NBA Betting: Vol. 2

boldranger said:Man, GSW is just getting hammered. What do you guys think—is there any chance they actually pull this off, or is anyone even still rooting for them?

I honestly couldn't stop shaking after that Utah game. 🙂

James Taylor3 said:Don't be ridiculous—Marcus Camby is an elite center, easily a double-double average guy.
The issue is his injuries—they keep derailing him—and he isn't doing anything to help his case during his good games, like staying put or even publicly looking for a team to pick him up.

27 points on efficient shooting, 13 rebounds (6 offensive), 2 assists, 2 steals, 3 turnovers, and 1 block. ☕

steelhawk12 said:Looks like we’ve walked straight into a trap today...
No way... Utah is absolutely dead.
The Hornets are missing their entire squad, for crying out loud. And yet, somehow, they’re sitting there at a 1.65 Utah coefficient. It makes absolutely no sense.

Nicholas Chase34 said:First bet:
New Orleans vs. Utah. Honestly, I’ve been sitting here staring at the matchups for an hour, and I can’t shake this feeling that everyone is looking at this all wrong. People are going to talk about the scoring depth or whatever, but they’re missing the actual pulse of this game. It’s one of those matchups where you just know things are going to get messy. You have New Orleans trying to dictate the tempo, and then you have Utah coming in with that specific grit that just disrupts everything. It’s frustrating to watch when teams don't respect the defensive rotations, and I have a feeling we're going to see some sloppy play early on because nobody wants to take accountability for their assignments. I’m telling you now, if the perimeter defense doesn't tighten up, this isn't even going to be a contest. It’s going to be a blowout fueled by unforced errors. I’m not interested in seeing a track meet; I want to see actual, disciplined basketball. But knowing how these two teams operate lately? Yeah, I'm bracing myself for a headache.
Utah -3.5 at 1.85 | USA | 8/10
Utah -9.5 at +230 - USA - 2/10

Look, it’s pretty obvious what happened there: the New Orleans guys completely failed to attack the rim. They only managed eight attempts in the paint, and sure, they were a perfect 100% from that range, but that's not the point. The real issue is that they leaned way too heavily on the perimeter shot. If it wasn't for Jack, Marcus Camby, and Smith holding things together, we probably would've been looking at a total blowout.
Look, with the New Orleans roster being this thin, I honestly don't see any way they stand a chance against a Jazz team that’s currently on fire. To me, this is a gift, and I'm taking both sides of the action. Even with Utah dealing with a back-to-back situation, a realistic spread should be at least 6.5 given how lopsided this matchup looks. Pinnacle actually has the line offline right now, and frankly, I wouldn't be surprised if they come back and set it at 5.5. ☕

That's just naive. Honestly, it's like watching someone walk blindly into a trap with a smile on their face. It’s pure innocence, bordering on ridiculous.
The betting sites just don't give out freebies anymore...

Nicholas Chase34 said:🤣 I'm still debating if I should even list him on the injury report... I mean, look at how New Orleans is playing right now. They're treating Marcus Camby like he's actually legit, and he just dropped 14 points against Utah on 6-of-7 shooting. 😛

Man, they straight up dissed him publicly, but now they're sucking up because their injury situation is a mess and they can't get anything done. He actually played and looked good, too—your info about him sitting out was wrong anyway. Besides, the bet was already dead money, so who cares... Mighty Utah. 🙂

I missed every single one of my bets last night.☕

steelhawk12 said:That's about as naive as a rookie thinking they'll get a free meal at a diner...
The house always wins, and they definitely aren't handing out freebies...

Man, I just love it when someone starts acting all high and mighty because they're gloating over a missed pick from someone else🙂 🙄

It’s totally changing my life over here, honestly, but hey, as long as he was "right" and used such incredibly deep, philosophical reasoning to prove his point, right?☕

Nicholas Chase34 said:It’s always entertaining when someone starts bragging about a quote based on a pick that didn't even land. 🙂 🙄

As if any of this actually matters—as long as he was "right" and used some incredibly convincing logic to get there. ☕

Don't waste your energy on nonsense; just listen to wiredcanyon39:

So, they added Jeremy Lin to the mix today too.😍 I guess they set the line at 22.5 just to screw us over, but I’m still leaning towards the over. He dropped 20 in Minneapolis despite some bad shooting and a rough night, so maybe he’ll take control while Melo and Amar'e Stoudemire are out. The Knicks' defense looks pretty shaky to me, so I might grab the over on DeRozan too... Those heavy favorites with tiny payouts are never a sure thing, but Chicago-Sacramento, OKC-Utah, and Portland-Wizards all seem like solid bets today. It's weird, though—Chicago isn't even listed with a handicap in the spread here, even though they're the favorites.😁 I'll probably take Russell Westbrook as well; he's been acting wild lately.

I mean, maybe Amar'e is making his comeback today? I don't know, but looking at things, the under feels like a way more solid bet to me right now.

Thomas Cook54 said:They even added Jeremy Lin to the mix today.😍 I suspect they set the line just high enough to screw us all over at 22.5, but I'm going over. He put up 20 points in Minneapolis despite plenty of misses and an overall subpar performance; now he’s in a position to take full control while Melo and Amar'e Stoudemire are out. Plus, the Knicks' defense looks pretty thin to me, so I'll take deRozan over on this matchup as well...

First, the Under was dropped to 1.70, and then they pulled it from the board entirely. I suppose they're waiting for the bettors to set the margin before they update the odds.

