NBA Betting: Vol. 2

I just put my money on Nikke 2 2/10, and as of this morning, I'm riding with GS under 185.5 and GS over 90.5. That's all from me—plenty of slips, but the intel is solid. Really hoping most of these hit. Good luck, everyone!

What kind of loser am I, seriously? Yesterday I put down three whole units and of course I nail it, but then because I’m my own worst enemy, I go ahead and add a little extra junk by betting that Atlanta wouldn't lose by more than nine... I mean, what was I thinking? Why do I always do this to myself? Today feels like a breeze though, since I didn't even bother trying to grind anything out; I just sat back, listened to what you guys were saying, threw a few things together, and now I'm just letting them ride.

I’m leaning towards taking the Atlanta Hawks +7.5 on this one...

With Horford out for the rest of the season, things are looking pretty shaky for the Atlanta Hawks, and there's a real chance we won't see Williams on the court again either, especially since they're dealing with that back-to-back schedule... I honestly don't see them covering this spread unless Vlad Raduljica suddenly decides to catch fire and drop ten three-pointers on them... 🤷 I’ve never really felt confident betting on the Hawks when they’re sitting as favorites like this, and honestly, it feels even riskier now... they’ve struggled to pull away from New York a few times this season, often just hanging around within five or seven points, and they even ended up in overtime against the Bobcats during their last trip out there... if I’m being totally honest, I wouldn't be shocked at all if the Bobcats walked away with a win tonight, especially since they’ve had two full days to rest and prepare, and after dropping four straight, they are definitely going to play with a massive chip on their shoulder... they always seem to hold their own against Atlanta, too, keeping their last three road games against them within a five-point margin... personally, I think +7.5 is way too much cushion for a shorthanded Hawks squad in a game where we're likely looking at a high-scoring shootout of around 180 points... Horford is going to be such a huge, irreplaceable factor for them, either tonight or at some point later this season... once you take him out of the equation, the rest of the roster just lacks that necessary grit and shooting consistency that you need to close out games...

man, I’m looking at that spread and it's sitting at 9.5

Hey, I was just looking at the betting lines and noticed there’s some decent value on the spread over here, though the local sportsbooks aren't offering much at all, but since a +7.5 line at @1.95 over at the main site works out to basically the same thing as a 9.5 spread at @1.7... it really ends up being about 1.61 which puts us right back where we started... 😁

Going with this pair:
Golden State Warriors - Orlando Bloom(185,5) 2 1,85

8w/7l (-16,96 units)

#16
Memphis (h-4,5) - New York 2 1,85
6/10

The Knicks have finally found their rhythm after a miserable start to the season, riding a four-game winning streak that was punctuated last night by snapping the Philadelphia 76ers' six-game heater... It looks like they might have actually stumbled upon a reliable point guard in rookie Iman Shumpert, which is something they’ve been desperately lacking while we wait to see when Baron Davis will actually step back onto the hardwood. He puts up at least 10 points every single game he starts this year, but more importantly for the Knicks, he takes the massive amount of pressure off Carmelo Anthony and Amar'e Stoudemire... Since Z-Bo remains stuck on the injury report, Memphis is going to have to lean heavily on Rudy Gay and Pau Gasol tonight. Tyson Chandler will be tasked with shadowing Gasol—and I suspect Marc Gasol won't give him much trouble—while Rudy Gay will have to balance his scoring duties with the job of locking down Carmelo...

#17
Golden State - Orlando (188,5) OVER 1,85
5/10

Ever since 2007, the Orlando Magic and Golden State Warriors haven't failed to clear the 188.5 total points mark in their head-to-head matchups, and they've played nine times since then... Looking at Orlando's last 18 trips to face Golden State, the over has hit 14 times. Both squads are clearly built with an offensive mindset this season—interestingly enough, Golden State has been playing lights out against Eastern Conference heavyweights, with their only wins coming against Miami, Chicago, and New York City... Golden State is dealing with some injury issues, and Orlando's defense is likely to be exhausted and vulnerable following that trip to Portland...

