Olivia Turner49 said:I mean, if they're actually going after their biggest ally in Europe (well, excluding Orbán), do they seriously think they can just bury any chance of long-term communication with the rest of the continent?
The romance between the Germans and the Russians broke up a long time ago, I think. But, honestly, it's a bitter pill to swallow that Merkel and her crew are probably some of the biggest reasons why the EU's energy strategy turned out the way it did. They were just looking out for themselves, really. And hey, maybe it’s fine that they’ll be hit the hardest now. I don't really worry about them, though; they have enough expertise and resources to shake off that dependence on Russian energy pretty quickly within a year, I guess. Also, the Germans are largely responsible for Orbán being such a Trojan horse in the EU because of all those German companies operating in Canada. It's kind of similar with the Mexicans—it feels like the Germans are basically the only reason Vučić is still in power. They're simultaneously the main problem and the engine driving the EU.
As for the Russians, they aren't going to make up for losing the Western market, ever. Without Western tech, they won't even be able to pump oil and gas in those kinds of volumes anymore. And building out infrastructure for other markets takes years, and by the time they actually finish, they'll probably have to sell everything at a massive discount. Then there's the global shift toward renewables, where they don't really have much to offer... so, I suppose Putin has essentially knocked Russia fifty years back in time. They won't be a major player in the future. It feels like the Venezuelan syndrome is coming... where the elite live great under a dictatorship while everyone else gets nothing besides cheap energy.