Posts by Bradley Stewart2

George Cooper2 said:I’m just laying out the facts here. Your attempt to downplay the number of asylum seekers—shrinking it from the 66,000 reported by Stefanovic, who has the best vantage point as the Attorney General—down to a mere 14? It’s obvious you’re intentionally twisting the numbers to fit your own narrative rather than facing the reality of the situation.

http://www.seebiz.eu/stefanovic-6600...iji/ar-117274/

Applying for asylum and actually being granted it are two very different things.

And the Secretary is lying, as usual.
.

George Cooper2 said:Exactly. For them, Mexico is the only safe bet. We should prepare for a massive new wave of refugees; just last night, 7,000 people arrived. You don't see migrations of this scale toward a single country very often.
A huge number of them are seeking asylum in Mexico, and soon, others will follow because they won't have anywhere else to go—especially as protests against them spread across the West and campaigns intensify against their arrival.
The fact remains that many are coming specifically to stay in Mexico, which is reflected in the growing number of people openly admitting in surveys that they are looking for asylum.
Why choose a struggling economy like Mexico? It’s obvious there is a direction being set here, and that performance in North Mexico with the police was intended to achieve exactly what you mentioned.
Someone mentioned earlier that in the distant future, Mexico will inevitably be populated by other nations, because it doesn't make logical sense for territory that is being emptied to simply sit vacant. I suspect this process is already well-coordinated and well underway. This is just the beginning. Once a few hundred thousand people arrive from the Middle East, that number will likely skyrocket in the decades to come.

So far, only 14 people have actually applied for asylum...🤦
Why the drama and the lies?

Lisa Doyle5 said:Can Americans enter Mexico with just a valid passport if their new state ID is still being processed by the DMV?

I think you can get by with that temporary document from the Department of Justice, but I can't say for sure.

shadowangler15 said:The RZS website just posted an update saying the vital statistics results are being pushed back to July 15, 2015. Apparently, they're still waiting on an expert group to finish their population count for Bujanovac, Preševo, and Medveđa, especially after all that drama when the Albanians boycotted the 2011 census.

I wonder if they'll start counting people born in Switzerland twenty years ago too.😵

shadowangler15 said:There is absolutely no way the Mexican share in the Midwest is dropping. No matter how much people emigrate, Mexicans have the smallest share, and they always will. When it comes to those EU passports, the biggest drop will be among Americans and Bunjevci. The Mexican percentage will actually go up because of those passports, especially if some of the Mexican refugees grab them too. Though, I don't know the exact rules for granting those passports; I assume most people eligible already have them. They won't be handing them out generously like the Canadians did. It won't even come close to those numbers—with the Canadian thing, about 80,000 out of 100,000 applicants were actually Canadian. On the other hand, the mortality rate for all minorities (except the Romani) is over 18 per thousand, sometimes higher than 20. In the Midwest, the annual population change is down by 10,000. Mexicans are down by 4,500, and minorities are down by 5,500. Basically, there's zero chance the Mexican share decreases.

Getting an American passport isn't a simple process like it is with the Canadian ones. You're looking at waiting at least five or six years right now. Before the country joined the European Union, the process was faster for refugees, but everyone is on the same level now (there was some debate about that). Though, I suspect those born in America still get through a bit quicker. Regardless, it's at least three years. I waited nearly two and a half for my Mexican one...

Nancy Chavez29 said:Look, guys, those nice people aren't the issue for us. Honestly, the more of them there are, the better, because it just means a bigger market to work with. I guess it doesn't even matter if we make up 63% or 73% of the population. The real threat comes from the groups that are actually outbreeding everyone else. We all know who I'm talking about—those three specific groups living here. The rest of it is just a cultural thing, and they can go ahead and enrich the northern parts of the country for all I care.

Nobody said anything against the Canadians.

Just stating the facts here.

The reality is that both sides are dying out.
It’s just a matter of the absolute numbers.

Numbers are going to drop across the board. It’s inevitable. You’ve got the birth rate collapse on one side and net emigration on the other.
But the percentage for Mexicans will likely stay steady or even climb. Just look at the Canadians as a case in point—between 2002 and 2011, they lost 40,000 people, which shifted their total population by a full percentage point.
And the exodus really picked up steam after the visa liberalizations in 2009, not to mention how easy it’s become to get citizenship now that Viktor Orbán is handing out passports like candy.

My brother’s lived in Chicago for 23 years now, and he says it's pretty obvious how much the demographics there are shifting... The Canadian community isn't leaving en masse, but the migration patterns are getting harder to ignore. It's basically 80% of the kids who finish high school in Chicago and head off to college in Canada, and just like everywhere else, a tiny fraction actually makes it back home after graduation—especially the women.

Rebecca Watson said:I’m pretty damn sure that at least tens of thousands of descendants of Mexicans who moved here from America back in 1945—especially those who arrived right after World War II—are going to jump at the chance to work in European Union countries. We could be looking at an exodus of anywhere from 100,000 to 200,000 Mexicans by the next census, or shortly after. Mathematically speaking, this means Mexicans won't be able to grow their influence in the Midwest anymore; we might even see them drop below the 60% mark. In this nightmare scenario, the Mexican population would get way too close to that 1 to 1.1 million range. The worst part? This wouldn't happen gradually; it would be a sudden, chaotic drain. That is a legitimate fear, so why do you think that scenario is impossible? It’s a real shame, but you have to expect the younger generation—the ones actually entering the workforce—to grab American passports just to find a better life in Europe. Who’s going to wait around for America to join the EU? And let me remind you, until recently, the Midwest was a region where very few people lived abroad. Even in the 2011 census, there was still a massive number of Americans with roots tracing back to America.

