NBA Betting: Vol. 2

Absolutely ridiculous
I’m sitting here with more than 25.5
So, for me, 7 is just straight-up garbage. Go home, you failure. I just hope he doesn't come after me personally for saying it.

Richard Myers5 said:This is ridiculous.
I’ve got over 25.5 on my side.
Basically, for me, it's a total loss—just pack it up and go home. I just hope he doesn't personally screw me over too.

And they were at 17 by halftime. 🤣

It’s bullshit like this that makes you lose all motivation to bet. It was the 19th, and he scored right at the start of the third quarter. Then the guy misses a three, then a layup... and that's it. I don't believe he's going back in; honestly, there's no point, especially since word is he's dealing with a minor injury.
If they actually put him in for these last 8 minutes, there might be some hope left.

Hey everyone, things are getting a bit messy out there; our momentum just sort of fizzled out, and the Wall quietly and subtly took control during the away game.😲

And there it is. It starts out looking predictable enough, then ends with a total Carmelo Anthony mess. Just another prime example of why betting on individual players is usually a losing game, but hey, what can you do? You gotta play somewhere. 🙂

Paul Pierce is firing away like there’s no tomorrow 🙏

Listen closely now. Carmelo Anthony had an incredible start before things completely fell apart, and given how Paul Pierce plays, I am expecting us to hit the over before halftime. 🙂

Drew Palmer66 said:Paul Pierce (-17,5+) over 1.85
Carlos Boozer (-16,5+) under 1.70

Just going against the grain here...

Uh-oh.

☕

Man, tonight was a total nail-biter... watching the Boston Celtics vs LA Clippers game was wild. 😁

Here’s how the action shook out:

Chris Paul (-19.5+) Sacramento vs LA Clippers under (13)
Sacramento vs LA Clippers x2 (85:93)
Orlando Magic vs New York Knicks 2 (80:96)
Chicago Bulls vs Boston Celtics (85.5) over (86)😍
Detroit Pistons vs Washington Wizards 1 (99:94)

The bets paid off, so I'm staying vigilant—but for now, goodnight everyone. 🙂

graniteotter6 said:I swung by Pinnacle and was actually pleasantly surprised by the Orlando Magic +3.5 handicap, so I took a shot at a 3.65 double. Whatever happens, happens—you've got to take those chances sometimes. 😁
I paired it with a Boston Celtics over 84.

uh-oh, right here too, after all that stress.

Anyone who doesn't rewrite this is a total amateur!

4 days in a row, and counting...

Yesterday was a lot of noise with very little substance. Only the Chicago Bulls managed to pull off a win, and even then, it was just barely enough points to get by. Paul Pierce put up 12 points in the first, eventually finishing with 22. Honestly, maybe he was being too kind and should have missed a three-pointer or two.

I haven't placed a single bet and honestly, things are looking better for it. Hopefully I can find something decent for today.

Anyway, since I haven't been watching...
Did Dwight Howard play tonight out of pure spite, or did Tyson just eat him alive? He only took two shots in the entire half!😲

EDIT: Man, these SS guys are idiots! 😠They don't even have the two players I think look promising for an over tonight in their lineup! Smith and Ellis. They aren't even offering Gordon, who started playing and is definitely the main guy for the Charlotte Hornets, nor Gay, DeMar DeRozan, Al Jamison, Marcin Gortat, or Steve Nash—nothing from the Nets vs Wizards game... It's a joke.

1.listić
Denver vs Phoenix vs New Orleans
New Orleans Hornets under 92.5
@2.96
Denver is hosting the Suns, and honestly, they’re both fighting tooth and nail for that 8th seed in the West—which is basically the last ticket into the playoffs. It’s that final spot, you know? Just one win separates them, so this game feels massive since every single matchup right now is deciding who stays alive and who gets sent home early. Denver is looking pretty solid at home, sitting at 15-12, though they've been dealing with some injury drama lately. I guess maybe Gallinari could return tonight; he's a question mark, but even without him, they should be able to handle the Suns. Lawson is definitely quicker than Nash, so he might just take over the game. Phoenix, on the other hand, hasn't been great on the road—they're 12-15 and have been struggling away from home recently. Plus, losing Grant Hill for the rest of the season is a huge blow; he’s such a reliable defender and always hits those clutch threes when needed.

