William Anderson5 said:I wonder what would actually happen if the market was suddenly flooded with ten times the amount of PlayStations currently in existence—all appearing out of nowhere, with nobody knowing where they came from, except for the people actually selling them...
I'm leaning towards thinking their value would drop, but what’s your take on it?...
A banknote is just another commodity, much like a PlayStation, and it’s subject to market forces that simply can't be controlled the way you seem to think they can...
The government essentially holds the right to manufacture and distribute capital by subsidizing whatever specific direction they want the economy to take. For instance, if the US decides to pivot heavily toward electric vehicles, they might just dump $3 billion into subsidies for the companies manufacturing them...
So, where exactly are you going to source the technology and machinery required to actually manufacture cars? That’s the real issue here. Even the massive global powerhouses, like China and Russia, are forced to hit the open market to buy Western tech. Russia isn't pulling oil out of the ground using its own proprietary tech, nor are Chinese factories churning out machines designed solely by Chinese intelligence. Without outside assistance, Russia wouldn't even be able to handle basic gas reserve research, and foreign corporations are constantly bringing their own specialized technology directly into China...
Go ahead, enlighten me then—how exactly do you plan on using that printed-up currency to build factories and churn out electric vehicles that actually stand a chance in the market, especially when almost everything you need has to be imported from overseas? Or are you going to waste everyone's time and money trying to reinvent the wheel from scratch, only to likely end up producing nothing but overpriced junk that wouldn't sell even here in the States? In other words, it’s pretty obvious your plan would fall apart before you even get started, and given how much money was just printed to fund it, the fallout would be catastrophic...
The state should exist above the individual, acting as a safeguard to ensure that those who actually work and earn a living aren't just being bled dry by banks focused on nothing but their own greed. Instead of looking out for everyone, the state needs to act more like a neutral moderator between its citizens and corporations...
Look, banks operate and they turn a profit. If you honestly think running a bank is some kind of impossible feat, nobody is stopping you from stepping up and doing it yourself. Go ahead—issue someone a mortgage with a 25-year term and start collecting interest. Besides, who else is going to lend money if banks didn't exist? Don't just sit there and tell me the government would step in. We both know the government would just hand out those loans based on political connections, family ties, or whatever other favoritism is currently in vogue. It’s much better to have a private bank professionally assessing risk and issuing credit than to leave it to the state, which would inevitably just burn through capital and create massive losses...
So, what happens if there are just 1% or 10% more PlayStations on the market?
Look, where are you going to buy the tech and machinery needed to build cars? That's the catch. Even the massive global players, like Russia and China, have to hit the market to buy Western technology. Russia isn't pumping oil using its own homegrown tech, nor are Chinese factories churning out machines designed solely by Chinese intelligence. Without outside help, Russia couldn't even handle gas reserve research, and foreign companies bring their own proprietary tech straight into China.
But where are they buying it now? For instance, if the government dumped massive amounts of cash into the exact scenario I'm describing, what would the big shots do? They'd move it from one bank to another to another, and suddenly, the technology is delivered...
How does a bank even verify the source of funds, other than checking if they're counterfeit? Let's say we're talking about perfectly legitimate-looking currency that nobody knows the origin of except a select few—how would a bank or the market ever realize what happened?
Fine, enlighten me then. How are you going to use that printed-out money to build factories and produce electric vehicles that actually compete globally, when you have to import most of the components from abroad anyway? Or are you going to waste time and money trying to invent everything from scratch? There's a very real chance you'd just end up producing junk that wouldn't even sell in the US. In other words, your plan is basically doomed before it starts, and given all that printed money, the fallout would be catastrophic.
I'll pay a major construction firm to build my factories, I'll pay German suppliers for the metalworking machinery, I'll pay German engineers for the robotics and brains... keep going. Honestly, I could go all out and subsidize everything from the ground up—from the factory tech to the actual car itself, all produced domestically. I could even source the raw metal right here.
Banks operate and turn a profit. If you think running a bank is such a breeze, nobody is stopping you from doing it yourself. Go ahead, issue a 25-year loan and collect the interest. Besides, who else would lend money if banks didn't exist? Don't tell me the government would step in. The government would just hand out those loans based on political connections or family ties, just like they always do. I'd much rather have a private bank professionally assess risk and issue loans than have the state do it and run up massive losses.
