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Posts by Amy Rogers6

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Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Richard Wilson4 said:

If Putin were actually the grandmaster strategist everyone claims he is, he wouldn't have messed with Crimea. He would have just slapped sanctions on Ukraine right after Viktor Yanukovych fled.

The people would have turned on the government during the first economic crisis, and then boom—they'd end up with another Russian puppet in Kyiv.

Bottom line: the guy isn't some genius.

He’s got a bunch of yes-men in his inner circle telling him Russia is still a superpower. He invaded Ukraine hoping to crush them in three days while assuming the West wouldn't do anything about it. That's the whole story.

We're talking about an army that ran out of fuel in the first few weeks, was eating food rations that expired back in 2015, didn't even have gear for night fighting, and so on...
If Putin were actually the grandmaster strategist everyone claims he is, he wouldn't have messed with Crimea. He would have just slapped sanctions on Ukraine right after Viktor Yanukovych fled.

The people would have turned on the government during the first economic crisis, and then boom—they'd end up with another Russian puppet in Kyiv.

Bottom line: the guy isn't some genius.

He’s got a bunch of yes-men in his inner circle telling him Russia is still a superpower. He invaded Ukraine hoping to crush them in three days while assuming the West wouldn't do anything about it. That's the whole story.

We're talking about an army that ran out of fuel in the first few weeks, was eating food rations that expired back in 2015, didn't even have gear for night fighting, and so on...
What a freaking genius. Where did I even say that? Look, I’ve always said—and I still stand by it—that Russians are massive complex-driven types with an insane inferiority complex regarding the West. When I say they prepared, all I mean is they had a contingency plan for Western sanctions ready to go, and they actually pulled it off. If they hadn't, their economy would have imploded by now. That level of prep didn't just happen overnight when the invasion started.

Plus, those missiles are packed with Western tech—how exactly did they manage to pull that off if they wanted to be able to fire stuff like Iskanders? They knew damn well they’d be cut off from those components immediately, which means they must have stockpiled a massive supply back before February ended. And another thing—this whole attempt to build a payment system isn't some last-minute scramble. Why would they kick the entire process into gear if everything was running smoothly before the invasion?

The answer is dead simple—the Russians didn't just suddenly decide to invade back in February. That whole idea had been simmering in their heads for a long, long time.

For crying out loud, you only need basic common sense here, not a PhD in nuclear physics...

The way Russia fights is a whole different beast. They thought they could just pull off some Blitzkrieg move and sweep through Ukraine—kind of like how the US does things—but they don't have anywhere near the readiness or the coordination within their military branches to actually pull off massive operations like that. It’s not even a question: they got absolutely wrecked right out of the gate.

It’s honestly pointless to sit here debating what Russia could have pulled off back in 2014. They just don't have the chops to push through color revolutions when they're staring down the barrel of the West. Sure, the Soviet Union had that whole ideological framework thing working for them once, but that's ancient history.

I'm not even talking about all that—I’m talking about the facts that are sitting right there like an elephant in a glass house.

Russia’s been prepping this invasion for a long time. If they hadn't spent all that time getting ready, there's no way they could actually handle this much economic pressure.

The European Union is completely unprepared for this mess. Honestly, by pushing all these sanctions on Russia, they’re basically setting themselves up to fail. It doesn't even matter if the Russians win or the Ukrainians win—the EU is going to end up getting screwed regardless. And frankly, they barely deserve better when the entire Brussels bureaucracy is just a bunch of idiots clinging to their cushy, taxpayer-funded seats.


And that’s exactly the point—everyone’s just obsessing over whether Russia is going to crush them, if they're playing some insane game of 6D chess, if they'll eventually get shut down, or if Ukraine is actually going to pull off a win. It's all just noise.

Regarding that last bolded point—what’s actually new here? Honestly, the Russians have been playing this same blunt, "brute force" game throughout history. It’s always just mass moving against mass; they haven't figured out any other way to operate. They won't be ready for another 20 years, let alone be able to pivot and start following NATO standards overnight. If you want to look at where they *have* actually made progress, it’s their grip on the financial system, food production (aiming for total self-sufficiency), and energy control. All of that required serious groundwork, much of which involved strategic diplomatic maneuvering and securing energy guarantees long before the war even started.

What a total mess. It’s like I’m trying to write in Japanese or something—absolute nonsense. Screw this 6D chess bullshit, Vladimir Putin, and whoever thinks they have a better doctrine than everyone else...☕
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
mojneinen said:You're literally the only one cheering here.
I have to ask, why on earth are you rooting for an aggressor who’s tearing a sovereign nation apart and trying to erase its right to exist?

