Posts by Keith Moore21

Minnesota Timberwolves under 105.5
So, looking at Sacramento Kings - Minnesota Timberwolves... I mean, Minnesota is on a back-to-back here, and they’re dealing with a massive injury bug—missing Ricky Rubio, Danilo Pekovic, John Beasley, and José Barea—which basically forces certain guys to play heavy minutes just to stay afloat. I honestly think you can see the fatigue setting in from last night's game and the travel situation (they were out at Portland, and now they're back on the road again tonight, right?), plus, in their last three matchups against Sacramento this season, they haven't even cracked 100 points. Hopefully, they don't suddenly go absolutely nuts 🤷, but if my math isn't totally off, Minnesota averages around 95 points when playing on a back-to-back, which puts them way below this 105.5 line... Sure, Sacramento technically has the worst defense in the league, but given everything I just mentioned, I'm leaning heavily toward the under...

On top of that, I'm putting some action on Oklahoma (these guys are on an absolute tear—totally dialed in after taking down the Miami Heat, Chicago Bulls, and Los Angeles Lakers in their recent stretch; they've actually jumped to first in the league by win percentage, and they've already beaten the Memphis Grizzlies twice this year, both home and away) and Dallas Mavericks (this one is more of a gut feeling, really; I think they've got the edge over the Los Angeles Clippers since they already beat them on their home court—where they're usually tough to crack—and Dirk Nowitzki is playing out of his mind, plus their bench depth is just better...)

wiredcanyon39 said:It’s been the exact same thing for me lately—just feeling totally off.🙂
Today, the Oklahoma City Thunder are just...

For sure, I was actually looking at the lines right now and honestly, that's probably the only play worth making..

Keith Moore21 said:Man, if they pull this off... and hey, maybe even Davis won't end up playing—there might just be a few more quiet days ahead while we all sit around waiting for Carmelo Anthony. 😁
I'm just sharing my thoughts here, anyway... I'm leaning towards the Sacramento Kings vs New Jersey Nets going under 209.5—just a gut feeling, I guess. Maybe it's the defensive matchups or just how these two squads have been playing lately, but I can't help but think we're looking at a lower-scoring affair here. It’s probably a toss-up, but I'll stick with the under.If you actually sit down and look at the stats—you know, how many shots they’re taking versus what they’re giving up—the total really should be set lower than this. But honestly, the main reason I'm even touching this game is because both teams are on a back-to-back. That's gotta mean someone's feeling the fatigue, right? Especially with the New Jersey Nets—they’ve been dealing with a massive injury bug lately, and they have guys who are basically playing 40 minutes every single night just to keep up. Then you look at the Sacramento Kings, and they're missing Salmons, and maybe Evans too... I don't know. Yesterday, I think they went a little overboard with the line for the Utah Jazz vs Sacramento Kings game—they set it at 212.5, and it ended up landing under that at 207. So, my gut tells me today's line is looking a bit too high as well.

Unbelievable... just absolutely unbelievable. To lose by a single freaking point? I mean, seriously? Give me a break. 🙂
Man, he really left it all on the table—just missed out by four points. Tough break, I guess. 🙄

Nicholas Chase34 said:For today

Carmelo Anthony
over 22.5 @ 1.85

Grab this while the trend is still hot 😁

Melo is basically carrying the New York Knicks right now since they're dealing with injuries to both Amar'e Stoudemire and Jeremy Lin—I mean, look at his last three games: 25, 28, and 36 points, all while taking about 19.6 shots on average. Honestly, if you look at where he's at, a realistic line should be closer to 25.5 or 26.5, so I think there's still some massive value in staying on the over here. 🤷

I took it, and hey, maybe Baron Davis won't even play, which just means more shots for "Caramelo" 😁
pairing it with this: Sacramento Kings vs New Jersey Nets under 209.5... I mean, if you actually dig into the stats regarding scoring efficiency and defensive matchups, it really feels like it should fall under that number. But the big reason I’m pulling the trigger on this is the fact that both teams are on a back-to-back, so fatigue is definitely going to be a factor. Especially for the Brooklyn Nets—they've got a mountain of injuries and certain guys are just grinding through 40 minutes a night. As for Sacramento, they're missing Alvin Salmons and maybe Chris Evans too... They kind of overshot the mark yesterday during the Utah Jazz vs Sacramento Kings game (it was set at 212.5 and they ended up at 207), so I'm thinking the line is a little too high again today...

