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NBA Betting: Vol. 2

Started by Arthur Hill2 · · 👁 32 views · 663 replies

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Participants Arthur Hill2wiredcanyon39James Taylor3Bradley Kern6Eric Fox7stormyseal9Nicholas Chase34Brandon Clark5ruggedgull32Lawrence Castillo76Joshua Gonzalez33shadowjackal27Kevin Barrett52Edward Gonzalez36Robert Sanders2Chloe Smith11swiftowl3Drew Palmer66silentskipper3placidranger19Christian RuizKenneth Baileygraniteotter6Steven Barrett8 …
graniteotter6 graniteotter6 Member
49 messages
joined Jan 2016
#121 ·
Joseph Lewis13 said:He's out of form... he's just not there.. 🤣 LeBron is basically running the whole show—running, jumping, playing defense like a maniac, and scoring.. his point total doesn't actually reflect his "form" so much as it reflects how many shots he takes and the flow of the game.

It’s pretty great when you decide to come after me without actually addressing the topic or contributing anything meaningful to the conversation.
As a bettor, I only care about one thing: the numbers. I don't particularly care whether we call it being "out of form" or simply him playing for the team.
Joseph Lewis13 Joseph Lewis13 Member
24 messages
joined Dec 2011
#122 ·
graniteotter6 said:It's honestly pretty funny when you jump in just to call me out without actually touching the topic or adding anything useful to the conversation.
As a bettor, all I care about—strictly and exclusively—are the numbers. Honestly, I couldn't care less whether we're talking about "team chemistry" or "discipline."

Take a look at the last two pages and you might find some of my takes on the NBA... maybe checking out the Clippers or Golden State... or even pivoting to tennis or basketball... there might be something in there for you. Regardless, I'd much rather offer quality over quantity. For instance, Miami and Oklahoma haven't faced off in 375 days. On March 16, 2011, Durant dropped 29 points while LeBron, Wade, and Bosh struggled from the field, leading to a 96-85 loss...
Back on January 30, 2011, LeBron, Wade, and Bosh were all shooting above 50% and pulled off a 108-103 win—though Durant actually had 33 points that night (including 17 from the free-throw line). Bringing up "form" or "momentum" doesn't really hold water here, especially considering the elbow injury James picked up against Phoenix. That injury caused him real trouble in the third and fourth quarters against both Phoenix and Detroit (averaging just 18.5 points during those stretches). He used this past Saturday to really dial things back in and improve his game.

James' Statement: “For me, if I don’t shoot the ball particularly well, it doesn’t get me down because I’ve got other parts of my game. I just have to rebound more and get my guys involved and defend even more. As for his shot, he said “it’s not as great as I want it to be right now. I don’t want to say it’s bothering me, but I’ve been short on a lot of shots and hopefully I can continue to get treatment, continue to work my habits, James said. I was able to get into the gym today and make a lot of shots, so that definitely helped.”
graniteotter6 graniteotter6 Member
49 messages
joined Jan 2016
#123 ·
Honestly, you’re right; you mentioned the LAC game and how Ginobili isn't in the lineup.
I don't play tennis.
Like I said before, I don't deal in massive amounts of data; I mostly just bet on my gut feeling. I try not to overload myself with too many stats because, at that point, every single bet starts feeling incredibly questionable.
That doesn't mean I'm not still leaning toward the rofl.
Drew Palmer66 Drew Palmer66 Active Member
54 messages
joined Feb 2012
#124 ·
Cleveland (h+3,5) vs. Phoenix 2 1,85
San Antonio (h-3,5) vs. Philadelphia 1 1,85
Lawrence Castillo76 Lawrence Castillo76 Newcomer
2 messages
joined Apr 2022
#125 ·
Drew Palmer66, you're really out here coming for me on everything, haha. But hey, at least I've got my 4.5% edge.
lonedrifter68 lonedrifter68 Active Member
60 messages
joined Jan 2012
#126 ·
Million dollar question:

Is Jamison gonna sink one? ☕🤣
stormygull7 stormygull7 Member
27 messages
joined Jan 2012
#127 ·
What a total collapse from Jamison lol. Three fouls? That’s just pathetic.
Christian Ruiz Christian Ruiz Member
28 messages
joined Mar 2012
#128 ·
Marc Gasol UNDER #15.5
Since I'm running into some technical issues at the moment, 🙂 I won't be able to provide a full breakdown for this pick. Higher stakes though!
Arthur Hill2 Arthur Hill2 MemberOP
20 messages
joined Jul 2009
#129 ·
stormygull7 said:What a total collapse from Jamison, haha. Three personal fouls already? Truly spectacular performance there.