Look, if you're wondering who I'm backing in this Ukraine-Russia war, it's Ukraine. Period. Even if it's just because I'm an American, and as someone from a country with a heavy history, I'll stand up for international law—which is basically falling apart right in front of us. That's why I backed the intervention in Syria, too. But hey, clearly you aren't smart enough to see past the propaganda... whatever, man. Peace out.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
rowdytiger13 said:Not even close. That’s a massive overshoot.

Fine. We'll see who's left standing soon enough—these trends should play out through 2023. If this war drags on...

Time will tell,

Later, tiger...☕
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Christian Torres3 said:If your only metric for good writing is being a pedantic philosophy nerd, then you’re missing the point entirely. You were talking nonsense before, and you're back at it again—acting like people have the memory of a goldfish and can't remember what you were spewing six or eight months ago.

Russia just blasted out some "victory manifesto" to every newsroom out there, and word is they’ve even got medals ready for when they "liberate" Kyiv. Meanwhile, the White House is absolutely shitting itself over the sanctions, but apparently, everything is perfectly staged and ready to go on their end. Most epic setup in history, clearly.

Since you’re clearly such a genius, why don't you explain how Russia managed to stay on its feet despite all those sanctions and massive pressure? They were supposed to have completely imploded within three months, right? At least that's what the big-shot Anglo think tanks were preaching at the start of the war. Honestly, looking at the sheer scale of the sanctions, I personally figured the Russians would be neck-deep in it—maybe even triple-dipping in crap—by now.

It’s like you guys all collectively lost the few brain cells you had left to pure fanaticism. There’s zero substance here—just mindless cheering. You sound exactly like the Russian agenda, just on the flip side of the coin. Honestly, that’s why I stayed away from this thread; you can’t find three smart people in here. It’s nothing but blind hype that completely ignores geopolitical reality.

I'm out. I'll leave you guys to your cheering and shouting. See ya this winter—assuming this war doesn't drag on forever. I'm actually pretty curious to see what you'll have to say about the global geopolitical situation once we're deep in it.☕
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
crimsoncyclist71 said:Why dig up history from so long ago?
We were just watching Russian fascists running out of gas on the roads in Ukraine not that long ago. Their preparation was top-tier. 😵

No doubt—but when you stack that against the Russo-Finnish war and look at the force ratios on paper, they look like they're piloting Star Destroyers right now...
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
rowdytiger13 said:I'm not sure what you mean by "fold"?
They might hit a recession, but they'll survive it. The Americans aren't going to let them sink completely, and neither will the Chinese.
If you're talking about their influence on the global stage... they'll probably end up even more dependent on the USA, if that's even possible.
Russia isn't going to become the next global superpower. They've essentially sidelined themselves and will be lagging far behind, much like the USSR did back in the day, while remaining close allies with China.
China is becoming a superpower, and I highly doubt anyone is actually going to stop them. People are already bracing for a multipolar world with multiple major players. European politicians are openly acknowledging this, even if they haven't quite spelled out the details yet.

Europe is going to lose its industrial and tech edge, standards of living will tank, things will get radicalized, and honestly, within the next 50 years or so, they won't even be a relevant geopolitical factor anymore. If that sounds like a stretch to you, then I don't know what does...☕
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
crimsoncyclist71 said:They entered this war prepared?!? 🤦
If going up against a nation of 40 million people counts as being "prepared," then an unprepared invasion would have been an absolute disaster...

Just look at that Russian disaster with Finland during the winter war—that should give you all the context you need...☕
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Nancy Gomez26 said:

I stopped reading there. If they spent all that time preparing, only to roll into a full-scale conflict using truck tires that might as well be made of cardboard, then all that planning was a complete waste of breath. One could write entire volumes on how "preparation" (if such a thing even existed) was fundamentally flawed, but this point alone is more than enough.
I stopped reading there. If they spent all that time preparing, only to roll into a full-scale conflict using truck tires that might as well be made of cardboard, then all that planning was a complete waste of breath. One could write entire volumes on how "preparation" (if such a thing even existed) was fundamentally flawed, but this point alone is more than enough.
Come on, name me one single Russian war in history where they actually showed up prepared.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Christian Torres3 said:

Russia wasn't getting ready for this kind of scenario. From your very first sentence, your premise is totally wrong. This isn't "reality," it's just a bunch of wishful thinking from a movie you aren't even watching.
Russia wasn't getting ready for this kind of scenario. From your very first sentence, your premise is totally wrong. This isn't "reality," it's just a bunch of wishful thinking from a movie you aren't even watching.
First off, don't go projecting some pro-Russia bias onto me—you know that’s not my vibe, especially after everything regarding Syria. Just because I’m not an Anglophile and can’t stand them either is your problem, not mine...

