Posts by Dana Baker2

Lawrence Castillo76 said:...

Obviously—this is one of those games where one team looks like they have zero intention of actually winning!🤣
Hornets +2.5 is a massive value play here.

Since today's lines aren't looking half bad, here are two more picks.

Thunder -8.5
After that absolute disaster in LA, the Thunder can't afford any more unnecessary drama—and they won't. They’re still reeling from that last outing, and with Harden sidelined, I don't see Brooks sitting his remaining veterans—who played like garbage in LA, especially Westbrook—anytime soon. They need to shake this off and get their confidence back before the playoffs hit, and this game is the perfect setup for that. Plus, they really need to keep pace with the Heat, though who knows.
What’s crucial is that Cousins is suspended tonight, which leaves the Kings way weaker—especially on the boards. Thornton was already out, so he's likely a no-show tonight too.

Jazz vs. Suns Over 202.5
Even though this is basically a playoff-intensity matchup, I don't think these teams can defend at that level. Phoenix is defensive trash, but they can easily hand 100 points to anyone. Their game is going to rely heavily on perimeter play, and the Jazz are dealing with injury issues there. On the flip side, losing Frye leaves the Suns weak inside—not that they were ever great defensively anyway—and that's exactly where the Jazz attack hits hardest. I agree with my buddy that Millsap goes over, and I'm taking Big Al too. We've seen scores of 212 and 231 in their matchups this season! I don't think Phoenix can hold them back...

The Heat are missing their Big Three, so now we just wait to see if any of the Celtics' bench players step up. Allen and Rondo are definitely out. If even one of them plays, it’s a lock for Celtics -6.5 (the Vegas line is 5.5). Sure, the Heat's overall record matters, but without their Big Three, they can barely take anyone. Chalmers and Turiaf will probably be out too. Boston’s bench has depth—they showed that recently, especially Bradley—and Boston generally defends like hell at home. Against a depleted Heat squad, they shouldn't have any trouble.

Still waiting on news regarding Atlanta. This game means nothing to them, so the Clippers—fighting for that 3rd or 4th seed in the West—should have the edge, but let's be real: this isn't a team you ever bet on to win predictably, even now.

Arthur Hill2 said:Yeah, it’s totally plausible that the Heat show up in Boston tonight without a decent three-point threat—Wade’s banged up, LeBron’s already out there publicly hinting he needs a breather... so who knows if Bosh is even going to grind through it? Might be better if he just sits too.

LeBron isn't playing the last two.😉

Bradley Kern6 said:What do you guys think about Miami at 1.90?

Yesterday was a gift—Portland, the Bobcats, all that...
Out of all my picks, the only ones that actually hit were the unders on Indiana and those awful Nets, which, predictably, played out exactly how they did.🤣
But hey, it is what it is. Not our first rodeo. Today’s slate is much worse, I agree—some of these games are just too high-stakes or too evenly matched to call.
I'm with my buddy on the Hornets. Regardless of whether the Warriors need the pick, New Orleans has been playing lights out since Gordon came back—they've taken 5 of their last 7, even if they choked away a winnable one in LA last time. This team has been the biggest underdog story this season because they haven't even had more than three starters on the floor at once (sometimes zero!). If they stayed healthy, they'd be a lock for the playoffs...
Everything else looks pretty uninspiring, and the board isn't even full yet. Honestly? Might be best to just "sleep on it" today.🧐

graniteotter6 said:Whatever—those picks aren't worth a damn anyway.
I actually hit 1x on NJN. APP last time. This time around? Not happening. By the way—are you seriously that certain NJN won't break 89? 😉
I'm not about to sit here and whine that I missed my shot—though I definitely could've taken it—or worse, show up to the live stream just to make myself look like a complete idiot. 😁 Look, I'll say it again—the bet was small enough that I didn't give a damn. It wasn't worth the stress.

I honestly thought they were actually going to pull off an overtime win—but clearly, they couldn't even manage that.
Well, looks like I’m stuck with this one—probably the only thing that actually lands. Even though this was my top pick from the start. Today, all three scenarios proved exactly why those odds dropped... just my luck.

graniteotter6 said:Funny how everyone suddenly finds their voice the second the games actually start.☕

Ha. Waking up from a coma, I see.😁

The Bucks are looking like a lock for the under... and the Nets are cruising past 89.5. 🙂 We blew it...

