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Posts by ruggedgull32

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NBA Finals Betting: Part 2 in Betting Forum ·
shadowjackal27 said:Where on earth are you getting these lines from?

In the US Lottery, Ilyasov is at 20.5 🤣🤣

...so I see that's the line they have over there in the Lottery... but if you're betting live in America, the line is what I told you....🤷
The guys at the big US sportsbooks set their lines based on how players are performing right this second. They don't even bother looking at the actual season stats, like him averaging 12.5...
NBA Finals Betting: Part 2 in Betting Forum ·
..thinking Ilyasov over 13.5 today...
Back on February 19, 2012, they played each other and he dropped 29 points. Today, Robin Lopez isn't in the lineup like he was then. Doesn't change everything since he doesn't play his exact position, but hey, one less big man under the rim helps...
He’s been playing solid lately. If Deron stays out, you could even look at the Milwaukee Bucks to win this one...

Edit
They've taken down the Brooklyn Nets in 4 of their last 9 games...
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Nicholas Chase34 said:Looking at today's lineup... I think I see a few things that don't totally suck:

I don't know. Maybe. Who actually knows? Less than 19.5? Please.
Playing B2B is a killer for anyone hitting their twilight years. It absolutely drains your tank. Honestly, good luck trying to keep up with an absolute freak of nature like Iggy. He’s just on another level.

I don't know what to tell you. It's just Rose. Man, over 23.5? Seriously? You gotta be kidding me.
He totally choked against Indiana last game, but honestly? It looks like he doesn't care how he plays as long as he gets the W. At this rate, Jennings is going to have a hell of a time keeping up with him. Plus, the energy in Milwaukee is basically like playing at home. Or maybe just a neutral site, who cares? Just wins matter now, right? 🤔

Parker Hitting that 19.5 mark? Honestly, who even cares anymore? It’s just numbers on a screen at this point.
Parker really needs to wake up against the Knicks. They’re still playing defense like they’ve got butter on their hands. Honestly, his experience should give him the edge over Lin—that guy just hasn't figured out how to handle elite players yet.

San Antonio to New York. That's quite the trek, isn't it? One minute you're eating brisket in Texas, the next you're dodging rats in Manhattan. Big jump. Looking for anything under $198.50. Anyone got leads?
Maybe the line's a bit too high? I saw a score like 101-94 pop up, but honestly, everyone treats the Knicks like an underdog when you're looking at the betting odds.

Griffin Over 21.5? Please. Give me a break.
Even though Griffin is playing on the road, let’s be real—the Nets don't have a single soul on their roster capable of actually stopping him. I mean, look at the opener: he racks up 6 offensive boards and drops 16 points just by bullying his way to the rim (he was 8-for-12 right at the hoop). Sam Humphries? Yeah, he can't stay glued to him for a second. And the Nets? They basically have no clue how to defend a post-up, a pick-and-roll, or even basic transition play, which is exactly where Griffin thrives. Honestly, unless he starts missing free throws or they get blown out, I’m riding with the over every single time. ☕


So, here's a little taste of what I'm about to dump on you in the next few sentences...
The guys actually showed up and played like they meant it last night. Total turnaround. Me? I’m basically falling apart while listening to some garbage country song on the radio. Just total chaos. 🙂So, about those Clippers... I’ve been obsessed with betting player props lately—over/unders and all that junk. Then last night, I decided to play philosopher and act like I actually knew what I was doing. Big mistake.🙂
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
You think Smith goes over 17.5? What’s the move here?🤷
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
...thinking about picking a system to run today. Honestly, stormyseal9 is always crushing it with some pretty solid setups...
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Nicholas Chase34 said:Just skip him. He’d definitely be an under if he wasn't playing out of his mind right now. Plus, Ariza is coming off that injury, and the guy is famous for shutting down spot-up shooters—keeps them to about 37%. Same deal with Batum, who takes a third of his shots from spot-ups. Generally speaking, New Orleans has a solid defense against spot-ups (#5 in the league).
Their biggest weakness is defending the pick-and-roll, so maybe Aldridge finally gets a decent night at Madison Square Garden.

