NBA Betting: Vol. 2

Lawrence Gonzalez6 said:What should I bet on for tonight's two games? Magic - Knicks, Pistons - Wizards.

If you're asking me, I’m not putting a single cent down until after noon. I'm definitely not betting anything before 12.

Lawrence Castillo76 said:If you ask me, what's the point? I'm definitely not putting anything down before noon anyway.

Same here, nothing from me until noon either. I'll just use an account to deposit later, so for now, I'm just checking out the picks.😉

Bradley Kern6 said:I don't get it. Some kind of blowout between Howard and the coach—so is Howard actually going to play or what?

Howard essentially demanded that management fire the coach. Management took that feedback directly to him. Let's just say the vibe in the locker room isn't exactly great right now🙂.

Howard is dealing with some sort of injury

Arthur Hill2 said:Howard asked management to fire the coach. Management took the hint. Let's just say the vibes in the locker room aren't exactly great right now 🙂.

Howard is dealing with a minor injury
.

I don't know—personally, I wouldn't call this an alarming situation. All this talk about bad chemistry and locker room drama is a bit much, considering Howard has been driving everyone crazy all season by constantly listing everywhere he might go next. 🤷

Van Gundy isn't going to risk his job by benching Howard; if he does that, he’s basically handing management a reason to let him go. 🤷

The reports say Howard is healthy and listed as "probable" for tonight. After whatever irritation the media has caused him, he might actually put up a massive performance. Granted, he's facing Chandler, who has defended him quite well this season, but when Howard is truly locked in, he’s nearly impossible to stop.

I wouldn't base a pick on "bad relationships," though it wouldn't be shocking if the Knicks walk away with the win. These two teams are among the most volatile in the league—nothing would surprise me, whether it's the Magic shooting 70% from three or the Knicks coughing up 30 turnovers.
The odds seem realistic to me; they reflect the actual state of both rosters.

As for Howard's injury, we all know he doesn't miss games often. In the NBA, you don't typically play unless you're fully ready, especially heading into the playoffs.

Is Rose playing tonight?

In the Boozer vs KG matchup, things have leaned toward Boozer all three times they've met this season during Chicago - Boston games. Two of those matchups saw him clear the 20-point mark, while the third ended 12-8.
My gut tells me KG takes this one 12-8 today, so I might just take the duel at
.
As for Magic - Knicks, I'm looking at the over. No specific reason, really—just a feeling. Whatever I pick, it usually ends up going against me 🤷. That’s just how it goes with Orlando; it’s not just my luck.

Honestly, I’m just waiting for someone to bail me out like they did last night with that last-minute tip. I went all-in on Phoenix at 2:59 AM!

graniteotter6, I’d put my money on the Kings tonight. 😁

Cousins is playing out of his mind—he'll handle Jordan and Evans easily enough.

I have a feeling Jimmer might knock down a few threes, too. 😉

Seriously, the Clippers aren't exactly my Favorite tonight, especially after that grind against the Lakers last night. Besides, if I recall correctly, the Kings have been solid at home.

Signing off. ☕

Dana Baker2 said:Anyway, does anyone actually have an account open at FortuneWin? To me, their margins seem pretty realistic compared to how teams are actually playing. Plus, they’ve got a solid lineup of players available, especially those guys on a hot streak, like Crawford. Though it looks like they might be slashing the odds...
And generally speaking, which US sportsbook would you recommend for opening an online account?
I put some cash into SS-A, but I might pull it out if the selection at FortuneWin or Favorite is better.

I've got an account with FortuneWin, and I even snagged a bonus (deposited $67 and got $33)! The interface is decent—kind of like how Favorite used to look before they did that redesign—and they have a massive selection.
As for US sportsbooks, honestly, you should just have accounts with all four major ones: SS-A, HL, Favorite, and PSK. Then you just mix and match.
For example, today SS-A had the over/under at 149.5 for Pao - Maccabi, HL had 151.5, and PSK was at 152.5. That’s a massive spread.
If you're looking at over/unders, Pinnacle combined with bet365 and Bwin is definitely the way to go!
Look at the math: the over at our local books is sitting at 1.85 (after they shave 5%), bet365 is hovering between 1.83 and 1.85, Bwin is at 1.87-1.90, but Pinnacle is hitting 1.90 - 2.03!!!

Bradley Kern6 said:Is there any word on whether Derrick Rose is actually suiting up?

According to the latest reports:

K.C. Johnson @KCJHoop Reply Retweet Favorite · Open
Derrick Rose mentioned that he's definitely set to play this Sunday against the New York Knicks, provided he doesn't run into any setbacks. This assumes he stays sidelined for tonight's matchup against the Boston Celtics. #Bulls
K.C. Johnson @KCJHoop Reply Retweet Favorite · Open
Derrick Rose mentioned he’ll be warming up tonight, and if everything feels right, he intends to suit up. He did admit, however, that he's still dealing with some discomfort. #ChicagoBulls

Look, even if everything looks absolutely fantastic during warmups, I’m still going to be skeptical. The groin is a tricky area, and the fact that there isn't even minimal tightness right now is actually what concerns me most. They don't have another game until Sunday, and honestly, having that extra window would be nothing short of ideal for getting some real recovery in.

graniteotter6 said:The Carlos Boozer vs KG matchup has been a fascinating one to track. This season, the edge has consistently gone to Carlos Boozer. In all three instances where the Chicago Bulls vs Boston Celtics showdown occurred, Boozer came out on top. In two of those matchups, he put up massive numbers, clearing the 20-point mark. The third meeting was a bit tighter, ending with him at 12 points.
My gut tells me KG takes this matchup 12-8 today. I’m looking to double down at +2.

