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Soccer Betting

Started by Joshua Garcia8 · · 👁 33 views · 1.4K replies

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Participants Joshua Garcia8wiredcanyon39vividwalker7Laura Morris4Carol Moore5Richard Young10Christian Morales40James Taylor3Timothy Flores3Ethan Jones5Ronald Hayes5Hannah Collins2Bryan Adams6Adam Williams2Linda Newman3Grace Smith3briskbison66Andrew Hall46Andrew Cruz86Jason Nguyen2Jason Patel34boldrangerThomas Patel69Scott Hayes6 …
Nicholas Chase34 Nicholas Chase34 Newcomer
1 message
joined Sep 2011
#201 ·
8:00 PM, Troyes vs. Le Havre, pick: 1 @ 2.05, Pinnacle

So, Troyes is basically knocking on the door of the big leagues right now, sitting just one step away from promotion in fourth place with 47 points, trailing Clermont by just a single point. With eight rounds left on the clock, every little win feels like gold if they want to keep that promotion dream alive. What’s really cool about them is how much they own their home turf; they’ve pulled in more than half their total points (31) there, rocking a record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and only 2 losses with a pretty healthy +10 goal difference. Their recent form isn't exactly explosive, but they’ve been holding their own lately, picking up 2 wins, 3 draws, and just 1 loss over their last six outings. They'll be missing some key pieces though, as Blondel (GK), Outrebon (DF), Camara (FW, 3 goals), and Obbadi (MF, 3 goals) are all sidelined with long-term injuries.

On the flip side, you’ve got Le Havre, who are hanging out near the bottom of the table and fighting tooth and nail just to stay in this division.
They’re currently sitting in 15th place with 36 points, which puts them three points clear of the relegation danger zone. When they play at home, they are absolute tanks—they’ve only lost once in 15 matches, tallying 5 wins and 9 draws—but man, they struggle when they have to travel. In those 15 away games, they’ve only managed 3 wins and 3 draws against 9 losses, leaving them with a shaky 10:18 goal difference. If you look at their current momentum, it’s looking pretty grim since they haven't tasted a win in their last six matches, which consisted of three home draws and three tough road losses.

Le Havre is going to be feeling the sting in their attack for this one because their two heavy hitters are totally out of commission, Ryan Mendes (9 goals) and Y. Riviere (7 goals), along with their third-choice striker Efoulou (2 goals), their starting keeper Boucher who has been out for a while, and midfielder Julien Francois (23 appearances). Honestly, losing those guys is a massive blow for the visitors. All things considered, Troyes seems to have all the right ingredients to pull this off—home-field advantage, better overall play, fewer major absences, and that huge motivation to climb into the top flight. Getting the home win at 2.05 feels like a sweet bit of value to me.
Nicholas Chase34 Nicholas Chase34 Newcomer
1 message
joined Sep 2011
#202 ·
4:00 PM, Watford vs. Blackpool, pick: both teams to score @ 1.70, DraftKings

Watford is absolutely rolling right now, honestly they haven't tasted defeat in their last seven outings, pulling off five wins in that stretch alone. They've been playing with such high energy that they've managed to claw back within six points of that playoff promotion zone. Right now, they're sitting at 11th place with a record of 15-12-13 and a goal difference of 48:55. What's cool is they play just as well whether they're at home or traveling. On the flip side, you've got Blackpool sitting in 5th, and while they haven't been looking too flashy lately, they just came off a massive 3-0 statement win against top-tier Southampton. Blackpool is definitely a different beast when they're playing in their own backyard compared to when they're on the road. Watford tends to play a really wide-open, attacking style at home—you can see that in the stats, since 12 of their 20 home games have gone over, whereas they've only seen 7 overs in their 20 away matches.

