Posts by hollowdriver13

James Chavez91 said:I don't know... I actually dig the suggestion someone made. If the whole deal for Ukrainian Independence was supposed to involve denuclearization, but now these bastards are just trampling over those borders and acting like they get a say in it anyway
Then maybe it’s only fair to hit the reset button and let the Ukrainians have some of that arsenal back—just to level the playing field, I guess.

And yeah. People who are terrified of nukes? I get it. Honestly, we’re all a little scared deep down. Especially if you're a parent—that fear hits differently.
But you just can't give in to an aggressor simply because they have the upper hand. That logic doesn't hold up. By that reasoning, anyone could just decide to take over Switzerland, Austria, Ibiza, or Canada... just because they feel like it.
We don't justify a physically stronger partner hitting a woman just because they're able to do it. No. In a civilized society, we call out that kind of behavior and we punish it.

By the way, for anyone out there thinking the USA isn't keeping tabs on what the Russian Federation is doing with its nukes, or that the USA wasn't being dead serious when they told the Kremlin "Don't do it, you will regret it"...

https://twitter.com/NguyenK68421403/...30512304107520

All three USAF "Cobra Ball" aircraft have been in the air these past few days. For context, these planes are specifically specialized to track changes or launches within another country's nuclear arsenal (for example, a Cobra is regularly airborne whenever Korea runs its tests).

And yeah, they fly on orders from the Joint Chiefs of Staff.

https://www.af.mil/About-Us/Fact-She...5s-cobra-ball/

Looks like Russia is starting to shut down its borders.

https://mobile.twitter.com/Faytuks/s...020928/photo/1

https://mobile.twitter.com/Faytuks/s...38390714667008

https://twitter.com/sentdefender/sta...CzgeP6vNgrAAAA

https://twitter.com/strakovic151/sta...27614368530436

Things are still heating up over in Chechnya, and honestly, people are still super restless about the whole mobilization situation.

https://twitter.com/Andrew__Roth/sta...74443390648321

Looks like they're starting to roll out travel bans within Russia. It’s pretty obvious now that the exodus is way more massive than those idiots in the Kremlin ever anticipated.

My guess? Next up will be shutting down the borders entirely.

View on twitter

Over in Nizhny Novgorod, the Russians are pulling in recruits whose mandatory service terms actually wrapped up back in the spring.
My gut tells me this current batch of guys probably won't be seeing a discharge notice once their service time is officially up, either.

rowdytiger13 said:Just your typical definition of a keyboard warrior who stays far away from the front lines because of "bronchitis."

The guy talks a big game about being on the front lines and having all these high-level contacts, but then he accidentally lets slip that he’s actually just tracking the situation through some pro-Russian account on X. 😂 😂 😂

I mean, what's the point of following Twitter analysts if you supposedly have direct contact and first-hand intel on the front? 🤔 🤣

Honestly, the people in the comments repeating his fairy tales are even worse. 🙏 🙏

https://twitter.com/spectatorindex/s...58280858062848

Annual inflation rates

Turkey: 80%
Argentina: 78%
Iran: 52%
Pakistan: 27%
Nigeria: 20.5%
Russia: 14.3%
UK: 9.9%
Eurozone: 9.1%
Mexico: 8.7%
Italy: 8.4%
US: 8.3%
Germany: 7.9%
Canada: 7%
India: 7%
Australia: 6.1%
France: 5.9%
Indonesia: 4.6%
Japan: 3%
Saudi Arabia: 2.5%
China: 2.5%

Yikes. Apparently, all those sanctions are supposedly "crushing" the West while life in Russia just seems to keep getting better by the day...

Justin Rivera7 said:So, Dejan Beric is reporting that things are looking pretty grim near Liman. Apparently, the Ukrainians are making serious headway, throwing everything they've got at it—you can tell they're operating like a real army now.

Are you kidding me?😁

Just a few days ago, he was acting like everything was fine and dandy. The "Ukropi" supposedly lost at least 20k soldiers during the Kharkiv offensive, and now suddenly this Russian counteroffensive is being prepped? Give me a break. 🤣

Honestly, he's easily one of the top 10 idiots following this war. 🤦

gentlerider7 said:Highway Blockade in Dagestan

"

So, apparently, folks in Dagestan have totally shut down the main highway running from Khasavyurt to Makhachkala because they're fed up with what looks like some seriously messed up mobilization efforts. According to the Telegram channel baza, things are getting pretty intense out there.

