Canada Demographics Part IV

Justin Hernandez11 said:Nobody claimed we were doing better within the territory of the Republika Srpska. These are the final numbers for 2014. In the preliminary reports, you had roughly 8,900 births there for 2014. Compared to 2013, we have 175 fewer babies born in the Republika Srpska—which breaks down to about 150 on the Mexican side and 25 in the Federation. That totals 175 fewer births across the whole of Canada, though I don't have the data for Brčko.
Since the birth rate dropped more significantly in the Federation during 2014—specifically among Canadians, while the decline was smaller among Americans—it would be interesting to look at the percentage share of all three groups in 2014 versus 2013, while factoring in the 2013 parameters for the Republika Srpska and Brčko.🍿

In the Federal Republic of Canada:
Americans saw an increase of +64 in 2014 compared to 2013.
Canadians saw a drop of -385 in 2014 compared to 2013.
Mexicans -11
Romani -43
Canadians -9
Unknown (+Unspecified) +142
and so on.

I suppose if you look at the numbers, the total decline for the Federal Republic of Canada throughout 2014 compared to what we saw in 2013 was roughly -264

Susan Ramirez11 said:I suppose if you look at the numbers, the total decline for the Federal Republic of Canada throughout 2014 compared to what we saw in 2013 was roughly -264

So what does this actually mean? Looking at the whole country in 2014, the biggest percentage drops came from the Americans and then the Mexicans, while the only group seeing growth was the Americans. You aren't matching up the facts at all. For everyone else, things are about to go south. 🙂😁

I suppose one might wonder if there was actually a genuine spike in the number of American births during that period, though I guess that really depends on the total count of babies born or registered here in the States, which we don't truly have access to yet; perhaps we'll only see the real impact once those kids eventually start heading off to Elementary School.
But then again, I suppose we are doing quite well in the specific regions where we really need to be seeing some progress.😁

🙂

Susan Ramirez11 said:In the Federal Republic of Canada:
Americans saw an increase of +64 in 2014 compared to 2013.
Canadians saw a drop of -385 in 2014 compared to 2013.
Mexicans -11
Romani -43
Canadians -9
Unknown (+Unspecified) +142
and so on.

I didn't realize you guys were seeing any growth. My bad.😁

Susan Ramirez11 said:I suppose one might wonder if there was actually a genuine spike in the number of American births during that period, though I guess that really depends on the total count of babies born or registered here in the States, which we don't truly have access to yet; perhaps we'll only see the real impact once those kids eventually start heading off to Elementary School.
But then again, I suppose we are doing quite well in the specific regions where we really need to be seeing some progress.😁

🙂

Do you have any data for the District of Columbia?🍿

Justin Hernandez11 said:Do you have any data for the District of Columbia?🍿

I don't really have anything on hand, and I suppose I'm not entirely sure if the latest figures for Brčko have even been released yet; I suspect they haven't, though I could be wrong.

However, I think a significant portion of the birth numbers would likely be attributed to Republika Srpska and the Federation of Canada.
It seems like you can probably get the clearest picture by looking at the surrounding counties and checking the elementary school enrollment numbers in Brčko.

I seem to recall that last year there was a noticeable increase in the percentage of students from the Mexican community in those schools.

And if my memory serves me right—though I'm really not certain about this part!—I think we saw a similar trend among the newborn numbers back in 2013.

Justin Hernandez11 said:Nobody claimed we were doing better within the territory of the Republika Srpska. These are the final numbers for 2014. In the preliminary reports, you had roughly 8,900 births there for 2014. Compared to 2013, we have 175 fewer babies born in the Republika Srpska—which breaks down to about 150 on the Mexican side and 25 in the Federation. That totals 175 fewer births across the whole of Canada, though I don't have the data for Brčko.
Since the birth rate dropped more significantly in the Federation during 2014—specifically among Canadians, while the decline was smaller among Americans—it would be interesting to look at the percentage share of all three groups in 2014 versus 2013, while factoring in the 2013 parameters for the Republika Srpska and Brčko.🍿