When they're playing at home, Watford almost always finds a way to concede, having kept a clean sheet only three times in their last 20 home matches. Meanwhile, Blackpool is basically the king of high-scoring games; out of their 20 away trips, a whopping 16 ended with over 2.5 goals. They're super consistent at finding the back of the net (scoring in 16 out of 20 games), but the trade-off is they give up chances constantly, failing to keep a shutout in all but two of those away games. In fact, right before they faced Southampton, Blackpool was riding a crazy streak of 14 straight games where both sides scored. Since both these squads love to play aggressive, offensive football and tend to leave gaps in defense—especially given the venue—and seeing how their head-to-head history is usually loaded with goals, betting on both teams to score feels like a total no-brainer.
Nicholas Chase34 Nicholas Chase34 Newcomer
1 message
joined Sep 2011
#203 ·
07.04.
18:00, Portland Timbers vs. Atlanta United, tip: 2 @ 1.90, FanDuel


So, looking at the Portland Timbers right now, they’re basically staring down the barrel of relegation with just 13 points under their belt, sitting at a shaky 2-4-16 record and a goal differential of 17:44. They’re trailing behind teams like Austin FC, who are currently holding onto those spots that lead into the relegation playoffs. Honestly, it feels like Portland might just be outclassed for this level, and if you ask me, dodging the drop to a lower division is going to be an uphill battle, though there’s still plenty of games left on the calendar to see if they actually have the grit to stay up. Looking at their recent run, they’ve stumbled through seven losses in their last eight matches, with their lone win being a gritty 3-2 victory over Austin—one of their direct rivals in the fight to stay afloat. Most of their points come against bottom-tier squads, usually resulting in nothing more than a draw. On the flip side, you’ve got a pretty steady Atlanta United squad hanging out right in the middle of the pack with 40 points, boasting a 12-4-6 record and a respectable 34:28 goal difference. They’re about 7 points away from those European qualification spots, so while the math makes it a bit of a long shot, hey, hope springs eternal, right? They’re pretty balanced regardless of where they play, picking up two more points at home than they do on the road (21/19), and their away record sits at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses. They’ve been playing decent lately too, grabbing two wins and a draw in their last five outings, despite two slips along the way. They’re a solid outfit that generally handles teams at the bottom of the table, like Portland, with ease. Just a little heads-up, Major League Soccer tends to favor the heavy hitters quite a bit; the top eight teams almost always take care of business against the bottom eight. If you crunch all the numbers—their current form, home versus away splits, and overall season stats—you’d figure Atlanta is about a 62% favorite to walk away with the win, which would normally put the odds around 1.61. But since we’re seeing a juicy 1.90 on them here, I just have to jump on it, especially since the odds for an away win seem to be sliding down already.
goldenmarlin5 goldenmarlin5 Newcomer
1 message
joined Oct 2010
#204 ·
Sunderland vs Tottenham: Away Win @ 2.30

Look, if Tottenham actually wants to stay in the hunt for that 4th spot and secure their Champions League berth, they have no choice but to take this one. They’ve been playing some high-level football lately, and frankly, I think they pull it off.

Orlando City vs LAFC: Away Win @ 1.60


LAFC just needs a narrow win today to mathematically clinch the MLS Cup title. It's right there for the taking.

USC vs Juventus: Away Win @ 1.60

Juventus is fighting tooth and nail for the championship. They need these wins like oxygen. My gut says they grind out a single-goal victory.

It feels a bit risky, playing three doubles on a single slip, but hey, what are you going to do? Life's too short to play it safe every single time.☕

Total Odds: 5.88

Good luck.🙂
Ethan Jones5 Ethan Jones5 Active Member
132 messages
joined May 2022
#205 ·
goldenmarlin5 said:
San Antonio FC vs. LAFC 2@1.60


LAFC grabs a narrow win today and mathematically clinches the MLS Cup title.

Something about this feels off for several reasons...
1. LAFC is out there trying to lock up the championship on away turf.🤷
2. San Antonio's shady style of play at their home stadium and their desperate fight against relegation—especially since only the MLS front office knows exactly how many teams will actually be relegated at the end of the season.
3. The thing you don't talk about out loud, but everyone knows happens way too often in American pro soccer... I'll just mention that Locomotive pulled off a win at San Antonio's place two weeks ago.
Nicholas Chase34 Nicholas Chase34 Newcomer
1 message
joined Sep 2011
#206 ·
Lakers - Celtics
Over 1 or under 2.5

