NBA Betting: Vol. 2

wiredcanyon39 said:31.5 feels a bit steep. I wouldn't touch him for the over, even if he's looking like an over candidate again.

Personally, I don't think it's too high given his current form and motivation—plus, there’s that extra bit of incentive for today's game.

Kobe is only human, and he feels fatigue just like the rest of us. Every single game could easily be a trap for an over bet; I’d personally rather wait for him to go 1-2 on the under before I start chasing those overs. He just can't be that incredible every single night.

I’m just sitting here waiting for Kobe to drop under 30 points in a single game; once that happens, he might actually hit a bit of a slump, I guess.

Mark Patel30 said:is Carmelo playing today?

It’s looking pretty unlikely...

Man, the lines today are actually insane...
I just went through some major matchups—Oklahoma, Houston, Chicago, and Orlando... kind of like mixing basketball with water polo or something...
I'll probably dig a little deeper later and put together a proper analysis over at SPAT...
But just off the bat, this looks like a killer double—Bulls and Houston...

If Melo isn't playing, Orlando doesn't stand a chance of losing.

Yeah, those 1.80 odds on OKC look pretty tempting right now.

Boston is done—it's past tense at this point. They’ve picked up four wins, but let’s be real: all four were against teams with losing records. They dropped one to the Heat, they got handled by the Knicks, and the Bulls nearly tore them apart. Even the Pacers are treating them like a bunch of kids on the court.

I honestly don't get why the line is sitting at 1.80. It feels like the betting shops are just terrified of some miraculous comeback from an old-school veteran squad like Garnett-Allen-Pierce, but I'm not seeing it happening.

Boston-Oklahoma x2 NY-Orlando Magic x2 Howard over 21.5 assists 7/10

You're totally spot on, Arthur Hill2, regarding Oklahoma... and honestly, those 1.95 odds on Orlando—who are absolutely tearing it up right now—seem like a steal for tomorrow. Howard is just straight-up destroying everything out there from the perimeter, and with the Knicks missing Carmelo and looking completely lost on the defensive end... it's a killer value play, really.

I'm really hoping it turns out just like Christmas 😬

Arthur Hill2 said:Hopefully it'll be just like it was for Božić 😬

Hey, you got any kind of analysis planned for today?! I don't want us both writing about the same matchup 😬

Hey everyone, what’s your take here? I can't help but feel like these lines might be set just a little too low:
Memphis vs Chicago
Atlanta vs Toronto

🤷

Keith Moore21 said:Do you have any analysis planned for today? I'd rather we don't end up writing about the exact same matchup. 😬

I honestly don't know. There are just so many matchups being tossed around for "analysis" today that hitting on them all feels nearly impossible. But if I'm forced to make a call, I'm taking Oklahoma City.

Bradley Kern6, take a look at Chicago's previous matchups. It should probably make it much clearer to you why that line is set so low.

The way they are playing defense and offense right now, it’s going to be incredibly difficult to hit the over. 😳

I agree on the Atlanta vs Toronto matchup.

Gasol under under, Griffin, Howard, Iguodala, and Aldridge over. 4/5

I'd put the winnings on Love over and Bryant under. There's no way he keeps dropping 35+ points.

Is Bargnani playing for Toronto tonight? Atlanta is also getting hit hard with injuries, so I was thinking about maybe taking Toronto since the odds look pretty decent; might be a solid chance to finally catch a break and snap this losing streak...

Casey White13 said:Put the winnings on Love over and Bryant under. There's no way he keeps hitting over 35 points.

But the line is sitting at 31.5😕

😬

Anyway, I'm definitely not expecting him to drop 30+ points.

I’d put my money on him hitting the 31+ mark before he doesn't. The guy is on a mission, and his whole objective right now is to aggressively attack every single ball that comes his way.

I wouldn't be shocked at all if we see something in the ballpark of 32 FGA and maybe 10 to 12 trips to the free throw line, especially considering he's facing a squad that absolutely humbled him—and I say "he" because let's be honest, they aren't the Lakers anymore, they're just Kobe Bryant's team.

Arthur Hill2 said:I don't know, man, there are just way too many picks "to analyze" today for anything to actually hit, but if I absolutely had to make a call, I'd take OKC.

Bradley Kern6, you should probably take a look at how Chicago has been playing lately; it might make it a lot clearer why that line is sitting so low.

With the kind of defense and offense they're putting up right now, I honestly find it hard to see them going over.😳

We're on the same page regarding Atlanta vs Toronto..

I can't for the life of me figure out what exactly you guys are agreeing on here.😁

Jesse Sanchez40 said:I can't find a single comment here that I actually agree with. 😁

They’re in agreement about...

Atlanta vs Toronto—looking at the 177.5 line...

Jesse Sanchez40 said:I am struggling to find any comments here that I can actually agree with. 😁

Two parlay bets with lines that feel a bit too tight have been set: Memphis vs Chicago and Toronto vs Atlanta.

Regarding Chicago, my assessment remains that they'll likely land under. However, looking at Toronto vs Atlanta, I think they could easily blow past that line without breaking a sweat.

Yeah, I guess so, I actually asked agent5 for some posts earlier...

Bargnani is a question mark, but regardless, I'm putting my money on both Toronto and New Jersey. The Clippers are really missing Chris Paul right now, and honestly, New Jersey has already taken care of them twice this season, so I'm just watching this one to see if we get a total shocker...