Posts by hollowdriver13

Angela Flores4 said:I find myself wondering, given that a partial mobilization has been ordered, does this effectively mean that a state of partial war has also been declared? 🤔

Honestly, this whole "partial mobilization" thing really only exists in his speeches. If you look at the actual legal paperwork triggering the draft, that specific word isn't even there—it just says "mobilization." So, I wouldn't be surprised if a lot of people end up feeling pretty let down when they realize "partial" doesn't mean they can just dodge it....

analogbear70 said:Sure, but the reality is that the world isn't aiming for de-escalation; it's aiming for a Russian defeat. And that’s dangerous for everyone involved. Let me be clear: Russia is the aggressor. Ignoring that would be reckless, yet there seems to be zero effort from the West to lower the temperature. Instead, it feels like they are pushing for a total knockout blow—one side or the other—with the goal of ensuring Russia emerges as depleted as possible. They haven't earned anything else, and peace isn't on the table for the West right now, at least not yet. I remember when we had to negotiate with the insurgents back in the day, offering calculated concessions and trying everything until we finally got the green light for the major offensive. Even then, we were halted near the border because of threats involving US aircraft. We didn't get weapons; we got an embargo, leaving us essentially stranded. Of course, making concessions to Russia wouldn't be "fair," but we were expected to make them just to stop the bloodshed. That isn't happening here. Because of that, the question remains: how does this all end?

The thing is, Russia has zero interest in de-escalating. You saw the coverage from the UN yesterday; every single time someone approached the Russians to talk negotiations, the answer was just a flat "NO" because their military objectives hadn't been met yet.

They aren't looking to talk. They either want Ukraine carved up and handed over, or they want to try and take everything they set their sights on by force. At this point, it seems like the only move left is to defeat them militarily so they can't pull off whatever they've planned.

Man, those flight prices are just hitting the stratosphere lately—if you can even find anything available at this point.



They’re asking $17k for a one-way ticket from Moscow to Dubai.

rowdyraven112 said:Meanwhile, America and the EU are acting like everything is sunshine and rainbows. Do you guys actually use your brains when you post, or are you just copying homework from pro-Ukrainian news sites? ☕

Whataboooot, whata Whataboooot......

Jessica Peterson2 said:At my workplace, every single one of Putin's supporters suddenly decided to sprint toward HR... all just to verify their "Software Engineer" status because Putko promised that specific category wouldn't be mobilized. They haven't quite given me an answer as to why they're so desperate to avoid being sent to the Donbas 🤷

And you're telling me they actually believe that? Seriously... what a joke.

So, what happens when suddenly 90% of the male population decides they're all "software engineers"? Do they honestly think that’s going to be their golden ticket to getting out of the draft? 🤔

wiredseal7 said:He mentioned that mobilization is leaning more toward war veterans. Still, he claims they aren't pivoting to that "meat grinder" tactic—which is already the standard playbook for Ukraine—just yet.

But look, it shows they’re running low on people. They want to wipe out that Ukrainian advantage, and if they don't mobilize, they won't.

I doubt they'll pull the nuclear trigger easily—but once they annex parts of Ukraine, if an offensive like the one in Kharkiv pushes them toward somewhere like Kherson and they run out of conventional moves? Then anything goes.
The bigger threat to Ukraine and the West is really just the pressure to stop fighting and let the whole mess freeze.

Now we're just waiting for equally aggressive, bellicose rhetoric to come out of Kyiv and Washington, D.C.—it’s pretty obvious nobody's looking to blink here.

Yeah, right. Like the Ukrainians are the ones using human wave tactics instead of the Russians? No way.🤦

That's why they're charging around Bakhmut straight into heavily fortified Ukrainian positions like total idiots. This "partial" mobilization basically just means they’ve burned through all their manpower in the occupied territories and with Wagner, because the regular Russian army was tapped out a long time ago.

How do you even think that works? Charging head-on into fortified positions like a moron... these geniuses don't seem to realize that the old "you don't have as many bullets as we have people" line doesn't fly anymore. The West HAS enough bullets to wipe them all out in one big pile.

wiredseal7 said:The other theory is that it’s just what the Americans intercepted while it was en route to Yemen.
But people were already whispering even earlier about Sudanese ammo plants shipping gear over to Ukraine.

The real kicker—and it's almost funny—is how much everyone mocks Russia for buying drones from Iranians (which, let's face it, are turning out to be pretty sophisticated and dangerous, much to the Ukrainians' dismay), while the Ukrainians—or rather, the British colonialists acting on their behalf—are busy scavenging scrap metal across Africa.

This specific bit was about 82mm mortar rounds.

View on twitter

What kind of "scrap" are we talking about if they were manufactured in 2022?
It's not like the West can just whip up a ton of 122mm shells on demand; Bulgaria is running at absolute max capacity, and Romania has kicked their old production lines back into gear, but even then, they're mostly geared for 152mm.

