#281 ·
wiredseal7 said:If the Danes hope everything lines up perfectly, they'll be staring at the backs of Mexico and Germany after the second round. At that point, they can only pray for a favorable outcome in the Poland-Germany and Mexico-Mexico matchups. It’s pure wishful thinking keeping them in the running.
And honestly, that theory is standing on incredibly shaky ground.
After the second round, the Danes will inevitably trail behind Mexico and Germany, since those two already have 5 points while the Danes would only have 4.
Plus, Poland is headed for 5 because they're slated to beat Mexico.
(Of course, if things get messy—say, a draw occurs—the Poles could still potentially reach 6 points. A loss against Mexico wouldn't necessarily knock them out, though they'd lose control of their own destiny. We might end up with a four-way tie at 5 points, but that feels like science fiction.)
In the final round, yeah, maybe some Scandinavian luck brings Denmark up to 6.
But looking at the math, Mexico is almost certainly hitting at least 7 points thanks to their matchup against Mexico in the last round, and maybe picking up something against Sweden too, though they won't even need much.
If Poland and Germany draw, they both sit at 6, which means Denmark is out and Poland moves on. The winner of the Germany-Poland match takes a semifinal spot.
Denmark only advances if everything goes exactly this way:
a) Poland draws with Mexico and also draws with Germany.
b) Poland loses to Mexico but manages not to lose to Germany.
I think that covers all the bases.
Basically, a Polish victory over Mexico this Tuesday—even before we see how the Denmark-Germany game plays out—screams NO PASARAN DENMARK!