For my second pick, I’m leaning on the Spurs' solid defense and the fact that the Hornets' offense has been pretty lackluster. They’re one of the weaker offensive squads out there, and most of their wins come from just locking teams down defensively. Tonight, Jack is a bit uncertain, and he’s been playing out of his mind lately, often clearing 20 points. Even with Gordon back in the mix, I don't really buy that he can totally fill that void just yet.

2.ticket
Chris Bosh under 17.5 1.85
LaMarcus Aldridge vs David Lee 2 1.95
@3.6075

Bosh has been playing pretty poorly lately; that mid-range game he usually relies on just isn't clicking anymore. He’s never been the most aggressive guy, and since he’s not getting many looks next to Dwyane Wade and LeBron James, his numbers have dipped since leaving the Raptors. Today, the Miami Heat are facing the Memphis Grizzlies, who have one of the toughest frontcourts with Pau Gasol and Zach Randolph. Throw in Speights, and you've got a bunch of elite defenders. If Miami wants to pull this off, they’re probably going to have to rely on their perimeter players, because getting much from a struggling Bosh against a defense like that seems like a tall order.

As for David Lee, after Ellis left and with Stephen Curry sidelined, he’s been playing alongside three rookies in the starting lineup, so it’s obvious he’s taking more shots. His stats have jumped quite a bit—he actually dropped 31 the other night with decent efficiency. So, I guess if he takes a few fewer shots today, he could easily hover around that line again. Aldridge is the main scoring option for the Blazers, but he rarely explodes for more than 30; he usually hangs out in that 20-25 range. Part of why I’m picking this is because they’re running into the Dallas Mavericks, which is easily one of the best defensive teams in the league.

3.ticket
Toronto vs Cleveland -8.5 2 1.85
Dallas vs Portland -6.5 1 1.85
@3.4255

Even with their injury issues, I think the Cavaliers can at least cover the spread against this year's Raptors. Honestly, the Raptors aren't exactly playing for keeps; they're more focused on securing a high lottery pick in the draft. They did get Bargnani back, which gives them a new offensive dimension, but I have a feeling this one is going to be a real nail-biter until the very end.

Dallas is incredibly tough at home, and this is another crucial game for them. In a crowded West, one loss can easily push you out of the playoff hunt. They're facing a Portland Trail Blazers team that’s been pretty inconsistent on the road and looks completely fractured after all the trades and their coach moving on. I think Dallas will definitely be able to feed Aldridge and the crew well, and given how many scoring options they have, I wouldn't be surprised if they have a really productive night offensively.

wiredcanyon39 said:...because fighting for those draft lottery picks...

Someone already brought this up regarding the Raptors during their last game against the Sixers. We all saw how that played out...😁
I wouldn't go so far as to say any team actually *wants* to be terrible—I mean, it’s just the "lottery." Whether you suck the most or not, it doesn't guarantee you land the #1 pick. Even if Toronto loses every single game from here on out, they aren't going to catch these bottom-feeders in the standings. So, honestly, I don't think it makes sense to factor this into your betting strategy.

EDIT: Where can I find specific player stats against certain teams from this season or previous ones? NBA.com has team vs. team and player vs. team, but it lacks individual breakdowns. I need shots, minutes, rebounds, assists—everything specifically against one opponent.

Lawrence Castillo76 said:I’m gonna try the over on 92.5 and 7.5 for Washington, just because I feel like it lol

The hot streak keeps going☕
Catch you guys later tonight😂

Dana Baker2 said:Someone already brought this up regarding the Raptors during that last game against the Sixers. We all know how that disaster played out...😁
Look, I don't think any team actually *wants* to be the absolute worst just for the sake of it, because at the end of the day, it’s all about the "lottery." Whether you're the bottom feeder or just near the bottom, it doesn't guarantee you get that number one pick. Even if Toronto loses every single remaining game, they aren't going to slide into those bottom-tier lottery odds. Honestly, when you're looking at betting, I don't see any point in even factoring this into the equation.

EDIT: Does anyone know where I can track a specific player's scoring totals against certain teams from this season or previous ones? NBA.com has the team-vs-team and player-vs-team breakdowns, but it's missing the granular stuff. I need the deep dive—shooting percentages, minutes played, rebounds, assists, everything against a specific opponent.

http://www.hoopsstats.com/basketball...file/12/23/332

Just select the player and the year, then hit the "by opponent" tab.