To keep things brief, I’m taking the over on both Carlos Boozer and Russell Westbrook—they're both looking sharp right now, especially since Boozer is seeing a significant uptick in usage since Derrick Rose has been out. Plus, Sacramento plays such an aggressive offensive style that they really tend to push the pace toward the rim. As for the spread, I'm taking Oklahoma at +12.5 against Utah without a second thought; honestly, the visitors have been a massive disappointment lately, and they're facing a rested home team in their third game in just three days. I also have the Lakers to win—they haven't exactly been dominant, but they tend to show up for matchups just like this one. Finally, I'm going with Memphis over Houston; the away team is struggling for rhythm, and at 1.75, there's enough value here for them to bounce back against a weaker squad.

There’s a chance Derrick Rose might actually suit up tonight, but since nothing is official yet, they probably aren't releasing any deep tactical breakdowns for the game just yet.

I’m not entirely convinced, though. I suspect they might sit him out before Thursday, even if he’s officially listed as just day-to-day.

The Bulls should be able to handle Sacramento at their home court without him, but honestly, you can never call it in this league. It’s anyone's game.🙂

Granger over 18.5 at 1.85? Man, I'm telling you, just put the money down already! Why are we even debating this? Does anyone actually think he's going to stay under that number? It's practically a lock, right? I mean, look at how he's playing lately—he's absolutely tearing it up! You really want to pass on this kind of value? Seriously, what are you waiting for? Get on it!
Tony Parker under 19.5 at 1.85? Seriously? You really think he's staying under that number? I don't know, man, I just can't wrap my head around it! Are we really betting against him right now? It feels like such a gamble, honestly!
Kevin Durant under 28.5? Are you kidding me right now? Like, seriously, how does anyone even look at that number and think it’s a safe bet? You’re telling me one of the most lethal scorers to ever step foot on an American hardwood floor is going to stay under that mark? It’s absolute madness! I mean, just look at his rhythm lately, he’s absolutely cooking, and you really think he's gonna just sit there and watch the clock run out without adding more to his tally? No way! It makes zero sense if you actually stop to think about it for even a second!
I'm telling you guys, take the Oklahoma City Thunder under 106.5 at 1.85! Seriously, how much longer are we going to pretend they can just steamroll everyone? They aren't scoring that much, period. Just look at the numbers! You really think they’re gonna break past that line? I don't see it happening, man. It's a lock!
LeBron James under 28.5? Are you kidding me right now?! How can anyone even look at those numbers and think he won't blow past that line like it isn't even there? It’s honestly ridiculous!
Luol Deng over 14.5 at 1.85
Joe Johnson under 19.5 at 1.85? Are you kidding me right now? Seriously, does anyone actually believe he’s hitting that number? I mean, come on! You look at how he's playing lately and you just have to wonder if the magic is still there or if we're all just witnessing a slow decline. Is he really going to carry that kind of load? It feels like such a trap, honestly. I don't know, man, I just can't see it happening!
177.5 total points for the Lakers vs Hawks game, maybe taking the over at 1.85? SS

I'm telling you guys, the whole system is just completely broken, like 7 out of 8 times it’s totally rigged or just plain dysfunctional! How are we even supposed to deal with this nonsense? It feels like every single time you think you've got a handle on things, some ridiculous rule or flawed setup comes along and just trips you up again. Is anyone else seeing this, or am I just losing my mind here?! It's honestly exhausting!☕
I honestly don't have any expectations left at this point because, let's be real, watching them actually hit a shot lately feels like witnessing a straight-up miracle!🤷

wiredcanyon39 said:Amar'e might be back today, so I guess the under looks more likely.

My bad, I posted that before seeing Amar'e is definitely playing. The line moved to 19.5, and they dropped Tony Parker to 17.5 because Ginobili is back. I'll probably just take both overs anyway.

If Amar'e Stoudemire makes his comeback, I honestly think Jeremy Lin is going to land under. Twenty points is just too much to ask for, especially since Jose Calderon provides such solid defense. 🤷

wiredcanyon39 said:I couldn't sit still after that Utah Jazz game. 🙂

You betting on them too? Looking around, seems like everyone fell for the hype. No idea why they were being pushed so hard. 🤷

I was actually thinking Dallas could take it if they leaned on their guys, especially since Utah isn't exactly a powerhouse.
I played it smart and stayed away, which turned out to be the right call. 😁

Any picks for today? Who’s looking hot, or who's clearly washed?

Anyone got any solid NBA locks for tonight?

Honestly, I’d just roll with the Los Angeles Lakers; they look absolutely dominant playing at home.

Patrick Wright2 said:Anyone got any solid NBA picks for tonight?

Right now, I’d probably just roll with the Los Angeles Lakers, since they look pretty convincing playing at home.

Honestly, I wouldn't touch the Lakers today. Nothing really jumps out at me—all the favorites have such tiny odds, and everything feels like it could swing either way. I'm leaning toward the Miami Heat, but I think I might just hunt for some upsets tonight.

wiredcanyon39 said:Honestly, I wouldn't touch the Lakers right now because nothing about them is clicking for me, so everyone looks like a favorite with those tiny odds, and since this game could easily swing either way, I'm leaning toward the Heat, though I feel like I might be hunting for an upset tonight.

I keep second-guessing myself, but look, Miami is riding a three-game win streak while the Pacers are struggling through three straight losses. 🤷Maybe I'll just roll with that since the payout is better.