The Orlando Magic vs. New York Knicks game is going over. I don't have any specific reason for this call. Honestly, it feels like no matter what I bet on, it ends up going against me. 🤷 It’s always the same story when it comes to the Orlando Magic. It isn't just my personal take, either.

I'm just sitting here waiting for someone to hit me up with a last-minute tip like they did last night. I ended up putting everything on the Phoenix Suns at 2:59 AM—went all in.

Carlos Boozer isn't going to play. You really let me down on this one.😢

@tsig - well, two are already down, I guess, but thanks anyway.

@bounzi - there’s no room for sentimentality here; you step over anyone in your way, no matter how much we might actually like them.😍

silverridge3 said:I've got an account over at Fortuna—just snagged a bonus after making my deposit. $67 I got it. $33The odds are fine—just like they were for our favorite before they went through that redesign and suddenly had a massive influx of interest.
When it comes to online accounts for our betting setups—you really need to have active accounts at all four: SS, HL, Fortuna, and PSK. That’s the only way to properly combine them.
SS hit 149.5 total points on that Maccabi Tel Aviv game today—HL had it at 151.5 and PSK was sitting at 152.5. That's a massive gap right there.
When it comes to over/under bets, Pinnacle is easily the best option—especially when you pair them up with bet365 and Bwin!
Look, let's take the matchup at home as an example—the odds are sitting at 1.85 (that’s already a 5% haircut). Bet365 is hovering between 1.83 and 1.85, Bwin is giving us 1.87 to 1.90, but Pinnacle? They're sitting pretty at 1.90 to 2.03!!!

Look, I'm not some obsessive fanatic who needs a million different accounts to keep track of things.😁
One's enough—looking at the offers, Fortuna seems like my best bet. As long as there aren't any issues with placing bets, I'm down. How do you actually fund an account with them? Is it just standard credit card stuff or can you use mobile banking? Or am I going to have to physically trek out to a betting shop?
And another thing... how exactly are you supposed to clear this bonus? Do you have to place a specific number of bets at certain odds? I honestly can't make heads or tails of these bonus requirements—it’s all just a mess.
What you’re saying about the online stuff is spot on—but it’s absolute garbage that they won't let you parlay players with anything else! It makes zero sense. I don't see any logic behind it. That's exactly why I shut down my Bwin account.

Derrick Rose news
35 minutes ago
He's warming up with the squad tonight. If things feel right once he hits the floor, he's absolutely playing. If the body isn't cooperating, we're going to make the smart call.

.

Dwight Howard and Jameer Nelson are good to go. Anderson is still sitting this one out, but he’s finally getting somewhere with his recovery.

Dammit, nothing from the Orlando +3.5 spread; I ended up taking the two on Orlando Magic vs New York Knicks instead.
But, I’ll say it again, it was worth the shot.

I won't lie to you, I feel an immediate sense of relief once I have my own unit set up. 😍

But man, the Orlando Magic... why on earth do I keep feeling compelled to play them?

It happens to me all too often. I walk into the sportsbook with a flawless strategy, and I walk out with a ticket where half the legs make absolutely no sense to me. It’s strange.

I'm gonna try taking the over on 92.5 for Nix and 7.5 for Washington, just because of some reasons only I know, haha.

Betfair actually has some decent stuff to mess around with right now, for instance:
griffin vs cousins at 1.80—I'm definitely riding with DeMarcus on this one.
The line for Sacramento vs LA Clippers is set at 206.5. Based on what graniteotter6 was saying about the Clippers having a cold stretch in their current cycle, why wouldn't you give it a shot?

Betfair is also trying to be clever offering Carmelo Anthony vs Tuncay at 1.12, but honestly, I'm not looking to play games with the Turkish Jordan.
Paul Pierce vs Carlos Boozer is sitting at 2.30. That’s some seriously solid value.☕>

Daniel Robinson5 said:There are some solid opportunities to test out on Betfair right now, for instance:
Griffin vs Cousins at 1.80; I am definitely taking the money on DeMarcus.
The Sacramento Kings line is set at 206.5, and considering what graniteotter6 mentioned about the Kings potentially having a cold stretch in their current cycle, why not give it a shot?

Betfair is also cleverly offering a Carmelo Anthony vs Turkoglu matchup at 1.12, but they clearly aren't looking to mess around when it comes to the American Jordan.
Paul Pierce vs Carlos Boozer at 2.30—that is some genuine, high-quality value.☕

That isn't Betfair offering those lines; it’s someone like you who decided to act like a boutique sportsbook just to squeeze out a profit.😉

electricjackal183 said:It’s not Betfair offering that. It’s someone like you who decided to run their own little boutique sportsbook just to make a quick buck. 😉

I was thinking that maybe Betfair offers duels, but obviously, those odds just shift based on whatever supply and demand looks like at the moment. 😉

Man, betting on the NBA is such a headache right now. Betting on the Orlando Magic is a total minefield—you've got Dwight Howard apparently pushing for a coaching change, plus Anderson is out of the lineup, so everything is just messy. I mean, just when you think they might at least cover the spread against the New York Knicks, the Orlando Magic pull a start like this... 🙂