NBA Betting: Vol. 2

11w/16l ; -5.06 units; ROI: -4.25%

Oklahoma vs. New York
Pick: Oklahoma -10.5

Odds: 1.935

Bookmaker: Pinnacle

Stake: 5/10

Both rosters look enticing on paper due to their two superstars. However—aside from those four—the depth in Oklahoma far outclasses the Knicks. In the paint, we’ll see Chandler matched against Perkins; they are roughly comparable, so I don't expect much movement there. But the rest of the squad? Oklahoma holds the edge—they have a future All-Star in Harden, an elite rebounder and shot-blocker in Ibaka, a reliable floor spacer in Selofoshu, and a bench that actually produces. The Knicks, meanwhile, are struggling with a mediocre point guard in Douglas, an inconsistent Lanrdy Fields, a questionable bench, subpar defense, and a coach who hasn't quite won over the fan base. To make matters worse, New York is playing without Carmelo Anthony today—without him, they look like a group of amateurs, with all due respect to Stoudemire. Their rookie, Schumpert, is shooting wildly with zero shot selection—not a great look unless you happen to be Kobe Black Mamba. 😁
One final note—this is the Knicks' third game in four days; fatigue is a factor. They haven't been playing particularly well lately, whereas Oklahoma has had two days of rest and should be significantly fresher.
The line is a bit steep, but I think there's value here. Everything points toward a comfortable Oklahoma win.

Good luck to everyone out there today... I have this gut feeling that things are actually going to turn around and go our way for once...😍

Love is driving me insane—two misses in a row on plays he usually nails without breaking a sweat.

I’m taking the over on Iguodala. 🙂

Johnson is looking like an over on 17.5 too. 🙂

Casey White13 said:Love is driving me absolutely insane; how does he miss two straight shots in situations he usually nails without breaking a sweat?

I'm taking Iguodala over. 🙂

Johnson is also looking like he'll clear that 17.5 line. 🙂

It all looks like a lock, but is there any chance Atlanta can actually turn this around?

Yeah, Love just went absolutely nuclear to close out that quarter—7 points straight up. 🙏 Another 9 coming his way. Johnson was looking sharp on the other side, though, and Iguodala had a good run too. Honestly, I don't see how Atlanta pulls this off—it’s looking pretty grim for them.

We'll see about that... hope is the last thing to die, isn't it?

Casey White13 said:Yeah, Love really closed out that quarter with some serious momentum. Seven points in a row—pretty impressive. 🙏 Just nine more to go. Johnson was excellent on the other side, and Iguodala managed to pull through. It’s going to be an uphill battle for Atlanta to pull this one off—honestly, a massive long shot.

😁
The odds were sitting at 7 when they were trailing by 18. Well done, boys.

Honestly, that turnaround caught me totally off guard. I was watching the Celtics game, and by the time I glanced over to check on Johnson, everything had already shifted. 🙏

It looks like we aren't seeing much from Stoudemire today... I’ve got him sitting at 4-11, and honestly, it's looking like a steep uphill climb for him to hit the over.

Oklahoma is absolutely tearing it apart.
Up by 23 at the half. 🙏

Keith Moore21 said:Atlanta, Philly, Dallas, Oklahoma...

The first two just scraped by—Atlanta barely made it, but hey, I guess luck was on our side for a second there.😁
The other two are absolutely tearing through their opponents with like a 25-30 point cushion—Oklahoma in the final stretch, and Dallas pulling away by halftime... Honestly, it shouldn't be much of an issue...

Arthur Hill2 said:I told you plainly, they're going to walk away with it in the handicap🤷.

Chic/Toro (81.5) - Toronto Under🤷

Toronto dealing with injuries and fatigue:

I'm feeling confident👋 👋

Man, Oklahoma barely scraped by with a +12 after hitting over +30 at the end of the third—talk about thin margins. 😁

Even with Stoudemire struggling through the third quarter, going 0-for-19 on his shots and failing to hit the 21-point mark, 🙂🙂 😢

stormyseal9 said:today's slips

LeBron over 18.5 @ 1.85
Kevin Durant over 13.5 @ 1.85
Russell Westbrook over 20.5 @ 1.85
Marc Gasol over 13.5 @ 1.85
Rudy Gobert over 18.5 @ 1.85
Damian Lillard over 24.5 @ 1.85
LaMarcus Aldridge under 23.5 @ 1.85
Rudy Gay over 19.5 @ 1.85
Dirk Nowitzki under 20.5 @ 1.85

8/9 system bet😉

I really hope someone actually followed along with these🤷, man, it’s such a damn shame because Lillard had one of those absolute garbage nights and we missed out by just a single point, but honestly, looking at the whole spread, it wasn't even that bad!☕

frozengardener98 said:Is this actually worth a shot? 36.5/Bryant K. (Lakers vs. Clippers) 2 4.05 HL

It hit. Thanks, Powerball.

Listen, 🤣 they’re actually introducing margins and coefficients similar to how handicaps work. To be specific, there will be two different margins for players—the lower one and the mid-range one. I honestly thought we’d be stuck with those tiny coefficients and slim margins forever, but this is getting brutal. At this rate, they might as well just introduce a third margin per player too. 🤣☕

I’ve gotta say, I am absolutely loving what the state lottery has been pulling lately. They’re dropping some seriously juicy margins and odds that actually make sense for once. And hey, if you guys want to stick to the old-school favorites, there's always DraftKings to fall back on.

If Stoudemire had been hitting his shots just a little more consistently, he’d be carrying the entire system on his back right now. But hey, it is what it is—he's still getting his rebounds and chipping away at those points. Honestly, I think the oddsmakers need to dial it back on him; they should probably set his line at 18.5 instead of what it is currently.
As for Kobe, don't get too ahead of yourselves thinking that line is staying put. It’s definitely going to climb past 33.5 soon enough... just because he had two monster games doesn't mean we can blindly bet the over every single night.
My picks for today? Everything is a 1, and I'm taking the under on Parker!

Since there’s basically nothing else worth looking at tonight, I’ll grab this one little slip just to stay in the game🤷

Ellis over 23.5 @ 1.85
Jefferson over 18.5 @ 1.85
Golden State over 90.5 @ 1.85
Gallinari over 15.5 @ 1.85
Parker over 18.5 @ 1.85👍

Just a tiny little wager on this one☕