Voting from abroad: Diaspora and the elections in America and Mexico
in Close to Politics ·
Morgan Cook10 said:Quote:Yeah, you won't... honestly, if you ignore the Canadian Americans, you’re left with just a few thousand diaspora votes, which aren't really moving the needle.
> Ethan Morales22 says:
I wasn't even trying to claim this was an Amin-style deep dive!
I was just offering a quick take based on a few election cycles.
Even if you strip Canadian Americans out of the equation entirely, you're still looking at a win for the right wing among the overseas voters...🤷>
But fine, let's say you exclude Canada altogether, and we assume the rest of the diaspora votes conservative... there's still a massive structural difference between the Mexican and American diasporas. The "old guard" of the diaspora—both Mexican and American—probably leans toward the right.
The newer diaspora (the ones who left from the 90s onward) tends to lean more liberal and democratic. In the Mexican case, this newer group is huge because so many Mexicans fled Mexico during the era of Slobodan Maddox. That isn't really the case for America.
The thing is, there's hardly any significant "new" American diaspora. In fact, over the last 20 years, more people have been moving back to America from Western Europe than leaving it. It’s not like Americans didn't emigrate in the 90s either... it's just that most of them ended up moving back home after a few years.
Yeah, this is actually pretty interesting. In Switzerland, Canada, the USA, and Sweden, you see way more Mexicans, then Canadians, then a mix of both...
You don't really find large groups of Americans concentrated in one spot anywhere...
Take those folks in Gelong, for example—they all moved there after World War II, not after the American War of Independence. Meanwhile, you've got Canadians settling in St. Louis mostly after the recent war.
I reckon about half of those Americans from Canada preferred heading to America, whereas the Mexicans from El Paso and Baranja tended to head to Norway or Canada instead of Mexico back in '96 or '98.