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Soccer Betting

Started by Joshua Garcia8 · · 👁 45 views · 1.4K replies

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Participants Joshua Garcia8wiredcanyon39vividwalker7Laura Morris4Carol Moore5Richard Young10Christian Morales40James Taylor3Timothy Flores3Ethan Jones5Ronald Hayes5Hannah Collins2Bryan Adams6Adam Williams2Linda Newman3Grace Smith3briskbison66Andrew Hall46Andrew Cruz86Jason Nguyen2Jason Patel34boldrangerThomas Patel69Scott Hayes6 …
vividwalker7 vividwalker7 Member
23 messages
joined Jul 2004
#321 ·
Bradley Kern6 said:FC Barcelona is chasing the win, but I honestly don't see them dropping three goals on us in a thirty-minute span just to let Chelsea FC take control, so I'm leaning toward seeing a goal in each half.

The real Problem here is this—if FC Barcelona ends up leading 1-0 late in the game, you can pretty much bank on Chelsea FC playing super defensive while the guys from the West Coast play it safe too.
But any other scoreline besides that specific 1-0 scenario basically guarantees some kind of wild, shootout-style chaos in those final twenty minutes, where either FC Barcelona is charging forward with only ten men leaving massive gaps for Chelsea FC to exploit on the counter, or Chelsea FC finds themselves down by two and has to throw everything they've got at the net.

To be totally honest, Chelsea FC's defense didn't really blow me away in the first half, and if you ask me, that zero on the scoreboard is way more about FC Barcelona losing focus and getting unlucky than it is about some legendary defensive masterclass.
That’s why I don't think it's a safe bet to assume Chelsea FC can just park the bus and coast through an under scenario without being forced to push up the field.
James Taylor3 James Taylor3 Newcomer
7 messages
joined Jul 2012
#322 ·
Alright, I'll weigh in on this match too:

Opponents have started to figure out FC Barcelona—they seem to be struggling more and more against top-tier sides.
By running a more defensive setup—using two box-to-box midfielders to disrupt the rhythm of those Barcelona playmakers and their endless passing sequences—you automatically squeeze their space for creativity and chance creation. Even Lionel Messi struggles under these conditions; he's constantly feeling pressure from defenders, making it nearly impossible to pick out a teammate with precision.

I know, some will argue that Barcelona outplayed Chelsea FC in New York City. That might look true on paper, but how many real chances did they actually create at Madison Square Garden? I'd say maybe four good ones... which isn't terrible, but it’s pathetic compared to the volume of chances they usually produce.

Chelsea last week (and Real Madrid even more so this coming weekend) effectively killed their already sluggish tempo—preventing the team from playing that signature style that supposedly makes them the best in the world.

The only thing that could derail Chelsea's tactics is an early goal. If they don't score within the first thirty minutes, the Barcelona side will start getting twitchy and prone to errors—plus, they're likely feeling the fatigue after two massive matches in seven days, whereas Chelsea rested their five most vital players during the matchup against Arsenal FC over the weekend.

Provided they don't concede early, I think Chelsea can easily walk away with a favorable result—maybe even a win, why not. 🤷

A 12.00 coefficient in the Champions League semifinals for a team in peak form that hasn't been beaten by this opponent? That's nothing short of an insult. ☕

vividwalker7 said:The difference is almost 250 square meters.☕

Whether that decides the game, I'm not sure, but defending at Madison Square Garden—one of the smaller pitches in the NFL—is a completely different beast than playing at Camp Nou.

Yes, the difference is 240 square meters, but your opponent isn't defending the entire pitch—they're defending their own half, which is roughly 120 square meters. Even then, that's only about 3% of the total surface area, so it's unlikely to be a deciding factor.

For perspective, Old Trafford is roughly the same size as Camp Nou, Highbury is just a tiny bit larger than Madison Square Garden, and Anfield is actually 4 meters shorter than Chelsea's home ground.

These aren't massive discrepancies; I highly doubt they'll be what settles this.
Nicholas Patel52 Nicholas Patel52 Active Member
113 messages
joined Jul 2010
#323 ·
dustycyclist19 said:I’m feeling really good about this one today: FC Barcelona vs. Chelsea FC—over 5.5 yellow cards @ 1.9

Aside from the massive stakes and the fact that this could easily end in a dead heat, what's your take on the ref?
Bradley Kern6 Bradley Kern6 Active Member
86 messages
joined Apr 2012
#324 ·
Nicholas Patel52 said:Aside from having a huge role to play and potentially seeing things end up in an even split, do you know what the real issue is? Is he quick to throw out yellow cards?

The ref is some Turk who isn't exactly known for being shy about handing out cards.🤷
dustycyclist19 dustycyclist19 Member
13 messages
joined Apr 2014
#325 ·
Nicholas Patel52 said:Besides the big stakes and the chance for an even finish, do you know if this ref is actually quick on the trigger when it comes to cards?

