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NBA Betting: Vol. 2

Started by Arthur Hill2 · · 👁 28 views · 663 replies

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Participants Arthur Hill2wiredcanyon39James Taylor3Bradley Kern6Eric Fox7stormyseal9Nicholas Chase34Brandon Clark5ruggedgull32Lawrence Castillo76Joshua Gonzalez33shadowjackal27Kevin Barrett52Edward Gonzalez36Robert Sanders2Chloe Smith11swiftowl3Drew Palmer66silentskipper3placidranger19Christian RuizKenneth Baileygraniteotter6Steven Barrett8 …
Arthur Hill2 Arthur Hill2 MemberOP
20 messages
joined Jul 2009
#461 ·
Timmy’s been stuck on the bench since the start of the game, sitting there with absolutely nothing to show for it. Honestly, Bargnani, I love you, you Italian legend.
Lawrence Castillo76 Lawrence Castillo76 Newcomer
2 messages
joined Apr 2022
#462 ·
Spurs bench dropping 31 points by halftime? That's wild.
electricjackal183 electricjackal183 Newcomer
8 messages
joined Apr 2012
#463 ·
Harris is officially out for Utah... looks like Phoenix is taking the $
ruggedcyclist7 ruggedcyclist7 Newcomer
9 messages
joined Feb 2015
#464 ·
Even with three unresolved games on the table, there's no way it stops Parker and Pierce from going over...
Drew Palmer66 Drew Palmer66 Active Member
54 messages
joined Feb 2012
#465 ·
Drew Palmer66 said:+

Washington (h+5.5) - Indiana 2 1.85

The Washington side is playing without their star striker and their main playmaker.

😁

Meanwhile, Milwaukee is sitting at +9. A real shame...
graniteotter6 graniteotter6 Member
49 messages
joined Jan 2016
#466 ·
Krasno:

Miami under 99.5
ATL-CHA over 186.5
PHX-UTA over 200.5
And I guess I was just one basket shy of hitting my Milwaukee play. 🙂
Christian Ruiz Christian Ruiz Member
28 messages
joined Mar 2012
#467 ·
Christian Ruiz said:Memphis is playing incredibly right now. They’ve become a true cohesive unit—their offense is diverse, their defense is solid, and they have great depth. Now that the roster is finally healthy and complete, they’re going to be a serious threat and one of those dangerous underdogs in the playoffs. I really have to highlight that tactical versatility Hollins has been working on over the last few seasons; he’s managed to channel some of the more "wildcard" personalities, specifically Guy and O.J., into this system. As I mentioned, Memphis is turning into a team nobody wants to see on their schedule.
Now, let’s look at tonight’s pick. Marc Gasol has evolved into an elite center in the league. Critics might argue he lacks the massive bulk or height seen in today's NBA, but that's a tired argument—his performance alone earns him that elite status. This season, he’s hovering near a double-double average with 15.4 points and 9.6 rebounds, which are stellar numbers. So, what’s the deciding factor for this bet? It's the schedule. Memphis is playing their sixth game in five days, and this is their third straight night out. With such a condensed schedule, fatigue really starts to pile up, especially for the big men. Since Gasol eats up the most minutes on the floor, that exhaustion is bound to show up on the scoreboard. Plus, as I noted, Memphis is finally whole. Zach Randolph is back after a long layoff; even if he's still finding his rhythm coming off the bench, we should realistically expect him to take a few touches away from Gasol in the paint. Looking at the matchup against Dallas, Gasol will be guarded by Haywood, who is a stout defender and could easily keep Gasol below his usual averages. While Gasol put up 22 points against Dallas earlier this season, I wouldn't use that as a benchmark because of the specific rotations—like Dirk's early injury in that game—and tactical shifts. If we look at last season, he averaged about 12 points against them over four games, though Chandler was also helping stifle him in two of those. Personally, I think 15.5 is just a bit too high given the circumstances. Fatigue is a real factor, and when legs get heavy, shooting percentages usually drop. Even though Dallas isn't quite as imposing in the paint as they were last year, a recovered Haywood should be enough to keep Gasol in check.

