#281 ·
fadedwolf20 I didn't say that.
What is the point of economics, anyway? Deciding how to divvy up limited resources—it’s always a mess. Whether it’s corporate budget cuts or government spending, you’re essentially playing a zero-sum game where someone always loses. It’s less about "fairness" and more about who has the most leverage at the table. Land, housing, homes, labor, and everything people actually produce—that’s what matters. Yet, the economy has built this massive empire that exists solely to serve itself. Interest rates, inflation, deflation, derivatives, futures, credit, stocks, exchanges—it’s a mountain of jargon designed to make things look complicated. But when you strip away the noise, the reality is incredibly simple:
Economics isn't some tool designed for the redistribution of resources. It doesn't "serve" anything—and it certainly isn't some engine used to "build empires."
Resources might be finite, but they’re getting cheaper relative to labor costs—meaning our time is actually becoming more valuable. An hour of work today buys you way more food, better connectivity, and more travel than an hour did a century ago. It’s a simple shift in leverage.
Take copper, for example. Even though we supposedly blew past "peak copper" ages ago—much like that whole "peak oil" hysteria—the price hasn't exactly gone vertical. It’s a simple reality: price isn't just about supply; it's driven by demand. In the past, copper was the go-to, but now we're seeing materials being swapped out for alternatives. So, even as supply tightens, demand is simultaneously cratering. We’ll likely see the same pattern with oil—once supply eventually drops, demand will follow suit—but that's a conversation for another day.
That growth isn't going anywhere if we stick to the same principles that landed us in this mess—if you can even call them principles. It’s debatable which ones exactly, but we’re definitely repeating ourselves.
The entire economic engine of Western civilization is built on one shaky assumption: constant growth. Growth, growth, and more growth. But we’re living on a finite planet with finite resources—it’s basic math. That kind of perpetual expansion isn't sustainable, and frankly, it can't be. If you ask me, the 2008 crash wasn't just some random glitch; it was the inevitable result of hitting the actual physical limits of our environment. The whole global economy is essentially a massive Ponzi scheme that requires a continuous upward trajectory of goods, services, and even population numbers just to stay afloat. We hit peak oil around 2005, which sent prices skyrocketing to $147 a barrel by 2008. That spike triggered the domino effect—that absolute mess we’ve been struggling to wade through ever since.
The 2008 crash wasn't some unique anomaly—it was just the latest chapter in a long history of financial collapses. It had nothing to do with resource scarcity. If you want to actually understand what's happening—and more importantly, how to predict the next hit—the best theory currently available is... ABCT.