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Soccer Betting Tips & Discussion

Started by James Taylor3 · · 👁 213 views · 2.6K replies

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Participants James Taylor3Bryan Adams6casualangler4Carol Moore5driftingotter47stormyharbor13jadewolf16Eric Fox7Michael Morgan5Daniel Edwardsironcyclist81wiredcanyon39silverridge3driftingbear35cosmicheron21driftingcrane27Carl Torres21Nicholas Patel52Casey James56Matthew Rodriguez9hiddenfox64wiredwolf442Grace Gomez46northernpuma …
Matthew Taylor15 Matthew Taylor15 Active Member
76 messages
joined Sep 2013
#1381 ·
Dinamo vs HNK Rijeka: both teams to score 1.75 @SS (3-0)

Two sides playing aggressive football where a goal fest is basically expected today... Dinamo's defense is prone to making mistakes—no doubt about it—so I wouldn't be surprised if Andrej Kramarić finds his way into their net. Same goes for the Dinamo attack; they woke up last week against NK Istra 1961 and I don't see why they couldn't bag at least one goal, if not more.
Ashley Johnson6 Ashley Johnson6 Member
18 messages
joined Mar 2015
#1382 ·
Pogon vs Korona Kielce over 1 (1st half) @ 2.05 (1-0)

Honestly, both teams are just in incredible scoring form right now. Pogon has hit two goals in the first half in five of their last six league games—and I think Korona has done it in four of their last six too. They always seem to find the net when they play each other... feels like solid value here.
Eric Fox7 Eric Fox7 Regular
320 messages
joined Jul 2012
#1383 ·
Andrew Howard14 said:The guy basically plays twice
First time by hitting three goals
Then again by aiming for four (if he hits four, he breaks even, five or more means profit, anything less than four and he’s busted)
That three-goal scenario is his safety net—if both hit, he’s laughing all the way to the bank, but if not, he’s looking at one where he just gets his stakes back plus whatever little extra depending on the units😁

Look, I get all that—I was just commenting on my own question and how he answered it 🙂
Ashley Johnson6 Ashley Johnson6 Member
18 messages
joined Mar 2015
#1384 ·
Wolfsberger AC vs Admira Wacker over 4 @ 3.90 (5-0)

Wolfsberger AC has woken up a bit lately. They're a controlled side, but the thing about them is—once they lose discipline, things tend to spiral for a while... plus, last season those Austrian teams had some wild high-scoring finishes toward the end of the fall... Red Bull Salzburg already finished 2:4 today, so let's see...

out of pure respect for those crazy high-scoring days from Wolfsberger AC, I have to try 7+ @ 21
Ashley Johnson6 Ashley Johnson6 Member
18 messages
joined Mar 2015
#1385 ·
Corinthians vs Criciuma over 3 @ 2.08 (2-1)

Last round of the league—matches that don't really matter anymore—both teams have been scoring like crazy lately (Corinthians 5:2, Criciuma 2:2)... plus, Criciuma is basically the worst team in the league, etc., etc., etc...
jadewolf16 jadewolf16 Active Member
80 messages
joined Oct 2014
#1386 ·
Monday 5:30 PM

USL League One: Matchup @ 2.70 (Current Score 2-0)

1. Can you believe it? Nine straight games in this league now without a single home team taking the win! Crazy streak, right?
2. Vicenza is absolutely killing it compared to Brescia—they're sitting higher in the standings AND they've got way better momentum lately.
3. Plus, Brescia looks totally gassed after that midweek cup clash against San Diego FC, while Vicenza has had a solid 9 days to rest up and stay fresh!
Eric Fox7 Eric Fox7 Regular
320 messages
joined Jul 2012
#1387 ·
A quick rundown of the Champions League groups heading into the final matchday tomorrow:

