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Home › Society › Politics › War in Ukraine › Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5

Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5

Started by Charles Ross3 · · 👁 389 views · 9.2K replies

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Participants Charles Ross3rowdytiger13electrichawk94nimblemoose2Noah Ward2George Robinson43Larry Wilson25Larry Walker24Amanda Allen4Noah Sanchez2Paul Thomas46Jessica Peterson2Nancy Gomez26Nathan Evans78William Anderson5electricsurfer47gentlestag15wiredseal7Thomas Nelson25Donna Harris11Nicholas WatsonJack Kelly5Carol Johnson21Kate Cook27 …
Zachary Booth36 Zachary Booth36 Member
27 messages
joined Jun 2022
#2101 ·
silentnomad7 said:The whole narrative being pushed by Putin supporters—this idea that the Germans are headed for total collapse just because they can't get cheap gas from a bully—is nothing but smoke and mirrors. Over the last couple of decades, Germany has been raking in massive trade surpluses every single year, likely totaling several trillion dollars in reserves. They have enough cushion to weather a decade or two of crisis if they really need to...

Germany enjoyed a perfect run for years. They grew accustomed to constant prosperity.
Now, they face mediocre years while they attempt to stabilize their energy supply chains.
Naturally, for some, "mediocre" sounds catastrophic because they are used to peak performance and explosive export growth.

Russia is currently attempting to use media proxies to intimidate European nations into believing life without Russian oil and gas is impossible. Orban has tried to push this exact narrative.

This serves as a lesson for the future—specifically regarding China. All heavy industry was moved there in pursuit of higher profit margins. There will come a moment when China decides to leverage that reality.
Donna Wells2 Donna Wells2 Active Member
75 messages
joined Jun 2022
#2102 ·
rowdytiger13 said:I’m not denying it.
No one is disputing the drop in living standards or the potential recession.
A country like Norway, which exports energy, won't feel the hit, but Germany—which tied itself so tightly to Russian energy—is definitely going to feel it. They actually admit it was a mistake. They’re looking for massive ways to cut back, but Germans are a disciplined people who tend to step up when they realize they messed up. They've dealt with much worse than this.
Other countries won't be hit nearly as hard because they didn't make such a massive blunder.
Besides, Russian energy issues are only part of the story; the fallout from the pandemic plays a role too.

Edit: Vladimir Putin started an invasion war in Europe. There isn't enough energy in the world to stop it if he truly screwed up just like he has with almost everything else regarding this invasion.
Europe will survive—it has seen much worse—but Vladimir Putin has effectively isolated his Russia from the Western world.

I was reading an article about how Germans are buying wood-burning stoves in massive quantities, with waiting lists for a new stove stretching up to a year.
People aren't going to freeze to death; they'll make it through this winter by using coal, thermal power plants, and whatever else is available.
There's this constant mantra being pushed that Russians can survive anything because that's how they're built... but what, are the rest of the nations in Europe just supposed to surrender and die because of it?
And since Russia has been cast out of the Western circle... I truly hope those who support them find themselves right where they belong.
Dana Robinson4 Dana Robinson4 Active Member
181 messages
joined Jul 2010
#2103 ·
Donna Wells2 said:I was reading an article about how Germans are buying wood-burning stoves in massive quantities, with waiting lists for a new stove stretching up to a year.
People aren't going to freeze to death; they'll make it through this winter by using coal, thermal power plants, and whatever else is available.
There's this constant mantra being pushed that Russians can survive anything because that's how they're built... but what, are the rest of the nations in Europe just supposed to surrender and die because of it?
And since Russia has been cast out of the Western circle... I truly hope those who support them find themselves right where they belong.

I actually came across a report stating that countries like Mexico and Canada have banned the export of timber and pellets because Westerners were snapping them up like crazy.
darkdriver darkdriver Active Member
153 messages
joined Jun 2022
#2104 ·
Larry Walker24 said:Is it just me, or did Putin get a little thicker lately?

If you listen to the mainstream US media—and I mean all of them, since they basically just copy each other's homework—they're claiming he's battling multiple types of cancer. And, well, it's pretty common knowledge that people dealing with cancer often gain weight while they're fighting it.
Though, honestly, lately it feels like they don't even mention cancer and Vladimir Vladimirovič in the same breath anymore.
briskbear51 briskbear51 Member
10 messages
joined Feb 2011
#2105 ·
Chemours said:A new narrative
After those initial days where everyone was basically obsessing over the massive crash of the Ruble—thinking maybe things would just stall out or hit a dead end by autumn or winter—they started pivoting to a different story once those fantasies didn't quite pan out. Now, it’s all about this long-term view, suggesting that sanctions will eventually show their full impact over time.

