Posts by ruggedgull32

...any word on whether Kobe Bryant is actually suiting up tonight?😕

Nicholas Chase34 said:LaMarcus Aldridge (-23.5+) vs Denver vs Portland Short kings unite. Under 6'1"? Yeah, I see you.
Monta Ellis (-23.5+)—Atlanta vs. Golden State Under 6'1"? Yeah, okay. Good luck with that.
I don't even know where to start with this one. Honestly? It’s just a mess. You look at the stats and you see one thing, then you watch the actual game and realize everything we thought we knew was wrong. Is anyone else actually seeing this, or am I just losing my mind? It feels like we're circling the drain here. Just a total disaster from start to finish. Typical.

Pau Gasol (-16.5+) - Lakers - Minnesota Timberwolves Betting on over 1.75? Honestly, why not. Might be a long shot, but hey, that's gambling.
Jennings B. is absolutely cooked. Down 18.5 points? That's a brutal spread. Milwaukee vs. Boston is going to be a total grind. Short enough? Under 6'1"?
Jamison A (-16.5+) NY-CLE Over 1.85? Yeah, I'm taking that.
I don't even know where to start with this one. Just... wow. Is anyone else seeing this? Honestly, I'm just sitting here staring at the screen like, are we really doing this right now? It’s wild. Truly wild.

Kobe Bryant (-28.5) LAL Min Short kings unite. Under 6'1"? Yeah, we're here.
Tim Duncan (-13.5) vs. Chicago Bulls Better than 1.85? Yeah, I'll take those odds.
I'm still trying to wrap my head around this. Is anyone else seeing this? Seriously, what are we even doing here? It feels like we’re just spinning our wheels at this point. Does anyone actually have a clue how this plays out? I doubt it. Just seems like more of the same, honestly. Typical. Over 1.75? Please.
I can't even begin to deal with this right now. Seriously.

☕

If Kobe Bryant sits this one out tonight, I’m looking at that 16.5 line for Pau Gasol. Honestly? He should clear that by halftime if he plays even half as well as he did a month ago when he dropped 28 on their floor. His game has been on another level lately. This line feels low, too—like we're betting on an EuroLeague player or something. Why is it so low?
Look, if Kobe Bryant sits this one out, taking that -7.5 against the Minnesota Timberwolves doesn't seem like a bad move. I mean, Kevin Love is looking pretty banged up too, but their bench absolutely tore it up last night, so that’s another reason why I’m leaning toward covering that spread.

Nicholas Chase34 said:Milwaukee - Washington, D.C.
under 201.5 @ 1.85

The line feels way too high given how these two squads actually play. Washington is struggling hard to find any rhythm on the road, averaging a measly 90.1 points per game. Milwaukee isn't exactly an offensive powerhouse either; they’re sitting at about 97.8 at home.
When Milwaukee actually wins, they tend to put up around 101.7 while giving up 92.5. Looking back at their head-to-head matchups, they haven't even cracked 190 points in their last six meetings, let alone hitting 200. Usually, one side just falls flat, and more often than not, that's Washington. Last year in December, when they played in Milwaukee, the line was set at 186.5, so this jump seems pretty sketchy to me. Still, there's definitely value in the under here. Realistically, the total shouldn't be higher than 195. 🤷

...man, I got absolutely wrecked...🤦

Nicholas Chase34 said:Man, the Orlando Magic? They're nothing more than a mediocre squad. And suddenly Nelson is out? Yeah, right. Highly suspicious. 😕

What a joke of a roster. 🤮 🤦

...they're playing like some French team like Gravelines, just shooting threes until they either kill the opponent or themselves...🙂
...shame Dwight Howard is just wasting away over there...

shadowjackal27 said:29:20 first bucket for the Hawks.

The Orlando Magic can't hit a three to save their lives. This could be a total blowout by halftime at this rate. ☕

...what a joke of a team. They've got a center like that, yet they just keep forcing these threes... shooting 2-for-12 from deep so far... Congrats shadowjackal27, you called it... this is getting pathetic...
Not against a squad like this...
I'm checking out... peace.

...Stoudemire is already sitting at 7, this isn't looking good at all...🙂

Arthur Hill2 said:I took Chris Bosh over the New York Knicks because the Miami Heat "eventually have to show up" 😍

Just kidding, here’s the breakdown I’m basing this on—should be pretty close:

And honestly, that 9.5 spread is massive. Even in total blowouts, you see the Miami Heat hang around decently. Like, if the Orlando Magic are up by 20, they might claw it back to 12 or something.

Shame Carmelo Anthony isn't on my Stat Sheet; I've got a feeling he’s going to cook tonight.

The matchup between Pau Gasol and Chris Bosh caught my eye too. I'm assuming Tyson Chandler will be riding Bosh hard to make life difficult, especially since we all know how much of a liability Amar'e Stoudemire is on defense. Gasol dropped 24 yesterday, maybe he hits 18 today? That should be enough to edge out Bosh, who basically reclaimed his superstar status once Dwyane Wade came back.