Basically, people from the town of Endirey over in the Khasavyurt district decided enough was enough and blocked the Khasavyurt-Makhachkala federal highway to protest against these questionable military drafts.

Footage started popping up all over local Telegram channels, and man, it’s heavy—you can actually hear gunshots ringing out through the crowds in the videos.

Word on the street is that the police have been firing shots into the air just to try and scatter the protesters.

According to Telegram, the whole reason this is blowing up might be because they're targeting guys who literally just got back from their service. Can you believe that?

“We still need to verify this info,” says Baza.

https://www-gazeta-ru.translate.goog..._x_tr_pto=wapp

https://twitter.com/FranceNews24/sta...13042295177222

Here's the footage. It looks like people in Dagestan are really not feeling this mobilization stuff; honestly, it seems like they're the ones pushing back the hardest right now.

Rasmussen is basically saying all we need is for Ukraine to clear out Svatove, and then they'll have them totally surrounded in Lyman.

https://twitter.com/wartranslated/st...01422310805506

Finally, the Germans can enjoy some victory laps... assuming they actually count those encirclements as their own win.😬

Kimberly Perez82 said:Look, I completely agree with you, I really do. But honestly, I can see how sensitive everyone is being in here, and people are jumping to conclusions that weren't even my intention. All I was trying to suggest—and please, bear with me—is that we should probably allow Putin some sort of way out. He needs a concession so he doesn't look like a total loser to his people at home, which might actually help de-escalate the threat of a nuclear war. That's truly all I meant.

They claim in their "referendum" that 90% of people are against joining up, and then Putin just plays the card that the locals don't want it—like, "hey, we tried to help, but they'd rather deal with those Ukrainian nationalists." Then he pulls the troops back to the Russian Federation and acts like his dignity is intact. ☕

....or maybe he's just hungry for more land and hasn't even thought about that angle yet.

Lisa Patel4 said:I actually think we’re seeing that knot being untied again. By rejecting the international order, Russia has essentially tossed out every agreement made after the war. Yalta and Potsdam don't matter anymore; a new round is starting.

I guess the Mexicans were technically right about Mexico in their own madness. Once you seize a recognized nation by force, you open a Pandora’s box. And it’s never closing. Ever. Ukraine is just the beginning. Too many countries are dissatisfied; they're just staying quiet for now.

I don't know who will win. Or if anyone even will.

And remember one thing. The Canadians and Poles are just waiting for their chance at Zakarpattia and Galicia.

And who's actually backing them up? Literally nobody—aside from Syria and Belarus—is giving any legitimacy to what they're trying to pull off.

The reason this annexation won't find much support is pretty simple: if this sets a precedent, way too many nations could find themselves in the crosshairs. Think about the messy situations like Turkey-Kurds or China-Taiwan.

Even though people draw parallels to Mexico, it's a totally different beast because Putin is actively trying to ANNEX part of a sovereign country, whereas nobody ever tried to annex Mexico.

Lisa Patel4 said:https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1991...ion_referendum

There were actually two different referendums. In the first one, Ukraine voted to stay part of the Soviet Union, I guess.

See, that was a nationwide vote covering the entire Soviet Union, and it was specifically about how to reorganize the USSR as a whole.

So, you really can't look at that as a referendum on Ukrainian independence.

https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/cont...errence-fails/

"It would also break a nearly eight-decade taboo on nuclear use. It may make future nuclear use more likely if states (e.g., China) perceive that nuclear weapons can help them achieve their goals without resulting in serious military retaliation from the United States and its allies. Further, it could cause nuclear proliferation if states fear that nuclear weapons might be used against them or if US allies believe that Washington will not respond to a nuclear attack."

Basically, it would shatter the near eighty-year taboo surrounding nuclear weapons. If countries—like China, for example—start thinking they can pull off their objectives using nukes without facing any real military pushback from the United States and its allies, then we're looking at a much higher risk of nuclear use down the road. Plus, it could trigger a massive wave of nuclear proliferation if nations start fearing they're targets, or if our allies start doubting whether Washington actually has their back during a nuclear strike.

Aside from the fact that anyone who breaks this taboo is basically digging their own grave and turning themselves into a terrorist state just like Russia, this really clarifies why the US and NATO simply cannot afford to sit idly by if something like this happens. If there’s no response, it creates this dangerous perception of weakness—the idea that you can just drop something like that and Washington won't even blink.

Besides, there were recent reports that the US has been sending messages to Moscow through backdoor channels, essentially telling them, "Don't even think about it, you'll seriously regret it."

