NBA Betting: Vol. 2

Arthur Hill2 said:Chicago is missing Hamilton and backup PG CJ Watson.

Instead of Hamilton, they'll likely roll with Brewer for now—though I'm not really sure what the rotation looks like with Watson out. Having John Lucas III playing that third guard spot doesn't exactly feel like a winning strategy, especially since he's only about 🤷 tall.

Maybe Rose gets more minutes, and I noticed his odds against Kobe are sitting at 2.20 in the betting lines. 🤷

My gut says the CHI-ATL game goes under, while LAL-HOU goes over.
Kobe is burning through a ton of possessions right now and his shooting is just... rough. He's taking 16-20 shots to get 2 points, shooting maybe 40%. And his three-point shooting? Absolute disaster. He’s gone 1-for-13 over the last three games. He's way below his seasonal average, which is usually around 33%, so I'm pretty sure he needs to start hunting those shots again. He averages 24.

In theory, I think he could actually outscore Rose tonight. Rose is averaging 19.8.

Houston allows about 96.5 points on average, jumping to 108.5 on the road, whereas Atlanta holds teams to 87.6 overall and 85.7 away. That's basically a 20-point spread of "room" to work with.

EDIT: Also, the odds for Rose dropped to 1.5 for under 24.5, while Kobe is still holding steady at 1.85 with a line of 26.5.

Go check the official website and then tell me!

Dennis Doyle44 said:thanks, but if you could find me a site with actual recent data? Everything here is like five months old.

Going to be a total grammar Nazi for a second... just Google "sibilance" if you want to see what that actually means.🙂

I think you're misreading things. Some teams have only played maybe three or four games so far, so you're probably seeing stats from last season.

http://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pag...s/players.html

The numbers are mostly the same regardless, though I noticed ESPN.com actually lists shooting percentages while this site doesn't bother.

Dennis Doyle44 said:Maybe check the official site before you talk big.

What data are we even talking about here?

Don't get all worked up over a little joke. 😉

Dennis Doyle44 said:Maybe check the official site before you weigh in.

Just click on the player you're looking for—you'll find their career stats and totals right there, broken down by season. That NBA Vol covers individual games this season, and you can dig into season splits too. You can see how they perform after a day of rest, home versus away, or specifically against the Phoenix Suns...

It just takes a modicum of effort, rather than none at all.

American sports have a million different statistical resources available.

Beyond the official league site, you’ve got ESPN, Yahoo, CBS Sports, Basketball Reference, and plenty of others. Honestly, just Google "NBA player statistics" and everything pops up.

The data is all there.

I’m telling you guys, I’ve got a massive feeling about Jamison hitting the over on 16.5 points tonight—man, I’m seriously feeling it! Like, does anyone actually think he won't tear it up? He’s been looking absolutely electric lately, just pure momentum, and honestly, if you aren't riding this wave, what are you even doing? It feels like he's just itching to go off, and at 1.85 odds, it’s basically begging us to take it, right?! I don't know, maybe I'm just seeing things, but when you watch him move, you just know the buckets are coming!
Man, I’m telling you right now, just put your money on LaMarcus Aldridge to clear that 20.5 line! Seriously, how can anyone doubt him? He’s been absolutely cooking lately, and honestly, looking at the matchup, he’s gonna feast. Why would you even hesitate on this one? It feels like such a lock, especially when you see how much volume he's getting. Just grab the over and stop overthinking it, because he's easily hitting that mark!
Are you kidding me right now? You really think Richard Jefferson is gonna clear that 17.5 line? Like, seriously? I don't know what kind of crazy math you guys are doing over there, but I'm telling you, he’s not hitting that mark! It just doesn't make sense when you actually look at how he's playing lately, right? Why would anyone even bet on this? It's such a reach!
Are you kidding me right now? You really think Kobe Bryant is gonna clear 25.5 points tonight? Man, I don't know what kind of crystal ball you're looking into, but if you think he's hitting that over, you've gotta be dreaming! I mean, seriously, look at the matchup! Is he actually going to carry this whole squad on his back again? It feels like such a massive reach, honestly. I’m sitting here looking at the stats and thinking, why would anyone even bet on this? It's just wild to me!
Man, I am telling you right now, if you aren't betting on Luis Scola to go over that 17.5 line, what are you even doing with your life? Seriously! He’s basically a walking double-double waiting to happen at this stage, and anyone looking at those stats and thinking he won't hit that mark is just delusional. It’s like watching someone try to argue that a steakhouse isn't serving meat—it just doesn't make sense! How can you look at his production and think he stays under? It’s absolute madness!