And he’s shooting 1-for-7 from the field. It is genuinely laughable at this point.
ruggedgull32 ruggedgull32 Active Member
92 messages
joined Jan 2012
#130 ·
...give me some LOVE here...😁
The guy’s logging 40+ minutes, yet his team has been trailing by 20+ since the second quarter...
Players like this? That's where you put your money...
shadowgardener10 shadowgardener10 Member
19 messages
joined Jan 2011
#131 ·
Pierce went 0/2, two separate attempts, then headed to the bench. 🙂
graniteotter6 graniteotter6 Member
49 messages
joined Jan 2016
#132 ·
I put together a little six-leg parlay with minimum stakes covering just two games. Honestly, if this doesn't work out, feel free to hang me in Minnesota—it’s a total shot in the dark, purely ignoring logic at this point.
Now, I’m feeling the exact same way about OKC-Miami. Who cares, right?
Joseph Lewis13 Joseph Lewis13 Member
24 messages
joined Dec 2011
#133 ·
Portland (-8.5) - Golden State 1 fortuna

- The Warriors are still dealing with some missing pieces today—specifically without Robinson—and after that grueling matchup they had yesterday, their rebounding looks pretty thin due to the absences. I’m expecting a double-digit win for the home team here; plus, Lee historically plays quite well against Portland, so he might just clear his over 19.5 line too.
Drew Palmer66 Drew Palmer66 Active Member
54 messages
joined Feb 2012
#134 ·
Drew Palmer66 said:Cleveland (h+3.5) vs Phoenix: 2 @ 1.85
San Antonio (h-3.5) vs Philadelphia: 1 @ 1.85

🙂

And we’re supposed to believe that? Honestly, who would buy this nonsense?
stormyseal9 stormyseal9 Member
20 messages
joined Oct 2011
#135 ·
stormyseal9 said:What is even happening lately, seriously? Is everyone just collectively deciding to check out from the NBA, or is the whole crew just taking a breather because these insane scores are driving us all absolutely nuts?🤷

I’m finally gonna break the ice today!😍

Jamison over 18.5 at 1.85! Seriously, how can you even doubt this? Are we actually watching the same game? It’s almost too easy, right? I'm telling you, he's absolutely cooking right now and there's no way he doesn't smash that line!
Man, I’ve been totally screwing myself lately by betting against him, seriously! I kept sitting on the sidelines because he takes way too many shots—especially when we're playing at home—but honestly, after seeing him drop 23 points in that last game against Phoenix, how can I even justify passing on him today? Why would I pass up a chance like this when he's clearly feeling it? I don't see any reason why he wouldn't go out and do the exact same thing again tonight!
Pierce over 18,5 1,85
He’s been playing out of his mind lately, honestly, just absolutely locked in, but then you've got this whole situation with Pietrus getting banged up, which means he isn't exactly getting much downtime to recover, right? But even with that injury hanging over him, he’s looking so sharp that I really think he’s got enough gas left in the tank to drop at least 19 points, easy.
Millsap over 15.5 at 1.85? I’m telling you right now, just throw the money on it! Are we really sitting here questioning if he can hit that number? He’s been absolutely cooking lately, and honestly, who is even going to stop him? It feels like he’s playing on easy mode every time he steps on the court. I don't care what anyone says, the momentum is clearly on his side and I am all in on this one!
I’m telling you right now, I fully expect him to step up and shut Jefferson down, because honestly, he’s the only one I’d actually trust to step in there as a legitimate replacement. I mean, look, his last two games went under just because he was playing a bit too cautious with his shot selection—you know, those shaky, hesitant jumpers that just don't fall—but if he actually starts letting it fly and plays with some real aggression? Man, he’s going to blow right past the over without breaking a sweat!
I’m telling you right now, if you aren't riding with Durant over 27.5, what are you even doing with your life? Seriously, are you just watching from the sidelines while the magic happens? I mean, look at him! He's absolutely cooking lately, and honestly, who else is going to put up those kinds of numbers when the lights are brightest? You see him moving on the court and it’s like he's playing a different game than everyone else, totally untouchable, and I'm sitting here wondering why anyone would doubt him. It's almost ridiculous how much heat he's bringing to every single matchup. Just take the points and stop overthinking it, because man, he is absolutely primed to smash that line!
I’m calling it now—I’m betting on two of the absolute best squads to really step up and show out, especially since this matchup just feels right for Miami. I mean, look at the stats, they’ve been absolutely tearing it up against them lately, dropping an average of 32.2 buckets over their last five games! Meanwhile, you’ve got his teammate who just can’t seem to find his rhythm whenever they face the Heat, consistently scoring way below his usual average, so honestly, why wouldn't I go with Durant? It’s the only logical play here, right?
I'm telling you guys, just take the Gasol p UNDER 17.5 at 1.85! Seriously, why is everyone sleeping on this? You really think he’s hitting that number tonight? I don't see it happening, honestly. It's such a solid play if you know what you're looking at, but people just want to chase the hype instead of looking at the actual numbers, right? Just grab it and move on!
I mean, seriously, what kind of joke is this? How on earth is he still getting such massive minutes given how much he's been struggling lately? It’s actually ridiculous! And don't even get me started on the fact that now that Sessions has joined the rotation, his shot attempts have dropped off an absolute cliff, especially when we're playing at home! Like, are we even watching the same game?! Why is he being given this much leeway when the numbers clearly say otherwise?🤷