That’s exactly the point. Money isn't being lent out in the way we see it today. Instead, the government is essentially gambling by printing new money before any actual new value has been created. If that gamble pays off, market value scales up proportionally with the increased money supply, which effectively keeps prices sitting right where they are.
So, if the government can't actually manage to get anything right, they suddenly find themselves flush with cash, yet somehow that money is worth less than it was yesterday. It’s a classic move.
So, how exactly does the system work then?
The government sets the direction for growth. They pick certain projects that align with their specific vision, and if you manage to get those projects approved by the bureaucrats, you get hit with a wave of subsidies to bring them to life. Essentially, the state injects capital based on its own projections of how much market value will increase, and once that money is out there, they step back and let the market take over from there.
So, here's how I see it: private companies shoulder the entire burden of building factories and developing tech. They kickstart production, and then it’s entirely up to the market to decide if they actually have staying power or if they're just dead weight. At the same time, the market serves as a scorecard for the government—it shows whether those taxpayer dollars were actually funneled into viable projects or just thrown down a drain. In a way, citizens are the ultimate decision-makers; by choosing which stimulated products to buy, we're essentially voting on whether the government's investment strategy was a smart move or a total bust.
Let me be clear: the government doesn't just print money out of thin air for every single subsidy. It only pulls that lever when there's a calculated opportunity to do so—specifically, when they determine that doing so will increase the overall value of what the state produces.
The fundamental difference here is that you aren't paying a private entity for innovation; you're handing that money over to the government. Sure, there's always the possibility that a private investor might take a chance on you, but that logic applies just as much to anyone the state decides *not* to subsidize. If the government refuses to cut a check, those innovators can still turn to private capital or banks to get their footing.
The thing is, the government gets to call all the shots regarding its own financial system. But here’s the kicker: the consequences of those decisions eventually come back to haunt them like a boomerang. Whether they made a brilliant move or a total disaster depends entirely on how much the value of our money takes a hit in the end.
Picture this: three people stranded on a tiny little island. There are two palm trees, three coconuts, some sand, and nothing but endless ocean surrounding you. That's the setup.
In the beginning, each of those three individuals possesses... $33...but there’s absolutely nothing left to buy.
Then one of them gets an idea. He starts weaving sleeping mats out of palm leaves and begins selling them to the other two. Suddenly, he’s got himself a business. $50 And the other two? Every single one of them. $25.
Then you have someone else who suddenly remembers they can just exploit those networks to sell fish to a different pair of buyers. Before you know it, the whole distribution of wealth shifts again—suddenly the ratios are sliding down from 150 to 100, then down to 50.
Then the third guy comes along, thinking he’s a genius for drying out the ocean just to produce salt, only to turn around and sell it to the other two so they can season their fish.
So, here we go again. Someone’s suddenly remembered that you can actually turn sand into glass, which—if you’re thinking clearly—could be used to improve the efficiency and speed of salt production. Just a thought.
So, here we go again. Someone’s decided they have a brilliant idea to build a little little waterwheel that spins around and automatically catches fish whenever the waves decide to toss it about.
And just like that, money becomes "overvalued"—suddenly it's too precious to spend. Now we're seeing it happen right before our eyes. $8.25 You won't just get one fishing net anymore; you'll be looking at an entire fleet. $8.25 You get the house... but suddenly, every single dollar feels as precious as gold. You find yourself thinking three times before you even consider spending a cent on anything.
In that case, it would probably be smart to just print more bills. You’d have to scale the money supply right along with product development just to keep trade moving smoothly—essentially making sure people can actually afford to buy what's being made. $8.25 He could have just bought a single network.William Anderson5 said:The market. It’ll eventually adjust to the influx of unbacked cash...
How?
How is the market supposed to figure out that the money supply has actually expanded if the origin remains a mystery? It’s one thing to see the government decide to subsidize and dump $X billion into specific projects, but it's another thing entirely to track the actual flow. If you don't know where the cash is coming from, how can anyone accurately gauge the impact?