As for the rest, Denver(best interior offense vs. worst interior defense) + Rose over 34.5 ☕

..thanks for the tip, Play. I've got Aldridge at +20.5, so I'll take him...
Obviously Rose, since my line is +23.5, and this "your" Denver crew...
Lawson is also on fire too, sitting around 18 or 17 in some places, and I have him at +16.5, so he could easily go over...🤷
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
stormyseal9 said:going to try two parlays today on some role players🤷

Batum over 15.5 @ 1.85Westbrook over 23.5 @ 1.85
Paul over 20.5 @ 1.85
Nowitzki over 22.5 @ 1.85
Granger over 18.5 @ 1.85 SS

Jefferson over 17.5 @ 1.85
Ellis over 22.5 @ 1.85
Lawson over 16.5 @ 1.85
Crawford over 16.5 @ 1.85
Jennings under 18.5 @ 1.85
DeRozan over 16.5 @ 1.85 HL🙂

...been watching Batum all day. Looks like you're feeling him too? Honestly, I'm getting nervous he’ll pull that same disappearing act he did against the Hornets last Saturday...🤣
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Arthur Hill2 said:Rose taking on Ellis (Rose’s looking good, he actually PROMISED a massive night tonight, while Ellis has been struggling big time from deep lately.)

The spread on Indiana looks decent to me. 7.5 gives us some breathing room, especially since the Bulls played a brutal game last night.

...Rose is gonna have to step up tonight because they dropped their last one to Indiana, and the underdog isn't exactly a pushover either...
🙂Indiana had an easy win against the Hornets on Saturday, they had yesterday off, but Chicago just came off a grind, so it's a back-to-back situation...
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
wiredcanyon39 said:Someone please copy-paste some decent picks here.

Tue 01:00 Cleveland - Utah 2.10 12.50 1.80 1.80 1.57
575 Tue 01:00 Toronto - Orlando 3.00 15.00 1.40 2.50 1.28
576 Tue 01:00 Washington - Golden State 2.10 12.50 1.80 1.80 1.57
577 Tue 02:00 Chicago - Indiana 1.35 15.00 3.30 1.24 2.70
578 Tue 02:00 Milwaukee - Philadelphia 2.15 13.50 1.75 1.85 1.55
579 Tue 02:00 Minnesota - LA Clippers 1.90 13.00 1.90 1.66 1.66
581 Tue 02:00 Oklahoma - Dallas 1.35 15.00 3.30 1.24 2.70
582 Tue 03:00 Denver - Sacramento 1.30 16.00 3.55 1.20 2.91
584 Tue 04:00 Portland - New Orleans 1.15 17.00 5.55 1.08 4.20

BASKETBALL - NBA - PLAYER POINTS TOTALS
UNDER OVER
3049 Tue 01:00 (19.5)Cleveland - Irving K. 1.85 1.85
3050 Tue 01:00 (19.5)Utah - Jefferson A. 1.85 1.85
3051 Tue 01:00 (18.5)Washington - Wall J. 1.85 1.85
3052 Tue 01:00 (24.5)Golden S. - Ellis M. 1.85 1.85
3053 Tue 01:00 (17.5)Toronto - DeRozan D. 1.85 1.85
3054 Tue 01:00 (21.5)Orlando - Howard D. 1.85 1.85
3055 Tue 02:00 (24.5)Chicago - Rose D. 1.85 1.85
3056 Tue 02:00 (18.5)Indiana - Granger D. 1.85 1.85
3057 Tue 02:00 (18.5)Milwaukee - Jennings B. 1.85 1.85
3058 Tue 02:00 (14.5)Philadelphia - Williams L. 1.85 1.85
3059 Tue 02:00 (24.5)Minnesota - Love K. 1.85 1.85
3060 Tue 02:00 (22.5)LA Clippers - Griffin B. 1.85 1.85
3061 Tue 02:00 (28.5)Oklahoma - Durant K. 1.85 1.85
3062 Tue 02:00 (24.5)Dallas - Nowitzki D. 1.85 1.85
3063 Tue 03:00 (17.5)Denver - Lawson T. 1.85 1.85
3064 Tue 03:00 (18.5)Sacramento - Evans T. 1.85 1.85
3065 Tue 04:00 (21.5)Portland - Aldridge L. 1.85 1.85
3066 Tue 02:00 (24.5)Oklahoma - Westbrook R. 1.85 1.85

...just use this for general idea, these are SportPlus odds from the US...

