NBA Betting: Vol. 2

Keith Moore21 said:looking at today's matchups with the Indiana Pacers and the Denver Nuggets...

🙂

every single time I take a break from posting my breakdowns, I end up getting hit with a 🤣

Kevin Rogers98 said:😲

Final score, 94 to 90. Tough one. I mean, I don't know... 🤷Look, you can say what you want, but I'm telling you—every single official scoreboard out there says otherwise.

🙂

Nicholas Chase34 said:Huh... that's weird... I was just scrolling through Yahoo and saw they posted the final score as 92-88. 🙄

Yeah, that 94-90 finish was a total heartbreaker—just a tough way to lose. I just finished catching up on some of the highlights, too... man, what a ride. 👍

Jerry Grant51 said:that number 21 put up points with just 17 seconds left on the clock

I guess I’m finally making some money off this NBA madness🙂.

Bargnani hit two buckets with 46 seconds remaining, and then stepped up to sink two free throws with only 17 seconds left. Coincidentally, for the number 21 in the HL, the margin was sitting at 20.5.

If LeBron finishes with exactly 28 points, that puts the margin at 27.5. 🙄.

Meanwhile, Carmelo cruised through without any issues at all. 🙂

MartinKev(-20,5+)-LAL-Hou over @ 1,85
Chic/Atla(97,5)-Chicago under @ 1,85
@ 3,42 DraftKings

☕

Following yesterday's absolute disaster, there is a palpable sense of shock in the air today.

In my estimation, the true surprise is going to come out of either Los Angeles or Oklahoma City.

James Smith50 said:#4
Denver - Milwaukee 1 1.47
6/10

#5
Detroit - Orlando 2 1.59
5/10

3w/2l (-3.4 units)

Orlando’s defense was absolutely pathetic, Howard was tossed out of the game way too early due to foul trouble, and honestly, Detroit actually outjumped them... 🙄

Atlanta -9.5 1.85, I believe this is a fairly solid pick; I will provide my reasoning shortly.

Randolph's banged up, so maybe Sacramento could pull an upset today? I guess :/

Arthur Hill2 said:Atlanta +9.5 at 1.85... honestly, I think this is a pretty solid pick. I'll get into the reasoning in a bit.

A lot of people seemed to take offense yesterday when someone mentioned a giveaway. 🙂

Anyway, I'm with you. Last night was just a total disaster. Everything I actually put money on failed, while everything I didn't touch hit perfectly. Typical me, I guess.

I think the line is being influenced by this:
05/12/11 ATL 73 - CHI 93
05/10/11 CHI 95 - ATL 83
05/08/11 ATL 100 - CHI 88
05/06/11 ATL 82 - CHI 99
05/04/11 CHI 86 - ATL 73
05/02/11 CHI 95 - ATL 103
03/22/11 ATL 81 - CHI 114
03/11/11 CHI 94 - ATL 76

They're 6-2 over their last eight. Every time Chicago won, it was by double digits. I feel like Atlanta will be motivated after that loss to Miami. My only worry is if they end up shooting like they did against Houston—hitting maybe 25% from three. Plus, they’ve got four more games in five days. Still, 9.5 feels like too much.

Chicago is going to be without Hamilton and their backup PG, CJ Watson.

In the meantime, Brewer is stepping up for Hamilton and looks like he'll hold his own, though I'm honestly not sure what the rotation looks like for Watson's spot. Having John Lucas III playing that third guard role doesn't feel like the smartest move given he's only about 5'11"🤷.

There's a chance Rosa sees an uptick in minutes, especially since I noticed the odds for him in a matchup against Kobe are sitting at 2.20.🤷

Brandon Clark5 said:Zach Randolph is out—honestly, I feel like the Sacramento Kings might actually pull an upset here today :/

DeMarcus Cousins probably won't suit up for Sacramento, and he's pretty much their best player...