M. Gasol #10 pts
Carol Moore5 Carol Moore5 Newcomer
1 message
joined Sep 2014
#468 ·
Roger Phillips said:Tonight's slate:

Atlanta-Charlotte total over 186.5
Miami-Oklahoma total under 197.5
K. Love over 25.5 points
DeRozan under 16.5 points


That last one is just straight up 😠 🙂garbage...
Keith Moore21 Keith Moore21 Active Member
56 messages
joined Jun 2014
#469 ·
Keith Moore21 said:Philly
I'm feeling Philly at over 26.5

Philly 🙈
Lawrence Castillo76 Lawrence Castillo76 Newcomer
2 messages
joined Apr 2022
#470 ·
Lawrence Castillo76 said:I see Iguodala is playing tonight, but I’ve gotta take the 8.5 spread on Philly. Toronto’s last game was back in January and they got absolutely smoked by over 30 points—honestly, probably their worst performance this century. They'll be hungry to prove themselves tonight, plus Philly had a brutal matchup in Miami last night.
Philly (-8.5) vs Toronto | Thu 01:00 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 2

78-99 ☕
Looks like more people are jumping in here. Keep it coming, let's go!
wiredcanyon39 wiredcanyon39 Active Member
74 messages
joined Jul 2020
#471 ·
wiredcanyon39 said:So, I finally made up my mind—I’m putting my money on the Nuggets and the Spurs. Honestly, I'm just taking both for a lighter stake, though. I guess it feels like a safer bet that way, maybe? Just playing it a bit more cautious with this one. 😉

The Nuggets... man, I don't know. I mean, they're good, right? They've got that grit, that Denver energy—well, I guess we're talking about the US vibe here—but you know what I mean. They play hard. But sometimes I look at them and think, maybe they're just playing themselves into a corner? I don't know, I might be overthinking it. It’s hard to say for sure without seeing how the rotation shakes out in the playoffs, but yeah, the Nuggets. Always something to talk about with those guys, I suppose. 🙂
Nicholas Chase34 Nicholas Chase34 Newcomer
1 message
joined Sep 2011
#472 ·
Nicholas Chase34 said:Looks like we’ve got a midnight showdown brewing between Philly and Toronto! It's going to be a late one for anyone tuning in from the East Coast, but honestly, there's nothing quite like that late-night sports energy when the stakes feel high and the whole house is quiet. It's basically like staying up way too late at a diner in New Jersey just to catch the best slice of pie—totally worth the sleep deprivation if the game delivers. Let's see if Philly can hold their ground or if Toronto pulls off the upset!
If you're looking for a solid play today, I’d say definitely keep an eye on DeMar DeRozan to land under 17.5 points at +115 odds—he’s looking like a pretty strong favorite for that one.

Man, I’ve been getting picked off for half a point two nights in a row now. It’s like the universe is just out to get my score. 🙂

I honestly have no clue what happened to Philly out there; they completely fell off a cliff in the fourth quarter, putting up a measly seven points like they suddenly forgot how to play basketball. 😲
Amy Walker48 Amy Walker48 Newcomer
1 message
joined Jun 2023
#473 ·
Kenneth Ward said:Today:

Durant Over 27.5 @ FanDuel
He’s always been a beast against top-tier competition. He looked a little off against Memphis, so I fully expect him to bounce back and make up for it today.

Garnett Over 15.5 @ FanDuel
The old veteran. Given how much this game matters, he’ll likely see more minutes than usual, which translates to more shot attempts.

Nowitzki Over 24.5 @ FanDuel
The German machine absolutely has to step up if Dallas wants any chance at a win tonight.

