NBA Betting: Vol. 2

James Taylor3 said:I was betting on player points pretty a lot last year, but I wasn't having any luck, so I figured it's probably best to just skip it. I haven't touched them at all this season, and I don't really plan to. 😁

Hey, maybe if you feel like it, give us an update on those odds every couple of weeks or so? I'm kinda curious how it's looking.
I've always thought there are more unders than overs, so that might be the better way to go. 😁

It depends, I guess, which is why you gotta keep an eye on it ;D
I mean, it's kind of silly to track it so simply, like just whether someone hit or missed... there are so many factors involved, so you should probably be careful and stay informed... but yeah, you still need some luck too. 😁 🤷

analoggull4 said:Think the Wizards will finally pull off a win tonight? 😬

Man, they absolutely smoked me against Minnesota. Truly criminal. And now we’re heading into tonight without even having Blatche in the lineup. 😕

It makes total sense to me why there are more unders than overs. You’ve got two massive factors that can push a player toward an under: foul trouble and injuries—assuming the roster is actually healthy. Personally, when I'm betting on players in the 10-point range, I see about 8 out of 10 as unders. It feels like most people just force the overs because they want to. I think even the sportsbooks are finally catching on, too. They used to just blindly follow the stats, but now they’re actually tracking injuries and matchups to adjust those lines up or down by a few points compared to the average.

Lawrence Castillo76 said:Man, they absolutely played me for a fool against Minnesota. It was straight-up robbery, honestly. And to top it all off, we’re heading into tonight's matchup shorthanded without Blatche. Just one of those stretches where everything that can go wrong, does.😕

Honestly, this is actually a win for us, especially since Lewis isn't even playing. If you have those two on the floor together, you’re basically guaranteeing a disaster. I’m already losing my mind watching Lewis toss passes straight to the other team like he's working for them, not to mention Blatche just wandering around the court acting like he owns the place. It’s infuriating because, frankly, I’ve got a better game than both of them combined. 🙂

Man, what's the consensus on the Bulls?🤷

Thorton is out for the Kings tonight, so hitting the under on Evans is looking pretty tough now. Don't think I'll be making any excuses when it happens 🙂

Mavericks -6
The Mavericks are sitting at 0-3 right now, so I really feel like it's about time they snagged their first win, especially since they've had three full days to prep for this matchup... On the other side, the Pistons are struggling quite a bit in the league, and it looks like Stuckey might be missing again tonight too, which doesn't help since they're coming off four heavy losses in a row and I just don't see them turning things around overnight because there simply isn't enough depth there, plus they played last night and couldn't even crack 70 points against the Bulls. The Mavericks definitely have their own issues to iron out since they haven't quite found their rhythm yet, but I'm expecting them to come out swinging for that away win...

Philadelphia -9
The Kings have responded pretty well following their coaching change, though they still need to prove they can actually produce anything once they step outside their home arena... They're currently at 0-3 after dropping three tough games against Denver, Portland, and Milwaukee. Meanwhile, Philadelphia is on fire right now with five straight wins, and even though they're playing on a back-to-back, their rotation is managed well enough that I don't see it being much of an issue, especially since Brand and Hawes struggled with foul trouble yesterday and didn't get to play much...
I also think taking the team under on the Kings is a solid bet here, given that 94.5 is the margin, which is significant considering how Philly held Detroit to 73, Toronto to 62, and Indiana to 86 in their last three home games. Since they're on a back-to-back, I doubt they'll try to push a crazy pace, so I imagine they'll land somewhere around the 100-point mark again, maybe leaving the Kings with something like 85-90...

Lawrence Castillo76 said:They absolutely smoked us against Minnesota—straight up criminal how bad it was... and now tonight we’re out there without Blatche too. 😕

Wizards

Alex Cook said:Wizards

🤣🤣

And they've got Iggy playing under, even though we all know he's been in incredible form over the last few games.🙂🤦 🤣

Lawrence Castillo76 said:Thorton is out tonight against the Chinese team, so I don't see Evans hitting that under... anyone think I'm wrong?... 🙂

He's done playing... wrap it up! 😁 I transcribed that Evans part from you. Thanks!...
Rockets are looking good to me. Just a little bit of drama...🙂

Kenneth Bailey said:Would love to get some thoughts on the Charlotte vs Houston game. I was thinking about taking Houston for the under. This matchup looks pretty interesting to me. It’s not even showing up on ESPN or the US Lottery. The Derby line is set at 95.5, but over at Premier it's 98.5!? That 3-point difference is huge. Seems a bit weird to me...😁 I see SS has the margin at 98.5 too.
Kevin Martin (flu) missed shootaround and is a game-time decision on Tuesday. Courtney Lee won't be playing. Kyle Lowry is back in action. I actually dug through their head-to-head matchups from 2004 all the way to now—Houston hasn't ever cleared this spread on the road during regulation: http://www.betexplorer.com/basketbal...atchid=6865300
Charlotte has played 4 home games this season (against the Heat, Hawks, Bucks, and Magic) and only the Magic managed to score more than 98.5...
Houston has been on the road 5 times and they've stayed under 98.5 every single time...

Charlotte vs Houston 70:82
👍

Nicholas Chase34 said:As of right now, the situation with SS is sitting at 59.60% to 40.40%, which puts the unders in the lead. 😁 👍

👋

I am hopeful that Griffin will manage to surpass Nowitzki's 18 points, especially considering how he absolutely crushed it with his shooting percentage 🤦.

I'm still in the game. I knew that absolute amateur Love wouldn't be able to clear the margin today. Kobe Bryant is sitting at 17 after the first quarter—he’s playing incredibly well.

The Warriors managed to claw back from a 17-point deficit... man, my Heat 🙂

William Price66 said:Golden State clawed their way back from 17 down. Honestly, my Heat... 🙂

It brings back those rather melancholy memories of the Finals against the Mavericks and that "unlosable" game we blew, where two guys were just relentlessly mocking Kirk 🙂 and then there's the matter of what kind of role I played in all that 🙂... 🙂 and now, here we go again with a total rerun 🙂 🙂

Man, this heat is absolutely killing us—it’s making everyone play like garbage and throwing games left and right. At least my double chance bet actually pulled through at the sportsbook, I guess.

James Taylor3 said:Today, I’m taking the Lakers spread as a single, plus one more casual little parlay:

LA Lakers (-13.5) vs Phoenix | 1 | 3.20
Detroit vs Dallas | 2 | 1.45
Portland vs LA Clippers | 1 | 1.55
Memphis (+10.5) vs Oklahoma | 1 | 1.30

@ 9.35 stake — practically pocket change

And my single bet: Portland vs LA Clippers 2/1 | 6.50 👎

The stake here is also negligible.

It was a good night—felt it coming.

James Taylor3 said:Man, what a night. I totally saw this coming, I swear.

Also, looking at the main board, we had the Mavs, Lakers, and Bulls go through, plus the Heat, OKC, Philly under, and the Bruins on the other side.