NBA Betting: Vol. 2

Keith Moore21 said:Tony Parker over 18.5

I swear I told myself I wasn't going to bet on any more players, but man, I just can't help myself here... we all know how bad the Utah Jazz are at defending the backcourt—especially the point guard spot—and they struggle big time with the pick-and-roll, which is basically the San Antonio Spurs' bread and butter... Utah played yesterday too, so they're probably feeling a bit sluggish, and since the Spurs are missing Manu Ginobili and Tim Splitter (who’s honestly been their best bench weapon lately), I think Parker should be able to step up and drop like 20 points easy...

Denver-Minnesota under 207.5

I feel like they went a little overboard with this line, mostly because both teams are on the second night of a back-to-back, so fatigue is definitely going to be a factor—especially for the Denver Nuggets, who had to grind through overtime yesterday... and when you look at their scoring averages and defensive stats this season (with Denver playing at home and the Minnesota Timberwolves on the road), I really think it stays under this number...

The first one hit 23, the second one stopped at 204🙂

Keith Moore21 said:first one hits 23, the second one stops at 204 🙂

AND WHAT ABOUT TONIGHT?

James Richardson3 said:SO WHAT ABOUT TONIGHT?

I'll probably check out the lines a bit later... ☕

Uploaded with ImageShack.us Uploaded with ImageShack.us
😠

Just for today:

San Antonio Spurs +4.5

Portland played a brutal game against the Los Angeles Lakers recently, and they just aren't finding their rhythm. They’ve been struggling lately, sitting at a 4-6 record over their last ten outings. On the other hand, you have an incredible San Antonio Spurs squad headed their way—they are riding a massive 11-game winning streak right now. Tony Parker has been playing lights out, essentially carrying the entire team on his shoulders.

I honestly expected the odds to be set differently here. When you look at a team that's clearly sliding versus one that is currently acting as one of the most dominant forces in the league, a 4.5 margin feels like an excellent value play.

Good luck to everyone tonight🙂.

darkgull11 said:Here’s my slip for today..

Amar'e Stoudemire (-19.5+) New York-New Jersey 1.85 under

Dirk Nowitzki (-23.5+) Dallas-Boston 1.85 over

Tony Parker (-18.5+) Utah-San Antonio 1.70 over

Odds: 5.8183

I don't think I even need to break this down for you guys since everything has already been said... I'm riding with Nowitzki because he's playing out of his mind right now and Dallas is going to need every bit of him if they want to pull off this win..

I'll just wait until everyone else starts bragging about their winning tickets before I take a moment to brag a little myself... hehe... Honestly, it's better to celebrate our wins than to sit around cursing at the screen, isn't it? Anyway, let's get back to business... peace.

After doing a little bit of thinking, I finally just went ahead and placed a standard parlay🤷

Danny Granger over 18.5 @ 1.85
Dwyane Wade under 23.5 @ 1.85
DeMarcus Cousins over 16.5 @ 1.85
LaMarcus Aldridge over 21.5 @ 1.85
Donte DiVincenzo over 19.5 @ 1.85 HT

I mean, I’ve got a feeling Wade isn't going to see much action since the Miami Heat should basically cruise to an easy +10 win, so that's my only real doubt, but honestly? I think the rest of these guys are going to hit their numbers easily☕,

Adam Williams2 said:😲

I ended up playing the exact same parlay, honestly didn't even catch your slip until just now 🤣 😁

I guess I hesitated on betting the over once they pushed into overtime because I wasn't sure if the sportsbook counted OT or just regulation, but anyway, pretty good night overall—if Boston had just dropped two more buckets, it would've been a total heater 😁

That means we nailed the under, since even with those extra five minutes of play, they still finished short by five points

San Antonio Spurs over 91.5, 1.85
8/10

The Spurs have been on this absolute tear lately, man. They’ve racked up 11 straight wins, which is easily the longest streak we've seen all season. This run has pushed them all the way up to 2nd in the West, sitting right behind Oklahoma City. Their last win was a total grinder, too—they barely scraped by the Clippers. Looking back at those 11 wins, they actually cleared this total 10 times; the only outlier was when they played Memphis. I guess these Western Conference teams just love to play at a breakneck pace this year, making things super flashy and fun to watch. That's probably why everyone seems to be glued to the West instead of the East. Portland plays that same high-octane style, especially at home where they can put up massive numbers, though they tend to give up a ton of points too. Honestly, I feel like I have to take this; a 91.5 line feels way too low for these two. I'm thinking there's at least a 5 or 6 point cushion here.

Here's what I'm looking at ☕

Guy under 20.5 @ 1.85
Honestly, besides Iggy, I don't think Guy is going to find much room to operate here.

Evans under 17.5 @ 1.85
Evans always seems to step it up playing at home, and even with how bad the Heat are at covering the Point Guard, he probably won't get many touches in the paint, especially if this turns into a total blowout.

Memphis - Philadelphia 2 @ 1.90
If Philly can actually shut down Guy, they should be able to walk away with a win, especially since they had an extra day of rest compared to Memphis.