From the very beginning, some were already arguing that sanctions wouldn't achieve much in the short term.
rowdytiger13 rowdytiger13 Regular
378 messages
joined Oct 2018
#2106 ·
Brolin said:Glad you decided to delete that post. It’s nice to see some growth; at least you’re starting to read things with actual comprehension now. You can send me a thank-you note later—feel free to include an invoice. ☕

Denial is real. Not everyone, sure, but there are plenty of people out there living in a complete fog.

I honestly hope you're right, but if the German economy collapses, there's no way it won't drag the rest of the European Union down with it. We'll just have to wait and see how much damage occurs. At the very least, we might see some of our overseas workers heading back home. 🙂

P.S Maybe we should just hand the keys of the EU over to the Norwegians. They actually seem to know how to take care of their own, unlike, say, Germany. 🤷

Well, Norway isn't in the EU and doesn't want to be.
Regarding this whole situation, Norway didn't really need to stress too much as a gas exporter. They actually stepped up by allowing ExxonMobil to ramp up exports. For context, they're the second-largest supplier in Europe, right behind ExxonMobil.
But I agree, the Germans really screwed themselves... mostly because of pure greed.
Melissa Rivera5 Melissa Rivera5 Regular
432 messages
joined Jun 2024
#2107 ·
If those sanctions weren't actually starting to bite—and if things didn't already look like they were headed toward an even bigger mess—maybe the Russians wouldn't be acting out so much and begging to have them lifted. I mean, maybe they wouldn't be making all those threats about Kaliningrad, either. They probably wouldn't be threatening massive famines if the sanctions stayed put, either. And honestly, companies like Ford wouldn't have started cranking out cars again that feel like they're straight out of the 1950s, you know, lacking basic stuff like ABS and all that. We wouldn't even have to deal with keeping the currency artificially high by banning ruble sales. And I guess the random forum trolls supporting those Kremlin extremists wouldn't be whining so much about why they aren't making 🙂
.
Kate Cook27 Kate Cook27 Regular
557 messages
joined Jun 2022
#2108 ·
Sanctions are definitely hitting Russia where it hurts, and there’s already talk about a peace deal—but it feels like the West isn't interested in letting Ukrainians find peace just yet. From where I'm sitting, it looks more like the West wants to keep this fight going until there's nothing left to fight with. It's funny how things shift overnight; suddenly the term "war in Ukraine" is being used by people like Lavrov instead of the old "special military operation" label.
Nancy Gomez26 Nancy Gomez26 Regular
787 messages
joined Jan 2018
#2109 ·
Kate Cook27 said:Sanctions are definitely hitting Russia where it hurts, and there’s already talk about a peace deal—but it feels like the West isn't interested in letting Ukrainians find peace just yet. From where I'm sitting, it looks more like the West wants to keep this fight going until there's nothing left to fight with. It's funny how things shift overnight; suddenly the term "war in Ukraine" is being used by people like Lavrov instead of the old "special military operation" label.

If Lavrov is calling it a war, perhaps he finds the prospect of prison more appealing than continuing his current line of work for his boss.
rowdytiger13 rowdytiger13 Regular
378 messages
joined Oct 2018
#2110 ·
Speaking of Lavrov, he seemed pretty offended when "the West" (love that little nickname of theirs) called them aggressors and occupiers during the G20.
What's the term they use back in Russia for one sovereign nation invading another?
Melissa Rivera5 Melissa Rivera5 Regular
432 messages
joined Jun 2024
#2111 ·
Kate Cook27 said:Sanctions are definitely hitting Russia where it hurts, and there’s already talk about a peace deal—but it feels like the West isn't interested in letting Ukrainians find peace just yet. From where I'm sitting, it looks more like the West wants to keep this fight going until there's nothing left to fight with. It's funny how things shift overnight; suddenly the term "war in Ukraine" is being used by people like Lavrov instead of the old "special military operation" label.

That’s the truth. This whole operation is going so "well" that people are starting to call it a full-blown war. They're out there offering deals in places like lower New York and recruiting folks straight from prisons. And like you noticed, now there's all this crying about how the wicked West won't let a peace deal happen with Ukraine (which apparently exists all of a sudden). We probably shouldn't talk about dishonest Lavrov meeting up with the G20 just because he hates being labeled the aggressor. I guess that shows just how ready Russia is for war.
Nancy Gomez26 Nancy Gomez26 Regular
787 messages
joined Jan 2018
#2112 ·
Melissa Rivera5 said:If those sanctions weren't actually starting to bite—and if things didn't already look like they were headed toward an even bigger mess—maybe the Russians wouldn't be acting out so much and begging to have them lifted. I mean, maybe they wouldn't be making all those threats about Kaliningrad, either. They probably wouldn't be threatening massive famines if the sanctions stayed put, either. And honestly, companies like Ford wouldn't have started cranking out cars again that feel like they're straight out of the 1950s, you know, lacking basic stuff like ABS and all that. We wouldn't even have to deal with keeping the currency artificially high by banning ruble sales. And I guess the random forum trolls supporting those Kremlin extremists wouldn't be whining so much about why they aren't making 🙂
.