So I see graniteotter6 has been cleaning up with the bookies lately😍,so wouldn't it be about time the rest of us caught a break and hit a winner too, right?😉

210.5/Denver-Phoenix under 1.85
-In years past, these games were always blowing past the over, but this year? Nobody seems to have that offensive spark anymore, especially not the visitors. Maybe it's all these constant injuries dragging them down, so I'm taking the under.
DeRozan over 17.5 1.85
-I think we’re going to see the visiting team's terrible form really show here—they're on a nine-game skid and Kyrie will likely sit out since he hasn't fully recovered, and the coach probably won't risk him until the season's end anyway. Plus, they've been without their center for a while now, so DeRozan should have a field day; he dropped 25 last time they played the Cavs at home.
LeBron over 27.5 1.85
-After a bit of a slump in scoring, he's absolutely exploded in his last two outings, putting up 41 and 34 points. A huge part of that is because Wade is banged up and Bosh hasn't been playing his usual game, and since I don't expect Wade to be at 100%, the over feels like the smart move.
Jamison over 15.5 1.85
-His recent form over the last ten games has seen his numbers dip by maybe 4 or 5 points, but honestly, with Kyrie out, he's pretty much my only option here. Besides, he's already cleared 19 or 20 points twice this season.
Parker over 18.5 1.85
-His scoring has taken a slight hit because he's been resting more and Duncan and Manu have been stepping up big time, but since New Orleans is basically at full strength, I'm expecting more resistance, which means he'll have to step up. In three games this year, he went under twice and over once with 20 points.
Jennings over 18.5 1.85
-They're still fighting for a playoff spot and they're looking solid, largely thanks to him, so I'm expecting 20+ from him. He's been averaging 22.4 against them this season, so the history is there.
Gasol P over 16.5 1.85
-He's been in great shape lately, dropping 20+ in his last three home games, and Houston definitely owes him one after that last matchup, so they'll be looking for payback. Kobe might have a rough night though, considering how Parsons totally shut him down last time, limiting him to just 10-for-27 shooting.🤷

6/7 System Favorite😉

Scola over 16.5 1.85
-He's gone over in both games so far (hitting 23 and 20), and they're still missing Lowry and Martin. Dragic can't carry the whole load himself, and you can't really expect much offensively from Parsons since he'll be too busy trying to contain Kobe.
Wade under 23.5 1.85
-He was a question mark for today, but looks like he'll play, though I don't think he'll be giving it his all. We saw that in the last two games against OKC and Boston where he only managed 19 and 15 points, way below his usual average.
Westbrook over 24.5 1.85
-Just look at his recent stats and it tells you everything you need to know. This is a guy who can score 28 points even when he's shooting a miserable 9-for-26! If he actually plays at his level, I'm expecting 30+.
Nowitzki over 23.5 1.85
-He's in fantastic form compared to how the season started, and he always seems to bring his best when facing tough teams. He's averaged around 25 over his last ten; unless it turns into a total blowout, he should clear this easily.
Johnson over 18.5 1.85
-He sat out the whole fourth quarter against Charlotte last time, and even with only 26 minutes of action, he still managed 16 points. I expect him to be rested and ready to go, and his previous numbers suggest he could easily go over.

Standard parlay, small stake.

It would be pretty nice if some fans decided to send a little gift for Easter, especially since my birthday is coming up soon!😍

placidranger19 said:http://www.hoopsstats.com/basketball...file/12/23/332

Pick a player, pick a year, and then just hit "by opponent." Simple.

Thanks a ton!🙏

Looking at this pathetic offer from SS—here’s what I’m pulling out:
Bynum is going over 18.5.
Westbrick over 24.5.
Lawson's going over 17.5—bet on it.
Dirk's going over 23.5.
Lee's over 21.5.
Johnson's going over 18.5.
+
Miami (-14.5) vs. Memphis 2
Indiana vs. Oklahoma—this one’s a toss-up, honestly.
Toronto-Cleveland 1
Atlanta-Detroit 1

For the folk music crowd... 😁

wiredcanyon39 said:I suppose we should probably verify this.

It’s funny how some people go for full-on embalming, while I guess even one of my "Eastern" verbs managed to make an appearance. 😍

I guess losing Grant Hill for the rest of the season is a massive blow for them. He’s such a solid defensive presence, and honestly, he always seems to knock down that clutch three when they really need it.

I can't say this brings me much joy. Poor little thing. 😢

I’m leaning toward Chris Bosh under 17.5 points. I guess it’s a bit of a toss-up, but maybe the numbers just aren't there for him to hit that mark tonight.