C/P

The Celtics are in a total mess right now. Tomorrow they will play without Giannis (final 11 p), James (15p +1 final goal), Chavez (def 19p), Wait (final 6p), Johnson (def 14p), Sobolewski (mid 7p), Boguski (6p +1 att goals). Doubtful is Durant (15p +3 att goals). Some rumors are even floating around that Dud Biton (23p +11 Topscorer goals) won't suit up either. Basically, the Current Champions of USA play without any motivation. It feels like most of players has knowledge that they will not play in next season in Lakers, so they really have nothing to play for in the NBA. Plus, in few days they will play more important match in the Cup against Bulls, which is their absolute last chance to gain Champions League next season.
As for the home side, the coach is dealing with a couple of holes in the lineup tomorrow too: Frankowski (att 22p+12gol topscorer) and Porebski (def 10p+1gol)

I'm leaning towards a home win, but honestly, since they're missing their top scorer and both teams tend to play such a gritty, defensive style, we could easily see an under here.
redranger82 redranger82 Newcomer
7 messages
joined Dec 2022
#207 ·
What’s the vibe today for the Inter Miami vs. Orlando Magic game?
It’s being played at a neutral site—which honestly works in Inter Miami's favor since they won't have those Orlando fans breathing down their necks... Odds are sitting at 2.10 🤷
vividbison47 vividbison47 Member
20 messages
joined Aug 2021
#208 ·
redranger82 said:What are we thinking for Inter Milan vs Cagliari Calcio today?
It's at a neutral site, which gives Inter the edge since they won't have to deal with those Cagliari fans breathing down their necks. Odds are 2.10 🤷

I’d say a double chance on them, but honestly, I’m dodging Inter this season. They've already wrecked way too many of my parlay tickets. 😢
Carol Moore5 Carol Moore5 Newcomer
1 message
joined Sep 2014
#209 ·
Lecce vs AS Roma 3+ 1.70
Look, the defensive situation over at Rome is a total mess right now—they’re missing huge pieces like Juan, Burdisso, and Cassetti...
They're just giving up goals way too often, especially when they're playing away from home; I mean, they've conceded 22 while only managing to score 16. It's rough.
For this match, they’re definitely coming in with an "all or nothing" mindset because they desperately need the points if they want to climb toward the top of the table and those Champions League spots by the end of the season.
Lecce is going to be fired up playing in front of their own fans, looking to give it everything they've got, and honestly, in a setup like this, they're totally capable of finding the back of the net against a lackluster Rome side that’s going to be trying to play open, attacking football to hunt for a win.
Now, Rome is certainly talented enough to walk away with the win, but there's a massive chance they concede too... Lecce doesn't have any major injury issues to worry about either.

Udinese vs Parma Calcio 1 1.85
It is high time for an Udinese home win. They haven't secured four wins at home yet, but they are actually the second-best home squad in the league, pulling 10 wins out of 15 possible. Plus, Barreto is finally back in the lineup, along with midfielders Benatia and Pinzi.
Udinese is chasing a Champions League spot next year and they need these wins—this is the perfect window to grab them, especially since Lazio vs Napoli is happening in Rome between two teams that are direct rivals for Udinese's position.
Even though Parma Calcio has been putting in some decent performances on the road lately, I think they'll struggle to find points today. Udinese has that extra hunger and a massive desire to get this win, which would push them closer to the top and fix that shaky confidence they've been dealing with after those last few bad outings...
Ethan Jones5 Ethan Jones5 Active Member
132 messages
joined May 2022
#210 ·
Šibenik vs Dinamo Chicago 1X @2.7
Ethan Jones5 said:1. Dinamo will likely just play safe away from home to secure the title.🤷
2. Šibenik plays poorly at their home stadium, and they're fighting for survival—especially since nobody knows how many teams the federation will actually relegate this year.
3. Something we don't talk about openly but everyone knows happens in the league... let's just say Lokomotiva Chicago managed to win at their place two weeks ago.

Zadar vs Split 1 @2.4

Split is still dealing with an injury crisis—they've got Jelić (out due to injury and suspension), plus Serdarušić, Golubar, Pehar, and Babić all sidelined. On the other side, Zadar is missing key players like Čurjurić and Con. Zadar plays incredibly well at home, and while both sides need points—Split for Europe and Zadar to stay up—Split's recent form has been terrible, especially on the road. I'm skeptical they can pull anything off away from home.

