Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers
Pick: Philadelphia 76ers -7.5
Odds: 1.99
Betting shop: Pinnacle
Unit: 7/10
I wasn't planning on touching this one—until I noticed a massive gap in the lineup. The Cavaliers are missing their center tonight, and he's crucial both offensively and defensively. He’s having a career year right now, averaging 10.8 points and 11.5 rebounds per game. More importantly, he leads the league in offensive rebounding; losing him means the Cavs effectively lose about four extra possessions per game. Then there's Kyrie Irving, who is still out dealing with concussion symptoms. These two are essentially the only high-level talent on the roster alongside Al Jefferson, so the Cavs are going to feel this void. On the other side, the 76ers are deep, balanced, and possess arguably the best bench in the league. They're healthy too—aside from starting center Andrew Hawes, but Nikola Vučević can step in easily enough.
Both teams were grinding through tough matchups last night, but the Cavs had it worse, playing into overtime with heavy minutes across the board—three players even cleared the 42-minute mark. Oh, and Tony Parker is out for them tonight as well. With such a thin rotation and key pieces missing, they simply can't match up with a powerhouse like Philly. I'm taking the spread.