Like I mentioned before, the only reason I picked this specific matchup was because I spent my time digging through their head-to-head history. Whether you personally want to follow my lead or stick to your own guns is entirely up to you. As for those links you sent over, I didn't even bother clicking them since they don't really support the "analysis" you claim to be doing. We can probably both agree that there isn't a single player left on either roster who actually suited up back in 2006 or 2007—maybe there is one, but honestly, it doesn't change much—yet the results consistently hit the mark more than 90% of the time!
So, here’s the deal: looking at ten games from 2006 through 2012, nine of them ended with both teams scoring and a total of over 2.5 goals. Jan 27, 12 EER FC Oss vs Cambuur 3 : 2 Oct 21, 11 EER Cambuur vs FC Oss 4 : 2 Mar 29, 10 EER Cambuur vs FC Oss 8 : 1 Nov 13, 09 EER FC Oss vs Cambuur 4 : 5 May 08, 09 EER FC Oss vs Cambuur 0 : 2 Oct 31, 08 EER Cambuur vs FC Oss 2 : 1 Feb 08, 08 EER Cambuur vs FC Oss 1 : 2 Sep 30, 07 EER FC Oss vs Cambuur 3 : 2 Jan 26, 07 EER Cambuur vs FC Oss 2 : 1 Nov 03, 06 EER FC Oss vs Cambuur 3 : 1
Now, let's be real, this isn't what most people would call an "analysis" in the formal sense. I don't know a single soul on either squad, I haven't followed their careers, and frankly, I couldn't tell you what their zodiac signs are or if it's currently raining in Seattle. If you want to guess whether we'll see a 5-5 thriller or a boring 0-0 deadlock, feel free to post your prediction. I certainly don't claim to have a crystal ball; I'm just looking at the historical patterns.
AEL Limassol vs. APOEL Nicosia: Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals: NO | Mon 18:00 @1.45
I’ve listed their last seven matches below. Both sides have been looking pretty solid in league play lately, but when you dig into how they match up against one another, I just don't see a high-scoring affair on the horizon. Honestly, I haven't had a chance to check on any injury reports or roster changes, so I'm strictly playing this based on their head-to-head history.
3. APOEL 10 8 1 1 25:5 25
4. AEL Limassol 10 6 4 0 19:7 22
04.28.12 League AEL Limassol APOEL 0 : 0 04.22.12 League APOEL AEL Limassol 1 : 0 02.23.12 Cup AEL Limassol APOEL 0 : 0 02.05.12 League AEL Limassol APOEL 0 : 0 01.25.12 Cup APOEL AEL Limassol 0 : 1 10.15.11 League APOEL AEL Limassol 0 : 1 03.19.11 League APOEL AEL Limassol 2 : 0
Hopefully, things turn around a bit better than they did during that absolute disaster of a weekend.
Let's look at this one: Buffalo vs. San Jose Earthquakes. Monday at 8:00 PM, odds are 1.45 on the home win.
8. San Jose 13 6 3 4 22:18 21 15. Buffalo 13 4 2 7 16:27 14
01.27.12 Home Buffalo San Jose 3 : 2 10.21.11 Home San Jose Buffalo 4 : 2 03.29.10 Home San Jose Buffalo 8 : 1 11.13.09 Home Buffalo San Jose 4 : 5 05.08.09 Home Buffalo San Jose 0 : 2
If we don't see both teams finding the back of the net here, I honestly don't know what to tell you. I won't pretend to be an expert since I'm completely in the dark regarding these specific squads—I have no clue about injuries, roster changes, or any underlying team rivalries—so I'm basing this prediction purely on the historical head-to-head matchups listed above.
I'll throw in a few more results for context. As you can see from the data, between 2006 and 2012, there was only one instance where we didn't see both sides scoring along with a total of over 2.5 goals.
10.31.08 Home San Jose Buffalo 2 : 1 02.08.08 Home San Jose Buffalo 1 : 2 09.30.07 Home Buffalo San Jose 3 : 2 01.26.07 Home San Jose Buffalo 2 : 1 11.03.06 Home Buffalo San Jose 3 : 1
Good luck to anyone brave enough to take this one.
