NBA Betting: Vol. 2

Detroit’s hitting at 65% while Orlando is sitting at 60% 🤣 maybe they'll actually settle down a bit before halftime

Daniel Robinson5 said:Detroit is shooting 65% while Orlando is at 60% 🤣 they might actually stay tied until halftime

Not a chance.
Look at this guy, sitting there on the court asking questions when his buddy already told him to bet on the Under for Orlando-Detroit.
Then again, nothing is ever certain; quarters rarely follow a linear path, I suppose. 🧐
Honestly, you’d be better off watching those amateurs over on ESPN struggling to keep up with Phil; they should probably just pack it up and move on if they want to know what tomorrow holds.😁

graniteotter6 said:Not happening.
Look at this guy, sitting there asking about the spread while his buddy just texted him that the Orlando Magic are going under.
Nothing is set in stone. Quarters don't move in a straight line, ever.🧐
Better off watching those idiots on ESPN struggling to figure out what Phil Jackson's legacy means or whatever tomorrow brings—honestly, they should just pack up and leave.😁

Man, I'm just now seeing your post about taking the under. If you actually placed that bet, then I guess it's no surprise Hedo is playing the game of his life right now.🤷

Daniel Robinson5 said:I just caught your post about taking the under. If you actually put money on that, then I guess it wouldn't be surprising if Coach Cal played the game of his life tonight. 🤷

🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

I’m not exactly thrilled with how that Nissan is playing, to be honest. It feels like they didn't quite have their act together during the preseason preparations. Anyway, I've got some cash coming in tomorrow from my online bets, which I'll probably blow on the Derby and about eleven other games. So, yeah, that under was just sitting there waiting to be played.
Well, you can see the trend clearly here: the scoring is dropping. It went from 52 down to 45. At this rate, I'd guess we're looking at 38 then 31, which means the under is probably going to hit.😁I suppose yesterday’s session was a bit of a rollercoaster—it started off with some serious momentum, but then things seemed to just fall apart quite abruptly.

Yeah, I missed it, but does anyone happen to know what the total points line was for Cleveland? It wasn't showing up on my betting app during the afternoon, and by the time I actually remembered to check the game, it was already underway. Just curious. If that line had been available, I probably would’ve placed something a little less idiotic than what I currently have sitting on my parlay while I wait for the results.

graniteotter6 said:🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

I didn't even think it was a good play, but I hit it anyway. They didn't have it listed during the prep phase, and since I'm planning on blowing my online winnings on the Lakers game and eleven other matchups tomorrow, I figured I'd just take the under on this one while it sat there unplayed.
Look, you can see the pattern—scoring totals are tanking. It went from 52 down to 45. Next, it’ll be 38 dropping to 31 and the under hits. (Hint: look at yesterday's Utah game; things started hot then totally flatlined.)

Oh yeah, I missed it, but does anyone know what the total point line was for the Cleveland game? It wasn't even an option in the afternoon, and by the time I remembered to check, the game was already underway. Just curious. Maybe if it had been available, I would've placed something less stupid than what's currently haunting my parlay right now.

I'm hoping it works out that way, but honestly, I've got more skin in the Pistons +4.5, so it's not all bad.😁

I don't think Cleveland was even listed in the local US sportsbooks, whereas over at my place, the line was sitting at 201.5.😉

Daniel Robinson5 said:I suppose I’m hoping it might pan out that way, though I have about +4.5 more cushion on the Pistons, so things aren't looking too grim as it stands.😁

Personally, I don't think Cleveland was even an option at the local sportsbooks around here, whereas in my area, they were sitting at 201.5.😉

Only 6 points fell in those three minutes of the third quarter. It was all for nothing. Honestly, it wouldn't surprise me if they just continued that -7 trend.😉
Which means they didn't actually put him on the table until the very end.🙄 If they had gone with 201, they would have essentially just handed it over for free—what kind of gift would that be?
Well, let's see how the game plays out. We're still breathing, I suppose.

Drew Palmer66 said:Cleveland (O/U 205.5) - San Antonio 2 1.85

If Thornton is a game-time decision for SAC, I’m pivoting to Sacramento Under 205.5 at 1.85. Is anyone actually surprised?

Drew Palmer66 said:Thornton is out.
Which means we take the Under on SAC.

That hit perfectly...

Nicholas Chase34 said:I honestly feel like it’s just better to give it a shot and see what happens. I’m thinking we take the under on that Orlando game, specifically anything under 94.5 points, and honestly, at 1.85 odds, it feels like a pretty sweet deal to me.

Man, we just missed it by a hair—half a basket, too, and all because of that clutch three-pointer from Davis. 🙂 🤦

Justin Watson64 said:11:55 PM Cleveland vs. San Antonio. Home team under 95.5 total points. Odds at 1.85
Cleveland’s looking rough tonight—Gibson is out, Varejao is sidelined, and we’re all sitting here wondering if Kyrie’s even gonna suit up with that shoulder injury. Meanwhile, the visitors are coming in with a full roster.
I’m leaning on Cleveland staying under 95.5. In their last five games, they haven't even cracked 90, and over their last ten, they’ve only cleared this line twice.

Hopefully someone actually makes some cash off this one.🙂

analoghound21 said:Nobody’s even talking about Indiana. Honestly, I feel like today’s finally the day they get their revenge after losing three straight matchups—two at home and two this season. I mean, if they don't settle the score now, when will they? 🙂

So, if I actually had the guts to place a bet today, my picks would be...

