NBA Betting: Vol. 2

The Bulls already pulled through—now I’m just sitting here praying the Clippers don't ruin my parlay 🙂

I could really use a win from Denver. I’ve got a bad feeling they’re never going to break into first place.

Arthur Hill2 said:Man, the Bulls... I mean, how does a guy like Gooden—who basically does absolutely nothing all year long—suddenly drop a performance like that? 😢

And don't even get me started on Rose. He was looking like a god with 4/4 shooting in the first quarter, then suddenly he’s 7/21? Just brutal. Totally brutal.

My bad, I guess whenever I try to actually analyze anything, I just end up messing it all up. 🙂

Why are you even apologizing? This NBA season feels like a total lottery right now. Honestly, you might be better off just picking random winners; games are being decided by like two or three points. You just need enough luck so that your guys happen to hit a buzzer-beater or grab one last defensive stop, otherwise, everything just goes straight to hell.

Nicholas Chase34 said:Looking at today's lineup... I think I see a few things that don't totally suck:

I don't know. Maybe. Who actually knows? Less than 19.5? Please.
Playing B2B is a killer for anyone hitting their twilight years. It absolutely drains your tank. Honestly, good luck trying to keep up with an absolute freak of nature like Iggy. He’s just on another level.

I don't know what to tell you. It's just Rose. Man, over 23.5? Seriously? You gotta be kidding me.
He totally choked against Indiana last game, but honestly? It looks like he doesn't care how he plays as long as he gets the W. At this rate, Jennings is going to have a hell of a time keeping up with him. Plus, the energy in Milwaukee is basically like playing at home. Or maybe just a neutral site, who cares? Just wins matter now, right? 🤔

Parker Hitting that 19.5 mark? Honestly, who even cares anymore? It’s just numbers on a screen at this point.
Parker really needs to wake up against the Knicks. They’re still playing defense like they’ve got butter on their hands. Honestly, his experience should give him the edge over Lin—that guy just hasn't figured out how to handle elite players yet.

San Antonio to New York. That's quite the trek, isn't it? One minute you're eating brisket in Texas, the next you're dodging rats in Manhattan. Big jump. Looking for anything under $198.50. Anyone got leads?
Maybe the line's a bit too high? I saw a score like 101-94 pop up, but honestly, everyone treats the Knicks like an underdog when you're looking at the betting odds.

Griffin Over 21.5? Please. Give me a break.
Even though Griffin is playing on the road, let’s be real—the Nets don't have a single soul on their roster capable of actually stopping him. I mean, look at the opener: he racks up 6 offensive boards and drops 16 points just by bullying his way to the rim (he was 8-for-12 right at the hoop). Sam Humphries? Yeah, he can't stay glued to him for a second. And the Nets? They basically have no clue how to defend a post-up, a pick-and-roll, or even basic transition play, which is exactly where Griffin thrives. Honestly, unless he starts missing free throws or they get blown out, I’m riding with the over every single time. ☕

So, here's a little taste of what I'm about to dump on you in the next few sentences...
The guys actually showed up and played like they meant it last night. Total turnaround. Me? I’m basically falling apart while listening to some garbage country song on the radio. Just total chaos. 🙂So, about those Clippers... I’ve been obsessed with betting player props lately—over/unders and all that junk. Then last night, I decided to play philosopher and act like I actually knew what I was doing. Big mistake.🙂

Just two games on my radar today: Chicago vs. Orlando and Dallas vs. Phoenix.
I’m looking at Rose over, Dwight over, and Nowitzki over. Might lean toward Chicago too... they played a rough one against Miami yesterday, but they shouldn't choke at home.

I’m calling it now: we’re looking at either Rose or Howard going under, or someone’s just going to throw a massive blunder. Either way, Dirk might just push us back over the over
.
Man, yesterday the Chicago spread absolutely nuked my parlay. But honestly, when even Miami at -250 wasn't a lock after barely scraping past Atlanta, nothing in the NBA surprises me anymore.

Man, I don't know... just waiting on PlayMaker91 to weigh in. Curious if this game might actually go over. I know Chicago doesn't score much, but Orlando puts up plenty of numbers

Arthur Hill2 said:My apologies—it seems whatever I throw into my analysis ends up being wrong. 🙂

Well... honestly, there’s no need for an apology. We’re all just trying our best here.
Besides, we’ve all been getting hammered the last two days regardless of what we bet on.

Aaron Stewart said:I don't know, man. I'm just waiting to see what the pros think. I'm wondering if this game could actually go over. I know Chicago doesn't score much, but Orlando puts up plenty.