Bryant Over 28.5 @ FanDuel
He dropped 42 points in his last "away" game against the Clippers. He’s going to force it like he always does, especially if Bynum isn't in the lineup. I could also see an over on Pau Gasol here.

Good luck. 🙂

And that German machine is beating my projection by a mere two points.😢
Arthur Hill2 Arthur Hill2 MemberOP
20 messages
joined Jul 2009
#474 ·
Paul Pierce Under 19.5 points

Paul Pierce—the man they call "The Truth"—is facing an uphill battle tonight. He’s expected to find his rhythm while dealing with the constant, suffocating pressure of being guarded by someone like Giannis Antetokounmpo right in his face. If we look at the recent stretch, Pierce hasn't exactly been finding his groove. His scoring output over the last three games has been underwhelming, specifically putting up 13, 9, and 14 points against the Chicago Bulls. On top of that, he had a brutal outing against the San Antonio Spurs where he managed only 16 points on shooting percentages that dipped below 50%. He also logged 35 minutes in that game, which, for a veteran of his age, is a heavy load that could definitely lead to fatigue tonight.

So, when you weigh it all up, we're looking at an elite defender shadowing him, a historical slump in production, poor current form, and the looming factor of physical exhaustion. It all points toward this pick hitting.🙂.

Duncan finishes with 11 points tonight. I suppose we should thank the refs for refusing to blow the whistle on any fouls.👍
crimsonangler1 crimsonangler1 Active Member
54 messages
joined Dec 2011
#475 ·
It's me, Griffin😢
Arthur Hill2 Arthur Hill2 MemberOP
20 messages
joined Jul 2009
#476 ·
Also, Anthony is looking at over 24.5

With injuries to LeBron and Stoudemire, Carmelo finds himself isolated on his own media-saturated island. He’s stepping up to face the Pacers, Milwaukee, and the Orlando Magic all on his own. This brave Melo has been averaging 25 points over his last five games, and honestly, after those two stellar performances lately, he’s already blown past that margin like a pro in Tokyo. Against the Magic—our usual target—he dropped exactly 25 points, though I suspect his minutes were limited, which likely kept him from hitting the higher numbers he was aiming for. Now, look, Howard might be a defensive giant, but he won't have much impact on Carmelo. Melo is primarily a jump shooter first and foremost; the drives to the rim are just secondary moves. His main obstacle will be Hedo, who had his best defensive outing back on July 17, 1999, when his little nephew asked him to play ball in the driveway (17 rebounds, 3 blocks, etc.).

I am hoping Orlando stays on track so Carmelo is forced to log heavy minutes.

Additionally, my take is that Chicago takes down Boston tonight. As I mentioned previously, Boston had a grueling matchup against the Spurs, and frankly, their biggest weakness against the Bulls is rebounding. The Bulls are going to give everything they have to avoid dropping their third straight; there shouldn't be any lack of energy or grit. Henderson is solid—just enough to handle a game that stays close without ever truly being tight.

Good luck to everyone tonight. My advice? Don't touch the Orlando game. Betting on them is nothing more than a roll of the dice. 👋
graniteotter6 graniteotter6 Member
49 messages
joined Jan 2016
#477 ·
graniteotter6 said:Honestly, today's lineup just isn't hitting the mark for me. It’s really not working at all.
I did notice one thing: the line for Philly is sitting at 1.3. That feels high—really high, in my opinion—and almost like a bit of a decoy. With the Atlanta spreads looking like 12.5 and 19.5, I suspect there’s some maneuvering going on behind the scenes. Something feels off here. I might place a bet, but I’ll be playing it very cautiously.😁

There was also another ticket that Philadelphia got crushed on by a single result. 🤦
I suppose I managed to talk myself into this one. Honestly, if nobody had given me the heads-up that it was just a cover, I probably wouldn't have gone through with it. 😁).
graniteotter6 said:Good grief. Nowitzki going under? That’s the first thing that comes to mind, I guess.

