I don't know. It just feels like things are moving in a direction that doesn't quite make sense. Sometimes you look at the numbers and the way everything is being handled by the Federal Reserve, and it just doesn't add up. It’s like we’re all just watching a slow-motion train wreck. I'm not trying to be dramatic, I really am, I just think people should pay more attention. There isn't much else to say about it. kaže:
It’s honestly fascinating to me how people like you operate. You go ahead and blast your theories across every single forum and news site out there. You send off emails to dozens, even hundreds, of different addresses—hitting up all those big-shot economists and major institutions—only to have everyone just completely ignore or reject you. And yet, you don't even stop to wonder if maybe, just maybe, you might be slightly off base. Sure, there’s always a small group that backs you up, but they’re mostly uneducated types who just exist to boost your ego and shut down any actual critical thinking. It's fine, really. Luckily, we aren't living in an era where someone like you could actually gain any real influence. That would be a very dangerous thing indeed.
Look, here’s how things stand. Let’s say I’m a recognized economist and analyst. I’m sixty years old and I’ve written thirty books. Then I get an email from some guy claiming he can draw all sorts of conclusions just by looking at the equality of three deficits. What am I supposed to do with that? Plan A is I don't respond. Plan B is I stall him—I write back saying I'll get in touch. Plan C is I write a mountain of empty platitudes just to back up the idea that he's wrong. Plan D is I tell him he's actually right.
So, I’ve had a chance to look through all the different proposals being thrown around in the replies. It seems like Plan D was really only ever mentioned by people who don't actually deal with economics in their day-to-day lives.
Why does it work that way? Honestly, it’s because admitting I’m right—and I am, since I’m just applying standard economic formulas using layman's terms—would force every single one of those economists to actually pass that knowledge on. Just think about it. Imagine you're a macroeconomics professor at some big state university. What would you even do? Would you stand up in front of your students and tell them to rip half their textbook to shreds because the author got it wrong? No one would listen. They'd label you crazy immediately, and if you ever managed to land a job, you'd be out on the street before you knew it.
Look, you just can't work against yourself. It’s pretty simple. You don't get two lives, so if you mess this one up, that's it. You're done.
Just imagine if you were an economist working for the Administration. You get another memo outlining some grand scheme to fix the crisis, and then what? Honestly, you’re just a number. You're completely replaceable. Besides, there is zero chance the Administration is going to pivot on policies they have been running for decades just because of one email. The paycheck keeps clearing regardless. People can bark all they want, but the wheels keep turning.
Just imagine you’re sitting there as an editor-in-chief for a major newspaper or a political party, and someone hands you a piece that completely goes against the grain. It’s totally outside the mainstream. Your first instinct would be to run it by your lead economic consultant to see if they can make sense of it. But honestly? They’d be just as lost as some professor at a state university. Not to repeat myself here, but it’s the same story every time.
So, what’s the bottom line here? Honestly, not one single big-shot economist has actually used math to disprove what I'm saying. Not one. Your letter is basically just a carbon copy of some economics professor who also claimed my model was too thin. It’s like, even in this simplified version, the logic holds up, but people keep insisting I need to make it more complex. I don't really get why. In every calculation, there's always this missing chunk of money—the savings part—and I have no idea where that's supposed to come from if I add more layers to the model. Yet, the Federal Reserve statistics show that savings (even if it's just numbers on a screen) are growing. It doesn't add up.
The changes we’re talking about? They aren't just optional. They're inevitable. This whole philosophy regarding how money works needs to be backed up by a real, actual economic strategy from The Administration. There is so much work to be done there. It should be left to the experts, the people who actually know their craft. That ought to have been their job all along. Instead, we're stuck here, just regular people, having to grab a calculator and prove that these highly educated economists are basically selling us a load of nonsense.
Honestly, if a whole bunch of people with economics degrees can't wrap their heads around the fact that their professors were basically feeding them fairy tales, that’s on them. It’s their own problem. If I were in their shoes, I’d walk right up to those instructors and demand answers. Like, seriously, what was that all about? Why am I only hearing the truth now? You can't claim to be an expert if you were taught fundamentally wrong stuff from day one. And look, the connection between budget deficits and printing money isn't some new discovery either; people have known that since the 1920s. Simple as that.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chartalism). This economic school of thought basically assigns banks the wrong role—they don't seem to see any issue with low interest rates.
Which means my theory isn't actually new. The theory itself has been around for 90 years. You just have to combine it with measures to prevent money multiplication and you have a solution right there. Everything else is just about protecting the economy and keeping inflation in check.Besides, you have the website
prosperityuk.com/. They've been publishing almost identical stuff for over 10 years now. There is also
Simon Dixon's blog, and he is an economist by trade.
When I was writing my first articles, I didn't know about those links. But the result of my own thinking—based on pure math—is nearly identical. So, pointing me toward economics textbooks feels like nothing more than an attempt at indoctrination. I've read all those theories about falling employment and GDP, usury, the quantity theory of money, sustainable sovereign debt, and all that. None of it impressed me at all. For instance, they claim capital should flow toward higher interest rates, which should theoretically equalize them. Yeah, right. In practice, that’s just not how it works. High interest rates usually just mean the economy is in the gutter and isn't generating more exports than imports. And then the country can't fix the economy because its capital is too expensive, making it uncompetitive again. Heh, funny, but true.
Some good people suggested I read the laws, so I looked through the Federal Reserve Act and the ECB statutes (which were just images back then, not searchable text, so I couldn't even use keywords). What I found in those laws was the most important thing: money is currently being issued as even greater debt. Debt that banks take on and inflate for their own profit when they lend it out further.
That effectively renders all those textbook theories useless. Issuing money as even more debt leads only to infinite debt. Every bit of profit retained increases that exponentially over time. And in this system, they try to kill inflation with high interest rates. But they aren't just killing inflation; they're killing the economy too. It seems like it isn't a problem in theory, but in practice, it definitely is.
So that's it. All these theories that every economist knows by heart, yet none of them know how to actually exit a debt crisis. The reason is flawed knowledge. And nobody wants to admit that. Your post is just more proof of that.