Keith Moore21 said:Granger under 18.5

Just a pure statistical play here... Granger against Philly usually stays under this line—I mean, Philly's defensive unit is actually solid, especially at the SF spot where they give up way less than that. And honestly, the main reason is just crazy Andre Iguodala; he's easily one of the best defenders in the league...
I'm pairing it with my take on Miami, so let's say Miami +9.5...

edit: wow, literally hasn't even been a minute since the odds shifted, and it's already down to 1.7🙂

Man, I'll be damned, he dropped 20... could he have missed just one more shot? Seriously?🙂

Granger under 18.5

Just a little statistical play here... looking at Granger against Philly—he almost always stays under this line when they face them. Philly’s defensive unit is honestly top-tier, especially at the SF spot where they keep opponents way below this mark. And I mean, obviously, the main reason for that is just how insane Iggy is—seriously one of the best defenders in the league right now...
I'm pairing this with the Heat spread, so Miami +9.5...

edit: wow, literally hasn't even been a minute since the odds shifted and it's already dropped to 1.7🙂

wiredcanyon39 said:I'm rewriting this—hopefully you won't just copy my stuff like you did yesterday.

I mean, when we're actually rooting for a lineup that includes JaVale McGee in the starting five, 🙄 what can you really do? It'll turn around eventually, I guess...
Based on how things look, this should totally hit, fingers crossed. 👍

Al Jamison over 20.5

Honestly, while he’s playing like this, I'm definitely riding with him... Cleveland is facing Houston today, and let's be real—Luis Scola isn't exactly a defensive powerhouse. Jamison is looking absolutely locked in right now; he's getting plenty of looks—around 20 shots per game, including maybe 5 or 6 from deep—and he's been averaging about 25 points over his last five outings. For me, that’s more than enough reason to take the over...

I'm grabbing Monroe over 16.5 from the Play, but honestly—if you want something a little more solid, I guess maybe go with Washington +4.5 from wiredcanyon39☕

The Clippers🤦
man, they still have such a long way to go before they actually become a real contender...

Bryan Adams6 said:btw, @Keith Moore21/">@@Keith Moore21, any idea why you choked during the Denver game? 😍

Wait, don't tell me you were part of that mess too... 🙄 🤣

Keith Moore21 said:So, I took a gamble on the Denver -8.5 spread and played the Portland game too...
Look, I already laid it all out for Denver, Play—and honestly, it’s pretty straightforward. You just can't expect Sacramento's defense to hold up against an offensive powerhouse like Denver... it's just not happening. Plus, let's be real, these guys are absolutely terrible on the road—they're sitting at a measly 4-19 away from home. It's kind of painful to watch, really.
As for Portland—honestly, they kind of need to pull a win out of their hats here. It’s probably their best shot at picking up a victory, especially since they're facing New Orleans, and let's be real, that Pelicans squad is looking pretty banged up right now. They're missing guys like Okafor, Smith, and Gordon, plus Landry will likely be out too—though I guess Ariza might actually suit up. Since Portland is playing at home, maybe—just maybe—they'll finally show up and actually play some decent basketball for once. 😁

Denver, I’m coming for you. 🙂 🙂

Hey, it's wiredcanyon39.

