Soccer Betting

shadowgardener10 said:Why aren't there any detailed breakdowns for Genoa-Palermo or Catania-Udinese?

I was actually thinking about putting some action on both teams to score in the Genoa-Palermo game—but nope, it’s just not on the board.

Terry Cook48 said:Because they're looking at an X at 2.20 odds... it's always like that. You don't get a breakdown when the draw is sitting at those odds.🙂

Well, you can find those breakdowns over at Stanleybet.

I wonder if any sportsbook actually offers a prop bet on whether Ronaldo scores today?

On this miserable Monday of a football day, this one feels right—the odds are actually decent enough to look at...

Pittsburgh Steelers - Over 2.5 goals in a US soccer match

feralotter2 said:On a depressing Monday with nothing much happening in sports, this one feels somewhat promising... I guess the odds are decent enough.

Pittsburgh Steelers - Stevenage Over 2.5 goals in a game

I suppose in their head-to-head matchups, only one single game actually went over 2.5?

Harold Carter72 said:Wait, so in those head-to-head matchups, only one actually cleared that 2.5 mark?

Nope.

Harold Carter72 said:So, when they face off head-to-head, only one team actually cleared the 2.5 line?

http://www.espn.com/soccer/match/_/id/CI0PFgH2/over-under 🤷

Absences

CONCACAF Champions Cup
LA Galaxy v Seattle Sounders
LA Galaxy: Kennedy
Seattle Sounders: Bozanic, Bojic, Hearfield

Guadalajara vs Celta Vigo 2 1.75
Honestly, Celta is easily the best visiting squad in the league right now... they just travel better than anyone else.
They’re fighting tooth and nail for that promotion to the Premier League—and man, it’s gonna be a total toss-up until the final whistle because there are so many teams neck-and-neck for those direct spots.
Now, Guadalajara? They are absolute trash when they go up against the big boys. Playing at home against the top nine teams in the Championship, their record is a pathetic 1-0-9.
The only bright spot was that one 3-1 win over Cordoba.
Lately, they've managed some home wins, but let's be real—it was only against Gimnastic, which is basically the bottom-feeder of this league.
Celta has a massive advantage here. They’re the superior side, they actually want the win, and I seriously doubt a home team in this kind of slump can even stand in their way...
If you want to give the home side any credit, it's only because Villarreal got relegated from the Premier League, which means Villarreal B is getting dropped from the Championship automatically.
That puts three more teams in the relegation zone, and Guadalajara is sitting six points ahead of Alcoyano, who’s currently sliding toward the exit.
Injury wise, the home side is missing Arriaga and Gaga, while Celta is down without Jonathan Vila and De Lucas.

Fortuna Dusseldorf-Hertha BSC Berlin 3+ 1.80
Hertha isn't going into Dusseldorf to play chess or anything—they don't have the luxury of playing tactical games. From the opening whistle, they have to go all-out attack if they want to get the result they need to stay in the Bundesliga.
Last time these two met in Berlin, Fortuna walked away with a 2-1 win.
Tonight is basically the "make or break" game—it's deciding who stays UP and who goes DOWN.
Hertha has to push forward, and Fortuna is just going to sit back, wait for their moment, and then punish them—exactly how they clinicalized it back in Berlin.
Fortuna is an absolute beast on their own turf. They play so much better at home, and I honestly don't see this ending without goals... it's just too predictable.
Looking at the stats, Fortuna is sitting at 11-5-1 with a goal difference of 35:17 through 17 matches.
Their recent matchups have been scoring machines:
10.05.12, Hertha Berlin - Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 : 2
23.01.11, Hertha Berlin - Fortuna Dusseldorf 4 : 2
30.08.10, Fortuna Dusseldorf - Hertha Berlin 1 : 2
Both sides are looking pretty healthy—nothing major missing from either roster.