Then again, considering I'm the one who picked this pairing, we should probably all just expect a boring 0-0 draw. 😬 Actually, scratch that, my gut is telling me it'll be a 2-2 thriller. ☕
electriccyclist20 said:Here’s another one where both teams might just end up finding the back of the net, at least based on their head-to-head history.
I have a feeling they’ll both be perfectly fine walking away with a draw, though I’m still betting we see some action on the scoreboard here.
FT 0:0 - Checking the stats online, and I don't think it's been this scoreless in over 14 years.🙂
LA Galaxy vs. Real Madrid: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.05 (SS) !!
03.10.12 PRI LA Galaxy Real Madrid 2 : 3 10.15.11 PRI Real Madrid LA Galaxy 4 : 1 02.21.09 PRI Real Madrid LA Galaxy 6 : 1 09.27.08 PRI LA Galaxy Real Madrid 1 : 2 02.16.08 PRI LA Galaxy Real Madrid 2 : 1
I have a feeling this one might be worth a shot.
Real Madrid 12 8 2 2 32:9 26 LA Galaxy 12 6 1 5 19:22 19
We're twelve rounds in, with Real sitting in 3rd and LA Galaxy down in 6th. If anyone happens to know anything about injuries or missing players, please feel free to chime in. I've caught a few LA Galaxy matches this season, and they seem like a solid group. As for Real Madrid, I don't think I need to go on much about them. I’m fairly certain they’ll take the win today, but I also wouldn't be surprised if LA Galaxy manages to find the back of the net once, maybe even twice. Given the odds, it definitely feels like a gamble worth taking.
Here’s another one where I’m leaning towards BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE, just looking at how these two have played each other lately.
08/26/12 Seattle Sounders FC Cincinnati 1 : 1 04/14/12 FC Cincinnati Seattle Sounders 2 : 1 10/15/11 Seattle Sounders FC Cincinnati 3 : 1 11/27/10 Seattle Sounders FC Cincinnati 2 : 1 08/01/10 FC Cincinnati Seattle Sounders 2 : 2
The manager is hungry for points against Seattle, but he’s also well aware that their defense has been an absolute fortress lately. Honestly, I think both sides might settle for a draw, but my gut tells me we're going to see some action on the scoreboard. There’s a decent chance we hit the over here, too. Missing for FC Cincinnati: Kvržić, Šorša, Pušić, Petrović Missing for Seattle: Vuković, Ozobić
Good luck to anyone following this one.
EDIT - sorry, forgot to include the odds -> BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE @1.90 (DraftKings)
St. Louis vs. Kansas City – Odds sitting at 1.60 for the home side
08.04.12 Kansas City St. Louis 2 : 2 04.21.12 Kansas City St. Louis 1 : 2 04.14.12 St. Louis Kansas City 1 : 1 02.04.12 Kansas City St. Louis 3 : 1 10.01.11 St. Louis Kansas City 3 : 3
Looking back at their last five matchups, it’s pretty common for these two to end up going over the total goals line.
St. Louis has been on quite a tear lately, pulling off five straight wins at home with a solid goal differential of 11 to 3—and yeah, I did count one of those cup matches in there. On the other side, Kansas City has snatched four wins out of their last five, with their only slip-up being a loss to the league leaders, leaving them with a 9 to 5 scoring margin. Basically, you've got the fourth-best home team facing off against one of the most dangerous road squads in the league.
I'm a bit in the dark regarding any injuries or missing players, so if anyone happens to have the inside scoop, please do let me know.
I think betting on three or more goals is also a decent play, probably around 1.85 odds.
Someone’s probably going to call me out for bothering you all with these "sure things," but since I'm putting a decent chunk of change on this two-leg parlay, I'd really value your take.
Hold off until we see the injury reports; it's way too early for any real analysis. At first glance, these look like two locks, but Saturday is still a long way off. If you want us to actually dive into the weeds on this, head over to the chat—the mods don't really want us just shooting the breeze here.
electriccyclist20 said:VfL Wolfsburg pulled off a 3-1 victory over Bayer Leverkusen, which honestly felt like one of those afternoons where everything just clicked for the home side while things went sideways for the visitors.