You’ve completely misread the situation and drawn all the wrong conclusions. This "special operation" is proceeding exactly as intended. All those supposed threats coming out of the Kremlin are nothing more than a smokescreen—a thin layer of paint designed to make us believe they are actually suffering and that these sanctions are having any real impact at all.
gentlerider7 gentlerider7 Regular
291 messages
joined Jan 2021
#2113 ·
rowdytiger13 said:Speaking of Lavrov, he seemed pretty offended when "the West" (love that little nickname of theirs) called them aggressors and occupiers during the G20.
What's the term they use back in Russia for one sovereign nation invading another?

According to Lavrov, Russia didn't invade Ukraine.
Kate Cook27 Kate Cook27 Regular
557 messages
joined Jun 2022
#2114 ·
Since everyone in Europe is apparently going to freeze this winter, Russia is being super generous and suggesting we lift the sanctions—all because they're just so worried about how much people over there are struggling.
Melissa Rivera5 Melissa Rivera5 Regular
432 messages
joined Jun 2024
#2115 ·
So, I'm already busy sanding down the hardwood floors and just got the wood stove installed.
brightheron64 brightheron64 Regular
408 messages
joined Apr 2016
#2116 ·
Nancy Gomez26 said:Of course fuel costs have risen—that's visible to anyone with eyes. But once you take a moment to look at what the refinery price actually is versus how much the government slaps on top of it, the reality hits home. You quickly realize how much of this is a genuine production spike and how much is just the state aggressively padding its pockets through these increases. The federal budget is the primary beneficiary here, pulling in far more from these hikes than the refiners ever see. And they show no intention of curbing their appetite.

“Ask not what your country can do for you – ask what you can do for your country!”
Nancy Gomez26 Nancy Gomez26 Regular
787 messages
joined Jan 2018
#2117 ·
Chemours said:A new mantra
In the early days of the sanctions, the rhetoric was pure fantasy centered on a total collapse of the Ruble. People were predicting an absolute economic meltdown, essentially expecting the regime to starve by autumn. When those delusions failed to materialize, the narrative shifted. Now, we are being fed this long-term theory—that sanctions will eventually reach their full potential in the distant future. It is just a pivot to cover for previous failures.

There is nothing groundbreaking here. The Ruble hasn't vanished; the authorities are simply pretending otherwise. We can talk about real impact when an average citizen can actually exchange currency at any major US bank without friction, or when markets trade freely without a mountain of restrictions standing in the way. Until then, it is all theater.
goldenowl73 goldenowl73 Active Member
206 messages
joined Dec 2005
#2118 ·
Honestly, if you want the perfect comeback to Putin, we’re just getting warmed up.

Oryx has officially verified that over 850 Russian tanks have been wiped out since the invasion of Ukraine kicked off back on February 24.

#UkraineWar: Russia is now visually confirmed to have lost more Than 850 tanks since IT Began its invasion of Ukraine on February 24.

Check out the full breakdown here: https://t.co/QR37xcY8mq https://t.co/ELfPE4np51
Melissa Rivera5 Melissa Rivera5 Regular
432 messages
joined Jun 2024
#2119 ·
goldenowl73 said:Honestly, if you want the perfect comeback to Putin, we’re just getting warmed up.

Oryx has officially verified that over 850 Russian tanks have been wiped out since the invasion of Ukraine kicked off back on February 24.

#UkraineWar: Russia is now visually confirmed to have lost more Than 850 tanks since IT Began its invasion of Ukraine on February 24.

Check out the full breakdown here: https://t.co/QR37xcY8mq https://t.co/ELfPE4np51

I mean, those are pretty massive losses for something people claim isn't even a full-blown war yet. You'd almost think these are some of the worst equipment losses outside of an actual wartime era... and if you factor in that claim that nothing has even really kicked off yet, I guess you have to wonder how much bigger the losses will actually get? Is the neo-USSR going to lose its entire military in Ukraine? Does that mean some rogue outfit from a place like Chicago could just walk right into Moscow?
gentlerider7 gentlerider7 Regular
291 messages
joined Jan 2021
#2120 ·
Self-sufficient Russians are struggling to secure the border with Finland

"Right now, there’s just no way we can sharply hike up military budget lines for deploying new troop groups along the Finnish border—especially given the ongoing special military operation and all this crushing pressure from sanctions. Let me be crystal clear about this: it's just not happening. We have to stick to a position of pure military realism here.

In light of that, we should note that the latest NATO expansion reflects the current military-political climate in the northwest region, where the threat of war and the chance to prevent it are basically balanced out. To put it bluntly, the risk of an actual conflict is minimal. Which means, quite simply, there is absolutely no need to start beefing up defensive fortifications along the Finnish border right this second."

https://www-gazeta-ru.translate.goog..._x_tr_pto=wapp

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