Injuries and Suspensions

DC United vs. Colorado Rapids
DC United: Rozeboom, Dudar
Colorado Rapids: Wallace, Mastroeni, LaBauex, Wynne, Omar

Trelleborgs FF vs. IK Brage (Swedish Second Division)
Trelleborgs FF: -
IK Brage: Sandberg, Meden, Bjork, Mendes

Alcoyano vs. Real Murcia
Alcoyano: Martin
Real Murcia: Amaya, Cristian, Molinero, Sutil

I am absolutely losing my mind over how DraftKings handled the Celtic vs. Vigo match. They actually voided my bet because of that stoppage in the 82nd minute, even though Celtic were already sitting on a comfortable 3-0 lead.🙂🙂

Roger Phillips said:Guadalajara vs Celta Vigo – 2 (1.75)

Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Hertha BSC – Over 3 goals (1.80)

Molde FK vs Fredrikstad – 1 (1.95)
Molde are absolutely killing it at home right now—they’re sitting on a 4-0-0 run and honestly, they look even sharper when they're playing away from their fans...
They just cruised through last Saturday, absolutely demolishing Stabæk with a massive 5-0 win.
The biggest thing for Molde here is that their defense is finally looking solid, which means they aren't going to be leaking easy goals like they used to... back then, they practically invited teams to score on them every single game.
On the flip side, the visitors are showing up at the worst possible time—the home team is riding a wave of pure confidence and hunger, while the guests are basically a skeleton crew right now.
Kevin Duré, Jorgen Horn, Thomas Holm, Hans Erik Ramberg, Simen Rafn, and Alex Valencia are all sidelined with injuries.
Plus, Khalifa Jabbie is out on suspension.
Fredrikstad hasn't seen a win in 6 matches... their only bright spot was a shaky home win against a weak Stabæk side.
They don't exactly roll over easily when they're on the road, but with this kind of slump and so many key players missing? They've got basically zero chance against Molde.
I'm expecting another masterclass from Solskjaer's squad—an easy win by at least two goals.

Odd Grenland vs Sandnes – 1 (1.65)
Psychologically, Odd is in a much better headspace right now. Their confidence is through the roof since they haven't lost in 6 straight games.
Odd plays on turf, whereas Sandnes prefers natural grass, and let's be real—Sandnes is pretty mediocre on the road compared to how they play at their own stadium.
They even managed to get knocked out of the cup by a third-division underdog... so yeah, things are looking grim for them in Skien.
They're missing Bjornar Holmvik and Andreas Westlye due to injury, and Anel Raskaj is serving a suspension.
The home side is feeling way more positive after some great recent results, and they'll be hungry to grab another home win against an opponent that's clearly struggling.
Everything looks good for the hosts—all their key players are back and ready to go.

analogstag16 said:DraftKings really pushed my buttons by voiding my Celtica Vigo bet just because they blew a 3-0 lead in the 82nd minute...🙂 🙂

well if that's how they play things, I guess it shouldn't be a surprise they're pulling these kinds of stunts on payouts...
what's the word on other sportsbooks regarding stuff like this?

Jesse Brown12 said:If they’re playing by those kinds of rules, it shouldn't be a surprise that they've pocketed a few bucks
how does that sit with other US sportsbooks regarding their handling of cash?

DraftKings admitted it...

And if we're supposed to trust the data coming out of FanDuel or the state lottery, then sure—it's official..

🤷

Absences

Portland Timbers v Seattle Sounders
Portland: Osterc, Struna
Seattle: Brajic, Dolzan, Sever, Smolej

FC Cincinnati v Columbus Crew (MLS Play-off)
Cincinnati: van Dijk, Sno, Ramos, Janssen, Bandjar
Columbus: Annan

LA Galaxy v LAFC
Galaxy: Alan, Pasanen
LAFC: Dibon, Palla, Schachner, Sulimani, Schwab