Secondly—sure, the Russians couldn't have known every single tool that would be used against them, but they definitely knew they'd get hit on energy flows. That means both financially and technologically (especially when we're talking about the chips needed for the defense industry). Even a kid could see that—which is why they prepared. What points to that conclusion? The fact that they secured their energy supply right before the invasion through deals with India and China (just look at Lavrov’s visits—where was he hanging out or who was he meeting with for at least a year leading up to the invasion)?

Plus, it's obvious they stockpiled enough Western tech before the invasion, because there's no way in hell the Russians could be shelling Ukraine like this otherwise—and don't even get me started on how they handled the ruble and the payment systems...

Do you honestly believe the "brilliant" Kremlin cooked all of this up in a month once the invasion started? Because if you do, you're just a Putin fanboy believing in his superpowers... I don't see any other explanation...☕

If they weren't ready, Russia would be on its knees economically right now, begging for negotiations...
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
"Quote:"
rowdytiger13 said:Here’s what an actual professional had to say about this topic:
The USA will come out on top. They'll be the ones selling the weapons and the fuel.
China and India win too. They'll pick up energy from Russia at deeply discounted rates.
Europe is basically screwed.
Russia played a massive strategic masterstroke.

I’m with most of you on this one—except for two things. If the USA actually wants to turn a real profit and hit its targets, it has to take down China. It’s just a necessity at this point. Honestly, it’ll probably all boil over once things get messy around Taiwan; you don't exactly need to be a genius to see that coming.

Russia won't lose if the EU manages to commit suicide over the next year—especially since disco prices were actually better than the regular ones before the conflict kicked off. 😁All they'll end up doing is handing their cash straight over to some Chinese conglomerate. That's how this goes.☕

The EU is basically a walking suicide mission at this point. They’re gonna throw anyone under the bus just to wrap up this war in Ukraine if it drags on past 2023.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·

rowdytiger13 said:Germany is essentially bracing for a recession, and doing so with a fair amount of discipline. I suspect they'll handle the fallout better than we will, attempting to soften the blow however possible—even the Greens are backing down, and there's even talk of returning to coal.
It’s going to be ugly, but Europe will pull through. Ukraine will bury Russia.

Do you actually think Russia just woke up one morning in 2022 and decided to invade Ukraine on a whim? Please. This war didn't just happen overnight—it was being cooked up for at least five years. They knew exactly what they were doing, and they absolutely expected the West to push back. Just look at how they've pivoted their entire geopolitical and economic strategy in response. That’s the reality right there.

Russia benefits from dragging this conflict out into the winter—the longer the war lasts, the better (well, not *too* long, because a multi-year grind would eventually wreck them too). Their play here is to snap the weakest link in the Western bloc—specifically the EU—as they see it as the fastest route toward a multipolar world, which is one of their main goals. The thing is, it looks like Russia has started playing the "controlled chaos" game just like the Anglo-Saxons. But history has proven a thousand times over that chaos is a fickle beast; you can never fully control it. Look at Hitler—the Allies basically had more luck than sense early on, which kept that chaos from blowing up in their own faces. And let’s be real: the Germans have historically been some of the biggest geopolitical idiots in civilization, which is clearly still true today. Honestly, that just adds a massive stroke of luck to the equation.

I mean, I could see it happening where China ends up buying into the stock market—and I'm not just talking about Russian assets here. That whole process is pretty much a foregone conclusion. The only thing that can actually stop them is the USA, and they’d have to do it through a direct war that they absolutely HAVE to win. And let's be real, that's no walk in the park.

When it comes to Germans—they’ve always been clueless, and honestly, they haven't changed. They have such massive complexes; sometimes I feel like they’re even worse than the Russians, whose unstoppable geopolitical screw-ups don't seem to slow them down one bit. They’re just fundamentally limited when it comes to global strategy.

So you're saying the German messed up? 😁 They didn't screw up; they were just dreaming of a massive Eurasian powerhouse—different from Russia, sure—where they’d call all the shots using their tech and industrial muscle, fueled by cheap Russian energy. Honestly, there’s no mistake here; it’s pure, cold calculation. And it’s nothing new, either. They choked twice during the war, and now they think they can just slide back in through the economic backdoor? Yeah, not gonna happen. Not when they're simultaneously trying to grab a leash on Europe and making another play for the Middle East at the same time.

