stormybadger8 said:So the plan was set, everyone follows it, even Kimi 👏🤣
And then what? Kimi decides to drive slow on purpose, Vettel falls victim to a ridiculous strategy, Haas pulls two cars off the track, and all this just so Kimi could finish behind Vettel...😵
Seriously, what are you drinking?
I could use a little 🤣
Kimi’s ceiling for this race was 2nd Place.
Vettel could have potentially taken 3rd Place or even 1st Place (if the Safety Car played along).
But look at Ferrari's move: they bring Kimi in 10 laps early (based on my math, the pit window should have been between laps 25 and 29), knowing full well that Mercedes would react instantly to protect against an undercut (even if that was unlikely).
This effectively hands Vettel 10 laps of breathing room to make a play. At worst, he secures 3rd Place; better yet, he overcuts Kimi; and in the absolute best-case scenario, he passes Luja with the help of a Safety Car.
Essentially:
Option 1 - P2 and 3rd Place if they stick to the standard pit window (around lap 27). No surprises there.
option 2 - drink Kimi 10, which gives you these possibilities:
a) P2 and 3rd Place (Kimi ahead of Vettel), about a 95% chance.
b) P2 and 3rd Place (Vettel ahead of Kimi), if the overcut works (maybe a 10% chance).
c) 1st Place and 3rd Place (exactly what happened), because a Safety Car popped up (maybe a 1% chance).
We all saw how it unfolded. I am NOT saying Haas did that on purpose, but I am saying Ferrari adjusted their tactics specifically for the "miracle" scenario.
I'm not just rambling here; check out what someone slightly more qualified than me has to say about it... 🙂
Edit:
To clarify—Kimi had zero chance of winning, so by running this tactic, they were essentially giving Vettel a shot in case a miracle actually occurred... 🙂