Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks
Pick: Over 204.5 total points
Odds: 2.03
Wager: 4/10
The arrival of Ricky Rubio has given Minnesota a massive boost—the hype surrounding him is enough that some people are already calling them playoff contenders. Personally, I think that’s a bit too optimistic, at least for this season.
Minnesota's offense is clicking; Kevin Love has been unstoppable, putting up 20/20 games twice in just two matchups. John Beasley looks solid, Ricky Rubio is facilitating well, and José Barea is showing that trademark speed again. The rest of the roster is doing exactly what's expected of them—nothing more, nothing less. One thing is clear: the Timberwolves are much better at home than on the road. They score significantly more points in their own arena. So far this season, they've lost three close ones—they actually had chances to pull off upsets against the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Miami Heat, but couldn't quite close it out.
The only team that didn't surrender 100+ points to them was Milwaukee, but let's be honest—the Bucks were statistically the worst offensive team in the league last year.
Dallas has had a rocky start to the season, though their recent win against the Toronto Raptors gives them hope that things are turning around. Losing DeAndre Chandler has definitely weakened their interior presence, which could lead to major issues defending Kevin Love today. Dirk Nowitzki might struggle to contain him, and there's always the possibility they throw Haywood at him instead. Regardless, Dallas possesses a potent offense with several reliable shooters and an unstoppable Dirk Nowitzki; they should have no trouble scoring against Minnesota. The real question is how many points they'll allow.
I'm having a hard time picking a winner here. Dallas feels like the safer bet for a victory, but I'm not looking to take unnecessary risks. The over feels like the more logical play, so I'll stick with that for a low-to-medium wager.
I was scrolling through some player updates on Twitter—for instance, Jason Terry was inviting friends over to celebrate New Year's Day last night... interesting. Kevin Love was also out late celebrating. It remains to be seen when they actually went to sleep or if they overindulged; that will likely impact their performance on the court today. 😁