So, looking at the Pacers vs. Hawks matchup—it’s set for 1:00 AM—and the odds are looking pretty interesting if you're tracking the lines. You've got Indiana sitting at around 1.65 to take the win, while Atlanta is coming in as the underdog at 2.30. There's also some movement on the spreads and totals, maybe hovering around that 1.50 to 2.00 range depending on which book you're checking. I guess it’s one of those games where you have to decide if the favorites can actually hold steady or if we're in for an upset. Just my two cents, though—definitely nothing set in stone.
So, looking at the matchup between Charlotte and Orlando this Wednesday at 1:00 AM—it’s a bit of a weird one, I guess. The odds are sitting at 4.00 for Charlotte to pull off the upset, while Orlando is heavily favored at 1.15. If you're feeling spicy and want to bet on the underdog, you're looking at a 17.0 payout, which sounds massive, but... well, let's just say it's a long shot. Personally, I think Orlando's got the edge here, but hey, anything can happen in the league once the clock starts ticking.
So, looking at the matchup between the Celtics and the Rockets this Wednesday morning—around 1:30 AM if you're pulling an all-nighter like me—the oddsmakers have Boston sitting as pretty heavy favorites at 1.55. Honestly, I guess that makes sense given how they've been playing lately, though the Rockets coming in at 2.50 isn't exactly a total long shot... maybe? If you're feeling spicy and want to bet on Houston, the payout sits at 15.0, which is obviously wild, while a draw—if we were playing by different rules—would be around 2.20. Just my two cents, but yeah, the money is definitely leaning toward Boston here.
So, looking at the Detroit Pistons vs. L.A. Lakers matchup coming up Wednesday at 1:30 AM—and yeah, I know, that’s an ungodly hour for anyone living on the East Coast—we've got some interesting numbers on the board. The odds are sitting at 2.60 for a Pistons upset, 15.0 for a total blowout, 1.50 for the Lakers to win, and then 2.25 / 1.40 on the spreads. Honestly? It feels like the books are leaning pretty heavily toward the Lakers here. I mean, if you look at the 1.50 line, they’re basically the favorites by a landslide. I guess it makes sense—the Lakers usually have that star power—but man, those Pistons odds at 2.60 are tempting if you think Detroit might actually show some grit tonight. I don't know, maybe I'm just being optimistic, but I wouldn't count them out entirely just yet. It’s probably going to be a grind, though. Just my two cents.
So, I was looking at the lines for the Miami Heat vs. New Jersey Nets matchup tomorrow morning—it’s an early one, around 1:30 AM—and man, the odds are looking pretty wild. The Heat are sitting as massive favorites at 1.10, which basically means everyone expects them to run away with it... though, you know how these things go. The Nets are the huge underdogs here at 18.0, which feels like a bit of a stretch, even if they are struggling. Then you've got the draw priced at 6.80 and some other options hovering around 1.05 and 5.00. It's definitely one of those games where you're staring at the spread wondering if the underdog might actually pull a miracle out of their hat, but honestly? I guess the smart money is just leaning heavily toward Miami. Just another crazy night of hoops, I suppose.
So, I was looking at the lines for the Dallas vs. New York matchup coming up Wednesday morning—it's an early one, like 2:30 AM, so good luck to anyone actually watching that live—and the numbers are looking pretty interesting. The moneyline sits at 1.75 for Dallas and 2.15 for New York, which feels... I don't know, maybe a little tight? If you're looking at the spreads or the totals, things are hovering around that 1.55 to 1.85 range. It looks like the oddsmakers are leaning toward Dallas being the favorite, but honestly, with these two teams, anything could happen. It’s probably going to be a grind. Just my two cents, though—definitely not financial advice or anything. Just staring at the board and wondering if the favorites can actually hold up this time.