A
Juventus vs. Atletico Madrid—now that’s an interesting matchup to chew on. You look at these two sides and it’s basically a chess match disguised as a football game. It's all about tactical discipline and seeing who blinks first under pressure. Honestly, watching high-stakes European matchups like this always makes me wonder if we'll ever see that kind of defensive grit back in the MLS, though maybe that's just wishful thinking on my part. Anyway, let's see if anyone can actually break through those lines.
The matchup between Olympiacos and Malmö—it’s one of those fixtures that always feels like a bit of a clash of cultures, doesn't it? You've got the intensity of the Greek side against that disciplined Scandinavian approach. It’s funny how these European nights work; there’s a specific kind of tension you just don't get in domestic league play—something about the stakes feeling heavier when you're playing under those lights. I was thinking about it earlier—kind of a tangent, I know—but it reminds me of those old-school matchups back in the day where the underdog would just absolutely frustrate the favorite through sheer grit. Malmö has that reputation for being incredibly organized, almost clinical, while Olympiacos brings that raw, emotional energy that can either fuel them to greatness or lead to total chaos if they lose their heads. It's a fine line, really. One minute you're controlling the tempo, the next you're staring at a red card because someone lost their cool in the stands or on the pitch. Just goes to show, football isn't just about tactics; it's about temperament.

Atletico. It looks like we’re looking at an outright win here—unless they end up dropping one to... I can't say I'm entirely convinced about Juvea—it feels like one of those things that sounds much better in a pitch deck than it does in actual practice. It’s got that certain... polished sheen, you know? But underneath all that branding, I find myself wondering if there's any real substance there, or if we're all just being sold a very expensive dream. I mean, I want to be wrong, truly, but my gut is telling me to stay cautious. Two or more differences.
Juventus? Honestly, I don't know where my head is at lately—maybe it's the weather, maybe it's just the sheer exhaustion of following sports—but looking at Juve right now... man. It’s a lot to process. Just a lot. They basically just need one point to punch their ticket—whether Olympiakos wins or loses, those guys are headed straight to the Europa League regardless.
Olympiakos... honestly, where do you even start with them? It’s one of those clubs that just feels like it exists in its own orbit—massive, intense, and always making things interesting, for better or worse. They have this way of pulling you in, isn't that just how it works? You think you're just watching a game, and suddenly you're deep into the drama of their season. Just one of those teams that refuses to be boring. Either we take the win—which, let's be honest, is the only goal here—or, if things go sideways, we just deal with the fallout. Chicago Because they’ve got such a solid head-to-head record, they're basically cruising straight into the Europa League.
Now that's actually pretty interesting.

B
Real vs. LAFC
I was looking back at that Loop-Chicago matchup—and man, things just didn't click the way anyone expected. It’s one of those games where you look at the stats and think one thing, then watch the actual play and realize the whole logic was flawed from the jump. Just one of those weird, messy afternoons where nothing quite felt right.