☕
graniteotter6 said:I’ve got a position on the New Orleans under 95.5. I have my paperwork filed. No explanation provided, I suppose.🤷
Maybe it’s because those overhyped Wolves have been such a disappointment lately, but I might actually put my money on the Warriors at +12.5. Even if they struggle early on, I suspect the guys will keep pushing and making life difficult for the bigger teams right up until the final buzzer.
The Lakers shouldn't be able to close a gap larger than nine points, assuming they even manage to pull off a win at all. I suppose proving something on your own home court is the ultimate litmus test for any team. At this rate, it’ll either be an egalitarian blowout or just another typical Lakers struggle.

It’s been all day and I haven't seen Kris Polatsek listed on any of the betting sites. I suppose even the universe knows he’s an "under" play today, though he’ll probably still find a way to surprise us all by dropping 21 points anyway.

Coffee time.

electricjackal183 said:It looks like Harris is out for the Utah game. Looks like Phoenix might be the play instead.

That bit of information actually helped me close the day in the green. That makes three days in a row, I suppose.
Thanks!
Arthur Hill2 said:Plus, we have Anthony at over 24.5

With these injuries...

🙏
stormyseal9 stormyseal9 Member
20 messages
joined Oct 2011
#478 ·
Look, there isn't some massive blowout offer here today, but I've still got a few things on my radar that look interesting enough to grab

Anthony over 23.5 @ 1.85
-So, with guys like Lin and Stoudemire sitting this one out, he’s basically back in the driver's seat just like the old days, right? And from what I've been seeing, his shooting has actually leveled up lately. Plus, since Howard is a huge question mark for tonight, that just adds even more fuel to the fire for him
Monroe over 15.5 @ 1.85
-Like I was saying a little while back, this guy is such a weird, unpredictable player who can go hot or cold in a heartbeat, but I’m leaning over here because Washington's defense is a total mess, and honestly, the guy dropped 27 points against them in their last home outing. My only real worry is if they just decide to stop taking shots altogether, but let's be real
Garnett over 15.5 @ 1.85
-Since someone pointed out that Pierce hasn't really found his rhythm against Chicago this season, and Allen is still shaking off that injury, most of the heavy lifting is gonna fall right on his and Rondow's shoulders. There's no real backup plan either since O'Neal is done for the season, so he should be soaking up plenty of minutes—around 40 or so—and hunting for at least 15 shots
Pierce under 19.5 @ 1.85
-They had a brutal game against San Antonio last night, so you know fatigue is going to start kicking in, right? And let's face it, looking at his numbers for the three preseason games this year—he went 14, 9, and 13—he's been trending way toward the under anyway
Evans over 16.5 @ 1.85
-With Thornton and Thompson out of the rotation, the lane is wide open for him to rack up more attempts. Aside from Cousins and Thomas, there's nobody else stepping up to take those shots, and the guy always seems to play better when he's facing the tough teams

Small stake, playing the favorite👍
graniteotter6 graniteotter6 Member
49 messages
joined Jan 2016
#479 ·
Thinking about today’s matchups last night, my mind went straight to Mel, and I pegged him at around 24.25. So, I suppose he'd just need to clear that 23.5 line.
Just like Monroe, who managed to hit the over in two straight games—barely scraping by against Charlotte in OT, but then absolutely crushing Orlando by 20 points earlier.
I might consider taking the over tonight, assuming Prince is available on the board; if he is, he's probably my pick.
Dana Baker2 Dana Baker2 Newcomer
1 message
joined Apr 2011
#480 ·
Why isn't Cousins even in the lineup?🙂

stormyseal9 said:...

Where the hell is Melo at 23.5, Evans at 16.5, or Monroe at 15.5?😲

From what I can tell, they bumped everyone up by a point everywhere...🤷

OT: why the hell can't I see the departures at the Chicago station?! I click on "departures" and nothing shows up.

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