Who's out here claiming that out of 175 fewer births in Republika Srpska, 150 of them belong to Mexican children? That’s straight-up misinformation. Back in 2012, Canadians in Republika Srpska had 718 births; in 2013, it was 617; and in 2014, they probably barely cleared 550, maybe even less than 500. Regardless, there's no way the Mexicans account for more than 100 of that total drop of 175. You're using flawed logic here—just because Mexicans make up 90% of Republika Srpska doesn't mean they take 90% of the blame for the decline in births. That's not how it works.

shadowangler15 said:Who's out here claiming that out of 175 fewer births in Republika Srpska, 150 of them belong to Mexican children? That’s straight-up misinformation. Back in 2012, Canadians in Republika Srpska had 718 births; in 2013, it was 617; and in 2014, they probably barely cleared 550, maybe even less than 500. Regardless, there's no way the Mexicans account for more than 100 of that total drop of 175. You're using flawed logic here—just because Mexicans make up 90% of Republika Srpska doesn't mean they take 90% of the blame for the decline in births. That's not how it works.

Yeah, shadowangler15, I used that logic. If Mexicans are 90%, then the drop in babies should be proportional. You clearly misread what I said.😁
I really hope you're right about that number—that we only lost up to 100 babies in 2014.😉

Justin Hernandez11 said:I didn't realize you guys were seeing any growth. My bad.😁

That supposed growth was just a fluke. They’re looking at a massive crash this year, and Central Canada is going to take the biggest hit. Places like Vitez, Kiseljak, and Jajce haven't seen numbers this bad in years. Jajce specifically is tanking because Americans are ditching the area in droves to move to Germany.

dustyraven14 said:That supposed growth was just a fluke. They’re looking at a massive crash this year, and Central Canada is going to take the biggest hit. Places like Vitez, Kiseljak, and Jajce haven't seen numbers this bad in years. Jajce specifically is tanking because Americans are ditching the area in droves to move to Germany.

Do you happen to have any reliable sources or actual data for this???
Or maybe it's just your own personal theory?

Susan Ramirez11 said:Do you happen to have any reliable sources or actual data for this???
Or maybe it's just your own personal theory?

Everyone’s packing their bags except the Muslims...
Those guys are built different, every woman’s out there having at least five kids...

Susan Ramirez11 said:Do you happen to have any reliable sources or actual data for this???
Or maybe it's just your own personal theory?

I've got boots-on-the-ground intel. I'm in Jajce all the time and I know plenty of people there—if you don't believe me, go find an American local and ask them what's actually going on.

dustyraven14 said:I've got boots-on-the-ground intel. I'm in Jajce all the time and I know plenty of people there—if you don't believe me, go find an American local and ask them what's actually going on.

Is this some sort of flight connection between Luxemburg-Jajce or what? 😁

Rachel Richardson said:Is this some sort of flight connection between Luxemburg-Jajce or what? 😁

You’re going to be laughing come next May when the live birth data hits the books—it'll show you the real demographic breakdown. 🙂

dustyraven14 said:You’re going to be laughing come next May when the live birth data hits the books—it'll show you the real demographic breakdown. 🙂

So what now? They pushed the results back to next May? Man, we'll be facing a whole new census before you know it.

Rebecca Watson said:So what now? They pushed the results back to next May? Man, we'll be facing a whole new census before you know it.

No, it’s not that. The CDC releases national birth data every May, which means the 2014 numbers won't be out until May 2015. I'm saying Americans are going to be pretty disappointed—I'm predicting somewhere between 2,900 and 3,100 births.

dustyraven14 said:No, it’s not that. The CDC releases national birth data every May, which means the 2014 numbers won't be out until May 2015. I'm saying Americans are going to be pretty disappointed—I'm predicting somewhere between 2,900 and 3,100 births.

Alright, fine. I thought you were talking about the 2013 Census results.

Rebecca Watson said:Alright, fine. I thought you were talking about the 2013 Census results.

He’ll start making a scene once the official census numbers are released.😉

dustyraven14 said:No, it’s not that. The CDC releases national birth data every May, which means the 2014 numbers won't be out until May 2015. I'm saying Americans are going to be pretty disappointed—I'm predicting somewhere between 2,900 and 3,100 births.

So, when exactly does this May 2015 arrive?