I'm really feeling that pick from wiredcanyon39, Spurs over 91.5 👍

🤔

stormyseal9 said:After thinking about it for a sec, I just threw down on a standard parlay🤷

Granger over 18.5 @ 1.85
Dwyane Wade under 23.5 @ 1.85
Cousins over 16.5 @ 1.85
LaMarcus Aldridge over 21.5 @ 1.85
Guy over 19.5 @ 1.85

I feel like Wade might get some light minutes since Miami should cruise to a +10 win easily—that's my only real doubt, but the rest should hit fine.☕,

Following along again👍

Why the Guy over though? Iggy's gonna be all over him.🤷

Today should be an easy sweep

Detroit ML @ 2.03
Philly -1.5 @ 1.98
Portland -3.5 @ 1.88

Kick out the intruders for some easy money:

Durantula and Tony Parker over
Spurs
LAL
LAC
DAL

That said, it's time for some fresh analysis, even though Monday feels like "D-Day" for me this season (either I win big or I’m basically toast).

Here is what caught my eye today:

There are three spreads here that look way too wide—or at least generous—with the moneyline sitting around 1.30 if they haven't shifted yet. Edit: they haven't.
😁 Miami -20.5 - Both teams had a rest day yesterday. Sacramento is wrapping up their road trip, and after one more game where the Heat likely blow them out and start closing the gap, this seems like the only viable play. Also, the over on 203.5 looks likely; when it hits 57-49 at halftime, you can thank me later.

Indiana -17.5 - New Orleans can definitely cause trouble against teams like this. This season, I've mostly been avoiding both Indiana and Philly because they feel a bit mediocre to me, whereas New Orleans doesn't seem to be in bad shape—they actually put up a decent fight in the second half against Oklahoma City last night.

Portland -10.5 - This isn't just a high spread; it's practically a gift.

One should probably be cautious regarding Tony Parker's current form, much like being careful with the over on 91 for the Spurs. Given this heavy schedule, there's a chance for a sluggish performance, so I might even consider an under on the total score here. However, a matchup in the 92-85 range seems plausible, making the contra-handicap almost a sure thing.

vividbison47 said:man, I'm still riding with you on this one👍

but seriously, why the hell would anyone take the Guy over? Iggy is basically babysitting him at this point🤷

Look, if you're gonna bet, either ditch him entirely or just play the under, because let's be real—Guy is probably gonna shoot about 20 shots and miss most of them like he always does. If he hits like, 8 or 9 shots plus maybe a couple free throws, that’s more than enough to hit the under, right? And have you seen his stats lately? It's rare for him to even touch 20 field goal attempts anyway, so why risk it?🤷

Odigrano:

Guy under 18.5....🙂
San Antonio over 🙂
LA Kings under (NHL) 🙂

Let's go....

Granger -19.5+ over 1.85
Pau Gasol -15.5+ over 1.85
Al Jamison -18.5+ over 1.85
Tony Parker -19.5+ over 1.85
LaMarcus Aldridge -21.5+ over 1.85

Odds are sitting at 21.66—which is fine—and yeah, I agree there are plenty of parlays out there, but honestly? I feel like we might actually hit this one tonight... what do you guys think?😛

Memphis - Philadelphia 76ers 1 2,00

Considering this is Memphis' fourth game in five days, and their last few outings have basically been decided in the final seconds, it might make sense to take Philly. But, I guess I'm just following my gut today 😍

LaMarcus Aldridge (-21.5+) - Portland vs San Antonio Spurs Over 1.85

I haven't done a deep dive on this matchup, but I figure if Portland actually wants to compete with the Spurs, they'll need to step up today.

The board isn't looking particularly exciting today, though there's one little play with a small stake that caught my eye... I have a feeling the Miami Heat are going to absolutely steamroll Sacramento, so I've decided to go with this:

Handicap on Miami -13.5
Dwyane Wade over 23.5
LeBron James over 27.5

Just a small wager so I can keep an eye on the game.

darkgull11 said:The board isn't looking too exciting today, honestly, but there's one little play with a small stake that caught my eye... I've got a feeling the Miami Heat are going to absolutely steamroll Sacramento, so here's what I'm leaning towards:

Handicap on Miami -13.5
Dwyane Wade over 23.5
LeBron James over 27.5

Just a tiny wager so I can follow along with the game...

Look, if they end up blowing them out, you're probably screwed on those over bets for Dwyane Wade and LeBron James because they won't even see thirty minutes of action!🤷 Just look at how they play against the weaker teams lately—both of them almost always hit the under when it's a blowout scenario.🤷

stormyseal9 said:If things really go south and they start getting blown out, how are Dwyane Wade and LeBron James supposed to hold it together when they aren't even seeing more than 30 minutes of action?🤷Take a look at how often these games go under when they're facing weaker teams; isn't it always the same story?🤷

It’s true, isn't it? I mean, seriously, they kept me hanging on by a thread until those last five minutes before everything just fell apart at the buzzer. Why did I even bother playing this game when I clearly had no clue what I was doing in the first place?