Orlando puts up plenty? They scored 84 against Charlotte and 92 against Toronto in their last two games.
Chicago doesn't score much? They put up 106 against Milwaukee and 92 against Indiana in their last two.
Maybe give it a little more thought.

Are you kidding me right now? I just blew a massive chunk of change because I actually believed in this guy... Mark Williams15 is sitting at over 23.5 minutes, but he’s barely even touched the floor for more than 21 or maybe 18 and a half minutes left in the game, and then what happens? It’s like he just checked out mentally and wandered off the court after missing a few shots... honestly, it’s absolutely disgusting how much of a joke this is.

The Clippers🤦
man, they still have such a long way to go before they actually become a real contender...

wiredcanyon39 said:Bosh is playing—and yeah, Parker can definitely shut down Lin if he wants to; I could probably do the same thing. He’s got solid interior defense against Denver, but I'm not so sure about the perimeter. Lin is on fire right now. Sure, he *could* get countered, but without someone like Steph Curry out there to space the floor, this guy is going to end up taking a hell of a lot of bad shots.

So you must be some kind of god-tier player then.😁

darkgull11 said:I can't believe I missed this bet by such a massive margin. I took D. Williams over 23.5, but he was sitting at 21 when there were still 18 and a half minutes left on the clock. After that, it’s like he just checked out entirely. Absolutely disgusting. Just gross.

Maybe he did leave. Maybe his cousin, who works as a house painter, just ran onto the court and tried to take his shots instead. 😲

To make you feel better, imagine if you had taken D. Williams under 23.5 with 18.5 minutes left. You would have aged decades before the final buzzer.
and you'd be an old man sitting on a pile of cash, probably looking like someone like a retired veteran millionaire.

crimsonangler1 said:So you're basically some kind of god-tier player then😁

I mean, man, he was pushing way too hard. It’s honestly not even surprising he ended up redlining like that.

My picks for today:

Rose D. (-24.5+) Chicago vs Orlando — Over.

Just a gut feeling here—they dropped 30 yesterday. They’re going to have to step it up against Orlando.

Howard D. (-21.5+) Chicago vs Orlando — Over.

They hit 28 in their last matchup; hoping for the same result tonight.

Nowitzki D. (-24.5+) Phoenix vs Dallas (03/09 04:30) — Over.

The guy is in peak form—hoping for another over in this streak.

Phoenix (+2.5) vs Dallas — 2

Last time they finished 122-99; I think a 3-point spread is plenty for this one.🙂

Chicago vs Orlando Magic — 1

I don't care if it's a back-to-back; I trust the Bulls.

Might even toss Boozer and Deng onto a larger parlay.

crimsonangler1 said:so you're basically a beast then 😁

Bosh was out there, Denver’s rebounding defense is solid, and Parker kept Lin under 50% shooting and stuck him at just 4 assists—which isn't even bad. Ellis took 19 shots even with Curry on the floor. Something's not adding up. 🤷

ruggedgull32 said:...this is basically what I'm getting at in the next few lines...
The players were totally dialed in last night, and man, I am absolutely eating my words like a kid who thought he could outrun a lightning bolt because I went all in on the LA Clippers with a 🙂Farmer🙂 vibe... honestly, I've been riding the player over/under wave lately, and I really thought I was playing chess while everyone else was playing checkers last night, but nope, I just tripped over my own feet....

The guys played almost flawlessly, but honestly, the actual quality of the games was pretty rough to watch 🙂

Keith Moore21 said:The LA Clippers 🤦
still have a massive mountain to climb before they can actually be considered a serious contender...

Until they figure out how to tighten up that defense, they aren't going anywhere 🙄

Joshua Gonzalez33 said:Chris Bosh was out there—Denver’s interior defense is solid—and Tony Parker kept Jeremy Lin under 50% shooting and at just 4 assists, which isn't exactly terrible. Even with Stephen Curry on the floor, Ellis still managed to take 19 shots. I don't see what the issue is here. 🤷

Are you seriously missing the joke? 🤷

Joshua Gonzalez33 said:So, Bosh was out there, and man, the Denver Nuggets have some seriously gritty interior defense. Tony Parker really made life difficult for Jeremy Lin, keeping him under 50% shooting and down to just 4 assists—which, honestly, isn't even a bad night if you think about it. Even with Stephen Curry on the floor, Ellis still managed to grab 19 shots at the rim... I don't know, something feels a little off there, I guess. 🤷

Thanks, man! 😁
I'm sitting this one out today; nothing about this lineup is really doing it for me.

crimsonangler1 said:Are you kidding me right now? 🤷

No. ☕

Orlando Magic +6.5 and Dwight Howard over.

That is all from my side. 🤦