in on the Golden State vs. Minnesota matchup—statistically, both teams are high-octane scorers, and their recent head-to-heads have been absolute buckets fests—would I be better off betting on Minnesota to go over 101 total points? 205 🤷?

I've been sitting here wrestling with this dilemma for a few hours now. 🤷

If you’re serious about betting on the NBA, my best advice is to hold off until right before tip-off. Coaches can be incredibly unpredictable—they might decide to rest a star player at the last minute, or maybe there were some minor logistical issues that shift the entire dynamic on the court...

Minnesota is struggling with turnovers lately. We might see Pekovic get some minutes (or if not him, maybe Miličić), and without Rubio, they’ve definitely lost some of those easy scoring opportunities... Golden State is going to try to dictate the tempo and force them into their style of play, and there's a solid chance Curry comes off the bench to make an impact..

Projected starting lineups:

GS - Robinson, Thompson, Wright, Lee, Biedrins
Minn - Ridnour, Webster, Johnson, Love, Pekovic (Miličić)

The most critical matchup here is Lee vs. Love, though I think Nate Robinson is actually the one who should come out on top in that specific battle.

In my opinion, Golden State covers the spread here—even just a small -1.5 handicap.

Joseph Lewis13 said:The Warriors are gonna try to force their own rhythm on them, and there's a decent shot Curry might even see some minutes off the bench..

Curry is out indefinitely, so where on earth did you get that from 😕 ...did you just pull that out of thin air or did you actually find some intel somewhere? 🤷

Warriors owner Joe Lacob admitted the team is considering shutting down Stephen Curry (ankle), and mentioned "a month" as an informal timetable for his return.
"No one can really say for sure why this keeps occurring," said Lacob. "We’ll get another opinion if we have to. If it requires shutting him down, then we’ll do it. If it doesn’t, he’ll be back playing in a month ... we’re not going to risk further injury." This sounds like the death knell for Curry's fantasy season, though owners may want to wait until another medical opinion is registered. In light of Curry's chronic injuries, Klay Thompson, Nate Robinson and Dorell Wright all need to be owned.

...which basically means there's a 99.9% chance Curry won't be playing tonight, and honestly, probably won't be playing for the next several games either. It says here he could be out for at least a month, but let's be real—there's a very real possibility his season is just done.

...I'm honestly doubting whether Karl-Anthony Towns or JaVale McGee will even suit up for the Wolves tonight, much less anyone else... maybe take the over on Love, but as for the game itself, I'm with you, the Warriors will likely take it. 🤷

Is this what we call NBA experts now? What on earth happened to the analysis today? It feels like a complete vacuum. The only thing that caught my eye was how solid Atlanta and Philly looked out there. Any thoughts on today's slate,
Nicholas Chase34?

Boozer Over 15.5 @1.85
-Looks solid to me. Deng is dealing with an injury and Rose is still out, so I think Boozer and Korver will be doing all the heavy lifting for Chicago tonight.

Igoudala Over 11.5 @1.85
-Line feels too low. With Maggette listed as doubtful, Iggy should have an even easier time getting his numbers.

Charlotte +15.5 @1.30
-A lock in my book. Expecting a low-scoring affair, maybe around 170-180 total points. If Philly gets ahead, they'll likely lean on the bench, which should help Charlotte stay within 15. Plus, Charlotte's last 12 home games saw them stay within 9, and their three recent losses were all by fewer than 10.

Cleveland @2.40
-Pretty evenly matched teams here. NJN is struggling right now—they just dropped games to NOH, losing 94-90 and then 94-102.😕

Charlotte-Philly Under 184.5 @1.85
-The line seems way too high, especially since it's already a couple points lower outside.

Neither Howard nor tonight. This guy is killing me.

Jamison is shooting 2-for-14. Absolutely pathetic performance.

What’s the deal with Orlando? They're getting absolutely shredded by Chicago right now.