I'll tell you exactly how this winter in Germany is going to look if this war drags into 2023. There are really only two ways this plays out: either Germany ends up on its knees begging for any solution they can find while their society starts radicalizing, or they pivot their remaining resources into the defense industry to gear up for a new Eastern Front. That’s it. There is no third option. Everything else they're yapping about is just empty rhetoric that's going to get swept away by pure energy logic.

Why do you think Germans are praying for this war to end ASAP? They’re honestly ready to let Russia just steamroll Ukrainians if it means getting their power back on full blast. They couldn't care less about what happens to Ukraine—as far as they're concerned, they can be wiped off the map if it means the energy keeps flowing.

The Anglos are just playing the long game with Ukraine—they just need them to hold out for another four or five years. Honestly, whether they actually win the war or not isn't even their main concern. The real goal? Bleed Russia dry. If they can exhaust them now, it opens up a clear path to target China later, who would be left completely isolated and way easier to take down.

Ukrainians only have their grit to rely on at this point. Honestly, I’m pulling for them and hope they pull through—though it’s gonna be a hell of a fight. That psycho leader just gave a speech for the G7 that basically screams he isn't stopping until he hits total occupation. But let's be real: he probably only has a year left. Russia doesn't have the economic stamina to keep grinding like this without destroying themselves in the process. And by "destroying themselves," I don't mean people or equipment—we all know that guy doesn't count human lives or hardware as actual losses.

Bottom line: at this rate—especially if the energy crisis keeps spiraling (which, let’s face it, is totally on the table)—the EU is going to tank and vanish from the geopolitical map entirely. And honestly? That's the least of our worries. I'm not even going to bring up those failed solutions or all the other agendas they forced through back in 2019...

That's just the cold, hard geopolitical reality. Everything else is either blind cheerleading (which I get) or just loud, obnoxious nonsense, and frankly, I'm sick of hearing it.☕
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
crimsoncyclist71 said:Explain to me how sanctions don't get results when a sanctioned nation suddenly loses billions in energy export revenue. I honestly don't see how they can weather that without something shifting. Care to clarify?

So you're actually suggesting India and China just stopped buying Russian oil? And then magically stopped flipping it on the market to places like the European Union? As long as the G7 isn't the only game in town, no amount of sanctions is going to kill Russia's energy profits... It’s like you guys can't count higher than your own fingers. Cheering and wishful thinking are one thing, but reality and basic logic are something else entirely....☕
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
rowdytiger13 said:1. What are the odds that sanctions actually hit Russia where it hurts?
Zero.

2. What are the chances of a Russian uprising?
Slim.

3. What are the odds someone finally takes out Putin?
Unlikely.

4. What are the chances of Ukraine winning and reclaiming all occupied territory?
Low.

5. What are the chances of NATO stepping in to flip the script on this conflict?
Absolutely none.

6. What are the odds that the European Union avoids taking a massive hit?
None at all.

I'm all for the sanctions; in the long run, they’ll sever Russia from Europe and neutralize their influence entirely. It’ll pivot them toward Asia, and in ten to fifteen years, even Europeans will just view them as an "Asian power."
Europe is already being forced to find alternatives to Russian energy, and they're finding them... once that happens, Russia is a memory.

I don't have a problem with any of that if you can explain where the EU is going to find a replacement for Russian energy—and how they plan to move it into Europe? And all of this just by sheer willpower?

Even the Germans aren't on board with this; they're basically shitting themselves at the thought of those valves being turned off. According to them, a huge chunk of their industry is toast...

So, it looks like we're more likely to see some new Hitler rise to power in the short term than we are to see Russia take a massive hit.

Bottom line: what's the point of sanctions if they don't achieve anything besides wrecking the EU?
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
analogbear5 said:- what are the odds sanctions make it harder for the Russians to fight?
1. zero, 2. slim, 3. high

Sanctions aren't designed to "crush Russia"—that’s just not happening. That's just the line Putin supporters push to make everything look useless.

It's like that Black Knight from the Holy Grail. 'Tis but a flesh wound. I mean, the guy is still standing, right?

???

Then why bother? So we can crush the European Union instead?
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Richard Wilson4 said:Russia occupied Crimea back in 2014.

Germany pulled the plug on Nordstrea 2 THIS YEAR...

That isn't being naive, man, it's being shady...

The Schwabo crowd would literally whip America over election laws in Canada, all while cutting deals with the Russians just to line their own pockets...

That's where they showed their true colors—when it comes to geopolitics, those Germans care about nothing besides stuffing their faces with bratwurst and pork knuckles....