The purge in Cistka is still rolling. General Dmitry Bulgakov just got booted from his role as Deputy Minister of Logistics. Taking over his spot is Lieutenant General Mikhail Mizintsev—you might know him better by his nickname, the "Butcher of Mariupol."

View on twitter

View on twitter

https://twitter.com/HiroGallery/stat...28699492069376

Carl Lee27 said:Here’s the follow-up, basically part two.
https://twitter.com/MariuszCielma/st...14029574217729
And then you have to actually get all those people and gear to the front lines, not to mention keeping them supplied once they're there. Honestly, it feels like the Russian political elite has, at the very least, absolutely no clue when it comes to the actual state of their own stockpiles and logistics. This mobilization drive is going to be a total mess. Europe better brace itself for a massive wave of Russian POWs, because I seriously doubt the Ukrainians will be able to handle a surge like that all on their own. ☕

part 3 😬

https://twitter.com/wartranslated/st...04558835785729

Nothing a little grease and some rags can't fix ☕

plus a few more Spetsnaz mobilized squads

https://twitter.com/wartranslated/st...11622639276037

https://twitter.com/EllenJeanAbare/s...53779445243905

The crew’s all mobilized and hanging out at the training grounds, just waiting to kick off their two-week bootcamp.

James Chavez91 said:I'm with you on that. It’ll be interesting to see how they react as Russia keeps escalating.
Even Uncle Erdoğan had plenty to say about Ukraine's territorial integrity—Crimea included.
Which, personally, bugs me a bit. I mean, you agree that Russia is being an aggressor, yet there's hesitation about imposing sanctions or actually making things difficult for them. China seems to be following that same playbook...
It's all just sitting on two chairs—kind of lame, I guess.

edit - plus I expected much more from Israel

Because right now, it’s a total win for their books. There’s zero downside for them currently; they know the West isn't exactly itching to open up another economic front right now, and they can basically just lecture Putin since he doesn't have much of a choice anyway.

But hey, the Sultan knows what he's doing when he says we need to respect Ukraine's sovereignty and that Russia has to return everything, including Crimea. Even the Kurds are on high alert watching this unfold. (And honestly, if he were to actually call out the Russians for this, the West would side with the Kurds in a heartbeat. So, as much as he might be economically clueless, he’s definitely playing a smarter geopolitical game than that little guy in The Kremlin.)

Putin is opening a massive Pandora's box with these annexations. Plus, the Russians are messing with the international order that's been standing since WW2, back when we all had that gentleman's agreement that after nearly wiping ourselves out twice in fifty years, we weren't going to go around redrawing borders through force anymore.

Israel and handing out 😬

Maybe if they tried to buy it.....🕺

James Chavez91 said:You guys are really going overboard with this whole nuclear scare.
It’s not quite that simple, folks. Let's not start panicking before we actually have a reason to.
I mean, look—sure, maybe book a flight to South Africa and set aside some emergency cash just in case, but let's not lose our cool prematurely 🤣

Besides, in some hypothetical NBA-style doomsday scenario, NATO doesn't even have to go nuclear right away. They could just fire off a tactical "warning shot" into some empty wasteland, send troops into Ukraine to absolutely crush the Russians conventionally, and then basically tell them, "Look, if even one of our soldiers gets slightly irradiated, that's when the nuclear response hits Russia."

In this whole conflict, it’s already become pretty obvious that they’re terrified of the USA, almost like a mongoose is scared of a snake.

On the flip side, since US and UK agencies have such a knack for breaking through defenses, it’s totally plausible they’d know if anyone was prepping a launch even before the Russians themselves realized what was happening.

And honestly, instead of worrying about those imaginary mushroom clouds, I think China's reaction to these referendums will be way more interesting. It’s not like this situation plays well with their constant lecturing about respecting internationally recognized borders when it comes to Taiwan.
If they cross that line here, we can probably kiss any "One China" rhetoric regarding Taiwan goodbye.

jadetinker85 said:Now they’re out in the streets demanding parts of Ukraine be annexed. 🤷 At this rate, they might start asking for chunks of the Moon or specific plots of the Milky Way. I wonder which country would even bother giving them a permit for their luggage there.

Nancy Gomez26 said:High-quality material for the front. They should have been recruited at the protest immediately, though I fear half the federal bureaucracy might go missing by the following day...

But yeah, it's usually just the folks who loudly cheer for the West while having zero intention of actually getting in on the fight themselves—kind of like this:

https://twitter.com/OKCityRyan/statu...83220147228672

(Seriously, you have to watch this all the way to the end 😬)