The favorite stays on the table, I guess—we’ll just have to wait and see if I was actually right about this one or if I totally missed the mark!🤷

Whatever happens, good luck to anyone actually out here following even a handful of these games!😉

Man, what a total disaster for Jamison last night—he had an absolutely brutal outing and didn't walk away with a single cent from that win! Seriously, how does that even happen? He puts in all that work just to end up empty-handed? It's honestly infuriating to watch.😢Man, I don't even know, I just went out there and completely tanked right at the jump, you know? Like, I was totally out of it from the very first second, and honestly, maybe that’s why it actually felt a little easier in the end? Is that weird to say? It's like, once you've already hit rock bottom immediately, there's nowhere left to go but up, right? Just total chaos from the get-go!🤷
Arthur Hill2 Arthur Hill2 MemberOP
20 messages
joined Jul 2009
#136 ·
Boozer over 16.5.

With neither Rose nor Hamilton available for another night, our dear Boozer is going to have to dig deep and tap into that interior presence he keeps tucked away—the version of him that doesn't go out looking for fouls like some frantic amateur, but rather the one who nails those beautiful lob shots with effortless precision.

I am also expecting a Bulls loss.

Furthermore, I'm taking Milwaukee +6.5. This matchup between the two teams sitting at 8th and 9th in the East is absolutely massive for determining who ultimately grabs that final ticket into the playoffs.
Christian Ruiz Christian Ruiz Member
28 messages
joined Mar 2012
#137 ·
Christian Ruiz said:Marc Gasol under #15.5
Since I'm dealing with some technical issues on my end right now, 🙂 unfortunately, there won't be a written breakdown for this pick. Higher stakes involved!

M. Gasol #8 pts
Joshua Gonzalez33 Joshua Gonzalez33 Active Member
150 messages
joined Jan 2012
#138 ·
Henderson over 12.5 @1.85 - Allen is out.
Monroe over 15.5 @1.85 - likely missing Nene.
Williams over 22.5 @1.85 - Utah has one of the weaker playoff defenses in the league.


@6.33

Chicago-Denver 2 @3.20 (Honestly, Denver is just too dangerous; they could take Chicago even if Rose was playing)
NJN-Utah 1 @1.90 (after that 4OT heartbreak)


@6.08
Drew Palmer66 Drew Palmer66 Active Member
54 messages
joined Feb 2012
#139 ·
Stoudemire and Lin were hurting after Saturday's rout of the Pistons, putting both players' status in question for tonight's critical game. With 17 Games remaining in the season, the Knicks lead the Bucks by 1 1/2 Games for the eighth playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. This will be the third of four meetings between the clubs this year. The Bucks won the first two

No, I believe they will both play tonight.

Stoudemire has been terrific lately and was outstanding in the Knicks' two losses to the Bucks, averaging 21 points and 11 rebounds. If he doesn't perform at that level tonight, the Knicks are going to struggle—especially since backup Jared Jeffries is sidelined with an inflamed right knee.

Lin's sore left knee is arguably less concerning than Stoudemire's back issue. Nevertheless, Lin is a critical component of the Knicks' offense, and Baron Davis isn't exactly fit to play either, currently battling hamstring and back problems.

SOURCE

Ilyasova (-15.5) odds 2.00
Charlotte (+6.5) vs Boston odds 2.00 1.85

/5-2/
stormyseal9 stormyseal9 Member
20 messages
joined Oct 2011
#140 ·
Alright, here's what I'm looking at for today, just some solid picks for you guys 🤷

Granger under 18.5 @ 1.70
Jennings over 17.5 @ 1.85
Knicks (207.5)-Milwaukee under 1.85
Evans over 17.5 @ 1.85
Henderson over 12.5 @ 1.85 SS

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