Mark Williams15 said:They aren't even getting back in the game

Briefly put...🤣

swiftcrane823 said:and now Washington is making things a little difficult for me☕

They might squeeze out one more basket—though they’re absolute trash in the second half.
EDIT: Barely. 🤣 I'm not even holding my breath with this lot.

stormygull7 said:Cleveland can't miss—I've got them under 190.5 on my parlay... 😂

Stats are everything in the NBA. That’s why I said being 6-0 on the over against them in head-to-head matchups is driving me insane.

Washington only put up 20 in the third. Not good...🙂 Plus, Memphis is starting another one of those legendary streaks where they just absolutely wreck whoever they play—pretty sure they're already 10-0.

graniteotter6 said:Man, 😁
Read faster—they're gonna delete this. 😁

Look, I know I wrote that, but I don't get what you meant by putting 101-100?😕 What were you even thinking there?

The Charlotte Bobcats are insane! They're leading!

restlessmaker9 said:Was Granger even playing?! I can't find him anywhere—is he even on the bench?!

He's hiding!🤣
Check the earlier posts! He isn't playing tonight. Cancel it!😁

swiftcrane823 said:Is anyone watching Detroit vs. Indiana? They hit 106 points by halftime—a 201.5 spread. 🤷

It was 191.5. An easy cover, which is exactly why the odds dropped.

Every single live stream keeps cutting out at halftime—just my luck. I was actually trying to watch this retrospective on the Brooklyn Nets and Dražen Petrović.

graniteotter6 said:I've been 😂 since you said "all in"👍
And they'll end up going 100-101 in Washington. 🤣

When?

graniteotter6 said:Haha, you asked what to take out. If you wanted to talk about Portland, man, you should've just asked like that.
🤦 regarding the overs. You didn't explain that part right either 😁

Look, I didn't ask what to take out! I said I was gonna play all 4, and I did.😉 I thought maybe eventually I'd go with 3 for the heavier games, but there's no point.
And as for the overs—I didn't put them in the head-to-heads, you're right there.

Just wait until we see those tough unders in Indiana and Milwaukee...🤣

swiftcrane823 said:The Washington Post line looks okay 🙂 I still have some Portland under 96.5

Is it even worth loading up on San Antonio—either the standard spread or even the big one—if Portland's roster is actually this pathetic?

Maybe the standard spread, but definitely not the big one—those old guys are gonna be looking for a rest.

[No content provided to rewrite] kaže:
Whatever—I played him myself.
To be honest, I’ve played the handicap too—though more indirectly. I also have the CHA under. 😁
It’s actually eating at me a little—I remember hitting the Memphis-GSW 98 under, but then I see Dallas putting up 182 right after that, and now Portland dropping over 180 last night? No way. It's impossible.

I finally pulled the trigger on those 4—now I've got zero clue what to cut.😁
Look, I’m talking about the 6 head-to-head matchups over—not this season's version of Memphis!

graniteotter6 said:You’re talking big now—wait until Indiana and Milwaukee turn into massive underdogs, then I’ll chime in and predict a final score of 100-101 in DC.
Honestly, I was sweating a bit when they were up 15-16 midway through the first quarter, but I'm chilling now.
And my second main pick? Gone. DC over.
If I could just play solo and stick to my own picks, things would be great.

Just look at how Indiana is playing right now 😁

Sorry, I didn't catch that. The Washington Post might say so, but the Nets are going to choke.🤣

graniteotter6 said:Probably in favor of the under? It’s definitely not looking like a 6-0 sweep for the over.

Yeah! Seems weird to me too, but here we are.

So, this is what I'm riding with:
Brooklyn Nets +8.5
Washington over 100.5
plus
Cleveland +13.5 (everyone's talking about it, so why not? 😁)
Portland under 96.5

What do you think is the better play for Washington—the over or the spread?

The Nets are an absolute disaster.🤣

restlessmaker9 said:He had to go over 🙂
too.

It's just a reversal—stop whining.🤣

restlessmaker9 said:Ben was everything—literally my only hope🙂

So, you betting on the over?😁

mellowhawk5 said:Personally, I’m feeling the Euskal pick—MEM-CLE under for the whole game. Memphis is locking it down defensively, and Cleveland looks gassed after yesterday, so I'm expecting a low-scoring grind too.
But honestly, that same logic failed me last night, so don't take my word as gospel. I'll hang around for another 20 minutes if you guys decide to make a move. 😁

Memphis is sitting at 6-0 on the over lately. That's gotta be a red flag.😛