My "expert" analysis leads me to the same conclusion regarding this pair. I'll go ahead and confirm that.

stormyseal9 Asks:
It looks like graniteotter6 has been cleaning out the bettors lately.😍I suppose it would be nice if the rest of us actually saw some kind of windfall for once.😉

Look, guys, nobody here is actually defending copying someone else's picks. My wins don't somehow invalidate yours, either. Besides, I mostly just play these obscure parlays that hardly anyone even touches. 🧐 😍

I’m looking at the Denver-Phoenix matchup. I think we might see the total land under 210.5, specifically if you can find it around 1.85. It's just a hunch, though.

My "expert" analysis suggests this pair is a lock. I’m calling it.

I'm leaning toward Jamison to go over 15.5 points, given he's sitting at about 1.85 odds. It feels like a reasonable play, though I suppose it depends on how the rotation shakes out.

I’ve been giving this some thought, and honestly, it’s a bit of a toss-up. I guess it could go either way.

Here is something to chew on, I suppose. Roughly like this:

The Warriors have some serious momentum right now. They’ve been grinding through tough matchups against the Lakers and Memphis, and they just managed to take down Minnesota. Next up is Utah, a team that always seems to be a toss-up for them—they either dominate or struggle through a nail-biter. Either way, covering the spread feels like a piece of cake to me. I guess we'll see, especially since Devin Harris's status is still up in the air, which might change things...
If you’re too chicken to touch the spread, then maybe just take the under on the Over/Under at 106.5.😁

So, you're saying Dallas is under 99.5? What kind of action are we looking at there?
Well, thanks for that. From what I can gather, the champions are in absolutely abysmal attacking form right now. You only have to look at that massive 75 to 5 blowout against the Dinars playing for the LAC—yeah, right. 🙄)
The I-95 matchup against an already exhausted Memphis squad on a back-to-back-to-back stretch. Last time these two met in Dallas, it was a nail-biter, ending 97-94.
wiredcanyon39, I’ve got my sights set firmly on this specific pairing today. 😍

Also, regarding that first "read," I think Indiana over OKC might be a bit of a stretch. After that stellar fourth quarter against the Knicks, the Pacers seemed to completely deflate against those massive Raptors. This is a rivalry game; everyone wants a piece of the Thunder, and in a high-stakes matchup like this, they aren't going to get anything for free without getting a little bruised up on defense.
Then again, a straight-up win for OKC wouldn't surprise me. They've already dropped two games this week, which feels heavy for them. Honestly, I wouldn't rule out a two-point spread; I'm leaning toward something like 90-101.

edit: Garnett vs. Boozer at 12:12—since it didn't hit, at least it didn't completely tank. 🧐

Indiana vs Oklahoma City 2 @ 1.62 SS
The best squad in the league is heading into a tough road test against a very respectable Indiana side. That said, I’m banking on the visitors' sheer talent to pull this one through, much like how they managed to edge out the wins in both matchups last season.

Westbrook Over 24.5 @ 1.85 SS
Westbrook has been hunting for shots at a high clip lately, and honestly, he should clear this line with room to spare. The fact that he's facing off against Collison—who isn't exactly a defensive powerhouse—only helps his case. He dropped 43 points in his last trip to play Indiana on the road, so the momentum is definitely there.

Toronto vs Cleveland 1 @ 1.30 SS
Toronto has looked absolutely elite since Bargnani rejoined the rotation, whereas Cleveland seems to be spiraling further into their recent struggles. Toronto took care of business in their last two meetings without breaking a sweat. I don't see any reason why the Raptors wouldn't keep that streak alive here.

Bryant K. (LAL) (-28,5+) over

Word on the street is that Parsons played him pretty tight last game, which might partially explain why Bryant's shooting percentages looked a bit off; however, even with that defensive pressure, he was hovering right around this threshold. He’s back on home soil tonight, and I am certain he’ll dig deep to prove that last performance was nothing more than a fluke. I'm calling it now: he clears 30 tonight. 🙂

Nobody’s even bringing up Rudy Gay...

In the German leagues and over here in the NBA, they've got his line set at 17.5... but he's running into LeBron tonight, and honestly, King James is probably going to make his life a living hell. Plus, let's be real, the guy's shot has been absolutely atrocious lately (went 4-15 for 12 points against the Thunder; 3-13 for 11 against the Warriors; 4-12 for 8 against the Mavs) 🤷

If I had any skin in the game today, this is the double I’d be looking at:

R. Gay (Miami-Mem) under 17.5 @ 1.85
Indiana vs. OKC 2 @ 1.70
@ 3.15 total odds via DraftKings