Indiana vs. New York: Home win @ 1.50
Cleveland vs. San Antonio: Away win @ 1.25 (The Spurs could easily end up with the best record in the league, and even though they face the Celtics tomorrow, I don't see them dropping this one. They had two days to rest)
Memphis vs. Golden State: Double chance Home/Draw @ 1.25 (Just a safety net here. I can't shake this feeling they might push it into overtime 😬 ...Memphis is on the second game of a back-to-back-to-back stretch. They finally got some satisfaction yesterday beating OKC, but then they have the defending champs tomorrow. James Taylor already gave his take, and Tony B. is on it too 🙂)
@ 2.34 Total Odds

barely 😛even

...and man, I really hope this helped someone, since I didn't actually put any money down myself 😳

Both the Pacers and the Grizzlies only managed to turn it around in the final quarter (Pacers were up 4/4, 40:17 🙏)

@play...Glen Davis, you're killing me 😲

graniteotter6 said:Sacramento Kings Under 214.5
Both times these two teams met this year, the Kings walked away with the win and we saw something in the ballpark of 180 points total.
The Kings have been leaning heavily toward the under all season long.
That margin just feels way too high.

Keith Moore21 said:Man, I was gonna say this is the only matchup I'm touching today—and honestly, I think the line is also way too high... I just totally screwed myself by betting early, and now the odds shifted; the under is sitting at @2, while the over is @1.7 on DraftKings. 🤣

Exactly what I'm getting at here.
👍

Lawrence Castillo76 said:Taking Detroit at 4.5. Orlando is playing without Anderson, Howard, and Nelson, so they’re starting their second unit. #Magic starters per SVG: Duhon, JRich, QRich, Hedo, and Glen Davis

Man, I live for this stuff

Even those Bobcats managed to cover the spread for me.☕

Looks like last night was a productive haul for Detroit. 👍

So, I actually managed to snag a little something on the Pistons too. I mean, I didn't exactly carry the team or anything, but I played my part and kept things clean, I guess. Just heading out of the office now, so I'll probably drop some kind of breakdown once I'm settled.

The odds on Dallas and Utah are absolute garbage again today. Considering they’re playing without their main guys, Kidda and Haris, these lines are honestly pathetic. I’m gonna sit tight and wait for tonight's news updates before doing any more digging.

It’s hard to know which part of yesterday I should even bother quoting; if only we had more days like that.

graniteotter6 said:More sure things that aren't just for stacking bets, maybe some spreads or team totals, otherwise there isn't much else to work with.Take today's matchup as an example: Charlotte beat Toronto both times this year, though I did see them play Detroit, where they played well but lost simply because they haven't quite figured out how to close games yet.Taking the spread at +8.5 seems like a logical move.
Also, with Irving's status for the Cavs being questionable, I guess we can lean into that.

Tor 92-87 (the most critical pair)

graniteotter6 said:Anyway... here is another one I found.
Sacramento vs. Phoenix under 214.5In both matchups this year, Phoenix won and the total hovered around 180 points.
Phoenix tends to trend toward the under most of this season.
They are chasing the playoffs, so I suppose every game feels like a playoff game to them.
These guys dropped 116 on a disorganized Minnesota squad, so they likely won't be anywhere near that today.
The margin feels too high.

Phoenix 109-100 (63 points in the 2nd half, but no real danger of going over)

graniteotter6 said:Actually, I was somewhat surprised by the odds dropping on San Antonio and the Memphis-GSW under (I didn't mention Memphis for the win since that's an obvious lock), but overall, I covered those shifts with a parlay, so it works out fine.

I've noticed a significant shift toward unders over the last few days, especially after February and most of March were absolutely flooded with overs. I guess they finally got their heads screwed on straight; some teams are pushing for the playoffs while others are playing for better draft positioning, so they're managing the regular season accordingly.

Zebo and the crew really held it together in the final stretch, giving up only 15 points—nice work from them.

I also had a 2/2 parlay on San Antonio, which was pretty relaxed. Germany handled the Netherlands easily in water polo; I wouldn't have even touched that unless the odds were moving, but at least it wasn't an issue for that 1.2 line.

Keith Moore21 said:that's what I'm asking you👍

🙂 👋

Grabbed some lunch, so now it's time for some fresh analysis. 🙂

Lawrence Castillo76 said:I love this game

and then these damn bookies go and screw us on the spread... just typical...☕

Same here😁 + Suns under 215.5 and Carmelo over.

The Clippers ought to come out on top against the Lakers today.🤷

We really need to see what the situation is with Wade. If he isn't going to be suited up against OKC tonight, then taking those 2.20 odds is definitely worth the gamble.

What on earth are we doing taking 2.80 odds on Memphis? They’re playing out of their minds right now, while Dallas looks absolutely lost. At this rate, it feels like they don't even have Kidd on the bench to guide them. 🤷

Even if DW is "in," I suppose it might be worth looking at the Duje lines.
I’m with you on the Dal-Mem spread; maybe testing the Duje option makes sense, or perhaps just hedging against it.
Honestly, today's offers just don't sit right with me. They really don't.
I need to head back over to the Staples Center area, and as for the roster, I'll probably wait until we see who's actually active after tonight's updates.
One thing I did notice, though: Philly is sitting at 1.3. That seems high—way too high, if you ask me—and feels like a bit of a trap. It reminds me of how Indiana looks in D.C. I suspect those numbers will even out.
The spreads for Atlanta are 12.5 and 19.5. Something has to be played. I’ll likely place a bet, though I'll probably end up losing it.😁