NBA Betting: Vol. 2

It’s been a minute since I’ve posted any breakdowns; work has just been absolutely kicking my ass lately. 🙂

Analysis #3
+10.45
2w/0l
Atlanta vs Chicago, Chicago 2, 1.65
5/10
We’ve got a massive matchup here between the conference-leading Chicago Bulls and an Atlanta squad that actually had the Bulls on the ropes just a few days ago. Still, thanks to a killer fourth quarter from Derrick Rose and the rest of the crew, Chicago managed to claw their way back for the win. Honestly, the Bulls look incredible this season—their only real stumble was that tough road trip against the Golden State Warriors. Plus, Rose has really dialed up his three-point shooting, which makes this roster even more dangerous now that they've got Tayshaun Hamilton in the mix. On the other hand, Atlanta is playing their third game in just three days. They just went through a brutal triple-overtime loss to the Miami Heat two nights ago, and then scraped by the Charlotte Bobcats in overtime yesterday. Fatigue is definitely going to be a huge factor here, and I wouldn't be surprised if the pace slows down significantly. You could probably make a play on the under because of that, but I guess I feel a bit more confident just backing the Bulls to take this one.

Rose scored big in the first half, and man, I am telling you, that Handicap 22.5 is looking like a total lock right now!

Check out this value play: Chris Bosh under 26.5 @ 1.35 Half Time 🤣

LA Clippers (-10.5) vs Milwaukee @ 1.85
Philadelphia 76ers vs Toronto Raptors under 187.5 @ 1.85
Indiana Pacers vs Charlotte Bobcats under 99.5 @ 1.85
@ 6.33 SS ☕

Boozer is sitting at a 14.5 line for the spread, and honestly, I feel like even a total amateur could probably cash this one in if they were looking for it.

I wonder if Blake Griffin might end up clearing more than 23 points today?

Stoudemire over 22.5 Carmelo Anthony over 28.5

Here’s what’s on the radar for today

Chicago Bulls
Philadelphia 76ers
LA Clippers

☕

Dallas 1
Carmelo Anthony over 28.5
Oklahoma City Thunder +2

middle/low volume

James Smith50 said:6 wins and 3 losses, sitting at a -0.81 unit margin...

#10
Phoenix vs Portland: Pick the 2, Handicap 1.70... 👎
6/10

#11
Ellis M. is looking at more than 24.5 points, with a line set at 1.85... 👎
4/10

#12
Oklahoma City Thunder and Houston Rockets game goes over 205.5 total points... 👎
5/10

#13
New Orleans vs Denver, handicap 2... 1.40... 👍
6/10

Not good, not good at all...

7 wins, 6 losses—down by 13.41 units...

#14
Atlanta vs. Chicago Bulls, looking at the odds at 1.45...
6/10

#15
New Jersey Nets and Miami Heat, Handicap 2.5...
7/10

my picks for today:

Chicago 2/2
Golden State Warriors
Chris Paul UNDER
Scola UNDER
Dirk Nowitzki OVER
San Antonio and Denver under 198.5

Joe Johnson under
Chicago.

Chris Bosh over the average line

p.s. I took a nap right before placing my bets, and both Joe and Chicago let me down.

(And I wouldn't suggest betting on a Chicago comeback from trailing to leading; they really find their rhythm in the 3rd and 4th quarters. Honestly, the biggest reason to bet against Chi is fatigue, whereas the Hawks might actually have some energy left for the first half.)

Arthur Hill2 said:Joe Johnson under
Chicago.

Chris Bosh over the average line

p.s. I’m honestly starting to feel like a total sucker before even placing my bets—both Joe and Chicago let me down today.

(And honestly, I wouldn't recommend betting on a 2/2 comeback against Chicago. They are absolute beasts in the 3rd and 4th quarters. If you're looking for a reason to bet against them, it’s just pure fatigue, whereas the Hawks might actually have some energy left for the first half)

I totally feel you. I constantly put them on my slips thinking I’ll lose the first half just to win it all by the end, but it never goes my way.

Nicholas Chase34 said:Today's value: Chris Bosh under 26.5 @ 1.35 Half Time 🤣

It went live at 1.85🙂
Doesn't mean it'll hit, but they definitely screwed up the odds.

I was leaning toward Chicago at -3.5 earlier today, but while I was digging into the numbers, that line jumped up to -6, so I’m passing on that. Honestly, I'm feeling more of an Over 177 vibe.

Looking at the other matchup, San Antonio -4. Denver is playing their fifth game in just seven days, which is a lot. My gut says the defenses are going to step up tonight, so I put my money on the under 199.

Milwaukee is struggling with injuries right now and have dropped three straight. Meanwhile, the LA Clippers are on a roll. I’ll take the Clippers -10.5 and the Over 193.5.

I mean, honestly, betting on Joe Johnson at 1.60 just feels like a total gamble... 🙂🙂

Yeah, I really should have put another $2 on it when the odds were sitting at 1.85 🤮

Alright, I think I'll just take the Boska at 2.00
Hopefully they pull it off here...

If you ask me, I think the sportsbooks, especially places like Super Sport, really ought to consider offering player props for assist and rebound totals. I seem to recall they offered something similar last year, probably during the playoffs, though I can't quite remember exactly when.

Just adding some final details