Real. First. Liverpool... man, where do I even start with them? It’s one of those teams that just lives in your head rent-free, whether you love the chaos or hate the hype. They play with this specific kind of heavy-metal energy—always charging forward, sometimes looking like they’re about to fly, other times looking like they’ve completely forgotten how defense works. It’s exhausting to watch, honestly, but you can't really look away. There’s just something about that atmosphere at Anfield that makes everything feel ten times more intense than your average Sunday afternoon game. Even if you aren't a die-hard supporter, you have to respect the sheer, unadulterated drama they bring to the pitch every single week. He’s gotta win this one. There's just no other way it plays out. I'm still trying to wrap my head around Basela—it’s one of those things that just sits there, isn't it? Just kind of hovering in the periphery of everything we talk about. I was thinking about it earlier while grabbing coffee, wondering if we're all just looking at it from the wrong angle. It feels like one of those topics where you think you've got a handle on it, then someone drops a single detail and suddenly the whole foundation shifts under your feet. Anyway, just a thought. Down to the round of 16. I can't say I follow much of what's happening over in Switzerland—it’s just a bit too far out of my orbit—but I did catch some news about Basel recently. It seems like one of those places that everyone knows about, yet somehow stays tucked away from the usual American radar unless you're looking for something specific. Regardless, there's always something interesting brewing in those European hubs, isn't there? Just a thought. Honestly, one point is plenty—they’re just playing on another level right now. They've got that 2-2 energy going, and frankly, you can't even argue with it. I don't know about you guys, but I’ve been thinking lately—and this might sound a bit out there—about how much we tend to overlook certain groups just because they aren't part of the "mainstream" conversation in the States. It's funny, really... we get so caught up in our own little bubbles, whether it's the politics in DC or whatever is trending on Twitter, that we lose sight of these other communities. You know, those people who are just living their lives, doing their thing, but rarely get a seat at the table when the big decisions are being made. It's almost like we've collectively decided they're just background noise. But if you actually take a second—just a real, honest second—to look closer, there's so much more going on beneath the surface than most people realize. Anyway, just a random thought rattling around my brain today. What do you all think? Am I just overanalyzing things, or is there something actually there?.
In the event of a tie at... Fenway Park., The Bulgarians... They really need to get their act together and secure that win. Madrid. Honestly, if they actually want to make it into the Europa League, a loss might be exactly what they need right now. It sounds counterintuitive—I know, I know—but sometimes you just have to take one for the team to fix your standing. Just a weird thought I had while staring at the standings. Liverpool? Honestly, I can't even get started on them without feeling like I'm going to end up on a three-hour rant about tactical inefficiencies—though, maybe that's just me being overly critical. It's funny how everyone seems to have such a polarized view of them lately, isn't it? One minute they're the kings of the pitch, and the next, you're watching them struggle through a match and wondering if anyone actually bothered to check the lineup. Just one of those things, I suppose.I mean, at the end of the day, even just picking up a single point—just one—it really does count for quite a bit. In Madrid.(I just can't deal with the Round of 16.)

I can't believe I actually sat through that whole thing—just total chaos from start to finish. It felt like watching a slow-motion car crash where nobody even bothers to hit the brakes. You’d think after all the hype leading up to this, we might have seen at least a little bit of actual competence, but nope. Just more of the same. Honestly, I was sitting there thinking about what James Taylor3 said earlier regarding the tactical setup, and he was right—it was fundamentally broken from the jump. You can't just throw talent at a problem if the foundation is made of sand. It’s like trying to run a high-end tech startup with zero leadership; you might have some smart people in the room, but without a roadmap, you’re just spinning your wheels and burning cash. And don't even get me started on the officiating. I mean, really? That call in the second half? I’ve seen better judgment at a local DMV. It’s frustrating because you want to stay optimistic—really, you do—but it’s getting harder to justify staying invested when the quality stays this consistently mediocre. Anyway, rant over. Just needed to get that off my chest.
Looking at the Monaco vs. Zenit matchup—honestly, it’s one of those fixtures that feels like a total toss-up once you look past the surface level. You’ve got Monaco coming in with that high-octane, aggressive style they love, but then there's Zenit, who can be incredibly stubborn when they decide to sit deep and frustrate an opponent. It’s basically a clash of philosophies—pure momentum versus disciplined structure. I was thinking about this earlier while watching some old highlights, and it really comes down to whether Monaco can break that initial shell without leaving themselves wide open for a counter. If they overextend too early, they’re asking for trouble. It’ll be interesting to see if the tactical setup holds up under pressure.
So, I was sitting there watching the Benfica vs. Bayer Leverkusen match—and honestly, my brain was halfway through a sandwich by halftime—but man, what a tactical chess match. It’s one of those games where you realize just how much the modern game has changed. You have these two sides playing such distinct styles, almost like watching a heavyweight boxer try to dance with a technical middleweight. One side wants to bulldoze, the other wants to pick locks. It makes you think about how much prep goes into these European matchups. It isn't just about who has the faster strikers; it's about who can survive the mid-field pressure cooker without losing their cool. If you look at how Leverkusen manages their transitions—it's almost surgical—you see why they've been such a headache for everyone lately. They don't just play soccer; they manipulate space. And Benfica? They aren't exactly pushovers, either. They play with this grit that feels very old-school, even when they're trying to be modern. I remember reading this piece in the New York Times about the evolution of high-pressing systems, and it really clicked during the second half. Once the gaps started opening up, the whole structure just... evaporated. It’s frustrating to watch when you're a fan of a more defensive setup, but you can't deny the beauty of a perfectly executed counter-attack. It’s like a well-timed punchline in a comedy set—everything has to land at exactly the right millisecond or the whole thing falls flat. Anyway, just some thoughts while I finish my coffee. What did you guys make of the tactical shift in the 60th minute? Felt like a massive turning point to me.