Edit:
Anyway, I'm gonna vent my frustrations on the Hornets today, so I'm throwing everything I've got on the Portland spread...
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
...maybe Ginobili gets a few minutes tonight...🤷

Edit:
LeBron James can't even sink a shot in an empty pool tonight, let alone Gasol... I bet graniteotter6 would be laughing his head off at us again for taking LeBron as a public bet...
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
...then Gasol could easily slide into the over if Bryant doesn't decide to turn the game into his own private solo show...🤷
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
wiredcanyon39 said:Houston vs LA Clippers, total points over 96.5 at 1.85
5/10


This looks like a potential playoff matchup given how things are shaking out in the West. We’ve got two teams that prioritize offense over defense more than anyone else right now. The Rockets have been playing lights out, especially at home, riding a massive win streak that punched their ticket into the top 8 in the West. But even when they're winning, they're giving up about 100 points a night. Thanks to that killer shooting from Scola - Lowry and Martin, they're consistently dropping 105-110 per game. On the other side, the Clippers have Paul pulling the strings, and they've got Griffin tearing it up along with some solid shooters coming off the bench like Foy and Williams. Butler is a beast on defense, though he probably clears out space under the rim since his three-point shot isn't exactly reliable. The weak link offensively might be Jordan, but he'll chip in with a few dunks and maybe 5-10 points here and there. One big issue? Houston gives up way too many points at the point guard spot. With the most lethal playmaker on the Clippers running the show, their defense is going to be in serious trouble tonight.

...was just about to type that we totally forgot how bad Houston is at guarding the point. Paul could easily cruise to an over tonight...
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
...what are we thinking on Rajon Rondo over 13.5 points+...?
He usually plays pretty solid against the New York Knicks, but Bradley Beal tweaked his ankle on Friday so he might see less floor time... I know Rajon Rondo is a huge playmaker with those assists, but even so, he could still clear this...🤷
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
ruggedgull32 said:New Orleans Pelicans over 87.5 at 1.85. Thoughts?

stormyseal9, you nailed this pick. Seriously, the Indiana Pacers have been crushing that over 90 mark lately—we're talking 13 straight games hitting it. Plus, looking at their last 10, they’ve only failed to clear 87.5 three times. They looked solid against the Dallas Mavericks last night, and apparently, Luis Ariza is back in the mix tonight too. I'm riding with this one.

That's all that's left, really. There's zero chance he clears that line... the Charlotte Hornets are an absolute disaster.
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
New Orleans Pelicans over 87.5 @ 1.85

...stormyseal9, you absolutely nailed this pick. The Indiana Pacers have been consistently clearing 90 lately—we're talking the last 13 games. Plus, out of their last 10, they’ve only failed to hit this 87.5 line three times. They looked solid against the Dallas Mavericks earlier, and it looks like Luis Ariza might be making his return tonight too. I'm riding with this one...
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
ruggedgull32 said:...Carmelo Anthony over again, I've got him at -16.5 at my local spot...
Looks like everyone is betting heavy on John Wall tonight... most sportsbooks don't even have Russell Westbrook listed...🤷
Maybe a parlay with Carmelo Anthony, Kevin Durant, and Russell Westbrook over, plus an X2 on Oklahoma City...🤷
We'll see what happens tonight...

"...Thunder coach Scott Brooks says Russell Westbrook (sprained ankle) is a game-time decision. about 21 minutes ago..."

...That kind of messes up the plan, but if it stays like this, I'm just sticking with Carmelo Anthony and Kevin Durant, maybe toss in the Indiana Pacers...
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
...Carmelo Anthony over again. I’ve got him at my local spot with a -16.5 spread...
Looks like there's a heavy lean on John Wall tonight... a lot of sportsbooks don't even have Russell Westbrook on the board...🤷
Maybe a parlay with Carmelo Anthony, Kevin Durant, and Russell Westbrook over, plus an Oklahoma City Thunder double chance...🤷
Just gonna wait for tip-off...
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
If those guys are out, then I'm looking at Dwyane Wade and Jason Smith over, plus Boozer over, and we're basically set...🤷
maybe even Play Atlanta under...
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
"...If you look at the playoffs too, Rose averaged 24.4 points in his last five games in Cleveland. On the other side, Boozer's been dropping at least 19 and putting up four straight double-doubles against his old squad..."

Boozer over -15.5
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
...Basically, 'Hannibal' Kobe Bryant went full beast mode with that mask and absolutely crushed his own line, leaving us stuck with the Pau Gasol under. Luckily, I was playing defense and actually put some cash on the under—they bumped up the odds too, so at least something went right for me tonight... oh well, a new day brings new chances...