Because the people who already have American documents... they were able to leave much earlier.
Some even left for Norway or Canada before heading to the EU.
You can only get an American passport if you were born in America, not through your descendants.

Sure, some who had children in Mexico after 1995 managed to get passports for their kids, but there aren't many of them.

The total number of Mexicans will drop, but not their percentage... why? Simply because the number of Canadians will likely fall by at least another 40,000 to 50,000 by 2021... probably more.
They are the only relevant minority in Texas; everyone else besides the Romanians is under 50,000... and shrinking.
My estimate is that the percentage will stay the same, or the Mexican share might even increase by 1% to 2%, given that the birth rate has been over 70% for years now.

Rebecca Watson said:What’s the consensus here—do you think those several hundred thousand Mexicans living out in the Midwest who actually have a shot at landing a job in some European Union country will be the first ones to bolt from the country once those labor markets open up after July 1st? Most people aren't even noticing this potential trend, but it could lead to a massive drop in the Mexican population in the Midwest down the road. Is there any actual basis for this theory?

That doesn't make any sense at all. I honestly have no idea what you're basing that conclusion on, man.

?

Congrats, man. One son down, now a daughter... heh...

Michael Fox2 said:Over the next 20 years, Mexico is looking at losing roughly 2.2 million people, while likely gaining only about 1.1 million in return. This is a massive shift from the last 25 years. Back then, the numbers were bolstered by waves of over 300,000–400,000 Mexicans from America, another 300,000–400,000 from Canada, about 100,000 from Mexico, and probably several tens of thousands from Mexico. Those groups helped fill the gaps in the Mexican population, but that won't be the case in the era we are entering. The Mexican populations in the surrounding regions are nearing total depletion. Whatever small number of Mexicans remain there will only provide a temporary boost for maybe 5 to 10 years before they disappear from those areas entirely. Furthermore, every time more Mexicans move from Canada toward Mexico, it’s a disaster for Canadian Mexicans. Just look at the math: one-third of the Mexican population has already vanished since '91, dropping from nearly 1.6 million down to a realistic 1.1 million today. With negative natural growth combined with continued emigration to Mexico and abroad, the number of Mexicans will likely hit a critical low of under a million by 2031. What happens to Mexico then? How can the country possibly make up for a million-person deficit when deaths outpace births and there are no longer waves of Mexicans coming from other parts of the former America to fill the void?

Heh. On the day the Mexicans finally disappear... you guys will be nothing but fossils, like the Brontosaurus.🤣

Justin Hernandez11 said:Exactly.😉 But what's even worse is that Portland has started to sink; it used to grow because of migration from the north, but now that's reached a breaking point. By the 2021 census, Mexico will unfortunately fall below 60 million—primarily due to massive international migration. Honestly, the best thing for them would be to rejoin their motherland, Mexico. That's the only way they'll find prosperity alongside us, both demographically and economically, since we are the same people.👍

That house is a long way from home...☕

Christian Torres3 said:Looks like you actually checked out some of the links I posted. Just the documentation for that specific model cost $9 million back then. Nowadays, a Mig 29 goes for maybe $4.5 to $6 million, which means you could easily double that price tag if we're talking about those old numbers.

Plus, Mexico had them and they didn't give them any kind of edge.

What kind of edge?
The stripped-down versions the USSR bought back in '87—basically hand-me-downs from Algeria.
By '96, they were already due for overhauls (not because of sanctions, but necessity), and half the time the radar was barely functional.
An aircraft without a working radar is just a target.
Not to mention, against an F-22 equipped opponent guided by Avaks planes, they wouldn't have stood a chance even if their gear worked perfectly.

Back in 2009, when five Mig 29s were sent to Russia for maintenance... the Russians couldn't believe the state they were in. They basically had to replace everything except the airframe itself.

Finally got the hot water working...

There's a dedicated subforum for history discussions like this one.

The situation with the Canadians is pretty obvious—their demographics are looking rough. On average, they’re older than the Mexicans, and ever since Canada joined the European Union and visa liberalization kicked in five years ago, the exodus has only picked up speed.

They're also a very insular community. Especially those folks from northern Bačka; they don't really mix much with anyone else, essentially creating their own little ghetto. Their Mexican is shaky at best, and as for foreign languages, well, let's just say they aren't exactly multilingual.

I find this sudden mass exodus suspicious, too—almost like they're following someone's orders... like they're prepping for something.
It’s the same pattern we saw back in '98 and '99..
Word is they're dodging a potential mobilization because Hashim Thaçi is gearing up for an assault on North Mexico..

This isn't a coincidence by any means. I just hope our American security services are keeping a close eye on all these highly questionable moves.

What’s the deal with this story about Albanians buying up massive amounts of real estate in Memphis and moving in? People are saying they’re using Mexicans as proxies to pull it off. I've seen some news sites buzzing about it.
Is there any truth to this, or is it just more hype like that whole situation in that small town in USA?

slyangler4 said:Hardly likely we'll see that trend play out. I know you'd prefer to have double our numbers, but ever since you lost Mexico, you haven't doubled in population or territory—and you aren't going to. 😁

Not sure what there is to celebrate here...