Bayer Sure thing. Munich. That's enough points. Zenit? Honestly, I can't quite wrap my head around why people are still talking about them like they're some kind of unstoppable force. It’s funny how certain teams just stick in your mind—not because they're actually good, but because they're constantly *there*, looming in the background of every conversation. It feels a bit like that one neighbor who won't stop mowing their lawn at 6:00 AM on a Sunday—you don't necessarily want to engage, but you can't really ignore the noise. He’s got to pull it off. I guess I’m just sitting here thinking about the old ways—you know, back when things felt like they actually had some weight to them. It’s funny how much everything shifts over time, isn't it? One minute you're looking at the foundations of a kingdom, and the next, you're just trying to make sense of the modern chaos. Just one of those wandering thoughts that hits you out of nowhere. Just to make it through to the next round.
The Portuguese. Just get knocked out of every single bracket.

D
I was watching that Galata vs. Arsenal match—or rather, trying to watch it while dealing with my neighbor's leaf blower—and man, what a chaotic mess. It’s one of those games where you just sit back, shake your head, and wonder if anyone actually planned a strategy before kickoff. Arsenal looked like they had things under control for a bit, but then everything just sort of... unraveled. It’s like when you think you’ve finally organized your garage only for a storm to blow through and scatter everything everywhere again. Total madness.
The Dortmund vs. Anderlecht matchup—man, what a classic clash of styles. You’ve got that high-octane German energy going up against a side that just seems to have this old-school Belgian grit. It's one of those fixtures where you can really feel the tactical tension building from the opening whistle. Honestly, watching these two sides square off feels a bit like watching a heavyweight bout between a fast-twitch sprinter and a seasoned brawler; one relies on pure momentum while the other tries to pick apart the rhythm. I was thinking about it earlier, and it really comes down to whether Dortmund can sustain that relentless press without leaving themselves wide open for the counter. If they get too greedy, Anderlecht will absolutely punish them. Just a fascinating little chess match waiting to happen.

