NBA Betting: Vol. 2

Scola over 16.5 @ 1.85 German Boozer

I really think German Boozer's hustle on the defensive end is going to pay off big time and help drive those numbers up 🤣

today's parlay

Kevin Durant over 27.5 @ 1.85
-Man, he totally burned me yesterday because the coach decided to let him rot on the bench during the entire fourth quarter! But I’m doubling down today because I think the Memphis Grizzlies are actually going to show up and fight back; I mean, looking at the first three games this season, everything has been within 5 points, and his stats from the last 11 matchups against them average out to 30.9, so if he screws me over again today, I'm officially done with him.🤷
Chris Paul under 20.5 @ 1.85
-He’s been playing absolute garbage lately when they're on the road, honestly the whole team has been struggling away from home, plus the Dallas Mavericks have such a stifling defense that they'll definitely find a way to shut him down, even though he dropped 16 points in his last outing in Dallas.
Scola over 17.5 @ 1.85
-In the two games they've lost so far this season, he's been absolutely tearing it up with 27 points each time, and his shooting has been super solid, like 20-for-35.
Love over 26.5 @ 1.85
-I'm expecting a high-scoring shootout tonight, which means his numbers should be up, especially since the roster is looking thin with so many guys out like Danilo Pekovic, John Beasley, José Barea, and Ricky Rubio, and considering he averages 27 points against them this season, he's also gonna have to go toe-to-toe in a massive battle under the rim with DeMarcus Cousins.
216.5/Sacramento Kings - Minnesota Timberwolves under 1.85
-Even though both teams love to run and score, I still feel like the line is set way too high; their last two games went 214 and 187, so why wouldn't they stay under?🤷

wager ☕ HL

stormyseal9 said:It’s not that I’m worried, but I just don't love seeing someone walk away with a massive pile of cash.

Call it whatever you want. 😉
I'm going to go do some research, even though you guys have already given me a few spoilers.
A little hint: whenever OKC - Memphis played last year, I happened to hit my bets on those exact days. Besides that, Mondays tend to be my heavy hitters this season. I might even throw Kentucky into the mix as a wild card.
There are some really tempting matchups today. Everything is leaning toward an under for me, with the exception of Milwaukee - Washington.

Nicholas Chase34 said:Scola over 16.5 @ 1.85 German Boozer

German Boozer's defensive grit really needs to start paying off out there! 🤣

It looks like we won't be seeing much Boozer alongside Scola tonight. Instead, it's Scola, Joakim Noah, and Asik. Honestly, Noah is easily the best perimeter defender at his position in the NBA, and Asik is more than long enough to cover Scola's parabola.
The total will land under 17.5 HL.

Take Dillon Gay under 19.5. Kevin Durant has been locked in on defense lately, so he should be limited mostly to outside jumpers. As for drives to the rim, Serge Ibaka is among the NBA elite when it comes to shot-blocking—his defensive lateral movement is top-tier, too. Plus, Oklahoma keeps their small forwards shooting under 40% from deep.

Marc Gasol over 15.5. Since Oklahoma 2 is basically the worst defensive unit in the NBA, Chris Hollins shouldn't be playing foolishly. He really needs to adjust the Gameplan to feed Gasol more shots!
The Bucks are facing some serious hurdles today. With Devin Booker averaging a double-double over this last month and Nen fitting in so seamlessly with the Washington Wizards—especially with that defensive boost—both being sidelined or questionable changes everything. Honestly, the Wizards have more to gain from an upset here than a win, whereas a loss for the Bucks would pretty much kill their playoff hopes.
Chicago - Houston at 1.30. It’s a small spread, but Chicago always seems to play with a chip on their shoulder after a loss. Especially playing at home, and especially after getting blown out like they did last night. With Houston missing K. Martin and Lowry, this whole bet really rests on Scola. If they keep the pressure on Scola, a Chicago win shouldn't be in question. We might even see Rose and Hamilton back in the lineup tonight!