If they were already committed to those pipelines, they should have pushed them through regardless, or better yet, started looking for alternative routes way back in 1990—ideally ones that wouldn't get cut off by the Anglo-Saxons....

Germans? Geopolitical sheep. Now they can just sit there this winter watching old footage of the Fuhrer and hope it keeps their industrial output from cratering....☕
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
rowdytiger13 said:Olaf Scholz told CBS that the Russian invasion of Ukraine has completely shattered any illusions about global progress or the idea that borders wouldn't be forcibly redrawn through territorial grabs and aggression against neighbors.
He noted that Vladimir Putin essentially embodies those old-school leaders who believe a nation's true strength is measured by conquest.
The Chancellor also admitted that this invasion forced Germany to undergo a massive pivot in its long-standing foreign and defense policies.
He conceded that Germany made a huge mistake by not preparing to rapidly diversify its energy sources away from their primary suppliers. He called it a major oversight, adding that all of Europe has learned a hard lesson and won't let it happen again; the goal now is to ensure they can switch to a different distributor at a moment's notice.
He believes we’re heading toward a multipolar world with several power centers, and that the war in Ukraine will only end whenever Vladimir Putin decides it's over.

Anyway, he speaks well enough.

If there was actually any truth to what Scholz is saying, he’d be discredited for running a chicken coop, let alone Germany....

The reality is Germany lost. Again. Whether they go in with an imperial, nationalist, or liberal setup, they end up losing—and Russia will get a partial win because they're being cut off from German tech for the third time now....

Only this time, I’m not so sure the Anglo-Saxons are going to come out on top. China looks like a much more serious contender for the throne, especially since the West basically handed them Russia on a silver platter along with all that energy and military might. The total degeneration of Western think tanks is obvious, and there's going to be a price to pay for that (and we'll likely be paying part of it)....

And Ukraine? God help them, because nobody else is stepping up when things get desperate, and they're right in the line of fire....☕
How do I delete my posts and clear my activity history? in Feedback & Suggestions ·
Steven Fox37 said:Maybe you aren't seeing posts because the search function has been glitching out lately?

NOPE. I can't see my own posts or anyone else's in the stats. I'm gonna have to ask the admin to weigh in on this mess...☕
How do I delete my posts and clear my activity history? in Feedback & Suggestions ·
Casey Bennett said:Larry Allen34, honey, maybe call in your personal assistant to draft a coherent question—maybe throw in some specific examples and screenshots of the errors you're seeing, too.
I'd love to help you out, and you know I've got a soft spot for you, but damn, I have no idea what you're talking about. 😢

Oh, and about the signature. Yeah, it’s gone. Not just yours, either—you’ve officially joined the elite club. There aren't many of us. 👍

I can't see anyone's post count in the stats—mine or anyone else's—if that makes sense. I keep getting this error:

hilderik, you do not have permission to access this page. This could be due to one of several reasons:

1. Your user account may not have sufficient privileges to access this page. Are you trying to edit someone else's post, access administrative features or some other privileged system?
2. If you are trying to post, the administrator may have disabled your account, or it may be awaiting activation.

Why?

And Casey Bennett—what's the deal with stripping my signature? Is this some special COVID clearance thing only you understand? Which rule did I actually break?
How do I delete my posts and clear my activity history? in Feedback & Suggestions ·
Charles Fox10 said:Here you go:

Wait, why aren't my own posts showing up? I mean the ones that haven't been nuked—and why can't I see anyone else's stuff in the stats? Also, where did my signature option go? Is this some new update or am I just glitching out?
How do I delete my posts and clear my activity history? in Feedback & Suggestions ·
I’m looking for an admin to explain the absolute madness going on here lately...

First off, you wiped over 1,500 of my posts—yes, one thousand five hundred—without a single comment or notification. This whole thing happened overnight, just within the last two days. I’d love an explanation. It’s not like you haven't nuked piles of my posts before—maybe a hundred or two since the pandemic stuff started—but a cut this massive is a hell of a precedent...

On top of that, I can’t even see my own posts anymore. Why? No heads-up, nothing. Is this some technical glitch, or am I dealing with straight-up censorship?

And wait, there's more—my signature was stripped away too. Again, done overnight without any notice, like some low-life petty thief hitting a corner store in the middle of the night. I need an answer: is this a tech issue or more censorship?

I also noticed my inbox was slashed from three hundred messages down to two hundred. Technical error or just more pressure being applied?

Thanks in advance for responding. Seriously, I need an admin to weigh in here because these issues go way beyond your typical site glitches...☕