Total snooze fest.
It’s really just a fight for that top spot in the group now—nothing else matters. Arsenal. Just... Arsenal. There’s a certain way they play that keeps you perpetually stuck between being absolutely mesmerized and wanting to throw your remote at the TV. It's that specific kind of beautiful chaos that only they can pull off—one minute you're convinced they've finally mastered the tactical masterclass, and the next, you're wondering if they've forgotten how to defend a simple corner kick. It's exhausting, really. But I suppose that's just part of the ritual at this point, isn't it? To snag that first-place trophy, they're really going to need to land a deal with someone like Amazon or maybe even Apple—someone with that kind of massive reach. Turkey? Honestly, I can't say I'm surprised people are talking about it—though, given how much we love a good geopolitical drama, maybe it’s not that surprising after all. It always feels like there's some massive shift happening over there, doesn't it? Just one thing after another. Anyway, I was thinking about this while grabbing a coffee earlier—it’s funny how these international headlines just sort of bleed into our daily lives without us even noticing until someone points it out. Like, you're just sitting there, minding your own business, and suddenly the whole world feels a little more complicated. Any thoughts on where this is actually headed? Or am I just overthinking things again? Probably. Definitely probably., a The way people talk about soccer teams like they’re some kind of religious institution—it’s wild. You look at a club like LAFC or maybe even a massive legacy outfit like the New York Yankees if we were talking baseball—and there's this whole aura around them. It's that specific weight of history, that feeling that you aren't just watching a game, you're participating in a lineage. People get so caught up in the "glory days" of these storied clubs, and honestly? I get it. But sometimes it feels like we spend more time mourning the past than actually looking at how the squad is playing right now on the pitch. Just an observation. I don't know, maybe we should just celebrate it? I mean, honestly—why wouldn't we? It feels like we spend so much time overanalyzing every little detail that we forget how to actually enjoy things when they happen. Sometimes you just have to lean into the moment, grab a drink, and let it go. Just an observation. Germany (ako Dortmund... honestly, I can't help but think about that atmosphere when you talk about them—it's basically the German version of being at a massive Sunday afternoon game in Pittsburgh or maybe even some high-energy crowd in Seattle. There’s just something about that yellow wall energy that stays with you. He picks up a point—just like that. Arsenal. Just... Arsenal. Honestly, looking at them lately—and I mean really digging into the tactical shifts we've seen over the last few seasons—it’s a bit of a rollercoaster, isn't it? You have these flashes of absolute brilliance where everything just clicks, and then you hit those stretches where it feels like they’re playing with lead boots. It’s that classic tension between being genuinely elite and still having those "growing pains" that keep you up at night. Not that I'm complaining, mind you—I've lived through enough bad cycles to know when things are actually trending upward—but man, the volatility can be exhausting if you're too emotionally invested. Which, let's face it, most of us are. He’s gotta hit all six numbers in the draw—nothing less. I don't know—maybe we should look toward Turkey? Or, well, if we're talking about finding that kind of energy or market potential closer to home, maybe somewhere like Texas or even parts of the Sun Belt would be a better bet for this specific move. Just a thought. First place, baby!
Eric Fox7 Eric Fox7 Regular
320 messages
joined Jul 2012
#1388 ·
Here’s the breakdown for Wednesday:

E
Bayern-CSKA
Roma-City

The Bavarians are basically a lock, Roma just needs a draw against City to move on—even a 0:0 would do the trick (unless the Russians pull an upset in Munich). City can settle for any draw from 1:1 onwards, though—provided CSKA doesn't snatch a point away at Bayern. If they do, we end up with a three-way tie where City ends up bottom of the heap in fourth, Roma takes second, and CSKA grabs third.
Actually, even a win won't save City if CSKA manages to grab those 3 points.

F
Barca-PSG
Ajax-APOEL

Barca has to beat PSG to clinch first place, while APOEL needs a win over the home side at the Amsterdam Arena to stay in the Europa League hunt.

G
Chelsea-Sporting
Maribor-Schalke

Chelsea is a safe bet for top spot. The Portuguese club only needs a single point to secure second, but if they stumble and Schalke pulls off a victory in Maribor, then Sporting is relegated to the Europa League.
Maribor is hunting for a win at Stadion Ljudski vrt to keep their European dreams alive this spring.

H
Porto-Shakhtar
Athletic-BATE

Porto should take first, leaving the Ukrainians in second. BATE actually has a shot at staying in Europe if they can somehow pull a win against Porto.
Bryan Adams6 Bryan Adams6 Active Member
80 messages
joined Jul 2012
#1389 ·
LP - Tuesday, 12/09/2014.

Olympiacos - Malmo; Olympiacos -1.5 @ 2.10 (4-2)

The Greeks still have a shot at advancing, but they’re basically at the mercy of whatever happens in Turin. They need to do their job and grab three points, which pretty much guarantees them an Europa League spot regardless. This season, they’ve been absolute beasts at home—they shut out Juventus 1-0 and watched Atletico crumble 3-2. Meanwhile, Malmo has been a disaster on the road, getting hammered by Juve 0-2 and crushed 0-5 by Atletico. Sure, Malmo took 2-0 in the first matchup back in Sweden, but Olympiacos dominated that game with 68% possession and held their own in shots. These guys are a completely different animal at home. I expect them to vent all that frustration from their domestic league and just steamroll Malmo by at least two goals.
jadewolf16 jadewolf16 Active Member
80 messages
joined Oct 2014
#1390 ·
Wednesday 2045

Chelsea(T.R.)-Sporting CP 0:0 @ 9,00 (3-1)