Hajduk Split vs Karlovac Over 3.5 Goals @2.9

Maybe a bit ambitious, but Hajduk Split looked dominant last time they played at Poljud against Cibalia. If they bring that same energy, this pick should hit easily. They’ll be playing relaxed too, since they're 8 points clear and have a tricky match in Zadar coming up. They've basically locked in their Europa League spot, while the guys from Karlovac are practically already relegated to the second division if they even finish the season.

Total 18.79 for a Hattrick with a small stake. But hey, that's just how the league goes.🎉
briskbison66 briskbison66 Member
19 messages
joined Mar 2012
#211 ·
Ethan Jones5 said:This whole situation feels off for several different reasons...
1. Dinamo needs to secure the title while playing away from home.🤷
2. Šibenik is playing dirty at their home stadium, and they are fighting for survival because, let's be honest, only the American Football Federation knows exactly how many clubs will actually face relegation at the end of the season.
3. There is that unspoken thing we all know happens far too often in the American First Football League... I’ll just point out that Lokomotiva Chicago pulled off a win at Šibenik's place just two weeks ago.

Back in 2007 in Čakovec, things weren't exactly above board either.
Carol Moore5 Carol Moore5 Newcomer
1 message
joined Sep 2014
#212 ·
Roger Phillips said:Lecce vs AS Roma over 3 goals at 1.70... man, if you aren't looking at this one, what are you even doing? Seriously. These matchups always have that weird energy where everything just explodes in the second half—it’s like someone finally flips a switch and everyone forgets how to defend... honestly, it's a goldmine if you know what you're looking at. Just a total madness waiting to happen on the pitch.
The defensive situation over at Rome is looking pretty damn shaky right now—it’s honestly a mess. They’re missing huge pieces like Juan, Burdisso, and Cassetti... and you can really feel the void they're leaving behind on the pitch. It's just not working.
They’re just giving up goals way too easily—it's getting ridiculous, especially when they're playing away from home... I mean, seriously, they've conceded 22 goals and only managed to find the back of the net 16 times. It's absolute madness...
Look, there’s no doubt about it—this team is coming into this match with one thing on their minds: winning. They absolutely need these points if they want any hope of climbing up the table and actually sniffing around those top spots that lead to the Champions League... they can't afford to slip up now.
Lecce is definitely going to be playing with some serious chips on their shoulders in front of their home crowd—they’ll be fighting tooth and nail to prove they belong... and honestly, in a situation like this, I truly believe they’ve got what it takes to find the back of the net against these unbelievable visitors. You've got a side that's just itching for an open game and a massive win, while the opponents are probably expecting to just stroll in and take it... but man, things rarely go that smoothly when a team is playing with that kind of desperation...
Look, Rome is absolutely capable of pulling off a win here—I mean, they've got the firepower to make it happen—but let’s be real, they're just as likely to let one slip past them... it's always a toss-up with them lately. On the other side, Lecce isn't dealing with any major injury issues or missing players, so they're coming in pretty much full strength... it should be an interesting one to watch.

Looking at the matchup between Udinese and Parma Calcio... the odds are sitting at 1.85 for an Udinese win. Honestly, if you're looking to put some skin in the game here, it feels like one of those classic toss-ups where everything hinges on whether the midfield can actually hold shape for ninety minutes—which, let's be real, is always a massive question mark with these squads... It’s tempting, sure, but you really have to weigh if that price offers enough value given how unpredictable these mid-table battles can get. Just my two cents...
It is high time for an Udinese home win... seriously, they haven't managed to pull off four wins at their own stadium yet, which is just ridiculous given they’re basically the best home side in the league—I mean, they've already snatched up 10 out of 15 possible home victories. Plus, we finally get Barreto back in the lineup, along with those midfield anchors Benatia and Pinzi... things are looking up...
Udinese is seriously eyeing that Champions League spot next year, which means they absolutely need to stack up some wins right now... and honestly, this is the perfect window for them to strike. They’ve got a massive opportunity on their hands because while they're grinding, Lazio vs Napoli are going head-to-head in Rome—and those two are direct rivals for the exact same spots Udinese is chasing. If one of them slips up during that matchup, it opens the door wide open... everything is riding on this.
Look, even though Parma Calcio has been playing some solid away games lately—honestly, they’ve looked decent on the road recently—I just don't see them walking away with anything today. It’s looking grim... Udinese is coming in with this massive chip on their shoulder and a desperate hunger to win. They need this one more than anything if they want to climb back toward the top of the table and actually fix that shaky confidence they lost after those rough performances a few weeks back. They're hungry, and frankly, I think it's gonna be tough for Parma to hold them off...