Minnesota Timberwolves under 105.5
So, looking at Sacramento Kings - Minnesota Timberwolves... I mean, Minnesota is on a back-to-back here, and they’re dealing with a massive injury bug—missing Ricky Rubio, Danilo Pekovic, John Beasley, and José Barea—which basically forces certain guys to play heavy minutes just to stay afloat. I honestly think you can see the fatigue setting in from last night's game and the travel situation (they were out at Portland, and now they're back on the road again tonight, right?), plus, in their last three matchups against Sacramento this season, they haven't even cracked 100 points. Hopefully, they don't suddenly go absolutely nuts 🤷, but if my math isn't totally off, Minnesota averages around 95 points when playing on a back-to-back, which puts them way below this 105.5 line... Sure, Sacramento technically has the worst defense in the league, but given everything I just mentioned, I'm leaning heavily toward the under...

On top of that, I'm putting some action on Oklahoma (these guys are on an absolute tear—totally dialed in after taking down the Miami Heat, Chicago Bulls, and Los Angeles Lakers in their recent stretch; they've actually jumped to first in the league by win percentage, and they've already beaten the Memphis Grizzlies twice this year, both home and away) and Dallas Mavericks (this one is more of a gut feeling, really; I think they've got the edge over the Los Angeles Clippers since they already beat them on their home court—where they're usually tough to crack—and Dirk Nowitzki is playing out of his mind, plus their bench depth is just better...)

Dirk Nowitzki 24.5 over: I’m calling it now—this is going to be a nail-biter, and when the pressure is on, Dirk is the absolute best in the business. That German legend never fails to deliver when things get tight!

Washington - Milwaukee Bucks 2: Even though the Wizards are looking pretty solid right now, the Bucks absolutely have to pull this one off today. After that recent trade, making a playoff run has become their entire mission statement.

OKC - Memphis Grizzlies 1: The home team is playing out of their minds lately, while the visitors are steadily sliding downhill. To me, this is the lock of the day.

Russell Westbrook 24.5 over: The guy is on fire. He’s been clearing this line effortlessly over the last few games. Since I don't see this turning into a total blowout, I'm betting he'll just hammer away at his usual volume of shots and breeze past the margin.

Love 27.5 over: Love is clearly hungry to drag his squad into the playoffs despite all the injury setbacks. He has to step up today, and honestly, I can see him hitting 30+ points easily.

Good luck to anyone following along. ☕

I went with Minnesota under 105.5 and Dirk Nowitzki over 24.5. The agent already locked in the Minnesota line, and since the odds on the Clippers dropped quite a bit, I didn't quite have the nerve to put anything on Dallas. Good luck, everyone.

P.S. SS is offering 1.95 on the Minnesota under and 1.75 on the over, whereas HL has them at 1.82 for both. That’s a total hook 😁

Nicholas Chase34 said:School over 16.5 @ 1.85 Germany.

stormyseal9 said:Score's looking good. 26.5 was the play. 6'1".

Keith Moore21 said:Minnesota under 105.5. Let's see.

Hmm. 🙂

How much am I supposed to put in? Or are they just going to pay me to do absolutely nothing? 🥳

I was just looking at the lines for the Minnesota game, and honestly, I can’t wrap my head around it... they aren't even offering 105 points at 1.95, while the alternative sits at 1.75. Who on earth is actually crazy enough to take that side...

ScolaL(-15,5+) in the States...

I'm taking the heavy under on the Oklahoma vs. Memphis game, under 197.5. Gonna sit this one out and just chill until tip-off.

Lawrence Castillo76 said:I’m thinking about taking the under on the Oklahoma vs. Memphis game, specifically under 197.5. I might just sit this one out until tip-off.

Go jump in a lake. You're going to lose; there's just no luck involved here.🤣

Joshua Garcia8 said:Hmm... 🙂

So, how much am I actually supposed to put down—or is this one of those situations where they just cover everything for me and I don't have to pay a dime? I guess it depends on how they play it... 🥳

Look, man, please—just don't bring the NBA into this. I'm begging you. 🙂 😁 Look, let's be real here—that kind of thing? It never ends well. Not even close. I mean, you can try to play it cool, but honestly, it’s just a recipe for a total disaster every single time. I guess I've seen it happen too many times to count. 🙄

Man, that Gogo vertigo... honestly, it’s such a trip—and not the good kind. I guess if you haven't dealt with it, you wouldn't get how much it just completely wrecks your equilibrium for a bit. It's like your brain is trying to run two different operating systems at once and they're both crashing. Just one of those things where you're sitting there thinking, "Okay, maybe I shouldn't have done that," while the whole world feels like it's tilting about fifteen degrees to the left. Truly a wild experience. kaže:
P.S. DraftKings is giving me 1.95 on the under for Minnesota and 1.75 on the over—meanwhile, if you look at FanDuel, they've got both the over and under sitting at 1.82. Total rip-off, honestly. 😁

James Parker2 said:So, I’m sitting here looking at the lines for the Minnesota game—they’ve got the over/under set at 105 points at 1.95, but the under is sitting at 1.75. Honestly, who in their right mind is actually taking that? It feels like such a weird setup, I guess. Like, if you're betting against them hitting 105, the odds are basically screaming that it's a sucker bet. Just seems totally off, you know?

