CheckEmoji Community · the emoji forum
🏠 Home 🆕 What's new ❓ Unanswered 🔥 Popular 📡 RSS Members 👥 0 online log in · register
Home › Sports › Betting Forum › NBA Betting: Vol. 2

NBA Betting: Vol. 2

Started by Arthur Hill2 · · 👁 41 views · 663 replies

📡 Subscribe to replies

Participants Arthur Hill2wiredcanyon39James Taylor3Bradley Kern6Eric Fox7stormyseal9Nicholas Chase34Brandon Clark5ruggedgull32Lawrence Castillo76Joshua Gonzalez33shadowjackal27Kevin Barrett52Edward Gonzalez36Robert Sanders2Chloe Smith11swiftowl3Drew Palmer66silentskipper3placidranger19Christian RuizKenneth Baileygraniteotter6Steven Barrett8 …
graniteotter6 graniteotter6 Member
49 messages
joined Jan 2016
#281 ·
Arthur Hill2 said:Just my two cents today:

Oklahoma City Thunder (With Chicago Bulls missing Derrick Rose, they aren't quite the Miami Heat—they can't just assume dominance in games like this. If you look at their recent matchups against the Los Angeles Lakers or even the Miami Heat a few days ago, it's clear the Oklahoma City Thunder is arguably the second-best team in the league.)
Miami Heat (A rested Miami Heat should handle an aging Boston Celtics squad quite easily. With Gordon Allen questionable and Matt Pietrus definitely out, LeBron would likely step up to cover for Andrea Bargnani if necessary.)

2.40

Whatever, man.

I'm heading into these two picks with a heavy conviction; I mostly just showed up to see if anyone had a legitimate counterargument.
Too bad.😉
stormyseal9 stormyseal9 Member
20 messages
joined Oct 2011
#282 ·
Arthur Hill2 said:Just my two cents today:

Oklahoma City Thunder (With Chicago Bulls missing Derrick Rose, OKC isn't exactly the Miami Heat where they can just cruise through games like this—I mean, look at how they handled those Los Angeles Lakers games or even that matchup against the Miami Heat just a few days back, man, this Oklahoma City Thunder squad is easily the second-best team in the league)
Miami Heat (A rested Miami Heat should walk all over those aging Boston Celtics; Gordon Allen is a question mark, and Matt Pietrus is definitely out, plus if LeBron was on the court, he’d probably shut down Andrea Bargnani better than anyone else)

2,40

Watch out, things might flip on you, good grief😍,they aren't old enough to be written off yet and the Boston Celtics are legit no matter how much people try to deny it🤷,especially when they're facing a Miami Heat team that looks totally unconvincing on the road😉,not to mention the whole revenge factor from last year's playoffs, though honestly, I'm pulling for the Boston Celtics since I've been a fan for ages now☕
Keith Moore21 Keith Moore21 Active Member
56 messages
joined Jun 2014
#283 ·
Keith Moore21 said:Man, if they pull this off... and hey, maybe even Davis won't end up playing—there might just be a few more quiet days ahead while we all sit around waiting for Carmelo Anthony. 😁
I'm just sharing my thoughts here, anyway... I'm leaning towards the Sacramento Kings vs New Jersey Nets going under 209.5—just a gut feeling, I guess. Maybe it's the defensive matchups or just how these two squads have been playing lately, but I can't help but think we're looking at a lower-scoring affair here. It’s probably a toss-up, but I'll stick with the under.If you actually sit down and look at the stats—you know, how many shots they’re taking versus what they’re giving up—the total really should be set lower than this. But honestly, the main reason I'm even touching this game is because both teams are on a back-to-back. That's gotta mean someone's feeling the fatigue, right? Especially with the New Jersey Nets—they’ve been dealing with a massive injury bug lately, and they have guys who are basically playing 40 minutes every single night just to keep up. Then you look at the Sacramento Kings, and they're missing Salmons, and maybe Evans too... I don't know. Yesterday, I think they went a little overboard with the line for the Utah Jazz vs Sacramento Kings game—they set it at 212.5, and it ended up landing under that at 207. So, my gut tells me today's line is looking a bit too high as well.

Unbelievable... just absolutely unbelievable. To lose by a single freaking point? I mean, seriously? Give me a break. 🙂
Man, he really left it all on the table—just missed out by four points. Tough break, I guess. 🙄
wiredcanyon39 wiredcanyon39 Active Member
74 messages
joined Jul 2020
#284 ·
Keith Moore21 said:Unbelievable, losing by just one freaking point🙂
and even Carmelo Anthony came up short by four here too🙄

Same for me, they were my last few calls🙂
Today's Oklahoma City Thunder game was just
Keith Moore21 Keith Moore21 Active Member
56 messages
joined Jun 2014
#285 ·
wiredcanyon39 said:It’s been the exact same thing for me lately—just feeling totally off.🙂
Today, the Oklahoma City Thunder are just...

