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NBA Betting: Vol. 2

Started by Arthur Hill2 · · 👁 43 views · 663 replies

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Participants Arthur Hill2wiredcanyon39James Taylor3Bradley Kern6Eric Fox7stormyseal9Nicholas Chase34Brandon Clark5ruggedgull32Lawrence Castillo76Joshua Gonzalez33shadowjackal27Kevin Barrett52Edward Gonzalez36Robert Sanders2Chloe Smith11swiftowl3Drew Palmer66silentskipper3placidranger19Christian RuizKenneth Baileygraniteotter6Steven Barrett8 …
Dennis Doyle44 Dennis Doyle44 Member
12 messages
joined Jan 2012
#361 ·
"Honestly, I don't see New York holding their own against a squad that’s deep from the starters all the way down to the bench. They’re essentially playing a lineup of guards right now, and with these injuries, they're spread incredibly thin. Having Fields sliding into the PF spot is a recipe for disaster. Losing Jefferies is massive too; he’s the guy who brings that defensive grit off the bench and can switch onto anyone. Indy is going to dominate the glass, and those mismatches at power forward are going to be brutal. All I've seen from New York today is them settling for contested jumpers. That kind of play isn't going to cut it, IMO."

Based on this, take Indiana -5.5
Justin Watson64 Justin Watson64 Newcomer
2 messages
joined Apr 2012
#362 ·
11:55 PM Cleveland vs. San Antonio. Home team Under 95.5 points. Odds @ 1.85
Cleveland is looking pretty banged up tonight—Gibson is out, and Varejao is sitting this one out too. Plus, there’s that massive question mark over Kyrie Irving and his shoulder injury... we'll see if he even suits up. On the flip side, the Spurs are coming in with their full squad ready to go.
I'm leaning hard on Cleveland staying under 95.5. Looking at the recent trends, they haven't even cracked 90 in their last five games, and in their last ten, they've only cleared this line twice.
graniteotter6 graniteotter6 Member
49 messages
joined Jan 2016
#363 ·
Keith Moore21 said:I was actually planning to write that this is the only matchup I’m looking at today, and honestly, I think the line is set a bit too high. I managed to mess things up by placing my bet earlier, though; now the odds for the under have bumped up to @2, while the over is sitting at @1.7 according to the screenshot. 🤣

I managed to snag a 2.0 odds bet at around 5:20 PM, which was a rather pleasant surprise, I suppose.
Well, I have to admit, the odds dropping on the SAS game and the Memphis vs. GSW Under caught me a bit off guard. I didn't bother mentioning Memphis for the win since they’re such an obvious lock anyway, but all in all, I managed to hedge those shifts with a water polo parlay, so I suppose everything turned out alright.
Good grief, they haven't even broken down the Detroit vs. Orlando matchup yet. I suppose since the American oddsmakers hadn't posted their lines yet, nobody had anything to work with. If I were placing bets right now, I’d be taking the under with total confidence.

I’ve noticed a pretty sharp shift toward under bets over the last few days, which is a bit of a pivot considering how flooded the market was with overs throughout February and March. It seems like people have lost their minds a little. I suppose some are just desperate to hedge for the playoffs, while others are clearly playing the long game, trying to manipulate their regular season finish to secure a better draft position.
Lawrence Castillo76 Lawrence Castillo76 Newcomer
2 messages
joined Apr 2022
#364 ·
Dwyane Wade is out with a knee issue for Tuesday's matchup against the 76ers.
Word is Andrew Bynum’s sitting out Tuesday's game against the Nets due to an ankle injury.
Robin Parker90 Robin Parker90 Newcomer
2 messages
joined May 2010
#365 ·
Dwyane Wade (knee) will not play in Tuesday's game against the Sixers.

http://twitter.com/#!/MiamiHEAT/stat...94937409257472
edit😁
Edit2: So, is Howard playing tonight or what?
Lawrence Castillo76 Lawrence Castillo76 Newcomer
2 messages
joined Apr 2022
#366 ·
Howard is a total game-time decision. Since Ryan Anderson is out, I'm thinking he’ll probably suit up, but we really need to wait for the official word.
So, who gets the nod first—King or Bosch? Hmm... maybe Bosch, considering how much of a menace he was against the Celtics.
Drew Palmer66 Drew Palmer66 Active Member
54 messages
joined Feb 2012
#367 ·
Howard isn't playing...
As if anyone actually believed that.
Lawrence Castillo76 Lawrence Castillo76 Newcomer
2 messages
joined Apr 2022
#368 ·
I’m taking Detroit at 4.5. Orlando’s looking rough on 20/10 without Anderson, Howard, and Nelson in the lineup. Coach SVG is rolling out a starting five of Duhon, JRich, QRich, Hedo, and Glen Davis.
Lawrence Castillo76 Lawrence Castillo76 Newcomer
2 messages
joined Apr 2022
#369 ·
Who was actually vouching for him in the group chat?
Nicholas Chase34 Nicholas Chase34 Newcomer
1 message
joined Sep 2011
#370 ·
Lawrence Castillo76 said:Detroit at 4.5, Orlando at 20/10 without Anderson, Howard, and Nelson starting the five;#Magic starters per SVG: Duhon, JRich, QRich, Hedo and Glen Davis