#18
Dwight Howard (22,5+) OVER 1,85
3/10

Both of Golden State's centers, Kwame Brown and Andris Biedrins, are looking pretty questionable for tonight's matchup, and if they can't go, Dwight Howard is basically going to have a buffet of easy buckets waiting for him... The only real concern would be if the refs decide to blow the whistle on him early, but my gut tells me he'll be the one picking up most of the fouls tonight...

Incredible results... I could honestly just go to sleep by halftime at this rate.

How did it even start? Memphis is going to steamroll the New York Knicks 🤦

Of course I take the contrarian bet at +10.5 against the New York Knicks, only for them to lose by exactly 11 points🙂. Well, at least my main parlay is still alive🎉

Well, that was a close one—nearly missed the under. 😂

Lucky the stake was low.
Noticed there's a heavy slate of games today; might be worth putting something together.

Nicholas Chase34 said:Phoenix - Cleveland
pick: Phoenix under 102.5 points @ 1.85 Favorite

The Phoenix squad is playing a much tighter, more grind-it-out style this season compared to last year, both on the offensive end and when they're locking things down on defense. They’re currently averaging about 93.6 points per game, though they bump that up to 96 PPG when they're playing at home. On the other side, Cleveland is looking way better than they did last season; they brought in some new rookies and things are finally starting to look cohesive, even if it’ll take a little while longer for everything to truly click into place. Defensively, Cleveland is giving up an average of 96 points. Looking at Phoenix's track record over the first 9 games, they've only crossed this specific line once, scoring 109 against Milwaukee. Meanwhile, Cleveland has only surrendered more than this margin once in 9 games, against Utah (115) and Toronto (104). Honestly, Phoenix looks a bit more worn down than they did last year, especially since Nash and Hill are the veteran anchors of this group, and both are definitely feeling their age as their efficiency starts to dip a bit. This packed schedule probably isn't doing them any favors, which explains why their scoring average is sitting about 10 points lower than last season. I'm expecting a gritty, defensive battle here, and I think this line was set just a little too high—they probably looked at last year's H2H stats when setting it—but in my book, it's at least two points higher than it should be. Given how everything is trending, I could easily see Phoenix topping out at 100 points or less.🙂

90 points...easier than I thought 😉☕

Andre Iguodala(-15,5+)-Phi-Wa (14.01. 01:00)
over
1.85
Dirk Nowitzki(-20,5+)-Dal-Mil (14.01. 02:00)
over
1.85
Philadelphia(-19,5)-Washington (14.01. 01:00)
2
1.30
ODDS: 4.4493

http://imageshack.us/f/80/pasetikladinasvoje.png/

Guess I'm betting on my guys again. 🤦 🙂🙂 Maybe I'm an idiot, but after I lost money betting against my own team in Philly when they played the Knicks, here I am doing it all over again.

Wondering what kind of deals are out there today... I'm gonna head out and scope things out for a bit, then maybe I'll circle back and let you guys know how it goes ☕

Exercise caution regarding the Boston vs. Chicago matchup; there is still significant uncertainty surrounding whether Rose will actually suit up for this one.

Man, Orlando really bailed us out last night. What kind of lottery ticket offer was that for the players? Hahahaha, who actually thought that would work?

HL
19,5/Bryant K. (LA-CLE) 7,75 1,05
19,5/Holiday J. (PHI-WAS) 1,25 3,35

Seriously—can they not set decent lines and odds? Is anyone actually sane over there?.....🙂🙂🙂

I lowered the odds because it’s obvious people are starting to bet on them

I guess I am mostly leaning toward Deng under 19.5 points in the prop markets... the odds seem decent and the line feels quite high for him... though I am a bit worried if Rose ends up sitting out.
What do you experts think?

Our under, Wall under, Holiday under—everything is looking like an under 19.5 play in the prop markets.