Got two interesting pairs for tonight, those late-night 😁

University of Oregon - Stanford
over (2.5) at 1.55 on FanDuel

It's the final round before the playoffs kick in. The home side basically threw away any chance of making the postseason, whereas Stanford is just stuck in no man's land in the middle of the standings. Honestly, result-wise, this game doesn't mean much... But looking at the stats, University of Oregon has won 5 of their last 8 home games with the spread and 3 went over the margin... Meanwhile, Stanford has a 6/8 record for the spread away and 5/8 when it comes to the over on goals... The odds on FanDuel are identical for both, so I'll probably just play the over, even though both should hit... I'm hoping for the spread and 3+ goals since FanDuel pays out 1.8 for that combo... Anyway, Stanford isn't exactly lighting it up on the road, so I see a chance for the home team to grab at least one, and considering this is college ball, I'm expecting some 👋wide-open, chaotic play😁 typical of this league... Weather looks clear and perfect for these picks
.
University of Washington - Houston
over (2.5) at 1.5 on FanDuel

Not much needs to be said about the home team; they're one of the heavy hitters in the conference and sitting atop the league table... Theoretically, they just need a single point to hold onto that #1 spot heading into the playoffs... They'll likely rotate the squad (I haven't checked, but let's be real, they will) because they've got that big continental tournament rematch coming up on May 24th against Libertadores—they've already got a 1:1 draw from the away leg... Washington has a 6/8 home record for overs, and Houston is 6/9 away, having failed to score in only one of those trips... I think they can find the net today... They need the win to squeeze into the playoffs, and even though they're facing a team that is 😁, I don't think they'll roll over. Expect them to give it everything in an open match where it feels like 3+ goals is inevitable regardless of how it plays out... Just like the first game, weather is perfect for this type of bet👋
The odds aren't anything special ☕, I guess, but maybe worth pairing with something else... And one more thing: since nothing I've posted here lately seems to actually hit, I should probably add a major warning for anyone thinking about dropping serious cash on these 3+ goal bets🤣

driftingcrane27 said:got two interesting late-night matchups on my radar today, those typical 😁

University of Oregon - Stanford
over (2.5) more than 1.55 SS

University of Washington - Auburn
(2.5) more than 1.5 SS

University of Oregon - Stanford ended 1:1 FT

A bit of a mixed bag. I actually hit the over on this one, so 🙄

University of Washington - Auburn finished 4:0 FT

hit 🙂 but man, I have no idea how Auburn didn't find the net. They had two absolute screamers rattling the goalpost during the first half alone🙂

Al Shorta vs. Home United
The visitors flew 5,000 miles all the way from Singapore this Sunday, and they’re showing up with a skeleton crew—only 16 players available after three starters got suspended.

Tip 1

Portland Timbers vs. Austin FC - Over 2.5 goals at 1.65
The Timbers have played 11 games so far—they’re sitting at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses—and man, they’ve been a total sieve, scoring 16 but letting in 24... absolutely wild.
Seven of those matches were absolute shootouts, averaging about 3.6 goals per game... just non-stop action.
Austin FC is actually pretty similar when you look at the numbers—they’ve put up 20 goals but conceded 17.
That’s an average of 3.4 goals per match.
And get this—8 of their games ended with 3 or more goals... pure chaos.
Austin has this killer attacking duo right now:
Viktor Prodell with 6 goals and Magnus Eriksson with 4.
I’m calling it—this one is going to be a high-scoring affair.

Also, I'm gonna try these:

LA Galaxy vs. Seattle Sounders - Both Teams to Score at 1.90
The Galaxy are dealing with a massive headache because defenders Ragnar Sigurdsson, Sölvi Ottesen, and Peter Larsson are all out.
That is a huge hole to fill for a squad that's already struggling to find its footing.
They're looking at replacements like Kris Stadsgaard and Mathias Zanka Jorgensen, but those guys have barely seen any minutes together this season—only two games!
Seattle's defense is paper-thin right now, so that’s where the home side needs to strike.
But then again, with the Galaxy missing such vital defensive pieces, Seattle is definitely going to get plenty of openings to find the back of the net.
The Galaxy are in rough shape lately—we're hitting the end of the season and they haven't managed a single win in their last four outings... it's grim.
Between those defensive absences and the fact that they absolutely *have* to win this one, I think Seattle can capitalize on the mess and grab a goal.