Look, nobody’s crazy here—I honestly have no clue why the odds are looking like that. They were already sitting at those levels by the afternoon, too... I don't know. After digging into the numbers a bit and doing some digging myself, I’m leaning toward this hitting the under first. But hey, what can you do? It is what it is. 🤷
Cross your fingers that we actually see an under here—fingers crossed, seriously. 😁

I decided to take the under on this one. I’ve been scanning a few other boards, and the consensus seems to be leaning heavily toward the total being low, though people are mostly looking at the game as a whole rather than focusing on specific matchups—especially since everyone is obsessively favoring Sacramento because four key players are sitting out for the visitors... Today, I loaded up on Oklahoma too, but it looks like that’s become the big public bet now... I honestly wonder how much focus they can actually maintain, especially considering they played yesterday and have Miami waiting for them next... A 1.3 line looks like an easy lock on paper, but those things can fall apart in a heartbeat... From what I can see, there's a lot of money moving toward Dallas as well, and the odds are starting to slide... Milwaukee should theoretically pull it off given they're fighting for a playoff spot, though I’m not entirely convinced; earlier this afternoon the line was at 1.55, but it’s already dropped down to 1.35... As for Chicago vs. Houston, if I were stepping into the arena, the under would be my first move...

James Parker2 said:I went with the under—I checked out some other boards too, and most people are leaning towards the under, but honestly, they’re mostly just looking at the game as a whole while favoring Sacramento because four of the away players are sitting out... I actually dumped a decent amount on Oklahoma today, but it looks like that’s become a total public bet now... I wonder how much focus they’ll even have left since they’ve got Miami coming up next, especially after playing yesterday. That 1.3 line looks like a tempting lock, but man, it could easily bust... I see people piling onto Dallas, too, and the odds are starting to dip... Milwaukee should probably pull it off, they're fighting for a playoff spot—not sure though, this afternoon it was sitting at 1.55, now it's already down to 1.35... As for Chicago vs. Houston, if I were playing, I'd hit the under first and foremost..

Yeah, I guess Sacramento might actually pull it off... and Oklahoma seems like the textbook public bet right now, but realistically, they should cover. They've been playing lights out lately—Westbrook and Durantula are absolutely tearing it up offensively, and with Harden in the mix, they can actually put together a solid defense. Plus, their bench is deep and they're at home... everything points toward Memphis taking the loss. And Dallas? Well, Dallas... it's tough to beat them at home. They started the season pretty rough, totally out of rhythm, but they've found their groove now. On the other hand, the Clippers are way worse on the road than they are at home; they don't really have that elite depth when they travel...

graniteotter6 said:Get lost. You’re crashing and burning, and honestly? Luck isn't on your side. 🤣

Nobody’s even talking about the sheer exhaustion of being hit in the balls. You just forget what sleep feels like. You lose track of what the damn website even looks like after a day like that. ☕
Take a look at the chat for a second. There's actually some decent stuff going on in there if you bother to look. ☕

My picks for tonight's slate:

Mavericks - Clippers 1
Doncic over 17.5 points
Doncic over 24.5 points

Lamar Odom and Jason Kidd won't be suited up for the Mavericks tonight.

.

Westbrook is looking pretty sluggish right now, barely scraping together 4 points in this first quarter... Durant seems to be holding things down with about 8, while Gasol is sitting on just 2... Honestly, Oklahoma is hanging on by a thread at the moment...

Arthur Hill2 said:.

That doesn't give Dallas an excuse to play this miserably... 😉 though it is incredibly foolish to even consider placing bets on the NBA before the injury reports are finalized. You really shouldn't be touching anything until about thirty minutes before tip-off when you actually know who's stepping onto the court.