🙂
vividbison47 vividbison47 Member
20 messages
joined Aug 2021
#213 ·
Play, nice job on those two winners today! 👍

Inter Milan came through for the X 👍
Ethan Jones5 Ethan Jones5 Active Member
132 messages
joined May 2022
#214 ·
Arsenal vs Man City 2 @2.7

Arsenal needs a win to secure their spot in the Champions League, while Man City is fighting to stay alive in the title race. Even though Arsenal could afford to play it safe since every single point counts for them, they might try to calculate their risks. Between taking the over or going with Duje, Duje was the pick here.

Even if City hasn't been looking particularly sharp on the road lately and Arsenal is looking solid at home, I think this is one of those special matchups where Man City will find it much easier to step up. Unlike Arsenal, they don't have any room to play games—they absolutely have to win, and the odds look great.
goldenmarlin5 goldenmarlin5 Newcomer
1 message
joined Oct 2010
#215 ·
goldenmarlin5 said:Sunderland vs Tottenham 2 @ 2.30 👎👎


Šibenik vs Dinamo Chicago 2 @ 1.60
👍👍👍

USC Palermo vs Juventus 2 @ 1.60 👍👍👍

Total US odds: 5.88

Good luck 🙂


Tough break for Tottenham
Carol Moore5 Carol Moore5 Newcomer
1 message
joined Sep 2014
#216 ·
Illichivets vs Tavriya Over 2.5 goals at 1.85
Week 25 of the Ukrainian Premier League.
Illichivets is sitting comfortably in 12th place—they’ve got 7 more points than Karpaty Lviv and Oleksandriya, who are both stuck fighting to stay out of the relegation zone... basically safe for now.
At home, Illichivets is rocking a 4-3-5 record, with a goal difference sitting at exactly 15-15 over 12 home matches. That averages out to about 2.5 goals per game.
Then you've got Tavriya, currently in 6th, desperately hunting for a spot in Europe next year. On the road, they’re holding a 6-2-4 record.
In their last 12 away games, they’ve pumped in 21 goals but let in 16—that's an average of 3.1 goals per match. Pretty wild, honestly.
Historically, whenever these two squads meet, the net just doesn't stop rippling... I mean, look at the last 7 matchups—there were 36 total goals scored! Check this out:
26.09.11, Tavria vs Illichivets 3-2
08.05.11, Illichivets vs Tavria 5-1
15.10.10, Tavria vs Illichivets 2-2
14.03.10, Tavria vs Illichivets 3-3
22.08.09, Illichivets vs Tavria 2-2
26.05.09, Tavria vs Illichivets 3-2
15.11.08, Illichivets vs Tavria 3-3
It looks like that tradition is still going strong today...
Carol Moore5 Carol Moore5 Newcomer
1 message
joined Sep 2014
#217 ·
Värnamo vs Varbergs 3+ @1.70
First round of the Swedish second division, the Superettan...
Both these squads were absolute scoring machines last season.
And get this—their pre-season friendlies were basically just goal fests.
Värnamo played 5 friendlies and pumped out 23 goals—that’s an insane average of 4.6 per match.
Then you've got Varbergs; they played 6 friendlies and saw 26 goals fly in—averaging about 4.3 per game.
They even faced off in a friendly recently where Värnamo pulled it out at home with a 4-3 thriller.
Expect a wild, wide-open game today with at least three goals hitting the net...
briskbison66 briskbison66 Member
19 messages
joined Mar 2012
#218 ·
I’m not sure if anyone else has caught this, but for the last few weeks, goal production in the American Second Division has dropped off significantly. Looking at the current numbers, we've seen only 6 goals across 8 matches by halftime, which is a massive shift from just a couple of months ago when we were seeing huge scoring bursts within single 45-minute windows.
It’s actually a decent situation because major sportsbooks like DraftKings still treat this league as a high-scoring territory, meaning the unders are sitting at some very attractive odds.