The ref isn't exactly a household name, but since the game's likely to get heated and pretty frustrating for one side depending on how it goes, I'm betting we see at least six yellows, maybe more.
Most teams playing FC Barcelona in high-stakes matches end up picking up a ton of yellows.🙂
vividwalker7 vividwalker7 Member
23 messages
joined Jul 2004
#326 ·
The Turk is calling the shots today. He’s already handed out four cards in his LP matches this season... he’s basically averaging about four yellows per game lately.
Given how much is on the line with today's officiating, I'm fully expecting a massive pile of yellow cards to start flying.
Eric Fox7 Eric Fox7 Regular
320 messages
joined Jul 2012
#327 ·
vividwalker7 said:There's a difference of nearly 2,700 square feet here☕

Whether that actually decides the outcome, I haven't a clue—but playing a defensive game at Madison Square Garden, which is one of the tightest pitches you'll find in the NFL, feels worlds apart from playing at Camp Nou.

Sure, but for FC Barcelona, the length of the pitch doesn't matter one bit for their passing game—it's all about the width, and Camp Nou is only about three feet wider. Honestly, this whole idea that the massive size of the Barcelona pitch changes everything is just a common myth.
Carol Moore5 Carol Moore5 Newcomer
1 message
joined Sep 2014
#328 ·
Livorno-Cittadella 3+ 1.85
So, Livorno is sitting at 16th in the USL Championship standings with 38 points—their record is 9 wins, 11 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal differential of 41:42.
Cittadella is currently holding 41 points, coming in with an 11-8-16 record and a goal differential of 42:52.
Both sides are desperate for points here... they both play this high-octane offensive style, but man, their defenses are absolute sieve-like messes right now.
Livorno has been involved in some wild games lately—out of their last 11 matches, 9 of them saw 3 or more goals scored. They're actually riding a 5-game streak of 3+ goal affairs.
Livorno-Padov 1:2
Gubbio-Livorno 1:2
Livorno-Modena 2:2
Reggina-Livorno 2:1
Livorno-Albinoleffe 4:1

Meanwhile, Cittadella has seen 3+ goals in 7 of their last 7 outings.
Their most recent 5 were:
Cittadella-Ascoli 1:3
Cittadella-Gubbio 2:1
Verona-Cittadella 3:2
CittadellamSampdor 1:2 Grosseto-Cittadella 2:2
Wait, let me recheck those last ones...

Back when these two met in the first half of the season, they ended up in a 2:2 deadlock.
Look, the USL Championship is a total nightmare to predict because anything can happen on any given night, but I'm leaning heavily toward seeing at least 3 goals in this one...
Kyle Fowler47 Kyle Fowler47 Newcomer
4 messages
joined Apr 2012
#329 ·
Chelsea FC isn't built for a matchup against Barcelona, who's clearly spiraling right now—both in terms of results and actual play. Even Guardiola swapped out Xavi during that last game against Real Madrid once he realized they weren't going to pull it off. Expect Chelsea to just park all eleven players in front of their own box today. Honestly, I wouldn't be shocked if they scrape by with a draw, maybe an X/X halftime/fulltime split. I’m pulling for Barca, but this feels like one of those dead-end games that ends without a winner...

X/X odds 7.5

UEFA Champions League 1/2 FinalChampions League 1/2 Final (UEFA)
18/04/12, 20:45 Chelsea FC - Barcelona 1 : 0 (1 : 0) (0 : 0)
06/05/09, 20:45 Chelsea FC - Barcelona 1 : 1 (1 : 0) (0 : 1)
28/04/09, 20:45 Barcelona - Chelsea FC 0 : 0 (0 : 0) (0 : 0)

UEFA Champions League Gr.AChampions League Gr.A (UEFA)
31/10/06, 20:45 Barcelona - Chelsea FC 2 : 2 (1 : 0) (1 : 2)
18/10/06, 20:45 Chelsea FC - Barcelona 1 : 0 (0 : 0) (1 : 0)

UEFA Champions League Round 2 Champions League Round 2 (UEFA)
07/03/06, 20:45 Barcelona - Chelsea FC 1 : 1 (0 : 0) (1 : 1)
22/02/06, 20:45 Chelsea FC - Barcelona 1 : 2 (0 : 0) (1 : 2)
08/03/05, 20:45 Chelsea FC - Barcelona 4 : 2 (3 : 2) (1 : 0)
23/02/05, 20:45 Barcelona - Chelsea FC 2 : 1 (0 : 1) (2 : 0)

