Paul Sanders5 said:I’m trying to look at the big picture here. Okay, so right now we're all stuck in this weird isolation phase, but let’s just dream for a second—imagine the absolute best-case scenario where we kick off June without any more Corona. We, the Americans, and pretty much all of Europe.
Then August rolls around, tourists start flooding back in—people from all over, even Singaporeans—and boom, here comes Corona again. What then? Are we just looking at another round of this whole mess?
Seriously, those damn Chinese people and their constant feeding habits.
Based on the data regarding recoveries and basically everyone else, once you get over it, you shouldn't be able to catch it again (I even stumbled upon some info saying you couldn't even spread it, though I'm skeptical about that part).
Following that logic, they'll likely need another 3 to 4 cycles of self-isolation or quarantine, but each one should get shorter and hit fewer people. Looking at the data out of China, they're predicting the first cycle will last about 8 weeks—though I'm assuming they didn't just copy China's timeline because things will definitely drag on longer here since people are idiots and won't follow the rules.
Unless the virus mutates, then we might actually be screwed.