Honestly, Chelsea doesn't even need this one—it’s Sporting who's desperate for the points. Mourinho being Portuguese definitely adds a layer here (who knows how much they love him over there?), so maybe it'll play out like that Germany vs. USA match in the third round of the World Cup? Who knows, maybe the underdog pulls it off this time!
Plus, that first leg in Lisbon was a total grind, ending 0:1. Chelsea looks like they might be hitting a little slump lately—I mean, look at those scores against Sunderland and Newcastle—so scoring against a super motivated Sporting side isn't going to be a walk in the park.
William Palmer49 William Palmer49 Newcomer
1 message
joined Dec 2014
#1391 ·
jadewolf16 said:Wednesday 2045

Chelsea (T.R.)-Sporting Lisbon 0:0 @ 9.00

Chelsea doesn't really need anything here, but Sporting needs the point. Mourinho’s Portuguese... I don't know how much they love Sporting versus their own, but it reminds me of that match between Germany and the US in the third round of the World Cup. Maybe they pull it off this time.
Even in the first leg in Lisbon, it was a tough 0-1. Chelsea might be in a bit of a slump—Sunderland 0-0, Newcastle 1-2—it won't be easy for them to find the back of the net against a highly motivated Sporting side.

😲
Mourinho being the coach and a die-hard patriot, huh? So, what beats them in the first leg?
The 6th round of the Champions League and the 3rd round of the World Cup... what's the link there? Coaches from the same country, I guess.🤣
Chelsea is in a minor crisis after losing their last one at Stamford Bridge. Tottenham beat them 3-0,
By the way, don't the players get bonuses for every win? Especially in a "prestigious" league like the Championship?
X could show up, sure, but a 0-0 draw? No way. That would just be too pathetic.
driftingotter47 driftingotter47 Newcomer
9 messages
joined Jun 2018
#1392 ·
Barcelona vs. PSG: Over 2.5 goals at +2.05 on FanDuel (3-1 outcome)
Both sides are hungry for that top spot in the group, so they’re almost certainly going to field their heavy hitters. Honestly, you don't even need to break down the firepower here—it's Messi, Neymar, and Suarez facing off against Ibrahimovic, Cavani, and Lavezzi...
The first leg in Paris was a wild 3-2 shootout, and I fully expect this matchup at the Camp Nou to be just as wide open and entertaining.
Looking at the "Over 2.5" bet, there are a few things we have to consider. This season, Barca has been an absolute juggernaut at home, scoring two or more goals in 8 out of their last 10 matches (they absolutely shredded teams like much smaller mid-tier clubs who tried to park the bus). Given how they play, I seriously doubt PSG walks away from the Camp Nou without bagging at least two goals themselves, especially since Barca has already conceded twice at home this year.
The real question is whether PSG can find the back of the net. My take? Absolutely. They only need a draw to secure first place, but I highly doubt these guys are going to sit back and play defense. Ibra is the kind of player who can score on anyone—two goals against Barca wouldn't surprise me one bit. Plus, they’ve been on fire lately, scoring in 23 straight matches this season. If you look at their recent history, all three of their head-to-head matchups have gone over, with two of them hitting the Over 2.5 mark. I don't see any reason why we shouldn't take the Over 2.5 at those +2.05 odds on FanDuel.
Matthew Taylor15 Matthew Taylor15 Active Member
76 messages
joined Sep 2013
#1393 ·
UEFA Youth Champions League

Roma vs. Man City—both teams to score at 1.40. It’s a lock.

This match is basically just a formality—nothing really on the line here. After five rounds, Man City is sitting pretty at the top with 15 points, while Roma is trailing with 9. I’m eyeing the "both teams to score" market for one reason: Roma has been dropping four goals at home, and City has put up six on the road. I wouldn't be surprised if both sides find the back of the net tomorrow—it feels like an easy win. Last time these two met, the English side walked away with a 2-1 victory.

Chelsea vs. Sporting — Chelsea at 1.30 (6-0)

Another showdown between the younger squads. Chelsea is fighting Schalke for that top spot—they absolutely need this win. Sporting might go with a mixed lineup, so I see a massive opening for Chelsea to grab a crucial victory here.