There is one match left today at 8 PM involving my "favorite" club, FC Emmen. To be clear, they haven't managed to find the back of the net in roughly 10 matches, and their losing streak is almost equally long. Given the circumstances, I’d recommend playing against them in their matchup against Telstar (even though Telstar is the away side). Here are a few ways to play it:

The conservative approach: Both teams to score and under 3.5—though I don't have the exact decimal odds memorized—or simply taking the under at odds around 2.2.

A slightly more aggressive move: Emmen fails to score at 2.9, or taking the away win for Telstar at 2.3.

The high-risk play: A handicap bet on Telstar, likely sitting somewhere around 4.0.

Here is the breakdown of Emmen's recent results over the past several weeks and months.
Away matches:

Friday 16/12/11 EED Telstar 2 - 1 Emmen View events More info
Friday 13/01/12 EED Oss 1 - 1 Emmen View events More info
Friday 27/01/12 EED Almere City 2 - 0 Emmen View events More info
Tuesday 07/02/12 CLF Meppen 1 - 0 Emmen More info
Monday 27/02/12 EED MVV 6 - 0 Emmen View events More info
Friday 02/03/12 EED Willem II 5 - 0 Emmen View events More info
Friday 16/03/12 EED Dordrecht 3 - 0 Emmen View more
Friday 06/04/12 EED Zwolle 1 - 0 Emmen

Their last goal scored away from home was on January 13th.

Home matches:
Friday 09/12/11 EED Emmen 1 - 2 Zwolle View events More info
Friday 20/01/12 EED Emmen 1 - 0 AGOVV View events More info
Monday 20/02/12 EED Emmen 1 - 2 den Bosch View events More info
Friday 24/02/12 EED Emmen 2 - 1 Cambuur View events More info
Monday 05/03/12 EED Emmen 0 - 2 Veendam View events More info
Friday 09/03/12 EED Emmen 0 - 1 Eindhoven View events More info
Friday 23/03/12 EED Emmen 0 - 4 fortuna Sittard View events More info
Friday 30/03/12 EED Emmen 0 - 1 Helmond Sport

Their last goal and victory came against Cambuur nearly two months ago.

I should point out a significant factor here: this abysmal run for Emmen has persisted almost entirely since that win over Cambuur. Someone on the forum already mentioned them previously, and ever since then, I have been consistently betting against them. It seems quite obvious that they are dealing with severe financial instability, a mass exodus of players, and similar systemic issues.
vividbison47 vividbison47 Member
20 messages
joined Aug 2021
#219 ·
Fulham vs Chelsea
Chelsea heads to Craven Cottage looking to prove they’ve actually turned a corner. They desperately need these three points to stay in the hunt for that fourth spot. Honestly, the pressure on them is intense right now—they’ve really dropped the ball this season. One minute they’re dreaming big about the title, and the next, everyone's just frustrated. But hey, if they keep stacking wins like this, they might just pull it off.
A win today puts them at 59 points, tying them up with Tottenham Hotspur and Newcastle United. And get this—Chelsea plays Tottenham next week!
For the lineup, Newcastle is missing Gryger, Johnson, Ruiz, and Sidwell, while Murphy and Pogrebnyak are both game-time decisions. Over at Chelsea, they'll be without Cole and John Terry.

Last 5 head-to-head matches:
12/26/11 Chelsea vs Fulham 1-1
09/21/11 Chelsea vs Fulham 4-3
02/14/11 Fulham vs Chelsea 0-0
11/10/10 Chelsea vs Fulham 1-0
12/28/09 Chelsea vs Fulham 2-1
Carol Moore5 Carol Moore5 Newcomer
1 message
joined Sep 2014
#220 ·
Roger Phillips said:Värnamo vs Varbergs Over 2.5 goals at 1.70
First round of the Swedish second division, the Superettan.
Both squads were absolutely clinical last season—just tearing it up.
And get this—their pre-season friendlies were total goal fests too.
Värnamo played 5 friendlies and pumped out 23 goals... that's an insane 4.6 average per game.
Varbergs had 6 friendlies under their belt and let in 26 goals across those 6 matches—roughly 4.3 per game.
They even faced off in a friendly recently where Värnamo pulled it out at home with a 4-3 scoreline.
Expect a wild, wide-open match today with at least three goals flying in... easy.

🙂 facts.

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