That’s all I got for today.🤷

stormyseal9 said:Jamison over 16.5 @ 1.85
LaMarcus Aldridge over 20.5 @ 1.85
Richard Jefferson over 17.5 @ 1.85
Kobe Bryant over 25.5 @ 1.85
Luis Scola under 17.5 @ 1.85

that's all I got for today🤷

We're split on the first two. 🙂

Chicago Bulls (97.5) - Under... That's my only play today. Good luck! 🙂

The Atlanta Hawks are putting up a solid defensive front, though they really gave the Miami Heat a run for their money yesterday with that zone defense. It seems like the Heat just can't seem to find an answer for it.

Pau Gasol (dk) - Carlos Boozer -1
Chicago/Atlanta (97,5) - Chicago - under
Lakers vs Rockets 1
US odds: 3.84
Low/medium stake

This whole thing feels like a Spelding invention.
It’s just this new "pace and space" offensive philosophy they're trying to push.
Honestly, the guy lacks any real basketball IQ; last year, you could see LeBron James and Dwyane Wade basically calling the shots during timeouts in the Finals, just deciding when to break or reset while he stood there silently taking instructions.
Everyone is waiting to see if Pat Riley steps in to fix things.
The Miami Heat are going to run into serious trouble whenever they face a physical, gritty team,
especially one that actually knows how to execute a solid zone defense, like the Chicago Bulls, Boston Celtics, Orlando Magic, Atlanta Hawks, or the Lakers.

It feels like Luis Scola hit the over in almost every single game this season, with just one exception.

19, 18, 4 (due to foul trouble), 21.

I caught him playing against the Orlando Magic, and he’s such a savvy player in the post. He really knows how to work those post-up moves; I mean, he put up 16 points in just one half during that matchup.

The only thing is, I personally can't stand playing against guys who can't create their own shot. They rely entirely on getting assists from others—kind of like how Dwight Howard will easily drop 15 in a half and then suddenly stop seeing the ball at all. Damn you, Jameer Nelson.

Not exactly making a massive play today, but I’m putting some money on Oklahoma City 1 and Pau Gasol to hold his own against Boozer in their matchup.

16.5 / Bynum over-pinnacle
184.5 / Chicago Bulls vs Atlanta Hawks under-supersport
recreational🙂

Tonight's picks:
1.
Durant over 27.5
Rose over 22.5
@2.71

2.
Alex Dolgopolov 2:0
Oklahoma -4.5
@3.66

Keeping the stakes low on these 🙂 Still waiting on the Chicago Bulls to deliver the main event today

Did anyone actually find any value in taking the Chicago Bulls at +15.5 @ 3.30? I mean, looking back... 🤷

Dennis Martinez82 said:Was there actually any value in taking that massive 15.5 point spread on the Chicago Bulls at +3.30? 🤷

Man, don't even bother with that nonsense.
Honestly, I've got a feeling the Atlanta Hawks might actually pull off an upset here and grab the win.

James Campbell6 said:Don't talk such nonsense.
I actually think the Atlanta Hawks might pull off an upset here.

I disagree.🙂

Bryan Adams6 said:For tonight:
1.
Durant over 27.5
Rose over 22.5
@2.71

2.
Alex Dolgopolov 2-0
Oklahoma -4.5
@3.66

Small bets here 🙂 just waiting on the Chicago Bulls game later today

I'm waiting on Chicago too.

Which sportsbook has Rose over 22.5? I like those odds.

The Chicago Bulls just can't buy a bucket tonight—everything they throw up is clanking off the rim. Not that I'm really complaining, since I don't have much skin in the game with their individual players, but man, I haven't seen a shooting slump this bad in a long time. They've missed open looks at least five or six times already in this stretch.