So, my final picks:

Orlando Magic
Chris Bosh over New York Knicks
Pau Gasol over Chris Bosh

...I’m staying away from that handicap, but I'm with you on Gasol. It's like Kobe Bryant sparked some competitive fire in him, plus that comment about letting the guy play without constant scrutiny didn't hurt. And yeah, Bosh definitely slowed down once Wade returned...
Alright, here's what I'm actually playing:
Amar'e Stoudemire under
Orlando Magic -2,5
San Antonio 2
☕

wiredcanyon39 said:The odds on the Orlando Magic are tanking. I grabbed them at 1.80 and now they're sitting at 1.60.

...on some of the online books, it's almost down to 1.50...

...so I'm sticking with the under on Amar'e Stoudemire. Honestly, I think Bosh is going to lock him down tonight. And after reading that nonsense Bones posted? Now I’m feeling like betting on Jeremy Lin is just as much of a joke...
I've got both Amar'e Stoudemire and Jeremy Lin at the -18.5 line or better.
Everyone is betting against the New York Knicks spread, but if they actually shut down the paint and kill their pick-and-roll game like everyone's saying, and then their outside shooting goes cold? They're absolutely cooked...

...man, what is up with Ricky Rubio? I take him at a -11.5 spread, and then he goes and misses 5 free throws...
Everything else went exactly how you'd expect.

For Dirk Nowitzki, I'm seeing lines ranging from -22.5 up to -25.5 😲 🤷
Something about this lower over feels tempting, but I’m definitely taking the under on Kobe Bryant tonight. He's been averaging 18.6 over his last five games in Dallas, so that’s way below the line they set for him today...

ruggedgull32 said:J.R. Smith -14.5+ over
Tony Parker -18.5+ over
Chris Lee -17.5+ over

🤷

☕

P.S.
Deron "dere"...😁

J.R. Smith -14.5+ over
Tony Parker -18.5+ over
Chris Lee -17.5+ over

🤷

analoghound21 said:props to the 76ers🙏

up by 14 at the half, then they go out and score just two points in the first nine minutes of the second half while the Mavericks run off a 19:2 stretch.🙂

Holiday is 0-9
Klay Thompson is 2-9
Edmond Turner is 2-11
LaMarcus Aldridge is 4-15
...

Dirk Nowitzki basically scored as much as their entire starting five combined. Sure, they dominated the paint, but who cares when everything else is a total disaster?🙏

Doesn't matter if they grabbed 13 steals and only had 8 turnovers if they shoot like this—they went 1-14 from deep (7%).🤦

The 76ers have the best bench in the league, which is really the only reason they aren't underwater this season. As soon as they run into a decent team, they just sink.🤦

Terry Cook48 said:Man, you really wouldn't mind dropping a hint about which sportsbook you're actually using, would you?😉

So, I'm looking for the Prime Minister in Canada, but honestly? I'm just trying to figure out if there's even a border crossing like that in the States. Does that even make sense? Who knows.

Man, screw Jeremy Lee67. One basket away from another winning parlay. But hey, I guess I shouldn't be surprised...
First thing I noticed today—and honestly, it’s your fault because reading these posts actually taught me something—is how Houston absolutely falls apart defending the perimeter. Rubio was getting pushed around today, sitting at a -11.5+ margin. His three-game average against Houston is up to 12.3...
He struggled in the first one, dropped 6, then went off for 18 on the road, and just finished with 13. Thoughts?🤷

Edit:
The guy generally plays better on the road anyway. Just checked his stats and he's sitting at -10.5+ out there...

...and nobody’s even bringing up Batum. Can he actually handle a dip past -13.5%?🤷

...since Miller went absolutely ballistic in the first half and we're already sitting at 10, I could probably just cruise to a win right now...🙂

ruggedgull32 said:...hm, now I'm feeling pretty conflicted too...🙂
Orlando is playing pretty trash right now, and honestly, Washington isn't exactly making waves lately either. Sure, they managed to pick up two wins against Charlotte and Oklahoma City, but let's be real—they played way above their actual level in those games. Usually, when these two meet, you're just seeing one side absolutely hammer the other by this much margin.
I don't know, I've got Wallace over 13.5 sitting there as my backup option. What do you guys think about that?🤷

Thanks to the veterans here for the advice. I dropped Orlando, threw in Wallace, and cashed out.😁
Even after seeing that Batum wasn't in the lineup, Wallace was still the better call... on to the next one.

...man, now I'm second-guessing myself too...🙂
Orlando is playing absolute garbage right now, and honestly, Washington hasn't exactly been impressive lately either. Sure, they picked up wins against Charlotte and Oklahoma, but let’s be real—they played way above their weight class in those games. Usually, when these two meet, you can bank on that spread hitting easily...
I don't know. My backup plan is just taking Wallace over 13.5 points. What do you guys think?🤷