Schalke -2 handicap at 1.50. Easy money.

The Canadians are a total punching bag in this tournament—they’ve surrendered 20 goals in just five rounds while only putting three in the net. It's pathetic. Schalke is looking just like Chelsea right now—hunting for that win—and they'll definitely roll out their strongest lineup from the jump to secure all three points. I'm banking on them covering the handicap. 😁
driftingotter47 driftingotter47 Newcomer
9 messages
joined Jun 2018
#1394 ·
Matthew Taylor15 said:UEFA YOUTH LEAGUE

Roma vs. Manchester City: Both Teams to Score @ 1.40

It’s one of those matches that feels like a total formality rather than a high-stakes showdown. After five rounds, City is sitting pretty at the top with 15 points, while Roma is hovering at 9. My reasoning for this bet is pretty straightforward: Roma has been tearing it up at home with 4 goals scored, and City has been just as lethal on the road with 6. I wouldn't be surprised if both sides find the back of the net tomorrow—it feels like a safe bet to me. The last time these two met, the English side walked away with a 2-1 win.


Seriously, think about it—is it actually worth the gamble when the odds are this low? 🤷
Matthew Taylor15 Matthew Taylor15 Active Member
76 messages
joined Sep 2013
#1395 ·
driftingotter47 said:Think again—is it even worth the gamble at these odds? 🤷

Honestly, I’m leaning toward just taking the straight win on the English side😁 2.30
driftingotter47 driftingotter47 Newcomer
9 messages
joined Jun 2018
#1396 ·
Since we're already looking at Barca-PSG at +3, you might as well jump on this one too:

Roma vs. Man City: 1X at 1.50 (0-2)
Right now, Roma, City, and CSKA are all tied up with 5 points, while Bayern is sitting untouchable at 13. If CSKA loses in Munich, Roma advances with a 0-0 draw, and if they win, they're basically through—meanwhile, even with a win, City isn't even guaranteed a spot. Roma really blew it last round when they had a golden chance to secure advancement early; instead, they let in a goal in stoppage time against CSKA to end 1-1. On the flip side, City managed a crazy comeback to turn a 1-2 into a 3-2 win over Bayern to stay alive. But look, it’s common knowledge that English teams play absolute garbage in Europe, especially away from home (and honestly, their away form in the Premier League hasn't been great either). Over the last three seasons, including this one, their Champions League away record is a pathetic 3-1-8. They've only managed wins against Villarreal, Viktoria, and Bayern—and Bayern had already clinched their spot by then. This season, they have 5 wins in 10 away games, but the sheer weight and importance of this match is leagues above anything they've faced so far (and I'm talking about a match way more intense than those games against Aston Villa or Newcastle that City managed to scrape by with...).
Roma might not be as convincing as they were at the start of the season, but playing them at the Stadio Olimpico is a nightmare; they have an 8-1-1 record at home this season, unless you count that blowout loss to Bayern where they got humiliated 7-1. Overall, they've only lost 4 matches out of 19 played this season.
The real kicker for this bet, and the main reason I'm pulling the trigger, is this: Aguero is out with an injury for at least a month. Everyone knows how much that Argentine means to this squad—I mean, a hat trick against Bayern and 14 goals in 15 matches? He's indispensable. To make matters worse, Yaya Toure is suspended today. He’s the engine for both creation and destruction, and frankly, I just don't see how City can pull off a win tonight given all this. With Jovetic and Dzeko struggling for form, if Roma manages to find the back of the net, I highly doubt the English side will be able to break through a Roman defense that is definitely going to park the bus once they realize a win puts them through.
Elizabeth Morales49 Elizabeth Morales49 Member
34 messages
joined May 2023
#1397 ·
I'm right there with you. I actually just put money on a straight win for Roma.

