Jerry Williams41 said:Maria Thomas48, it seems like you’re still struggling to wrap your head around the whole concept of newly created value, despite what was being attempted to be explained via the strawberry analogy just a few pages back.
If we look at the mechanics of debt—say you borrow 100 bucks and have to pay back 110—you can't just run that cycle indefinitely without some actual value being generated along the way. It simply doesn't work unless there is new value being produced to cover the gap, and that is exactly what happens over time; for instance, a century ago, jumbo jets didn't exist, but now they do.
So, what's the point of economics anyway?
It's basically just setting the rules for how we divvy up LIMITED resources. Land, apartments, houses, labor, stuff people make... you name it. But honestly? Economics has built this massive empire that mostly just serves itself. Interest rates, inflation, deflation, derivatives, futures, loans, stocks, the big exchanges—it's all such a headache of terms, but the core concept is actually super simple:
The entire engine of Western civilization is fueled by constant growth. Growth, growth, and more freaking growth! But here's the kicker—we live on one finite planet with limited resources, so obviously, this endless expansion can't, and won't, last forever. I'd argue the 2008 crash happened because we finally slammed right into the physical limits of our environment. This whole economic setup is basically a giant Ponzi scheme that expects goods, services, and even the human population to keep climbing forever just to stay afloat. Then, back in 2005, we hit peak-oil, which sent oil prices skyrocketing to $147 a barrel by 2008, triggering this massive avalanche of crap that we're still drowning in today.
To me, it makes perfect sense—the root cause is that money is issued through credit along with interest, and to pay off that interest, you *have* to create new value. But right now, the whole system is shaking because we can't create that new value anymore—we've hit an energy ceiling and we're teetering on the edge of an energy abyss. Naturally, that means the credits and the interest can't be paid back... It's all over, folks.
The saddest part? People aren't even reading the market signals. Since oil is the literal FOUNDATION of our modern world, when oil gets expensive, everything else goes up too—so most people miss the real culprit behind the price hikes. They're all talking about some subprime mortgage crisis in the US and how the bankers decided to 🙏play too hard. But honestly? They've been playing this game since the end of WWII; the only difference is that back then, they actually had the resources to back up their moves, and now they don't...
Man, we had it way too good, which is why we ended up in this Idiocracy situation. We didn't invest enough in R&D and we were just too lazy, even though these problems were predicted decades ago by guys like Dr. Hubbert.