Sanctions on Russia
in War in Ukraine ·
wiredseal7 said:Don't try to play people for fools—if you actually think the claim in that link is wrong, just explain why.Anyway, they got what they wanted. They were the first ones to say they'd pull their recognition of statehood, and now even the cargo isn't flowing.
They definitely haven't pulled that recognition—hardly anyone would walk away from that deal now, regardless of this.
Maybe someone said it, but personally, I doubt it's an official stance.
Look, if we’re going to talk like this, fine. Honestly, the only real idiot here is Rogozin—and anyone else who parrots his nonsense without even bothering to fact-check it first. But hey, I guess that’s just standard Russophile behavior, isn't it? You grab some random snippet that happens to fit a specific narrative, run with it, and then act all smug about how right you were. Typical.
So, this guy—this total vodka-soaked joke—is rambling about stuff that has absolutely nothing to do with freight or transit. He’s actually talking about visa-free travel and people crossing borders, which is something he really should have a handle on given his history as a former governor of the Kaliningrad region. But honestly? Expecting any kind of actual intelligence from him is pretty much like expecting to find a party atmosphere on the Moon.
Honestly, since we're already diving down this rabbit hole, this is just another perfect example of how Russia has never truly come to terms with the collapse of the USSR.
Yeah, let's take a second to actually look back at all the nonsense they were pulling regarding that situation back then.
A US official told CNN last week that Russia has been pushing a group of new demands that will reduce the effectiveness of the agreement reached last year between Russia and the EU on the transit question. It looks like things are getting complicated again. Basically, Moscow is trying to move the goalposts on an agreement that was supposed to settle how energy moves through the region, and it’s creating a lot of friction with European Union leaders. It feels like Russia is once again testing how much they can get away with. By throwing these new requirements onto the table, they might be trying to weaken the stability of the deal we thought was solid. It’s a classic move—wait until everyone thinks the dust has settled, then pivot to grab more leverage. Honestly, it's a bit exhausting to watch this cycle repeat itself, but that seems to be the playbook lately. We'll have to see if the European Union stands its ground or if these new demands actually start to chip away at the previous progress.
A US official told CNN last week that Russia has been pushing a group of new demands that will reduce the effectiveness of the agreement reached last year between Russia and the EU on the transit question.
It’s just the classic Russian negotiation tactic: they agree to something, everyone shakes hands, papers get signed, and then right before ratification kicks in, they suddenly "remember" they want to change everything. Honestly, it sounds incredibly familiar, doesn't it? Just gives me major Minsk or Minsk 2 vibes.
Kirkilas mentioned that the Russians seem pretty hesitant about actually moving forward with the readmission treaty talks. He basically pointed out that lately, they’ve been avoiding calling these meetings "negotiations" altogether, opting for the term "consultations" instead. On top of that, they're just sending low-level officials to handle the discussions. Honestly, we've seen this playbook before—it's a classic stall tactic. To me, it really just means that there is no political decision in Moscow yet. It looks like they haven't quite figured out if they actually want to sign the treaty or if they'd rather just drag their feet and use it as leverage against Lithuania in the future.
It’s always the exact same playbook. Decades go by and the Russians just don't change. They aren't actually holding negotiations; they call them "consultations," which is just a fancy way of saying they're keeping the whole mess simmering under the surface, just waiting for the right moment to let it all blow up again in the future.
Let's keep this rolling.
The Lithuanian envoy mentioned that it’s anyone's guess why Russia seems to be pulling back on its commitments right now, but he suggested that Moscow might just be looking to squeeze a few extra concessions out of Brussels during that Russia-EU summit coming up in May. He also pointed out that these stalling tactics could be a calculated move to play to the Russian public before the parliamentary elections in December.
Kirkilas mentioned that Russia might be trying to capitalize on the friction currently splitting the European Union regarding the war in Iraq. He basically thinks Russia is looking to poke at the cracks in European unity, banking on the idea that since EU nations are preoccupied with their own issues right now, they won't be as quick to step up and stand behind Lithuanian interests.
So, looks like we’re seeing a classic attempt by Russia to sow some discord. Just their usual playbook, really.
Kirkilas alleged that Russia, by stalling on the treaty talks, is attempting to sabotage Lithuania's aims of joining the Schengen agreement. Russian officials—at least those in the lower ranks— I honestly still haven't quite wrapped my head around the whole situation with Lithuania joining the EU and NATO. It’s one of those things that just sticks in the back of my mind. The envoy mentioned it.
I mean, honestly, who would’ve thought? It turns out the Russians just haven't quite come to terms with losing their old Soviet empire... nope, they're total imperialists, and apparently, they're never going to let it go!
And here comes the coup de grace
"Even though it’s been over a decade since the USSR collapsed, Russia hasn't actually ratified a single border treaty with any of the former republics. It’s pretty clear they only view the independence of these new nations as a temporary thing. By stalling on these border agreements, they’re basically keeping the door wide open to launch an invasion under the guise of a tiny territorial dispute," Radzvilas said.
Just translating the whole thing so nobody gets lost in translation...
"Even though it’s been more than 10 years since the collapse of the USSR, there isn't a single former Soviet republic with which Russia has ratified a border treaty. There is no doubt that this shows Russia views the independence of the former Soviet republics as a temporary state. By refusing to ratify border agreements, they leave themselves the opportunity to start an aggression against those countries over some minor territorial dispute."
If you didn't know better, you'd think we were talking about Ukraine instead of Lithuania and stuff that happened decades ago... the only real difference is that Lithuania was already under the NATO umbrella back then. The total losers who dared to push back even slightly couldn't do a damn thing. Now, they figured the West was too distracted and weakened by the fallout from COVID to stop them, thinking they could just slide this through while Ukraine waits with open arms to welcome them as "liberators."
Literally the textbook definition of "a leopard never changes its spots."
Alright, give us a little more Rogozin—go ahead and bury yourself again with that bag of bad jokes and vodka.