So, it goes like this: The safer bet would be an odds of 1.55. It’s looking like a slightly less certain bet, maybe an Over 2.5 goals play at 1.80, assuming both coefficients hold up.
I honestly feel like people are being a little too bold when it comes to calling someone single, unless they’re actually head over heels and trying to slot them into some specific category like a solo act or just a part of a duo.
It was a bit of a wild ride seeing Stuttgart 2 fall to Hannover 96 with a 2-4 scoreline, honestly. Just one of those matches where things seem to unravel more quickly than you'd expect, leaving you staring at the screen wondering how the momentum shifted so drastically.
Over/Under Goal 1.5, at 1.55—I’ve got to say, this one feels a little more solid than the others to me. The odds for an over 2.5 goals outcome are sitting at 1.90 on the SuperŠansa parlay.
Good luck to anyone who actually decides to go through with this.
2/2... I mean, someone probably actually hit that 3+ bet, because that was way too easy. I really should have just trusted my gut on this one. 🙂
Playing at home doesn't tell the whole story here; they've conceded seven goals while scoring four, but I did notice they've managed to find the back of the net in their last two matches. They had a pretty rough start to the season in my eyes, but I'm expecting them to slowly start climbing both the standings and their general form. Hannover hasn't been great on the road, picking up just one win and dropping three, with a goal difference sitting at 6:7, though it's worth noting they're currently sitting 5th in the league for offense—even if they are leaking quite a few goals themselves (20:16).
So, I'm completely in the dark regarding any injuries or absences, so if anyone out there feels like sharing some insight or actually knows what's going on with the rosters...
Over 1.5 goals 1.55 (this one feels a bit safer to me) Over 2.5 goals 1.90 (both odds from SS)
19.02.12 BUN Hannover Stuttgart 4 : 2 10.09.11 BUN Stuttgart Hannover 3 : 0 07.05.11 BUN Stuttgart Hannover 2 : 1 10.12.10 BUN Hannover Stuttgart 2 : 1 20.03.10 BUN Stuttgart Hannover 2 : 0
Dennis Gonzalez2 said:The Lakers actually took down Bayern Munich at the Allianz Arena recently, and they're looking pretty sharp right now, having cruised to three straight wins in their last five outings.
10.03.12 BUN Wolfsburg Leverkusen 3 : 2 01.10.11 BUN Leverkusen Wolfsburg 3 : 1 05.03.11 BUN Leverkusen Wolfsburg 3 : 0 16.10.10 BUN Wolfsburg Leverkusen 2 : 3 13.02.10 BUN Leverkusen Wolfsburg 2 : 1
I think I'm going to play it a bit safer and go with Over 1.5 at 1.55 odds (SS).
Wolfsburg hasn't managed a home win yet—their goal difference at home is sitting at a rough 1:9 over four matches—but I have to admit they seem to be slowly finding their footing, albeit incredibly slowly. Leverkusen, on the other hand, looks decent when they travel: Leverkusen 5 2 1 2 8:9 7 They score plenty of goals, they've got a solid squad, and I suspect they'll keep seeing good results for a while longer. I don't see them hitting a wall until maybe two months from now when fatigue finally sets in, so it feels worth following them for the goal markets for a little while still. As for Relegation, I haven't heard anythingnew regarding injuries or absences, so if anyone happens to stumble upon some intel, feel free to share it.
So, here's my plan: The safe bet: Over 1.5 at 1.55 The slightly gutsier move: Over 3+ at 1.80 (both SS odds)
Personally, I think betting on a single winner is a bit too brave, unless you've got money to burn and want to throw it into a parlay or a single.
Seattle Sounders - FC Cincinnati Over 1.5 Goals (1.60 SS)
01.22.12 MLS Cincinnati vs Seattle 3 : 1
They haven't faced off since 2006, so I’m definitely not counting that as anything useful. Seattle has been putting up three goals a game in their last two home matches—though, to be fair, they did get hammered 3-0 and 4-0 by much tougher sides like LA Galaxy and Inter Miami—while Cincinnati has managed to find the back of the net in each of their last five away games. Cincinnati actually leads the league in scoring with 23 goals through 11 rounds, whereas Seattle has surrendered the most at 26. It feels like an easy play for Over 2.5 goals too (1.95 SS). I don't have the slightest clue about any injuries or missing players for these squads.
