Melissa Rivera5 said:So, basically... you didn't just strengthen and rebuild NATO and the EU, or show everyone what Russia's true colors really are? You totally trashed any chance for the West to get anything done, turned Ukraine from some "de-nazified" idea into a country that hates Russia even more, and somehow managed to wreck a reliable, wealthy, and physically close partner just to boost the economy of the worst enemy in history? Man, if you were trying to sabotage everything on purpose, I guess you actually pulled it off.
At its core, this is just a classic "reaction to an action."
All of us here commenting on the conflict between Russia and the West—whether we do it intentionally or by accident, or whether we're partially biased—tend to focus solely on what the opposing sides are doing. We completely ignore the fact that every single action is almost always followed by a reaction.
I think we see it on both sides, whether it's intentional or just pure incompetence, where people underestimate their opponent... though, if you ask me, this tendency seems much more pronounced on the Russian side (including those who act as commentators specifically on behalf of Russia).
We also have to acknowledge that things are incomparably harder for Russia because they are facing a far more powerful adversary... which is, I suppose, why they occasionally garner some sympathy here and there.
I find it hard to believe that Putin hasn't already calculated the exact "reactions" to his own moves.
I keep reading these "predictions" about how Putin's gas leverage will be devastating for the EU, especially Germany... because the dependence on Russian gas is so high and prices have skyrocketed so much...🤔
Sure, there might be problems, but expecting anyone to just sit idly by without taking steps to mitigate the fallout—or thinking they'll just stop crying and beg Putin for help—is completely detached from reality.
In the real world, the response to what was once a potential threat from Putin's energy blackmail—but is now a very real one—began a long time ago.
It makes me wonder: how much damage is Putin actually doing to Russia itself?
In the long run, the damage is massive. He has clearly lost, or is currently losing, incredible customers who were tied to a world-class infrastructure built over decades.
To hope that everything will magically go back to normal in the future, and that Europe will simply resume buying Russian gas just like before the aggression started, is nothing short of science fiction.
Furthermore, this whole mantra suggesting that the gas Russia used to pump into Europe via pipelines will just conveniently be rerouted somewhere else? It's totally delusional.
Best regards,