I’m leaning towards taking the under 94.5 for Orlando @ 1.85

Orlando has this weird habit of playing absolutely terrible road games, even when they have their full squad, so I think it's going to be a struggle. Plus, since they're missing Howard, Anderson, and Nelson, they won't have much of a presence in the paint, which means they'll probably be forced to rely way more on outside shooting. With just Davis and Turkoglu 🤣
Lawrence Castillo76 Lawrence Castillo76 Newcomer
2 messages
joined Apr 2022
#371 ·
Man, if that game opens up and they start playing like garbage from the jump, it’ll be an easy cover. I’m totally tapped out though—don't have a cent left in my account, and the handicap isn't even on the board anymore. Just hoping my luck holds up.
Drew Palmer66 Drew Palmer66 Active Member
54 messages
joined Feb 2012
#372 ·
Drew Palmer66 said:Cleveland (+9.5) vs San Antonio | Over 2 | 1.85

Irving is on the court.

Thornton is questionable for SAC; if he sits, I’m taking Sacramento under 106.5 at 1.85.

Thornton is out.
Which means we take the SAC under.

P.S. For DET-ORL, there is value in the under 183.5.
With Orlando's injuries, Detroit doesn't even have Stuckey; Gordon is returning.
Lawrence Castillo76 Lawrence Castillo76 Newcomer
2 messages
joined Apr 2022
#373 ·
Man, they've only got 5 players left and basically an empty bench. It’d honestly blow my mind if they actually managed to pull off a win by 5 or more.
Nicholas Chase34 Nicholas Chase34 Newcomer
1 message
joined Sep 2011
#374 ·
The final home game in Detroit this season wrapped up with a 89:78 result against an Orlando squad that showed up with their full roster. I actually took a bit of a more aggressive stance on the Orlando under, mostly because I just can't wrap my head around how they’re supposed to crack that 90-point mark without having Howard and Anderson out there to carry the load. 🤷
Daniel Robinson5 Daniel Robinson5 Newcomer
1 message
joined Nov 2016
#375 ·
I’m riding with Detroit at +4.5. Honestly, I just can't bring myself to touch the Under in Orlando. Why even bother? 🙂

Hey Nicholas Chase34, what’s your take on an over/under of 183.5?
Grace Smith3 Grace Smith3 Newcomer
1 message
joined Aug 2016
#376 ·
http://www.espn.com/nba/schedule/philadelphia

Miami vs. Philadelphia is airing LIVE on ESPN at 1:30 AM

If I hadn't happened to stumble upon this by chance, I probably wouldn't have even known; I was under the impression that they only broadcasted NBA games on weekday evenings, so I suppose I should give ESPN some credit for saving my night🙂

On another note, I was wondering if someone might be willing to post an alert here whenever there is a LIVE game on ESPN? I think a lot of people are completely unaware, and they would likely want to tune in—myself included, certainly.

---------------------------

As for my picks for tonight, I am considering:
- James' total points, over 26.5 at odds of 2.00. Dwyane Wade isn't playing, so I assume he'll take a few more shots himself. If I'm not mistaken, we've had quite a string of low-scoring games lately, so things ought to explode into a high-scoring affair eventually... hopefully that happens tonight.

- Indiana Pacers vs. New York Knicks, taking the Pacers at 1.45 (live betting). I heard the visitors are missing a couple of key players,🤷 specifically Lin and Stoudemire.🤷 At least, that's what I've gathered, though nothing is ever absolutely certain. Generally speaking, the atmosphere within their team seems a bit off right now, which in my opinion, is enough to make the call.
Nicholas Chase34 Nicholas Chase34 Newcomer
1 message
joined Sep 2011
#377 ·
Daniel Robinson5 said:I'm riding with Detroit at +4.5 since I don't see Orlando covering the spread here.🙂

edit: Nicholas Chase34, what's your take on the total being over 183.5?

Honestly, I think that's totally doable too, especially since Detroit is going to be playing without Luka Dončić—wait, scratch that, they won't have Giannis on the floor. With that lineup change, it could easily turn into a low-scoring grind, though I guess it's hard to say how much heart both teams will bring to the court tonight.🤷
placidranger19 placidranger19 Member
21 messages
joined Mar 2012
#378 ·
Wednesday: 1:30 AM Miami vs. Philly
Saturday 1:30 AM Miami vs. Memphis
Sunday: 7:00 PM New York vs. Chicago
Daniel Robinson5 Daniel Robinson5 Newcomer
1 message
joined Nov 2016
#379 ·
Nicholas Chase34 said:I think the under is actually on the table here, especially since Detroit won't have Cade Cunningham out there to carry the load. It’s shaping up to be a total grind. Honestly, looking at how much heart both sides seem to be putting into this lately? Who knows if anyone's even going to find the bottom of the net. It'll probably be a low-scoring slog.🤷

Yeah, you're spot on. I’m thinking about taking a slightly bigger position on Detroit at +4.5. If the odds shift my way, I might just lock it in before tip-off. Also, probably gonna toss a few bucks on the under 183, too. 😁
Bryan James2 Bryan James2 Newcomer
2 messages
joined Jan 2012
#380 ·
Does anyone have a link for a stream for ESPN? 😁

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