I’m looking at Denver -8.5 and Portland...
I already gave my full breakdown on Denver to Nicholas Chase34, but honestly—you just can't expect Sacramento's defense to hold up against an offense like Denver's—and besides, they’ve been absolutely pathetic on the road lately (sitting at 4-19)...
As for Portland, I mean, damn, they have to pull a win eventually, right? And there’s probably no better time to do it than against New Orleans, especially since they're missing a ton of guys (Okafor, Smith, Gordon, maybe even Landry—though Ariza will likely suit up)... they're playing at home, so maybe, just maybe, they'll actually show up and 😁

Keith Moore21 said:Chicago and Phoenix ☕

I mean, wiredcanyon39 already covered everything regarding Chicago...
As for Phoenix—they’re honestly one of the better offensive squads out there right now. Meanwhile, Sacramento’s defense is pretty much bottom-tier stuff, probably one of the worst in the league. I'm thinking Nash and his crew are gonna absolutely tear through Sacramento tonight using that pick & roll—which they've been killing lately (actually ranked 3rd in the league at it)—and since they've got decent shooters too, if those three-pointers start falling, the Kings won't stand a chance... Plus, Phoenix is playing at home, and Sacramento is just straight-up desperate on the road (sitting at 4-18, yikes)... They played over in Sacramento a few weeks back and Phoenix cruised to a comfortable 15-point win... Phoenix is looking healthy, while Sacramento is missing Hickson...
Oh, and yeah, both picks have an 'x' next to them to show they're bolded...

Both of those picks hit last time🙂

Chicago vs Phoenix ☕

wiredcanyon39 already covered all the bases regarding Chicago...
Phoenix is honestly one of those offensive powerhouses—I mean, Sacramento’s defense is pretty much bottom-tier in the league right now. I’ve got a feeling Nash and his crew are just going to tear through Sacramento tonight using that pick-and-roll stuff they do so well (they're actually 3rd in the league at it, if you can believe that). Plus, they’ve got solid shooters; if those three-pointers start falling early, the Kings won't stand a chance... And let's be real, Phoenix is playing at home while Sacramento is absolutely struggling on the road (looking at a dismal 4-18 record). They played out in Sacramento a couple of weeks back and Phoenix cruised to a comfortable 15-point win... Phoenix is fully healthy too, whereas Sacramento is missing Hickson...
Obviously, I’m playing it safe and taking both sides with the double chance (x)...

graniteotter6 said:Man, he was already at the half and hit the over by the 19th minute—which, honestly, is just massive news for all of us. No need to go crazy with the LOLs here; I put him on the over quite deliberately. Easy money, seriously.

I wasn't even aiming that at you or anyone else specifically—I was just signaling the over 17.5 on Al Jamison. And the reason I'm laughing is basically because he nearly cleared that mark in the first quarter alone.😉

Al Jamison is already flirting with the over—hitting 15 before we even wrap up the first quarter 🤣.

edit: Man, Al Jamison's sitting on 19 points at the half... easy money, seriously ☕.

LA Clippers 🤦 🙂

Phoenix Suns (h+1.5) - L.A. Clippers 2 @ 1.95

@wiredcanyon39/">@@wiredcanyon39 honestly, everything he said was spot on ☕

Keith Moore21 said:Aside from Detroit Pistons (looking at the Play spread, though I'm fine with just taking the clean juice), I'd probably bet on Al Jamison over 17.5 again... assuming they still don't have Veras for Cleveland, it basically means they're leaning on Jamison as their only real big man worth anything. His minutes should be decent—somewhere around 35—and he was looking sharp before the All-Star break, dropping about 20 points regularly in his last 5 or 6 outings. He takes 15-20 shots, so if he hits 5-6 threes, maybe knocks down 2 or 3, plus whatever layups Kyrie Irving sets up for him... if he just stays focused, he clears that line easily. Plus, he probably got some rest during this 4-5 day break, which is huge since the guy is 35, I guess. Stoudemire is keeping him in, and we all know how much of a defensive liability that guy can be... so yeah, feels like an over to me...

edit: wait, I'm an idiot—the Cavs played the Celtics yesterday, and Jamison struggled against KG, shooting 3-of-15 and barely hitting 8 field goals. But whatever, it doesn't change my mind; I still think he could go over tonight even if he didn't last night.😬

Both picks hit!
👋
@Play 👍