Gregory Ramos3 said:Back to our regularly scheduled programming..

https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status...09383542603780

So, I was just scrolling through this and apparently, they're saying Ukrainians are actually using Iranian missile production 2022 🤔

Which is honestly pretty 🙂 wild if you think about it

There was some chatter going around on Twitter about this too—the theory is that the UK is buying them for UA through some sort of "middleman" setup involving an African country.
It would definitely explain why those RAF C-17 Globemasters are racking up reward mileage like crazy lately. 😁

https://twitter.com/kamilkazani/stat...70599535214598

Kamil put together a really solid thread here about why Putin might theoretically call for a mobilization, but also why he probably won't see anywhere near the results he’s dreaming of. It basically boils down to the fact that the current Russian military's actual capabilities are worlds apart from what the old Soviet machine used to be.

Sandra Harris2 said:He probably realized that Zelenskyy is addressing the UN tomorrow, so he couldn't afford to be competing for attention today.
Logistics are stalling.

Total drama queen move. Everyone basically ghosted him at the SCO summit, and now that he’s just sitting there waiting around, he’s throwing a massive hissy fit.

gentlestag15 said:If the West doesn't go full 100% sanctions mode after that, they never will.
Total shutdown of all trade, goods, money...
Every single diplomat sent home, every last one, and any Russians without residency status kicked out too.

I really hope this is just a glitch in the system since the old man is taking forever to reply, rather than some kind of massive diarrhea session that lasts for hours.

What people actually tend to overlook is that the West hasn't even dropped the "nuclear option" yet—I'm talking about secondary sanctions, where you penalize any country or corporation that does business with Russia.

It basically forces an "us or them" ultimatum.
For instance, it’s been flying under the radar, but Turkish banks have already stopped accepting Russian Visa cards and processing those payments today.

Also, while China might find this mutual exhaustion somewhat convenient, we can't forget that this annexation is going to be a huge litmus test for them. They've claimed to support Ukraine within its internationally recognized borders, so this will show the world how much weight a Chinese promise actually carries. Personally, I doubt Xiju cares much about losing face in international relations if it helps them climb toward that number one spot on the global stage.

Honestly, I think they’re totally misreading the room over in the West if they believe these fake referendums and forced annexations—or even the threat of mobilization—are going to make the West back down.

Ever since this whole war kicked off, it's just been one bad assumption after another. If anything, you should actually expect the West to ramp up military aid if they pull moves like that.

Gregory Ramos3 said:Is anyone else following this conference? Come on, give me all the juicy details!🙂

It's already running about an hour late.

Christian Torres3 said:If they call up a mobilization, you'll just end up with a bunch of useless junk sitting in Moscow and St. Petersburg while the actual front line doesn't move an inch. Plus, all the rich guys will find ways to dodge service, which is basically just asking for riots.

There’s this thing in stock trading called a stop loss—you cut your losses before they bury you. Russia is already deep in the red with no way to turn the trend around; someone really needs to start thinking about an exit strategy.

The Russians have fallen straight into a classic sunk cost fallacy.

Even one of their officials admitted about a month and a half ago that they wouldn't know how to justify all the losses they've taken if they just pulled out now and walked away from the conflict empty-handed.

https://twitter.com/wartranslated/st...C-0dX43tArAAAA

Looks like the propaganda playbook just got an update. Suddenly, it’s not about those 50 busted HIMARS units anymore—now they're claiming the whole US system is junk and that the Smerch is actually superior.

Oh, sure, now all of a sudden HIMARS is amazing and NATO is looking totally unstoppable. 🙏 🙏 🤣

And of course, we've hit the predictable part of the script where everyone claims NATO SOF was operating on the Kharkiv front, and that's why things fell apart there.

Larry Sanchez7 said:First they gotta grab half of Donetsk...
Not gonna happen...

Look, since the UA forces liberated that small town in the US, even Luhansk isn't fully under Russian control anymore.

https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/19-sep...vka-of-luhansk

wiredseal7 said:Maybe those supplies don't even exist in Russia.

https://twitter.com/VeraVanHorne/sta...zetjHCUOnbK10Q
Putin announced readiness to hand over 300,000 tons of Russian fertilizers that piled up in EU seaports due to sanctions to developing countries for free.

Does anyone actually know if this is legit, or where these "blocked" Russian fertilizer stockpiles are supposedly sitting in European ports?

Another possibility—and I mean, really consider this—is they just don't have enough ships to get it to those developing countries.
Plus, there's the assumption that the EU wants that fertilizer for itself since their own chemical plants are basically idling because gas prices are through the roof.

Then you've got word that Germany, in a move straight out of a communist playbook, has potentially already moved to expropriate Rosneft's refineries there.
As a comeback, the Russians have reportedly threatened to shut down the Druzba pipeline:
https://twitter.com/jaccocharite/sta...zetjHCUOnbK10Q
Well, looks like the Prussians just can't help themselves.