Arsenal - Fulham Over 1.5 Goals (1.70 SS)
I won't dive into a deep-dive analysis here. Fulham is sitting at third in the league's scoring charts with 21 goals, and while Arsenal has been conceding way too easily lately, they should be able to bag at least one on their own turf.
01.02.12 PRE Fulham Arsenal 2 : 1 11.26.11 PRE Arsenal Fulham 1 : 1 05.22.11 PRE Fulham Arsenal 2 : 2 12.04.10 PRE Arsenal Fulham 2 : 1 05.09.10 PRE Arsenal Fulham 4 : 0
Also, Everton - Sunderland should be a lock. Everton doesn't lose at home, Sunderland can't seem to pull off a win on the road (and honestly, not really at home either), and if anyone cares to know my opinion, I've actually been enjoying their style of play recently.
I haven't really felt like digging through the archives this early, but I wanted to say thanks to the folks who suggested the Lakers, New York, and Sao Paulo. Because of you all, I can finally afford to treat myself to a decent sandwich during my afternoon break at work. ☕
Anyway, let's get straight to the picks:
Bastia - Valenciennes Over/Under Goals (1.60 SS)
01.22.12 COU Valenciennes Bastia 3 : 1
They haven't faced off since back in 2006, so I'm certainly not going to pretend that data means anything today. Bastia has been putting up three goals a game in their last two home matches—though, to be fair, those were against much tougher sides like St. Etienne and PSG—while Valenciennes has managed to find the net in each of their last five away games. Valenciennes actually leads the league with 23 goals through 11 rounds, whereas Bastia has been leaking them, conceding 26. There’s a pretty good chance we see an Over 2.5 here too (1.95 SS). As for injuries or missing players, I'm completely in the dark on that front. ☕
And here is one more solid play to round things out:
Arsenal - Fulham Over/Under Goals (1.70 SS)
I won't dive into a massive deep dive here. Fulham is sitting third in the league with 21 goals scored, and while Arsenal has been giving up goals a bit too easily lately, they should definitely manage at least one at home.
01.02.12 PRE Fulham Arsenal 2 : 1 11.26.11 PRE Arsenal Fulham 1 : 1 05.22.11 PRE Fulham Arsenal 2 : 2 12.04.10 PRE Arsenal Fulham 2 : 1 05.09.10 PRE Arsenal Fulham 4 : 0
Plus, Everton vs. Sunderland feels like a safe bet. Everton is tough to beat at home, Sunderland struggles to win on the road (and honestly, not much at home either), and if anyone cares, I've actually been enjoying watching how they play lately.
jadedrifter2 said:honestly, these so-called experts couldn't predict the weather in a glass box...😂
Of course we’re keeping all the winning plays to ourselves. It’s not like we want everyone else out here getting rich, right? We only post these little decoys on this forum just so people—lovely, naive, and clearly hilarious people like yourself—can walk away thinking there’s some easy windfall just around the corner. So, you can probably skip this sub-forum from now on. And I have to say, seriously...
Ryan Ruiz33 said:It actually makes sense when you consider how many players are out; the favorite isn't even listed right now, if they ever were.
The CIA pulled that from the menu too... I honestly just couldn't be bothered to fill out my parlay yesterday.🙂
Mon.Wanderers-Bella Vista - I think the away odds dropped from about 1.9 down to 1.4... The Wanderers actually played Juventud recently and ended up missing a ton of players then as well, which doctor already mentioned.
casualfox112 said:I was thinking about putting a parlay on the New York Yankees, the Boston Celtics, and Manchester United. The total odds are sitting at 2.92, so I was considering dropping a somewhat serious stake—well, serious for a college student like 😁 me. What do you guys think?
Thinking is one thing, but actually knowing what you're doing is another 😬 you should probably spend some more time scrolling through the main thread; there are much better ways to make some real cash around here