Quote: red_shrike said:Most of the credit in America goes toward credit card debt and loans for total nonsense, like buying a new car (or two) that's way bigger and more expensive than anyone actually needs, just so the neighbor feels jealous.
The Whale;34454611]Exactly. Interest rates in the US have never been near zero, and they aren't going to be. People have totally messed up their time preferences, so they don't care if the rate is 7% or 8%.
Maybe take a look at some actual stats or financial reports? These platitudes have become go-to mantras, but they're easy to debunk.
1. The average age of personal (used to be called luxury) cars is still over 10 years—even the IRS treats them as depreciated junk, so you don't even pay tax on them.
2. Total consumer credit is about $3 trillion, and only about $200 billion of that is for auto loans.
The biggest chunk is mortgages (around $13 trillion), followed by personal loans that people use just to scrape by—same thing with credit card debt.
Quote: red_shrike said:Who’s really to blame? Just the individual who can't control their spending. Smart thinking isn't about fueling up on debt and complaining that the bank won't give you more; it's about finding a better-paying job so you can actually afford what you want.
Right. It seems like there's no trade-off here between being lazy and working. If your cost of living goes up for whatever reason, the logical move is to compensate by working more, switching jobs, or picking up side gigs. Side hustles aren't even that bad, even if it's part of the underground economy. Better to work under the table than sit at home starving.
Oh, brilliant!!! We should all just hustle more, even though the U.S. Census Bureau estimates the shadow economy makes up about 20% of our GDP, while some sources say it's over 30%.
(By the way, the US GDP is roughly $27 trillion.)
Anyway, if we stop doing side hustles, how do you think people will pay back loans that have ballooned by over 50% because of interest and exchange rates? For some, those payments eat almost their entire paycheck.
You guys are just rambling nonsense and feeding on clichés. People have already shown you the full picture of the predatory American banking system, where the annual cost of this banking setup eats up 5% of all assets.
Quote: red_shrike said:I hear all these ideas, except for any ideas on how to build factories, power plants, or farm the land. No. Americans don't care about labor; they just want to live off someone else's back and call it "moral," while calling anyone who actually earns their bread a "dirty capitalist."
Here we go again, back to a country that failed its most basic job—protecting property rights. Everything starts there, I guess.
Let me take a crack at this plan of yours... 🙂
If he actually had a job, he’d be busy creating new positions instead of just hanging out here criticizing everyone and everything. If you don't believe Americans are lazy, just look at the shadow economy data or the huge percentage of people who fled the country to take the toughest jobs abroad just to survive.
Quote: red_shrike said:1) Using Islamic banking as a model here in America (saying this as an atheist, just so there's no confusion)
Heh, interesting idea, but totally impossible in the US. Most banks are foreign-owned, and there's zero competition in the sector. Plus, you've got high country risk, which just means higher interest rates.
Yeah, let's not touch the banking sector; I'm sure it's just peak efficiency over there... That’s exactly the issue. Foreign banks bleed us dry with massive interest rates and all sorts of service fees. It leaves almost nothing left for people to spend, which kills the consumer activity that actually fills the treasury (since banking services aren't even taxed).
Quote: red_shrike said:2) Urgent construction of factories to develop industry (timber, tech, maritime, etc.) and exports
It’s a fair question: what does America actually have the
capabilities for? If you want to manufacture high-tech gear, you need capital, know-how, engineers... You have to figure out what those capabilities are first, then see what can actually be produced efficiently.
Check this out... it's pretty heterodox, but the guy makes sense—
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GRp382ynu-Q And who exactly is supposed to build these factories? Since you guys are such geniuses, why don't you just borrow from our bankers, start your own businesses, and actually help fix this national mess?
Maybe a 10% interest rate (the kind used when big corporations refinance their debts) will suit you fine—I guess even the banks need to make a profit. Doesn't matter that European entrepreneurs get to borrow at much lower rates.
red_shrike said:3) Processing all arable land in America and exporting products
Again, which cultures? Which markets? Is it even profitable? Do we even have the capabilities for that?🙂
Quote: red_shrike said:4) Building tourist facilities for year-round tourism.
America isn't going to become a developed nation just off tourism. Give me one example of a global powerhouse that’s both a massive tourist destination and the most developed country on Earth based solely on that. 😉
There you go. This is what happens when you can't see the forest for the trees, because the most advanced nations actually *are* tourism giants. Take France, Italy, the US, Germany, England, Switzerland, Austria... they all pull in huge tourism revenue (in absolute terms), but because they’re so highly developed with so many other industries, the slice of the GDP coming from tourism is way smaller than what you'd see in an underdeveloped country.
Heh, won't happen. 🙂
There are plenty of studies showing the problem isn't that the government is too big, it's just inefficient. You can fire people all day, but nobody's promising me the rest will actually get better.
I guess I'll agree on one thing.
I don't want to sound like I'm just complaining, so here's my take as an economist—this country doesn't just need economic reform, it needs social reform. I don't necessarily agree with that guy from the Washington Times, but he made a good point about the need for nation-building, basically meaning we need to stop acting like vassals to higher authorities. It's not that America shouldn't be part of international coalitions, it's that the government and individuals need to actually own their actions and deal with the consequences of bad decisions.
For instance, regarding those who took out loans in Swiss francs... if they understood even a little bit of economics, they'd know nobody protects them from currency risk. Sure, interest rates were lower, but that was only because the exchange rate was weaker. Interest rate parity exists for a reason. 🙂
Look, I don't know if you guys saw that investigative report a few months back? They asked people on the street what an interest rate is, and most of them had no clue, despite having massive loans. As long as the population stays uneducated and indifferent, the status quo is staying right where it is.
Just more fluff. I was hoping for something smart or new for once.
p.s.
The groups taking out the most loans are actually the ones working in banks (especially loan officers and personal bankers), and you definitely can't call them uneducated or say they lack access to info.
Right behind them, the next group borrowing heavily are people in public institutions and state-run companies because they have transparent, relatively high, and stable salaries (teachers, healthcare workers, utility employees, etc.). And you can't really claim they belong to that uneducated crowd you mentioned—the ones who don't even know what an interest rate is.
Just some regular Joe working for a private firm or one of those big-shot corporate tycoons... half of them are probably taking under-the-table cash anyway since they're too broke to even dream about getting a loan.
😁