18/04/12, 20:45 Chelsea FC - Barcelona FT 1 : 0 (1 : 0) (0 : 0)
06/05/09, 20:45 Chelsea FC - Barcelona FT 1 : 1 (1 : 0) (0 : 1)
28/04/09, 20:45 Barcelona - Chelsea FC FT 0 : 0 (0 : 0) (0 : 0)
31/10/06, 20:45 Barcelona - Chelsea FC FT 2 : 2 (1 : 0) (1 : 2)
18/10/06, 20:45 Chelsea FC - Barcelona FT 1 : 0 (0 : 0) (1 : 0)
07/03/06, 20:45 Barcelona - Chelsea FC FT 1 : 1 (0 : 0) (1 : 1)
22/02/06, 20:45 Chelsea FC - Barcelona FT 1 : 2 (0 : 0) (1 : 2)
08/03/05, 20:45 Chelsea FC - Barcelona FT 4 : 2 (3 : 2) (1 : 0)
23/02/05, 20:45 Barcelona - Chelsea FC FT 2 : 1 (0 : 1) (2 : 0)
Carol Moore5 Carol Moore5 Newcomer
1 message
joined Sep 2014
#330 ·
Roger Phillips said:Livorno-Cittadella over 3 total at 1.85 odds

🙂
dustycyclist19 dustycyclist19 Member
13 messages
joined Apr 2014
#331 ·
When looking at the yellow card count, does a red actually factor into the total or what?
Eric Fox7 Eric Fox7 Regular
320 messages
joined Jul 2012
#332 ·
So, just out of curiosity—is a red card actually the same thing as a yellow one? 🤷
dustycyclist19 dustycyclist19 Member
13 messages
joined Apr 2014
#333 ·
Eric Fox7 said:So, is a red card basically just a yellow one? 🤷

must be some colorblindness at work here🙂
Ethan Jones5 Ethan Jones5 Active Member
132 messages
joined May 2022
#334 ·
Real Madrid-Bayern Munich over 2.5 goals @2 SS

Honestly, this bet has to land tonight. Bayern isn't showing up just to park the bus; they're coming to score. And Real Madrid at home? You don't even need to go there. Since the first leg ended 2-1, whoever scores first is going to force the other side to throw everything forward just to catch up. We’d only have to worry about tactical math if it stays at 2-1, but with how these two play, this bet is a lock.

edit: PSK 2,3😲
Nicholas Patel52 Nicholas Patel52 Active Member
113 messages
joined Jul 2010
#335 ·
Yeah 😲

Running in the sand 😁
Ethan Jones5 Ethan Jones5 Active Member
132 messages
joined May 2022
#336 ·
Nicholas Patel52 said:Yeah, 😲

The odds are tanking 😁

I placed my bet at 1:00 PM and they’ve already dropped it down to 2.05🤦
Nicholas Patel52 Nicholas Patel52 Active Member
113 messages
joined Jul 2010
#337 ·
Ethan Jones5 said:I put my money down at 1:00 PM and they had already dropped the odds to 2.05🤦

Look, I didn't get my bet in until about 5:30 PM and the odds were still sitting at 2.30. At the end of the day—regardless of how much the lines move—the profit is there. Now I'm just pulling for Real Madrid since they're on a completely different parlay, but hey, a win is a win.😁

🙂
Ethan Jones5 Ethan Jones5 Active Member
132 messages
joined May 2022
#338 ·
Nicholas Patel52 said:I put my money in around 5:30 PM and it was still sitting at 2.30. Bottom line is, I hit the win. Now I'm just rooting for Real Madrid since they're on a completely different ticket, but a profit is a profit. 😁

🙂

Sure, there's a profit, but I don't get this constant fluctuation in the odds. Maybe it's just because the game is running on a DraftKings terminal instead of something else.🤷
Maria King4 Maria King4 Newcomer
1 message
joined Mar 2018
#339 ·
What are your thoughts?

Lakers-Celtics 2 2.50
- Monaco is absolutely flying right now—they're tearing through everyone in their path and fighting hard for that 3rd place spot...
Lakers-Celtics x 3.00
- Looking at both teams' recent form and their head-to-head history... plus, their current standings suggest neither side is desperate for points right now.
Lakers-Celtics 2 1.80
- Cleveland was dominant last game, winning 8-0—and they've been on quite a run lately with all wins and two draws... really convincing performances, too.
Dana Flores3 Dana Flores3 Newcomer
5 messages
joined Oct 2010
#340 ·
Steven Ward62 said:What do you guys think?

It’s not quite right to say Monaco is steamrolling everyone. They’ve just won their last four games by one or two goals, and those were all against bottom-tier teams...
It doesn't feel like they're dominating the league. Plus, they're facing a top-tier side today while playing away from home. 🤷

As for the other match, Cleveland has 16 points over second place, and since they built that lead, they've been winning consistently at home (the fans probably still have plenty of motivation) but they've drawn two of their last three away games. I wouldn't be surprised if today ends in a draw too, especially since the other team used to be a title contender alongside Cleveland... there's definitely extra motivation here.

And that third matchup... betting on a straight draw? Hmm, I really don't know what to tell you. I rarely touch those.

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