Here’s a map of the Baltic Sea ports used for fertilizer exports—take a close look at St. Petersburg and the surrounding area:

https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer...9559515203&z=6

So, the Russians are exporting fertilizer through Russian ports on the Baltic Sea, which is part of Europe. Technically, saying their fertilizer is "stuck in European ports" isn't a flat-out lie, it's just some really creative interpretation of the truth.

Let me say it one more time so we're all on the same page: "There are no sanctions on Russian fertilizer."

The Russians themselves actually chose to hold back exports, figuring it would trigger an agricultural crisis. Now that they see it's backfiring, they're suddenly playing the "humanitarian" card, acting like they'll hand out the fertilizer for free—but of course, there are strings attached, specifically demanding the lifting of sanctions. And I don't get why people insist sanctions don't affect Russia when the Russians themselves constantly make lifting them a condition for everything.

If Druzba gets shut down, the biggest winners will probably be the Canadians, provided they play their cards right.
Karma's a bit of a beast, isn't it?......
And honestly, watching Russia essentially sanction themselves is always interesting; you can see exactly how shutting off the valves hits their budget.

https://twitter.com/JuliaDavisNews/s...DSoYe43cwrAAAA 🙏

Honestly, the amount of copium being inhaled by Russian propagandists lately is actually reaching stratospheric levels. It’s wild.

They aren't even fighting Ukrainians anymore—if you can even call them that. In their heads, everyone on the other side is just some special forces Black Ops unit or former NATO soldiers.

Then they have the nerve to compare themselves to Real Madrid while treating the Ukrainian military like some tiny local village team. They're basically asking, "How could a random club score against a giant like Real Madrid?" As if a bunch of pros (NATO) are just wearing local jerseys (Ukraine) for fun. 🙏 🙏 🙏

They really need to get their stories straight. On one hand, they’re claiming that if the US sends over ATACMS, it counts as direct US involvement in the war, but then they turn around and argue that they’re already fighting NATO troops anyway. Make up your minds, guys. 😂

And of course, they had to bring up WW2, acting like Ukraine is just some Russian territory that they’re "liberating" from bloodthirsty NATO warriors who are supposedly terrorizing Russian grandmas. 🤦

Jeremy Turner9 said:As far as anyone knows, the ports remain completely blocked, so if there is an intention to donate fertilizer, it might be better if Russia simply provides it themselves.

It’s much like the grain situation—that whole narrative about providing for the poor and the hungry—how can we ignore it? It was noted that the global grain trade is essentially a monopoly held by four secretive American families, known by the acronym ABCD, who, interestingly enough, haven't pulled their operations out of Russia at all, but instead continue to conduct business there quite normally.

I find it difficult to grasp how anyone could oppose providing aid to those suffering from poverty and hunger. It seems fundamentally counterintuitive. One has to wonder if this resistance stems from the broader agenda often associated with the US and Gates—the idea that the world is becoming too crowded. If that is indeed the underlying motivation, then everything becomes clear: any attempt by Russia to perform a humanitarian gesture is immediately met with hostility. This recent offer is truly a terrible thing to see dismissed.🍿

So, the ports are blocked for Russia? Oh, really?
And which navy exactly is blocking the Russian ports?
Do you even have a clue what maritime blockade actually means under international law when one country does it to another?
People will write just about anything these days, lol🙏🙏

And besides, who's stopping him from donating? Go ahead, let him donate. It's Putin who's making this "donation" conditional on lifting sanctions. ☕

And just to reiterate, FOR THE LAST TIME, there are no sanctions from either the EU or the USA on synthetic fertilizers from Russia; they chose to stop exporting them themselves.

https://home.treasury.gov/system/fil...t_20220714.pdf

https://www.eeas.europa.eu/delegatio...oducts_en?s=65

Nancy Gomez26 said:What does Putin actually gain by pulling out of all of Ukraine right now?

A State crippled by sanctions, stripped of Crimea, mourning 50,000 dead and at least twice as many wounded. Any talk of lifting those sanctions will inevitably be tied to massive reparations. NATO is positioned on his borders in ways never seen before, and Kazakhstan is steadily drifting out of the Russian sphere of influence. Weapon stockpiles have been gutted, conventional military capacity is severely depleted, and the military—the State itself—has suffered a massive blow to its prestige.
For him, this simply isn't a viable path. It either ends in a total battlefield defeat for the Rus, or a regime change at the White House. I don't see any other way this war stops.

https://mobile.twitter.com/NeilPHaue...DQ8ZeKw8wrAAAA

And now Armenia has basically admitted that the CSTO—that famous "Russian NATO"—is a totally useless organization. The collapse of the Russian "sphere of influence" is seriously picking up steam.