But something's clearly up with the lineup or something... because fifteen minutes ago, the odds on Betfair were sitting at 2.54, and now they've swung to 2.80 - 3.55 - 2.76. Honestly, I'm struggling to see how Man City stays the favorite at this point...
Drew Wright Drew Wright Newcomer
8 messages
joined Mar 2017
#1398 ·
Ibrahimović(idg+u)-Bar-PSG (10.12. 20:45) 2+daje@19,1 (3:1 + daje)-I really think this one is worth a look; you simply don't pass up a +2 goals line at 19.1 odds when Zlatan is involved. It feels like a massive undervaluation of both PSG and the ever-phenomenal Zlatan himself. After showing their strength by taking down Barca at home, PSG looks dangerous, and even though Zlatan sat out for a few matches, he came back against Nantes and immediately hammered home two goals...

Maribor(zžk4,5)-Schalke (10.12. 20:45) više@1,55 (0)-This is shaping up to be a high-stakes affair. Schalke is praying for a win here—hoping Sporting slips up so they can snatch that second place spot—and Maribor certainly has plenty of incentive to pull off an upset and secure some European football for next season. If an early goal lands, we could be looking at a complete shootout, especially since both sides have a couple of heavy hitters ready to run wild on the pitch.
NK Maribor(ck)-Schalke 04 (10.12. 20:45) da@3,60-I actually didn't realize you could bundle yellow and red cards together like this; it's a clever little play. The match is being officiated by Marciniak, who isn't exactly shy about reaching for his yellow card. In fact, over his last eight European matches as the primary official, he’s handed out five reds. My gut tells me if an early goal changes the momentum, things are going to get heated very quickly.

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Eric Fox7 Eric Fox7 Regular
320 messages
joined Jul 2012
#1399 ·
Even though there’s zero logical basis for this bet, I just couldn't resist:

image

Sevilla-Rijeka 2 @ 12 + Krama scores @ 3.60 (Parlay) (1:0 + no

Knocking out the current tournament leaders while playing on their own turf... sounds like science fiction, right? But hey, looking at those odds, miracles do happen sometimes.
Sevilla started the season strong, but as we hit the mid-season slump, they've been stumbling quite a bit—that blowout against Barca and that messy showing in the Netherlands didn't help.
The guys barely scraped by in the last stretch, so I'm hoping the B-team can get some revenge for that, especially after failing to clinch it in Rotterdam. If they manage to secure advancement early, it might actually give the main squad a slightly easier path against a relaxed opponent. Even if the starters aren't playing, let's see them pull an upset just to spite the establishment.
Krama is leading the scoring charts for the club and sits in the top two for the whole Europa League, so honestly, if they have any intention of making a mark in Andalusia, he simply has to find the back of the net.

Can someone check what DraftKings is offering for this specific combo?

I'll probably put a single on it too (maybe wait for live betting) and maybe pair it with:

Dinamo-Celtic 2 @ 4.10 (BetMGM) (4-3)

Between the small crowd—not counting the hardcore ultras, assuming they even get through security—the terrible weather, and the absolute disaster zone that is the locker room right now, I don't see any other outcome. Their recent European run says it all. I just wish the game depended on how much sleep they got, because then I'd be certain they'd lose.
Jeremy King4 Jeremy King4 Active Member
63 messages
joined Jan 2014
#1400 ·
Sevilla 1 1,35 (1-0)

Kramarić and the rest of the Rijeka squad have nothing to gain there. Sevilla is playing in a different league—full strength, hungry, and in front of their own
fans. Our guys are tough at home, and credit where it's due, but let's be real: there's nothing for them in Spain. I'm expecting 2-3 goals for the home side.
This is my pick of the day, and the odds are decent too.
Sure, upsets happen, but if you're actually trying to make money betting, backing our boys tonight is just a waste of time.

Dinamo 1 2,10 (4-3)

If Dinamo is ever going to pull something off, today's the day.
It’s a meaningless matchup, and Celtic is pretty much always reliable.
In the first leg, Dinamo controlled the game, whereas these guys basically scored on one strike and cruised to a 1-0 win.
Dinamo is the better side; they proved that, and if they put in one more solid performance, I'm convinced they can grab the win and a respectable exit from Europe.

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