For sure, I was actually looking at the lines right now and honestly, that's probably the only play worth making..
Daniel Robinson5 Daniel Robinson5 Newcomer
1 message
joined Nov 2016
#286 ·
graniteotter6 said:Whatever, man. It's just rebounds.

I'm going in even harder on these next two paragraphs. I’m stepping up my stake here just to see if anyone actually has a decent counterargument. Anyone got anything?
What a shame.😉

It’s whatever. Honestly, I'm just a little worried about facing the Miami Heat on the road. If Gordon Allen gets back in the rotation, things could get messy fast. But hey, if the Heat are playing without their starters, we might actually be able to handle them. 🙂

If you’re looking to throw together a more chill parlay, maybe worth giving the Kevin Garnett and Andrea Bargnani over a shot. Just a thought. ☕

Hey man, you should swing by Greek Zorba a bit before tip-off today (whenever the game starts) if you've got a second. ☕
graniteotter6 graniteotter6 Member
49 messages
joined Jan 2016
#287 ·
stormyseal9 said:Watch out that it doesn't happen after the fact—good grief.😍They aren't quite ready to be written off just yet, and honestly, the Celtics are a powerhouse regardless of how much some people might want to deny it.🤷And especially when they're facing an unconvincing Miami team on the road.😉Setting aside any talk about getting revenge for last year's playoff run, I suppose the real reason I'm rooting for the Celtics is simply because I've been pulling for them for a long time now.☕

I’m a Celtics fan myself. But let’s be real—LeBron James always seems to have a massive chip on his shoulder when he plays them, and objectively speaking, they are just the stronger team.

I suppose we could dive into Gauss-Jordan elimination if that’s what everyone is looking for. It’s a standard enough method for solving systems of linear equations by transforming an augmented matrix into reduced row echelon form. I guess it’s a bit more tedious than simple Gaussian elimination since you have to clear out the entries above the pivots as well, but it does provide a very direct path to the solution. Maybe it's worth revisiting if the math is getting a little messy. kaže:
It seems fairly straightforward, though I guess I'm still a little wary of Miami playing on the road. If Allen makes his return, things could get complicated, but then again, a well-rested Miami squad might just handle it regardless. 🙂

If you're looking to put together a more relaxed parlay, I suppose it might be worth considering a play on Garnett and Bargnani over. ☕

Anyway, you're more than welcome to swing by my place a bit before the game starts today—any matchup, really—to grab some Greek souvlaki. ☕

The game starts at 8:00, and I'll probably record it, though who knows what the plan is after that—there's Canada playing around 9:30. We could always get together, but honestly, I think I've had my fill of watching people kick each other in the teeth for one day.😁

Apropos Garnett going over, I’m not sure I agree. It was probably his last game in Minneapolis, so maybe he just wanted to go out on a high note and take more shots than he usually does. That being said, if he's facing Chris Bosh...🤷
Andrew over Washington, D.C.—honestly, that’s basically the backbone of the whole national conversation.

I suppose it might be worth looking into the Over 189 line, especially since Nene isn't in the lineup. It looks like one of those laid-back games you watch on a Sunday.
Houston seems to hit the over almost every single night, and since Indiana usually embraces a fast-paced run-and-gun style, I guess even a total like 192.5 doesn't look like an impossible mountain to climb.

I had the Philadelphia/Atlanta game going over 178.5 last night. Based on the quarters—40, 44, and 44—I figured my bet was already in the bag. Then, out of nowhere, they dropped 57 points in the final quarter. I guess anything can happen. 😁
I had Monroe over 14.5, and he ended up pulling it off. With about eleven and a half minutes left on the clock, he snatched a steal, finished a fast break, and drew a foul to boot. I was rooting for OT with everything I had, and somehow, he actually delivered.
Then they handed him two free throws just 20 seconds before overtime ended, even though he hadn't even attempted a single shot until that point in the extra period.
I went ahead and took the Sacramento under 109.5, along with the overs on both Monta Ellis and Blake Griffin.
Tony Parker and Milwaukee really knocked me off my feet.
I’m actually fine with those role players getting their minutes. It might be even better if he could just get...
Arthur Hill2 Arthur Hill2 MemberOP
20 messages
joined Jul 2009
#288 ·
graniteotter6, I know you’re just like me—a massive fan of high-arching shots and racking up foul counts—so let me point this out to you:

Carlos Boozer played 5 games against Oklahoma City/Chicago. (Head-to-head matchups against Ibaka)

FG% = 61%
3.4 assists per game
10 rebounds per game
23.6 points per game.

