NBA Betting: Vol. 2

It’s not even about guts, really—it’s just common sense... if every single indicator is screaming "over," why on earth would you go with the under?

New Orleans Pelicans over 87.5 @ 1.85

...stormyseal9, you absolutely nailed this pick. The Indiana Pacers have been consistently clearing 90 lately—we're talking the last 13 games. Plus, out of their last 10, they’ve only failed to hit this 87.5 line three times. They looked solid against the Dallas Mavericks earlier, and it looks like Luis Ariza might be making his return tonight too. I'm riding with this one...

NBA PLAYER DUEL
Dwight Howard vs. LaMarcus Aldridge
pick: Aldridge @ 1.85

So, looking at this matchup, Dwight Howard had a pretty breezy time against the Milwaukee Bucks over his last two outings, but let's be real—he was facing Jon Leur and Larry Sanders, guys who aren't exactly built to shut down a Superman type like him, so those numbers aren't surprising at all. I’m expecting a totally different vibe today, though. Ben Gooden is actually a decent post defender, and generally speaking, the Bucks are pretty stout when defending the post (#3), so Howard really had to grind to get anything done against Drew. In his last five matchups specifically against Gooden, Howard hasn't even cracked the 21.5 point mark once (and even though he faced Andrew Bogut in some of those, he just hasn't been hitting his stride lately). On the other side of the ball, LaMarcus Aldridge has been a bit underwhelming in his recent games, but honestly, you can't blame him too much given the level of competition he's been facing. Even though Aldridge's stats might make it look like he plays better on the road because of his scoring average, his shooting percentage is actually about 3% higher at home, and his free throw percentage jumps by a massive 9% when he's playing in front of his own crowd. If you look at his last four games against the Minnesota Timberwolves, he's averaging a cool 30.5 points, and his absolute best performances—scoring 37 on 62.5% shooting and 36 on 68.2% shooting—all happened right on his home court. So, seeing how Howard has been struggling a bit lately, I'm leaning toward a smooth victory for Aldridge in this head-to-head duel. 🤷 ☕

I think I might take a double from PlayMaker for tonight, and maybe I'll add Peja Peković under to that little parlay with a symbolic stake on it 🙂

I see Kyrie Irving is playing tonight, so I’m officially calling it—I'm passing on Al Jamison. Wouldn't be surprised at all if he ends up going under.

You definitely gotta check out the Duke and North Carolina game, it's gonna be huge.

Al Jamison is already flirting with the over—hitting 15 before we even wrap up the first quarter 🤣.

edit: Man, Al Jamison's sitting on 19 points at the half... easy money, seriously ☕.

I mean, honestly, John Wall over 18.5 points feels like a total lock; he’s gotta hit the over, period.

Jonathan Young29 said:It isn't about having guts; it's just common sense. If everything points toward the over, why on earth would you bet the under?

True, but plenty of times when we've played the "common sense" route, things have gone south instead.

Lawrence Castillo76 said:I see Kyrie Irving is playing tonight, so I think I'll pass on Al Jamison. It wouldn't surprise me if he goes under.

Well, now you've gone and spooked him.

Keith Moore21 said:Al Jamison is almost at the over by the end of the first quarter (15).🤣

Now we're at halftime with 19, so the over hit—which is great news for all of us. No need to go crazy here, since I calmly took him over. Easy money, thanks.

wiredcanyon39 said:John Wall is at 11 now, so he should hit the over before the game ends.

The margin is tight, so he won't be heading to the bench. He's shooting 4-for-10; it shouldn't be too much trouble for him to take another 10 shots and sink four more.
3 if he makes at least one free throw.

I seriously have zero luck when it comes to players; I can already see this guy picking up four personal fouls

He’s just moving right past them. He’s sitting at 14 and it doesn't even look like he's breaking a sweat, though he's only taken two shots and made three out of four. I guess we have to wonder why he's only hitting one of two free throws now. 🙂
Only 4 left.

wiredcanyon39 said:I’ve seriously never had any luck with players, and I can already see him getting hit with four fouls this game.

Well, I officially checked out. 😁

wiredcanyon39 said:Still, I decided to go with a single bet on John Wall over 18.5 points in the hattrick at 1.85 odds with a standard unit.

☕

I wasn't exactly expecting this to be resolved so quickly myself, but oh well, let's move on. We're starting to drift into the more nonsensical part of the ticket.

Come on, let's get Kevin Durant another 8 buckets🙂

When the Washington Wizards are at home, I guess the margin for John Wall over 18.5 points should be around 25.5, but when they're on the road, maybe it's more like 10.5.

crimsonangler1 said:Come on, let's get Kevin Durant another 8 points🙂

I suppose I need an Oklahoma City Thunder win just as badly; here he is hitting 25 by the end of the 3rd quarter.🙂

velvetmaker33 said:I need this Oklahoma City Thunder win just as much as anyone—here we go, they're sitting at 25 at the end of the third quarter.🙂

Same here. I just hope they don't end up losing by a single point. 😁

graniteotter6 said:Honestly, I didn't think things would resolve this quickly either. Oh well, moving on—the even more chaotic part of my parlay is starting to kick in.

I had it in a single 😁
I don't have any more decent NBA games left on my slip, and frankly, most of these matchups aren't even worth watching. I guess I'll check out the Oklahoma City Thunder game and then just head to bed.

ruggedgull32 said:New Orleans Pelicans over 87.5 at 1.85. Thoughts?

stormyseal9, you nailed this pick. Seriously, the Indiana Pacers have been crushing that over 90 mark lately—we're talking 13 straight games hitting it. Plus, looking at their last 10, they’ve only failed to clear 87.5 three times. They looked solid against the Dallas Mavericks last night, and apparently, Luis Ariza is back in the mix tonight too. I'm riding with this one.

That's all that's left, really. There's zero chance he clears that line... the Charlotte Hornets are an absolute disaster.

Thanks, and my bad for following you, man 🤦

I think the Hornets gave up about 4 points in just 6 minutes during the second quarter, if I'm remembering right...