As for the Bulls and Hawks, I’m leaning towards Chicago covering that spread. The Atlanta Hawks are one of those teams that can beat anyone, but they can also get absolutely smoked by anybody, too... unpredictable stuff. Chicago looks stronger to me—they're playing at home and they've had more rest. Atlanta is on the second game in two days, and it wasn't even an easy one after that grinder against the Miami Heat yesterday... It'll be tough for Tracy McGrady to come out and shoot 3-for-3 from deep again like he did against Miami, especially since the whole squad went 9-for-16 from three and gave up 33 points in the final quarter. I think Chicago takes this, and honestly, the spread isn't even that huge—say, 95-85 or something... anyway, just my two cents, we'll see how it actually plays out.😁

DeMarcus Cousins will play in Tuesday's game against the Grizzlies, but he will not be in the starting lineup.
Jason Jones on Twitter

As for the Grizzlies, Zach Randolph's status is still a bit of a question mark, so we might have to wait until tip-off to know for sure, though I have a feeling he’ll probably suit up... After that massive 40-point loss last time out, where things looked pretty grim for the Gay, you really expect to see a major response, and honestly, I could see this turning into a total blowout tonight because if they're going to take their frustrations out on anyone, it'll be a young, inexperienced Sacramento Kings team... Their only real road struggle so far was that trip to Portland where they got hammered by 30, so while they'll likely pick up some wins at home like they usually do, I don't expect them to fare much better on the road...

DeMarcus Cousins just isn't that good of a player, period. Setting aside the fact that he’s a center shooting only 32% from deep—which is a massive liability for any team's chemistry—there have been way too many reports labeling him as a bad teammate and a total bully. On top of all that, he recently requested a trade. At the end of the day, Greivis Vasquez is clearly their best player anyway.

Arthur Hill2 said:Cousins isn't actually that good—setting aside the fact that a center shooting 32% creates massive chemistry issues for a roster, there have been plenty of reports labeling him a locker room cancer and a bully. He even requested a trade recently. Besides, Evans is clearly their best player anyway.

Cousins has talent—he’s incredibly quick and agile given his size—but let’s be honest, the guy is unhinged. Everyone knows it.
And apparently, Evans is just as volatile, plus he’s completely inconsistent. He might drop 25 points one night, then disappear with a 10-point performance the next.

Zach Randolph (knee) is out for Tuesday's game.

I expect the spread to shift a few points in Memphis' favor now, though I'm still weighing my options... if they land at -5, I’d probably take them, maybe even around 6 or 7, but honestly, I'm leaning towards passing on it unless things change...

5w/8l ; -4,00 units; ROI: -7.55% 🙂

Utah - Milwaukee
Pick: Under 190.5 points

coefficient: 1.85

betting shop: SS

Stake: 6/10

I spent some time looking at the coefficients and lines over at Pinnacle for this matchup—the under caught my eye immediately. Just out of curiosity, I checked SS to see where their lines sit for the same bet. Their line is stuck at 190.5, while Pinnacle is currently sitting at 185.5. 😲

It seems almost all our local betting shops are clinging to that higher line, whereas most of the action overseas is hovering around 185.5.
Here: http://www.oddsportal.com/basketball.../#over-under;1

Utah is a mediocre squad—plenty of big men, but none of them are elite, and their perimeter shooting is nonexistent. I caught a bit of one game recently—couldn't even sit through the whole thing—and noticed they just dump the ball inside to the bigs and hope for the best. Big Al and Millsap are dealing with minor injuries, and frankly, neither has been particularly impressive this season; one of them usually has a disastrous shooting night.

Milwaukee is a tedious team—slow, uninspired, and inefficient.
Last year, they were bottom-of-the-barrel in nearly every offensive statistical category.
They've got Bogut at center, who is far superior to anything we have. He’s a solid rebounder and shot-blocker, so he’ll give the Jazz bigs a hard time. As for Milwaukee's offense, I highly doubt they can push the pace enough to score more than 82 or 83 against the Jazz.

The 185.5 under looked attractive, so why pass up this 190.5 line? 👋

Whatever. Let's just go. 😁

I'm feeling a bit frustrated after the string of misses over the last few days; it's getting old.
It's mostly because I'm not watching games like I used to—I simply don't have the time.
Don't get me wrong, I'm still watching and following, but not with the same intensity as last year, back when the results were much better.

Oh well, every start is rough, including this one. 🤣

Anyone got a link for tracking NBA player stats? Mainly looking for scoring numbers.

Thanks, but can someone point me toward a site with actual current info? Everything here is five months out of date!

There are at least 358 pages dedicated solely to NBA player and team stats.

Is it really that hard to just Google what you're looking for? 🙄

Besides, the guy gave you the official site—where, heaven help us, everything you need is actually available.