Additionally, I am expecting Russell Westbrook to hit a heavy over tonight. Gordon Watson is having major defensive struggles because his ankles are still only at about 50% capacity; latency is practically a foreign concept to him.
shadowjackal27 shadowjackal27 Newcomer
7 messages
joined Jan 2010
#289 ·
Took Bosh over 17.5 (LeBron James got caught in a blowout)

+

Oklahoma City/Chicago -> + 5.5 on the Bulls (it's a solid margin to take, even without Derrick Rose)🤷

optional:

Dwight Howard under 22.5
LeBron James under 26.5
stormyseal9 stormyseal9 Member
20 messages
joined Oct 2011
#290 ·
Hey, anyone got a decent stream going for the Oklahoma City/Chicago game?🤷, actually, never mind, don't worry about it—I just stumbled upon this link
Drew Palmer66 Drew Palmer66 Active Member
54 messages
joined Feb 2012
#291 ·
Marcin Gortat M. (-17.5+) over 1.85
Arthur Hill2 Arthur Hill2 MemberOP
20 messages
joined Jul 2009
#292 ·
Carlos Boozer is going to need a much more aggressive third quarter. He’s playing well today, but Tom Thibodeau has this tendency to go with Eric Gibson in the final frame.

I expect Russell Westbrook to tack on another 7 points.
James Taylor3 James Taylor3 Newcomer
7 messages
joined Jul 2012
#293 ·
shadowjackal27 said:went with Bosh over 17.5—given how much LeBron James got blown out

What exactly are you getting at with that comment? 😕
Arthur Hill2 Arthur Hill2 MemberOP
20 messages
joined Jul 2009
#294 ·
The game is practically decided, even though there are still 14 minutes left on the clock😢. Carlos Boozer started out strong, but he just isn't getting many looks at the rim later on. Wes is currently hitting his over.
vividbison47 vividbison47 Member
20 messages
joined Aug 2021
#295 ·
Seriously, why isn't he putting Carlos Boozer back in when they're down by 28? 🙂
wiredcanyon39 wiredcanyon39 Active Member
74 messages
joined Jul 2020
#296 ·
vividbison47 said:I mean, why isn't he putting Carlos Boozer back in when they're down by 28? I guess it makes sense if you're looking at it from a coaching standpoint, but man, it feels weird to just sit him, you know? Maybe he's just saving him for the starters to get some rest, or maybe the blowout is just too much of a gap to bother with. I don't know, it's hard to say. 🙂

I mean, I don't know, I've got this nagging feeling they might just be saving him for the upcoming stretch of games. Maybe? Just a hunch.
stormyseal9 stormyseal9 Member
20 messages
joined Oct 2011
#297 ·
I mean, why couldn't Panj just throw Kevin Durant into the mix so he could actually sink at least two more buckets?🤷, man, you can never truly pin down these guys, I swear! You bet on the under and suddenly they're scoring like crazy, then you go all in on the over and the coach decides it's time to give them a breather instead.😍I seriously have the worst luck picking anything that isn't supposed to happen, I swear it myself.
Joseph Hernandez12 Joseph Hernandez12 Newcomer
5 messages
joined Apr 2012
#298 ·
Does anyone here happen to know if the sportsbook in Germany counts just the regulation scoring, or does overtime get factored into the total too?

thanks
lonedrifter68 lonedrifter68 Active Member
60 messages
joined Jan 2012
#299 ·
Bosh already at 4 points 🤣

On 7 shots though.😲

At this rate, he could easily grab over 20 field goals. You rarely see that—like, super rare—when they run the full lineup with James and Wade.🤣
William Price66 William Price66 Member
15 messages
joined May 2010
#300 ·
Joseph Hernandez12 said:Does anyone know if the sportsbook in Germany counts just the regulation score, or does overtime count toward the total points?

Thanks

It's regulation only; there was actually some discussion about this recently. Cheers, Tom. 👋 😁

EDIT:

José Barea, Ricky Rubio, and John Beasly are all out for the Timberwolves, and Peja Peković is questionable despite traveling with the team. Kevin Love is incredibly hungry for a playoff run this year and will be highly motivated, though it’s clear he can't carry Portland alone. If Peković ends up playing, it becomes a toss-up; I might look at an over on Love's mid-to-low usage or consider him as solid material for a combo play.

You must log in or register to reply here.

Log in Register

🔗 Similar threads